⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ Increased volatility
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️
► The significantly weaker-than-expected hiring in the US points to a less robust US labor market overall. We are going LONG into gold here. While the USD has little scope for further (significant) depreciation, the report will help keep hopes alive for rapid rate cuts. We can find an entry here at / slightly below $2,500 and expect a rebound from here.
► The US economy created 818,000 fewer jobs in the twelve-month period ending March 2024 than originally reported. This means that actual job growth was almost 30% lower than the 2.9 million originally reported from April 2023 to March 2024.
► Investors had been watching the numbers closely, with many economists expecting (and being proved right) a significant reduction in the originally reported figures. Although job creation was not bad, the report could be seen as an indication that the labor market is not as strong as previous BLS reports suggested.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️
⏱ Signal / Update DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——
🥇2️⃣4️⃣9️⃣8️⃣📈
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Admiral Markets (🇬🇧🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
...still not published. Absurd, actually.
The markets have already started to price in this revision (much more than usual) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics is (for whatever reason) unable to publish its own report on time.
Of course, this always has a bitter aftertaste - as if it were politically motivated - which is another reason why this should not happen.
You can find the report here (or not 😅): https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm#latest-releases
The preliminary BLS employment revision report is delayed ... should be released any minute.
Should have been released 14:00 (UTC+0)
Btw. - yes this is weird ... and chaotic 🤡
I no longer have the Pending Order for Gold (XAU/USD)🥇 at $2,501.26
We will see how the USD will develop after the preliminary BLS employment revision. A partially strengthening USD would put pressure on gold in the short term (and also push gold below $2.500).
📊 SmartTrader Insights: Wednesday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Wednesday, August 21
❗️ Global equity markets continue to move sideways ahead of BLS employment revision. Investors await Fed rate outlook
► The Stoxx 600 edged higher today (+0.2%) as European markets took a cautious tone ahead of the Fed meeting minutes and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's expected speech at the Jackson Hole symposium. Yesterday we saw a slightly negative session and a weaker USD due to concerns over the timing of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, especially as concerns grew that today's preliminary BLS employment revision (expected at 14:00 UTC+0) could show that up to one million fewer jobs (according to Goldman Sachs) were created than expected, raising fears that the Fed was too slow in easing monetary policy after all. Investors await the release of HCOB PMI data tomorrow to gauge the economic health of the region.
► There was little movement in the US markets after yesterday's slightly negative sessions, which ended Wall Street's longest winning streak this year, as investors act cautiously. Traders are awaiting revised employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and further clues on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. US trading on Tuesday closed lower across the major indices, reflecting uncertainty in the market, especially after US investment banks warned that hiring may have been much slower than the data suggests (=possibly historically high downward revision to US employment data). Investors are focusing on the minutes of the upcoming Fed meeting and Powell's speech on Friday for clues on future rate cuts. Bond traders are increasingly betting on a recovery in the Treasury market, driven by expectations of an upcoming cycle of rate cuts by the Fed.
► Asian markets experienced a downturn as share prices fell in Hong Kong, Tokyo and mainland China. The Nikkei 225 Index fell by 0.35% due to a stronger JPY and a disappointing trade deficit report from Japan. Chinese equities struggled due to a lack of new stimulus measures with the Shanghai Composite falling 0.29%. The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong fell 0.69%, with technology stocks particularly affected by concerns over the consumer outlook and the planned sale of Walmart's stake in JD com.
