[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

14 Aug 2024 17:27

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: ~19005+
OR
SL 🔑 @: 18957.70
TP ✅ @: 19026.30

We see slightly increased volatility in New York, but overall markets are moving sideways with reduced trading volume - a rare occurrence after CPI data. However, the in line with expectations CPI report and yesterday's reaction to the cooler than expected PPI data leads to a situation where investors almost ignore the CPI update and instead focus on tomorrow's US retail sales data.

The Nasdaq 100 fell below 19,000 again but is now back above or at this key level. We close here or soon and may find a better re-entry anyway.


———

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

14 Aug 2024 16:15

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 924.50 - 927.00
OR
SL 🔑 @: 922.47
TP ✅ @: 925.43

We are seeing muted trading overall. Once again, Eli Lilly is the big outperformer in the S&P 500 - now up ~2% (while the S&P 500 is down 0.1%). If your TP was triggered at 914.97 or you closed near 920.00 - congrats!

If you're still in, now is a good time to lock in another big profit. Work with a tight TP or close now/soon.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

14 Aug 2024 15:13

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🔰
SL 🔑 @: 2459.89
TP ✅ @: 2473.33

We set a tight TP for our gold position. We see near flat yields and a lower USD (DXY at -0.15%). Gold is overall well supported by signs of disinflation continuing - especially on the producer level - but it certainly didn't get the strong boost from CPI data that some investors were hoping for. Gold remains fundamentally supported.

However, Gold will likely continue to find resistance above $2,470 for a bit longer. If ~$2,458.50 is broken we may see gold to fall back to the $2,425 - $2,440 range in the short-term we thus work with a tight SL here.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

14 Aug 2024 14:48

⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP

► Our Nasdaq reached the narrow SL, with inflation data (CPI) almost completely in line with analysts' expectations - but no longer able to surprise positively, as the market's “real” expectations (not analysts') were already somewhat lower after yesterday's cooler-than-expected PPI report.

► However, the important message is that inflation is not pointing to an acceleration. The path for a first rate cut by the Fed therefore remains completely open.

► The Fed knows that the market would not take it lightly (very negatively) if it were to postpone the rate cuts again. The Fed will therefore cut rates in any case - the question is just 25bp or 50bp? (I am clearly leaning towards 25 / but the market is assuming 50 -> good for growth stocks / the Nasdaq).

► The current recovery can therefore continue and we expect the Nasdaq to remain bullish and rise above 19000. We can find an entry near/below our SL.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP


———

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

14 Aug 2024 14:24

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ Increased risk; Before CPI data release
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► The impact of potentially cool CPI data is slightly mitigated due to yesterday's very cool PPI data and investors are already pricing in further signs of a renewed slowdown in inflation.

► However, the overall impact on gold was relatively small yesterday, especially considering that the USD fell by more than 0.6% against its peers and market sentiment also improved due to further rising expectations of interest rate cuts.

► This trade is of course subject to considerable uncertainty - but I think it is likely that the CPI data will be in line with or slightly below analysts' expectations. We may well see a jump in the gold price immediately after the release - especially as analysts expect the headline inflation rate m/m to be 0.2%, which gives scope for a figure below this expectation. The expectation that the overall inflation rate will remain at 3% also offers room for a “positive” surprise.

► Gold is at a level with a lot of technical resistance as it is trading close to its all-time high. A rather cool CPI report will push gold to unprecedented levels. We find an entry now (2471 - 2473 range) and work with an SL & TP. Our TP is above the all-time high ($2,483.60). We are working with a tight SL, which gives us a attractive risk/reward ratio.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 10+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———-

We won 14 gold trades in a row 🥇1️⃣4️⃣

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

14 Aug 2024 11:28

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Wednesday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Wednesday, August 14

❗️ European & Asian stocks rise after good inflation readings & optimism ahead of US CPI report; Wall Street little changed after strong session

►European stocks rise after gains in Asian markets and very strong Wall Street session on optimism that the upcoming US CPI report will allow the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September. UBS Group led the gains among European financial stocks, with shares rising after the bank's second quarter profit beat estimates. Mining stocks struggled, however, as iron ore prices fell to their lowest level since May 2023 on concerns over Chinese demand. Of note, UK inflation came in below expectations at 2.2% in July (y-o-y), leading to a fall in GBP and increasing hopes of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England.