► WTI crude oil continued its decline for the third consecutive day, influenced by the prospect of a ceasefire in Gaza, which mitigated some of the geopolitical risks that had supported oil prices. Oil prices (WTI) stabilized at around $73/barrel (spot price; $73.1 Oct'24). Gold remained steady near record highs, making some gains during Asian trade, but has now fallen back into the $2,505 -$2,510/oz range. Gold was supported by a weaker USD and lower yields on expectations of a sharp downward revision in employment data and expectations of imminent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇨🇦 PPI - 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 BLS Preliminary Benchmark Revision - 14:00*
🔸 🇺🇸 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change - 14:30
🔸 🇺🇸 FOMC Minutes - 18:00
*not listed in most economic calendars
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ TJX (TJX) 🇺🇸
☀️ Analog Devices (ADI) 🇺🇸
🌙 Synopsys (SNPS) 🇺🇸
☀️ Target (TGT) 🇺🇸
☀️ Xiaomi (XIACY) 🇨🇳
🌙 Snowflake (SNOW) 🇺🇸
🌙 Agilent Technologies (A) 🇺🇸
🌙 Hong Kong Exchange (HKXCY) 🇭🇰 (released: 🔴)
🌙 Zoom Video (ZM) 🇺🇸
(...a few more with market cap <$10B)
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
✴️ 19.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.11516 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 1.10286 🔄
✅ 19.8 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 126.79 | or clsd @ 127.50+)
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19553.70)
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19648.70)
✅ 19.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7512.90) 🔄
4/5 - (1 open position)
TODAY :
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19824.30 or clsd 19825+) 📸
✴️(✅) 20.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 73.267 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 72.616
✅ 20.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 957.69)
✴️ 20.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (open - slightly off-profit)
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19727.30) 📸
✴️(✅) 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - SL (opt.) in profit)
5/6 - (3 open positions)
Very, very good trading performance today (again) - especially our timing with indices / stocks (Eli Lilly today again) remains astonishing. It's hard to find the right words to describe our performance - it's exceptional, yet we remain 1000% focused and never take anything for granted!
We hit our trades like Steph Curry hits his shots - nobody does it better than us in the moment (probably a good way to describe what WE are doing here) - congratulations! 🤝🎯
Our re-entry in Eli Lilly is slightly out of the money - after the pharma giant saw a bit more profit taking than we expected after reaching a new all-time high. Eli Lilly remains bullish and is likely to receive further strong analyst ratings/updates this week.
You can update the SL of your oil position, with WTI below $73.00 (spot price).
⚡️ RAPID (OPTIONAL) UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2510.67 (optional / or wider)
TP ✅ @: 2523.69 (or wider)
Our gold position is well in profit - most of you have even a better entry price 👍. We saw the increased support and buying below $2,510 as expected with the USD not testing key-level $2,500.
Gold has been heavily influenced by the weak USD and expectations that the Fed may be again under pressure to cut rapidly when tomorrow's BLS preliminary employment revision shows much slower hiring than current number would suggest.
The weak USD / yields and ongoing expectations of a Fed pivot in September has pushed gold to new ATHs.
I set an in-profit SL here and a not too wide TP. You can alternatively work with a wider SL and a wider TP. It's likely (!) that gold rises further tomorrow before the BLS preliminary employment revision release (12:00 UTC+0).
I secure profits here but open a ...
🔰 POTENTIAL TRADE 🕯
Pending Order 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇 at $2,501.26
(only open pending order if you work with tight SL)
——
🥇2️⃣5️⃣0️⃣1️⃣📈2️⃣5️⃣2️⃣0️⃣➕
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Admiral Markets (🇬🇧🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🔰 UPDATE SIGNAL 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 73.361
TP ✅ @: 72.616
We saw WTI (spot price) testing several times the 73.00 - we expect this level to not hold for much longer and WTI to push lower again. We are tightening our SL a bit to secure higher profits.
We see more downside potential and the general bearish momentum to remain - especially considering the current weakness in the USD which makes oil cheaper for non-USD buyers.
——-
Very important: Non-Delayed Signals.
You can get them in the VIP Channel and much more:
WRITE US AND BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤➕
🔰 LIGHTNING-RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 73.562
TP ✅ @: 72.616
Our WTI trade is well in profit. Oil continues to disappoint - especially considering a positive risk sentiment, lower yields, ongoing rate cut optimism and a weaker USD today.
We set an in-profit SL as oil sees some support in the range 73.00 - 73.50 (spot price) now and keep our TP.
———
Unlock Your Trading Potential with SmartTrader
🔗 Book Your FREE Intro Meeting Now!
Are you interested in learning how to trade with SmartTrader and become consistently profitable? Here's your chance to become part of the most successful trading community. Book a free exclusive one-on-one meeting.
🔗👉 https://smarttrader.community/book-a-call
Other SmartTrader contact possibilities 🔗
⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ (VIP ONLY)
► We see the Nasdaq fluctuating around the range we expected and now near the bottom of that range. There could be some more correction potential in the short term - towards 19600 - 19650, but we expect rising support/buying below 19700.
► We are re-entering the Nasdaq 100 (after closing very well). We may find an entry here at 19660 - 19690. Overall, we see a solid performance from the big tech companies - only Nvidia and Broadcom are actually extending their losses by taking profits (Nvidia is now down almost 3%; AMD, on the other hand, is up almost 2%). Tesla also initially lost significant profits, which led to the current slump in the Nasdaq.
► We can already set a TP - a little more than 100 point above entry price.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——-
⚠️ Please ensure that you receive all signals without delay ⏰
You receive all market analysis, trading signals and updates without delay in our SmartTrader VIP Channel.
WRITE US NOW & BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤➕
OR: Other contact possibilities 🔗
SmartTrader is the world's ONLY 💯% transparent and 💯% proven successful trading channel / signal provider.
Costco Wholesale (COST) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ triggered @: 873.79
Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ triggered @: 957.69
Costco also hit our TP shortly after NYSE open - albeit with only a small profit - we wanted out and got a good closing price here.
Again - congratulations on another mega, mega Eli Lilly trade. Whenever the stock goes up, we're in. The biggest investment banks/companies in the world - are belatedly following our recommendation (Wells Fargo today).
Many of you make profits in minutes that other people work weeks/months for - please understand that we trade stocks/indices better than any other trader in the short term - this is not normal what we do here every day. However, we always stay HUMBLE and focused at the highest level and we realize that with big profits we can also take on more responsibility ❤️
Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ triggered @: 957.69
If you set your TP at 957.69 it triggered now.
CONGRATULATIONS! 🎆🎆🎆
If you are still in - we can set the TP near ATH - at 964.97. We can likely find a good re-entry - in the next slight profit taking wave (near 955 - 956).
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
► We are selling the rise in oil prices today (the current spike) into now positive territory again after another deadly Israeli airstrike on a school in Gaza apparently left at least 10 Palestinians dead. The Israeli military claimed to have hit a Hamas militant base at the school. The bomb dropped hit the second floor of the building (Mustafa Hafiz School), which houses thousands of displaced people, according to Gaza Civil Defense spokesman Mahmud Bassal.
► The price of oil had previously hit a two-and-a-half-week low following hopes of a ceasefire between Hamas and Israel.
► We find an entry point in the 73.70 - 73.95 range (spot price) and expect oil prices to remain in the current downtrend as the risk premium has fallen and concerns remain over weakening Chinese oil demand and also lower US demand as the US summer vacation driving season comes to an end.
► Oil remains weak, especially given a weak USD and continued hopes for rate cuts by the Fed, which has also led to a decline in yields from previous sessions.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader⚠️ The September-Futures Contract is currently $0.80 above spot price.
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——-
Very important: Non-Delayed Signals.
You can get them in the VIP Channel and much more:
WRITE US AND BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤➕
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
📊 SmartTrader Insights: Tuesday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Tuesday, August 20
❗️ Global stocks extend rally to longest winning streak in 2024 as Fed expected to show willingness to cut rates
► European stocks edged higher as the Stoxx 600 followed Monday's gains on Wall Street. Governing Council member Olli Rehn suggested that growing risks to the economic outlook may prompt the ECB to adjust its policy at the next meeting. German producer price inflation as well as Eurozone inflation rate (final) came in-line with expectations having little impact on risk sentiment. However, both headline and core inflation in the Eurozone remain sticky with July headline inflation at 2.6% in July (YoY) vs. 2.5% in June and core inflation at 2.9% - still above the ECB 2% target.
► US futures also extend gains, continuing the positive momentum from an eight-day winning streak in the S&P 500. Traders are holding back major moves as they await Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday for clues on future interest rate cuts. Yesterday, Palo Alto Networks reported stronger-than-expected earnings, with shares climbing 2.7% after the cybersecurity company beat both earnings and revenue estimates, driven by robust subscription and support revenue growth. On the corporate front, a significant potential acquisition can be highlighted as Canadian multinational operator of convenience stores Alimentation Couche-Tard made a preliminary proposal to acquire 7-Eleven owner Seven & i Holdings, potentially worth over ¥5.63 trillion (~$38.4 billion).