► U.S. stock futures remained steady following Tuesday’s strong 1.7% rally in the S&P 500, fueled by significantly cooler-than-expected producer price data that increased expectations for today's more important consumer price report to also show inflation remaining on path towards the Fed's 2% target. Forecasts predicting a modest 0.2% increase in both the headline CPI and the core gauge, thus supporting the case for a Fed rate cut in September. The VIX, a key volatility gauge, dropped to around 18, reflecting reduced market concerns but also that investors are at the sidelines before the CPI data release.

► Asian stocks were mixed, with gains in Japan and New Zealand balancing losses in China. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose for the fourth consecutive session, buoyed by the expectation that easing U.S. inflation could lead to a reduction in global borrowing costs. In Japan, the Nikkei fluctuated as Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced he wouldn’t seek reelection. Meanwhile, Chinese stocks fell, weighed down by weak lending data, as bank loans to the real economy contracted for the first time in 19 years. Investors are cautious ahead of key earnings from Chinese tech giants like Tencent Holdings.

► Oil prices remain little changed at $77.3/oz (spot price), supported by an industry report suggesting a significant drop in U.S. crude stockpiles and ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Meanwhile, gold prices rose to $2,475/oz, approaching all time highs, as investors focus on upcoming U.S. inflation data and the implications for Federal Reserve policy.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇬🇧 Inflation Rate / CPI - 06:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇬🇧 PPI - 06:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇬🇧 Retail Price Index - 06:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇫🇷 Inflation Rate / CPI - 06:45 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇪🇺 Employment Change - 09:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇺 GDP Growth Rate - 09:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇺 Industrial Production - 09:00 (released: 🟡)
♦️ 🇺🇸 Inflation Rate / CPI - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change - 14:30

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Tencent (TCEHY) 🇨🇳
🌙 Cisco (CSCO) 🇺🇸
☀️ UBS (UBS) 🇨🇭 (released: 🟢 )
☀️ Hon Hai Precision (HNHPF) 🇹🇼
☀️ JD. com (JD) 🇨🇳
☀️ EON (EONGY) 🇩🇪
☀️ RWE (RWEOY) 🇩🇪
☀️ Cardinal Health (CAH) 🇺🇸
☀️ Vestas Wind Systems (VWDRY) 🇩🇰
(...a few more with market cap <$23B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

14 Aug 2024 10:49

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 2477 - 2479.99
OR
TP ✅ @: 2477.97

If you have set the optional TP - then your gold position already closed in overnight trading at 2470.73 - a good TP. If you are still in, you can close higher or set a tight TP now (my position has just reached the TP at 2472.94 - you close even better) 📸.

Gold will move strongly today after the CPI data and possibly reach a new all-time high. Right now we continue to see some selling pressure near/above $2,475. We can find a better re-entry and close with a nice profit here.


———

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Aug 2024 22:41

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 02.07 - 06.08 (26 trading days)

116 / 139 = 83.5% Success Rate 📈

(July 1 - 6/6 = 100% 🏆 SR dropped out)

✅ 7.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18447.40 f. me|or clsd 18440+)
❌(✴️) 7.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 77.112 f. me| open - off-profit)
👉 if still open: SL 🔑 @: 77.612 // TP ✅ @: 76.463 🔄
✅ 7.8 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (clsd - 212.07 | or higher or SL - 210.97)
✅ 7.8 - UBER - LONG ↗️ (SL - 67.57 | or clsd near 68.00)
❌ 7.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 17926.30 | or clsd 17965 - 17995)
✅ 7.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 17974.30 | or clsd 17965 - 17995 | re-entry*)
✅ 7.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 857.30)

5/7 = 71.4% Success Rate

✅ 8.8 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 5294.30)
✅ 8.8 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 102.13 for me | or clsd)
✅ 8.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 866.83)
✴️ 8.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.10106 // TP ✅ @: 1.09316 (off-profit) 🔄

3/4 - (1 open position)

✅ 9.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2429.93)
✅ 9.8 - SHOP - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68.61)
✅ 9.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 897.87 | or clsd @: 912.50+) 🔄
❌ 9.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 18507.80| clsd 18515 or lower)
✅ 9.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 18507.80| clsd 18515 or lower;
re-entry*)
✅ 9.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2430.73 | clsd 2430.50+)

5/6 = 83.3% Success Rate

Sorry I missed the overview post yesterday - I met a former investment colleague from the US who is currently in Frankfurt.

WTI has reversed right in the 78.50 - 79.00 (spot) range (as we expected) - but my position is already closed. If you are still in, please update. The USD fell significantly today after the weak PPI data. The USD is oversold in the short term, but if the pair breaks through the current resistance at 1.09950 - 1.10000, we could see additional gains in the short term. We update SL / TP (off-profit).

We brough another nice Eli Lilly 📸 trade in profit home today (many of you closed even better; we are still LONG in the pharma giant).

We continue to improve our success rate compared to the previous week(s) and are now back at 83.5% in the five-week period from 02.07. - 06.08. - very impressive; congratulations! 🚀

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Aug 2024 20:33

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸

► Most of you have amassed a small fortune in Eli Lilly over the last few trading days (also today again 📸 / possibly even closed at $910 - $913) - congratulations! We remain LONG in the pharma giant and continue to expect investment banks to recommend buying Eli Lilly, raising price targets or even adding it to their top picks.

► Eli Lilly reported an absolutely impressive Q2 2024 earnings with a 36% year-over-year increase in revenue, exceeding already high expectations and also Eli Lilly's own previous guidance. In addition, the forecast for 2024 was raised by approximately $3 billion, with revenue expectations now at $45.4 - $46.6 billion and earnings per share also increased.

► Most of Eli Lilly's massive growth is due to the molecule triazepatide, which is marketed and sold as Mounjaro for diabetes and Zepbound for obesity. In addition, Eli Lilly's Alzheimer's drug donanemab has been approved for commercial use under the brand name Kisunla. Kisunla is expected to generate peak sales of around $5 billion - I see the potential being even greater - more in the range of up to $8-10 billion by 2030 (annually).

► I see huge additional growth potential for Eli Lilly. The market for drugs in the GLP-1 agonist class is potentially absolutely gigantic - and could reach well over $100 billion per year (in the medium term more towards $200 billion). Eli Lilly is slightly behind Novo Nordisk here, but I expect Eli Lilly to win the battle against its Danish competitor (in terms of market share).

► In short: we remain LONG here. Eli Lilly can and will easily reach $1000 per share this year and also has more upside potential in the short term. We find a good entry point ($900 - $904 range).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 50 - 55 (5,000% - 5,500%) trading Eli Lilly (LLY)

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 45+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——

Eli Lilly to the moon 💊
💲9️⃣0️⃣3️⃣🚀🌙

❌ NO MORE MISSING OUT! ❌

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Aug 2024 17:02

⚡️ RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

►Gold fell back to $2,465 as expected after breaking through our SL. If you have re-entered here - you can continue to stay LONG in gold We continue to see fundamental support for gold, with yields continuing to fall after the cooler than expected PPI report.

►We also see a slightly weaker USD (DXY at -0.2%). We want to stay LONG in gold and expect gold to rise again to $2,475+ later today.