► Asian stocks rallied, with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index nearing its ninth day of increases, the longest since December. Gains were led by Japan, South Korea, and Australia, while China saw a slight decline. Asian currencies touched their highest levels since January, supported by expectations of US rate cuts. In other developments, Australia’s central bank signaled that interest rates would likely remain at their current highs for an extended period, while the People’s Bank of China kept its loan prime rates unchanged after a surprise cut in July.
► Oil prices extended their recent drop, the largest in two weeks, as news of a cease-fire proposal in Gaza reduced the geopolitical risk premium. WTI Crude oil prices dropped to $73/barrel (spot price; $73.4 Sep'24). Meanwhile, gold surged to a new all-time high to above $2,520/oz, continuing its rise on expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon begin cutting interest rates.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇨🇳 Loan Prime Rate - 01:15 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇦🇺 RBA Meeting Minutes - 01:30 (released)
🔸 🇩🇪 PPI - 06:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇺 Inflation Rate / CPI - 09:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇲🇽 Retail Sales - 12:00
🔸 🇨🇦 Inflation Rate / CPI - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 API Crude Oil Stock Change - 20:30
🔸 🇯🇵 Balance of Trade - 23:50
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ Lowe’s (LOW) 🇺🇸
☀️ Medtronic (MDT) 🇮🇪
🌙 Alcon (ALC) 🇨🇭
☀️ Coloplast (CLPBY) 🇩🇰
🌙 Keysight Technologies (KEYS) 🇺🇸
(...a few more with market cap <$15B)
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19498.90|+Re-Entry)
✴️(❌) 16.8 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (open - TP off profit / near break-even)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 146.183 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 147.797 🔄
✅ 16.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2483.67 |2485.57 or lower)
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19519.90) 🔄
3/4 - (1 open position)
TODAY :
✴️ 19.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.10286 🔄
✅ 19.8 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 126.79 | or clsd @ 127.50+)
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19553.70)
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19648.70)
✴️ 19.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (open - just entered)
3/5 - (2 open positions)
We continue to trade the equity markets (indices) with extreme accuracy and also remain LONG positioned with our CAC_40 position. We have predicted and traded both the outperformance of the Nasdaq (Big Tech) versus the broader market as well as the overall outperformance of Nvidia versus Big Tech (with Nvidia even rising further to $130.00 as we expected - thanks to Nvidia's extreme outperformance today).
The USD weakness is somewhat surprising given the further decline in Fed rate cut expectations - but it again shows that the market still believes the Fed is on the path to rate cuts. The USD/JPY has recovered - but remains out of the money - we tighten our SL & TP. We are tightening the TP for our EUR/USD position. I see only limited upside potential for the EUR in the short term.
Congratulations again 👏 on another strong performance.
The Bloomberg Terminal already shows that the US economy created 818,000 fewer jobs in the twelve-month period to March 2024 than originally reported. The report is still not available on the official website.
The correction is therefore larger than expected. We are still seeing a relatively mild reaction at the moment, which shows that this was largely already priced in - or at the same time, the report has not yet had its full impact as it still cannot be downloaded from the BLS website.
Wall Street reacted positively hoping that it increases the chance for more rapid rate cuts.
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 221.51
TP ✅ @: 218.56
We can set an in-profit SL for our Tesla position - we found a very good entry.
🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL WHEN* NYSE OPENED 🔽 Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Increased Volatility
We have reduced our (LONG) positioning as Wall Street continued the recent rally on already positive momentum (alone) and a weaker USD as well as possibly overly optimistic rate cut optimism. We see Wall Street opening slightly higher.
🔹 Eli Lilly ( +0.8%) clearly outperforms Wall Street again in a quiet pre-market session, opening in the 956 - 960 range (so back in profit). Eli Lilly rose to a record high yesterday and was the best performing stock (in terms of increased market capitalization). Eli Lilly continues to benefit from strong sales growth, positive clinical trials for its super drug Tirzepatide, which prevents diabetes, and strong analyst calls. We can set our TP ✅ @: 964.39 near the record high as we can probably return to the $955 - $960 range even if a new ATH is reached. Eli Lilly's gains will continue and the pharma giant remains one of the most attractive LONG positions in all time frames.