► We see Wall Street higher but now facing resistance (with the Nasdaq 100 above 18800 and the S&P 500 at 5400). Some recurring profit taking in equities would also lead to higher money inflows into gold again.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

🥇2️⃣4️⃣6️⃣5️⃣📈2️⃣4️⃣7️⃣5️⃣

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Aug 2024 15:59

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 912.50 - 915
OR
SL 🔑 @: 909.87
TP ✅ @: 913.70

Eli Lilly has reached our tightened TP (if you set it - congratulations!). If you are still LONG - close now or work with a tight TP (or maintain the very well set TP from yesterday). Eli Lilly has now pushed well above $900 (again).

Congratulations - Eli Lilly remains our crazy cash cow 🐮🤑


———

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Aug 2024 15:47

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2469.87
TP ✅ @: 2477.43

We see a volatile gold price. We set an in-profit SL now and get back into gold at a lower price in case our SL is triggered. We put our TP slightly above yesterday's highs and near ATH.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Aug 2024 14:44

⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🔰
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️

► US producer price inflation was significantly cooler than expected.

► The unexpectedly low inflation data should further increase expectations of a rate cut by the Fed. The sharp fall in producer prices also points to some weakness in factory orders/producer demand and could be seen as a sign of a slowdown in the US economy.

► We see that gold has changed relatively little in reaction and we can therefore find an entry like (almost) before the data (range $2,465 - $2,468).

► We also see that yields fell 4 bps (for the US-10-y) in reaction to the PPI data - more tailwinds to gold.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 13+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Aug 2024 12:50

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 17703.60
TP ✅ @: 17567.60

We also secured profits with our DAX SHORT. We expected poor ZEW data on economic sentiment - but the data was an absolute disaster and shows that the economic outlook for Germany is completely collapsing. After an already poor 41.8 in August, we now see 19.2 for September (vs. expected 32).

We still see the DAX relatively stable thanks to earlier gains in Asia and another positive US pre-market session (although this has now also reversed).

We set a tight in-profit SL and a wide TP. I see a lot of scope for the DAX to fall again / further. The DAX performance also shows that the German companies in the DAX are fully focused on making their money globally and not so dependent on the German economy, which continues to show dramatic signs of decline and continues to be led by political leaders who have absolutely no idea how to restore economic growth or even stability - miserable


———

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Aug 2024 11:42

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Tuesday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Tuesday, August 13

❗️ Global equities slightly higher but still looking for direction ahead of key US data

► European equities struggled to gain ground after gains in Asia as investors continue to wait for crucial US data that could guide the Federal Reserve's next policy moves. This was compounded by mixed economic and sentiment data. The Stoxx Europe 600 opened positively but fell back to a flat level. GBP gained after data revealed a surprise fall in the UK unemployment rate to 4.2% in June, raising doubts about the pace of monetary easing by the Bank of England. Meanwhile, Spain reported a fall in inflation to 2.8% in July from 3.4% in June, in line with market expectations. The German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index fell sharply to 19.2 in August, compared to expectations of 38.0, indicating that the economic outlook for Germany continues to deteriorate. The latest survey showed the sharpest fall in economic expectations in the last two years and shows how negative and poor expectations for the German economy and economic outlook are.

► US equity futures point to a positive opening, with the S&P 500 futures up over 0.25% and Nasdaq futures rising by over 0.4%, as investors look ahead to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Wednesday. The CPI data will be crucial in determining the Federal Reserve's next steps, particularly in the context of the recent crude oil price rally and the looming producer-price data expected later today. Monday saw mixed results on Wall Street, with major indices struggling to maintain momentum following last week’s volatile sessions.

► Asian shares were able to close higher, erasing last week’s losses, bolstered by a strong performance in Japan where the Nikkei 225 surged by 3.45%. The JPY continued to weaken, trading at around 147.8/USD, supporting exporter stocks. China’s Shanghai Composite rose only slightly, but concerns about the economy and policy uncertainties kept investor sentiment in check. We also saw Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index posting modest gains.