► Tesla could not benefit yesterday from the news that the EU will reduce the planned tariffs on Tesla's Chinese-made cars to 9% instead of the previously stated 20.8% in July. The reduced tariffs will help Tesla to be (more) competitive in the European market, as other Chinese electric cars will be subject to much higher tariffs, allowing Tesla to price its Chinese-made vehicles more aggressively. Although Tesla opened well yesterday, briefly gaining as much as 2.5%, the EV pioneer was unable to sustain its gains and closed the day in the red.
► We see Tesla opening higher today and trading 0.8 - 0.9% higher in pre-market trading. It is possible that Tesla will rise above $223* (even into the 224 - 225 range) before profit taking resumes. Tesla is also under slight pressure because the company has to recall almost 10,000 Model X SUVs because a roof panel can come off, increasing the risk of an accident. In addition, Bernstein again rates Tesla as “underperform” for fundamental reasons that are hard to disagree with.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 170 -190 (17,000% - 19,000%) trading Tesla (TSLA) - 2/3 trading size
⏱ Signal / Update DELAYED by: 35+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——
🔤🔤🔤🔤📈📉
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Admiral Markets (🇬🇧🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
► Our WTI position triggered our tight in-profit SL (73.267) and rose a little further to now 73.40 - 73.50 (spot price), where we want to position ourselves SHORT again.
► Yesterday's API crude oil report showed a slight build in inventories in the US by 347K barrels - although fuel inventories fell by 1.043 million barrels. This shows a possible trend towards the end of declining inventories. It's no surprise that fuel inventories continued to fall with the summer driving season in the US still ongoing (but coming to an end soon). Further data - from the EIA - will be released later today and could show that demand for oil/fuel is no longer outstripping supply.
► Oil prices were supported by a weaker USD yesterday (but still fell) - I see limited room for the USD to fall further in the short term - even if the BLS reports a sharp downward revision to employment (I think something in the 300K - 550K range is realistic).
► Oil prices are also under pressure due to the ongoing economic problems of China, the main importer of crude oil - Chinese markets fell again today. Hopes for progress in the ceasefire talks between Hamas and Israel are also reducing the risk premium for oil.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader⚠️ The October-Futures Contract is currently $0.10 above spot price
⏱ Signal / Update DELAYED by: 75+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
This signal is heavily delayed ⚠️
Receive non-delayed signals in SmartTrader VIP 👑
Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑
✔️ 6+ non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 82+ % in the last 48+ months
✔️ Account manager by your side every step of the way
✔️ Access to our community - connect with other members
✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge
I just felt like connecting a bit more with you guys, and I plan to do this more often (at least as much as my time allows). Thank you for listening, and as I mentioned in the video - you'll probably have to put up with hearing from me more often from now on - sorry 😉
I look forward to sharing more insights and being closer to you all as we continue our journey together. Thank you again for your continued support!
Your Robert
Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 11.07 - 13.08 (26 trading days)
122 / 146 = 83.6% ❗️ Success Rate
(July 10 - 2/2 = 100% 🏆 SR dropped out)
❌ 14.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2457.78| or SL - 2466.23)
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19026.30)
✅ 14.8 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 159.87 f. me | or clsd @: 160.00+)
✅ 14.8 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 59147.90)
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19112.70)
4/5 = 80% Success Rate
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (most of you TP - 19198.70| f. me SL - 19064.30)
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19289.90)
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40572.40)
✅ 15.8 - COST - LONG ↗️ (TP - 873.79| or TP - 875.47) 🔄
✅ 15.8 - BAC - LONG ↗️ (TP - 39.37)
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19388.90)
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40623.40 f. me| SL - 40544.40)
✅ 15.8 - GS - LONG ↗️ (TP - 499.97)
8/8 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19498.90|+Re-Entry)
❌ 16.8 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 146.183) 🔄
✅ 16.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2483.67 |2485.57 or lower)
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19519.90)
3/4 = 75% Success Rate
We closed our two open positions from these three trading days today. Costco reached our TP (either the one we tightened today or even the previous TP). Our USD/JPY triggered our tight SL - somewhat unfortunate in my opinion given the oversold condition in the USD - however the pair remains very volatile with the JPY also making jumps during Japanese trading - caution is advised here. I see more weakness in the JPY in the medium term before it strengthens again (especially after the Fed pivot in late September)
Congratulations on another 100% 🏆 day (Thursday, August 15). Our trading performance remains exceptional 👏
🔰 UPDATE SIGNAL 🕯
STAY SHORT / SELL (OPTIONAL) 🔽 EUR/USD
⚠️ Hohe Volatilität
SL 🔑 @: 1.11516
TP ✅ @: 1.10286
► We have seen a very significant plunge in the US dollar, which even accelerated somewhat today after major US investment banks expect a very sharp downward revision to tomorrow's preliminary benchmark employment revision to be released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) tomorrow at 12:00 UTC+0.