► WTI Crude oil is little changed near $78.3/barrel but remains supported by rising tensions in the Middle East, with the US warning of a potential Iranian attack against Israel. This geopolitical uncertainty is contributing to a steady crude market despite global economic concerns and the OPEC cutting demand forecasts. Meanwhile, gold prices neared it's all-time high before dipping and currently finding support at $2,460/oz, as we continue to see investors seek safe-haven assets ahead of key US economic data and the Federal Reserve's meeting.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇬🇧 Unemployment Rate - 06:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇸 Inflation Rate / CPI - 07:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇩🇪🇪🇺 ZEW Economic Sentiment - 09:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇺🇸 PPI - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 API Crude Oil Stock Change - 20:30

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Home Depot (HD) 🇺🇸
🌙 Nu Holdings (NU) 🇧🇷
🌙 Sea (SE) 🇸🇬
☀️ Henkel AG & Co (HENKY) 🇩🇪
🌙 Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) 🇬🇧
🌙 Franco-Nevada (FNV) 🇨🇦
☀️ Nidec (NJDCY) 🇯🇵 (released: 🔴)
🌙 Ecopetrol (EC) 🇨🇴
☀️ Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) 🇨🇳
(...a few more with market cap <$15B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

14 Aug 2024 16:25

⚡️ FREE RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸

► We saw the early US trading action that we anticipated. With signs of the rally to exhaust causing investors to become a bit nervous and take profit - in particular in big tech.

► We could buy the dips in Nvidia (now down more than 1% after yet another strong opening) or Alphabet, which is down near 4% (!). Nvidia remains very volatile and may see more profit taking. We go for Alphabet here. Some negative news with Seth Klarman’s hedge fund, Baupost Group sharply cutting it's stake in Alphabet (massive stake of ~$4bn) causes some headwinds / institutional selling.

► We see Alphabet still in a good position and find now a good entry especially with Alphabet even falling now below $158.00 (update) - where would also expect technical support / buying.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 280 - 300 (28.000% - 30.000%) when trading with Alphabet (GOOGL)

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed updates in the VIP Channel


———

🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤
🔽1️⃣5️⃣8️⃣🔼

WRITE US NOW AND BECOME VIP MEMBER 👤➕
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

14 Aug 2024 15:46

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯


🔹 Nasdaq (+ 0,2 %) has not changed much so far after a strong previous session due to cool PPI data. Today's CPI data was mostly in line with expectations and therefore could not extent the positive impact of hopes that the Fed will be very happy with the inflation picture (which the PPI data yesterday created). We don't expect any major moves and set a tight TP ✅ @: 19094.70 (about 100 points in profit) - we can find a better re-entry.

🔹 Eli Lilly (+0.6%) opens higher - outperforming Wall Street. Berenberg is the next investment firm to recommend Eli Lilly as a “BUY”. The investment firm has also raised its price target for the pharma giant to $1,050 (from $1,000). We are working with a tight TP - slightly above yesterday's highs TP ✅ @: 914.97. If Eli Lilly jumps higher quickly (above 915 within the first 3 minutes), we will close near ✅ 920.00. Congratulations again!


► We see a slightly positive opening and then want to see if the profit taking returns. We may be able to find good entry opportunities in Starbucks or Alphabet, for example. It is best to wait and see how the markets react to the CPI data first, which did not prolong the inflation optimism that the PPI triggered yesterday. We are seeing a lower gold price (triggering our tight SL) which shows that investors are not fleeing to safe havens - a positive sign for equities/Wall Street


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14 Aug 2024 14:58

US July Consumer Prices Rise 2.9% Y/Y; Expected. +3.0% 🟢
US July Consumer Prices Rise 0.2% M/M; Expected. +0.2% 🟡
US July Core CPI Rises 3.2% Y/Y; Expected. +3.2% 🟡
US July Core CPI Rises 0.2% M/M; Expected. +0.2% 🟡

CPI data was very close to expectations with only the headline YoY gain a nudge below forecasts. Supercore inflation which strips out food, energy, goods and shelter costs - rose 0.21% in July from the previous month (in particular due to shelter costs), after two months of declines. So we can't say that this is a "cool" CPI report. The impact is very low considering the importance of the CPI data - but data is just very, very close to expectations. Three-month annualized core CPI has fallen to 1.6%, the lowest since 2021 and already below the Fed's 2% target. There will be one more CPI report before the Fed's interest rate decision in September.

Focus now turns to tomorrow's US retail sales data. The overall slightly positive risk sentiment will remain but we will likely see muted trading now with investors not smarter than before after this CPI report.

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14 Aug 2024 14:36

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🔰
STAY LONG / BUY NOW 🔼Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

Gold initially rose and has now fallen slightly. Inflation is slightly cooler (almost in line) than analysts expected. This should help gold to rise above 2475. You can also get back in here (or for the first time) - 2460-2464 area. We want to stay LONG (or go LONG)

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14 Aug 2024 12:22

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 18997.70
TP ✅ @: 19162.90

Wall Street is waiting for the US CPI report (to be released in a bit more than two hours - 12:30 UTC+0).

I expect another major swing for US stocks today, with likely around 1.1% - 1.4% movement in the S&P 500 in either direction - likely higher. The overall impact is a bit reduced due to yesterday's PPI report already coming in cool.

We set a tight in-profit SL for our Nasdaq 100 position here - if triggered, we can find a better re-entry. We can work with a wide TP. If the CPI report is cool the Nasdaq 100 will jump more than 100 points higher immediately.


———

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14 Aug 2024 11:13

✅ 29.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 01.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (Re-Entry)
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️

14/14 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

Congratulations to the community. We continue to buy dips in gold with near perfection.

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13 Aug 2024 23:03

✅ 12.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18641.30 | or clsd @: 18660 - 18675)
✅ 12.8 - AUD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 97.513) 🔄
✅ 12.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 39488.70)
✅ 12.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18553.10)
✅ 12.8 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 17703.60) 🔄

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

TODAY :

✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2470.39 f. me|or SL - 2470.49)📸
✴️ 13.8 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 17887.60 | TP ✅ @: 17671.60
✴️ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2,470.73 (optional) 🔄
✴️ 13.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
✴️ 13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)

1/5 - (4 open positions)

Yesterday was another 100% day 🏆 - congratulations! Today was a bit trickier - I think we (or I) should have better understood that the cool PPI data would also lead to expectations for a rather cool CPI report tomorrow. Concerns about falling demand from producers, or potentially consumers, took a back seat. The Nasdaq 100 has already broken through 19000 - indicating more sentiment/momentum buying. We can set a tight TP for our gold position. Gold continues to struggle to rise above $2,470 and reach new all-time highs - fundamentally gold has received a lot of support today.

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13 Aug 2024 21:45

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BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

► The market clearly didn't care much today about the potential signs that rapidly falling producer prices are also signs of weakening producer demand and instead took it as a positive sign that the more important CPI data tomorrow will continue to show moderating inflation. I expect a positive CPI report tomorrow and also see a good chance that analysts' expectations of 0.2% for CPI m/m are too high and believe that we will instead see a 0.0% or 0.1% rise in m/m inflation (0.1% for core inflation m/m).

► We also clearly see that the positive momentum remains fully intact with all three major indices in New York near session highs an hour before the close in New York.

► Today's cooler than expected PPI has further increased expectations of a Fed rate cut of 50 basis points in September. For me, inflation in the US is no longer a major issue. The Fed is therefore more likely to focus on labor market data.

► We are entering the Nasdaq 100 here and expect the tech index to break through resistance at 19000 soon, which will lead to further (also technical) buying. We are setting a tight SL for our DAX position - although I still see a lot of headwind for the DAX. But today's significant gains in New York could lead to a strong opening for the DAX tomorrow: SL 🔑 @: 17887.60

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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13 Aug 2024 18:56

📊 SmartTrader Premium Insights: Analyst Rating Updates

📆 Tuesday, August 13

Stocks performed well post PPI data with in particular tech stocks - and again Nvidia and other chips stocks leading Wall Street higher. We see the Nasdaq more than 2% up for the day (with in particular Nvidia, Meta, Broadcom and Tesla pushing the Nasdaq up). The cool PPI data results in markets also hoping for tomorrow's more important CPI data to continue showing moderating consumer prices. For the S&P 500, again Eli Lilly was the biggest non-tech stocks to push the 500 stock index higher.

🟢 Positive Ratings:

Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Barclays reiterates as "OVERWEIGHT"

CrowdStrike (CRWD) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Mizuho names as ”TOP IDEA”

Disney (DIS) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Goldman Sachs reiterates as "BUY"

Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Bank of America adds to ”US 1 LIST”

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) names as TOP PICK

Home Depot (HD) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Wells Fargo reiterates as "OVERWEIGHT"

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) upgrades to "BUY"
Previously: "NEUTRAL"
Price Target: $33 ⤴️ $37

Netflix (NFLX) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: JPMorgan reiterates as "OVERWEIGHT"

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Mizuho names as TOP IDEA
Price Target: $350 ⤴️ $380

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) initiates as "OVERWEIGHT"

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) initiates as "BUY"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)

🟡 Neutral Ratings:

Dell (DELL) 🇺🇸🔴⤴️🟡
Analyst: Barclays upgrades to "EQUAL WEIGHT"
Previously: "UNDERWEIGHT"
Price Target: $97

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) downgrades to "MARKET PERFORM"
Previously: "OUTPERFORM"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) ⤵️ $(VIP ONLY)

🔴 Negative Ratings:

N/A

Price Target (or target price): When an analyst sets a price target for a stock, he or she is trying to determine what the stock is worth and where the price will be in ~12 months. Ultimately, price targets depend on the valuation of the company issuing the stock. Analysts base their price targets usually on earnings forecasts and assumed valuation multiples. Price targets (especially average price targets) can be used to value stocks and may even be more useful than a stock analyst's rating.

🟢 = positive rating
🟡 = neutral rating
🔴 = negative rating

⤴️ = upgrade
⤵️ = downgrade

You can find the Analyst Rating Updates also on the Website:
Click HERE 🔗

💬 As a subscriber / member - you can also comment there and exchange information with other community members!

SmartTrader™ Analyst team

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13 Aug 2024 16:17

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🔰
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2470.49
TP ✅ @: 2473.47

We see some resistance above $2,470 and thus further tighten our SL here. We can find a re-entry near $2,465 or lower if our SL is triggered.

My positions already hit SL at 2470.39

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13 Aug 2024 15:51

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

🔹 Eli Lilly (+ 1.3 %) opens well again at almost $896. Yesterday Eli Lilly could not hold the initial gains and closed the day slightly lower. We tighten our TP ✅ @: 897.87. Eli Lilly is again our only open stock position as our Shopify position triggered our TP yesterday with for a small gain (at 68.61). Bank of America is the latest investment bank to follow our advice and even calls Eli Lilly a "top idea" and puts the pharma giant on the bank's "US 1" list.


► We sell now / shortly AFTER NYSE opening (VIP ONLY), which is back near session highs (range (VIP ONLY)), supported by gains in New York - especially in the technology sector after the cooler than expected PPI report. The tech sector is again boosted by strong pre-market gains from Nvidia (now up more than 3.6%).

► The market is taking the softer-than-expected producer price index positively - while it is difficult to be very negative about further signs that inflation is cooling back to the Fed's target range, the fairly rapid decline in producer prices also shows a fairly rapid decline in producer demand in my opinion - more a sign of a cooling US economy that is very reliant on consumer demand.

► We could see some additional buying in New York before selling returns. We are therefore trading (VIP ONLY) here instead of (VIP ONLY) ...

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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13 Aug 2024 14:56

❗️ The first of this week's two major inflation reports (PPI) is cooler than expected

The Producer Price Index - a measure of wholesale prices - rose 0.1% last month (m/m). Economists were expecting a monthly increase of 0.2% for July, in line with the previous month's reading. In a y-o-y comparison, the producer price index (core prices) was 2.4%, well below the 3% in June and also well below expectations.

We are currently seeing a slightly positive reaction on the markets, with rising share prices. I am not so positive about the significantly cooler PPI figure here. It does raise expectations that the Fed will see conditions that will allow for rate cuts, but to me it shows that wholesale demand seems to be falling - a sign of weakness in the US economy and a sign of a slowdown.

An unexpectedly sharp rise would certainly have been very bad as it would have increased concerns of stubborn inflation and a slight cooling of inflation would be ideal. However, the fairly rapid fall in producer inflation indicates falling producer demand, which could also point to falling consumer demand.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Aug 2024 13:08

Our DAX just hit our tight (in-profit) SL at 17703.60.

✅ 26.7 - US30 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 29.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.7 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 30.7 - US30 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 30.7 - US30 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 31.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️
❌ 31.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 1.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
❌ 1.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 1.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (Re-Entry)
✅ 2.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 2.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 5.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 5.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 5.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 5.8 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 6.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 6.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 7.8 - NAS100 -LONG ↗️
❌ 7.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 7.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (Re-Entry)
✅ 8.8 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️
❌ 9.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 9.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 12.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 12.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.8 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ 🔄

We have won 27 of our last 31 index trades
= 87.1% success rate


——

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13 Aug 2024 12:14

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🔰
AUD/JPY
SL 🔑 @: 97.513
TP ✅ @: 97.789

Most of you already closed the AUD/JPY yesterday deep (~50 pips) in profit shortly after we went in. We saw the sentiment declining after NYSE opening causing also the AUD losing ground and the JPY to recover from some of it's sharp losses yesterday. However, the JPY weakening continued today and pushed the AUD/JPY back near two-weeks high where we put our TP. We set a tight in-profit SL.

Also our EUR/USD almost hit our TP. We overall see little movement in the pair. We keep our TP.


———

✅ 11.7 - EUR/JPY - LONG ↗️
✅ 17.7 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.7 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 22.7 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 22.7 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 23.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️
✅ 23.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️
✅ 24.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️
✅ 24.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️
✅ 25.7 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️
✅ 26.7 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 01.8 - GBP/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✴️✅ 12.8 - AUD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL in profit)

15/15 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

✴️ 08.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.09008 🔄

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12 Aug 2024 21:55

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪

► We are increasing our SHORT position.

► Investors are increasingly playing it safe, which rather points to further selling ahead of the important new US inflation data. The DAX saw initial gains in early European trading, but overall it was bumpy with very little news, data or anything to provide guidance.

► In the previous week, the German benchmark index had gained around half a percent after falling almost to a six-month low at times due to renewed fears of a US recession.

► Today we saw a flat close with slight gains after the close on the DAX. We are positioning SHORT here at 17725 -17730 and see more headwinds tomorrow as the tailwind from New York also fades. Tomorrow's important German sentiment data (ZEW economic climate index and ZEW situation assessment) will remain gloomy.

► We also see that higher oil prices are weighing on the DAX. My SL for the WTI position has already been triggered at 77.11 - we now expect resistance in oil prices after another strong session. If you are SHORT in WTI - I expect resistance in the range (78.50 - 79.00; spot price) soon, but it could take a while for oil to fall significantly again as the market seems to be expecting an imminent attack on Israel by Iran.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the DAX (GER_40)

⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 90+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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