► Economists at Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo expect the government's preliminary benchmark revisions on Wednesday to show that job growth in the year through March was at least 600,000 weaker than currently estimated, or about 50,000 fewer per month. Analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. see a decline of about 360,000, while Goldman Sachs says it could be as much as a million (!).
► A downward revision in employment of more than 501,000 would be the largest in 15 years and indicates that the labor market has cooled longer and more than expected. This would put pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates faster in the coming months. The final figures are expected early next year.
► I'm surprised how much weakness in the labor market is being priced in here - and especially that the Fed would react so strongly to it. I don't see that happening. I also don't expect the Fed to indicate in its upcoming statement in Jackson Hole that a 50 basis point scenario is a likely scenario.
► We saw a similar reaction last year. If you are still SHORT in EUR/USD, it is best to work with a tight SL here. If the labor market data is really revised down that much, then we could see a short rise to 1.12000, but the massive USD weakness has gone a long way and will give us a good entry into SHORT.
► You can open a small SHORT position here at sessions high and work with a not too wide SL 🔑 @: 1.11656 area. If your position is already in the SL, you can stay away from the USD for now. Although I see that the USD selloff here went way too far and way too fast. Our position here is ~80 pips out of profit, which is not small.
.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.5 (50%) when going SHORT here into the EUR/USD - as tomorrow's BLS preliminary employment revision will cause sharp volatility
⏱ Signal / Update DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
✔️ 6+ non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 82+ % in the last 48+ months
✔️ Account manager by your side every step of the way
✔️ Access to our community - connect with other members
✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge
WRITE US AND BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤➕
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ Increased volatility; trading near all-time high
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
► Gold finds support at last week's resistance after first delayed typical profit taking after once reaching a new all-time high. We see that gold is still well supported - we see buying in Asia - thanks to stronger Asian currencies (especially against the USD).
► We see yields falling, with US 10Y yields down near 5 bps - as well as continued weakness in the USD (DXY down more than 0.3%), with investors still hoping for more signs of Fed dovishness later this week.
► Gold is also benefiting from reduced expectations that Hamas will agree to the US-led ceasefire deal after Israel bombed a school in Gaza, killing at least 10 Palestinians.
► We see rising support and continued buying (now also increased buying from Western buyers - including US buyers seeing the weakening USD) below $2,510 with stronger support at key-level $2,500.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 60+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——
🥇📉2️⃣5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣📈
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍) <- NEW
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Admiral Markets (🇬🇧🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
🔰 UPDATE SIGNAL 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19727.30
TP ✅ @: 19802.70
We hit the perfect entry timing with our Nasdaq (on the minute) with the Nasdaq rebounding exactly in our expected range. We now secure with an in-profit SL. We expect the Nasdaq to push a bit above 19800 before facing more technical selling (again).
Congratulations - what a beauty 👏
——
We now won 15 (!) index trades in a row
✅ 13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅✴️ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL in Profit)
15/15 = 100% Success Rate
❌❌❌ STOP MISSING OUT ❌❌❌
❌❌❌ STOP MISSING OUT ❌❌❌
❌❌❌ STOP MISSING OUT ❌❌❌
WRITE US AND BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤➕
⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Increased Volatility
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
► Eli Lilly has now fallen below our TP (below 955; update: even below 950) - we are getting back into the pharma giant (as already mentioned). LLY hit expected technical (stupid!) resistance at ATH. We are seeing exactly the moves we expected.
► Now that Eli Lilly hit a new ATH, it will be even more in focus. Investment banks/firms - coming late to the show after the pharma giant saw heavy institutional selling in July and ahead of Eli Lilly's earnings report.
► We bought at the low just before the earnings report - the rest is history.
► We are getting back in.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 50 - 55 (5,000% - 5,500%) trading Eli Lilly (LLY)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——
🔤🔤🔤 💉9️⃣5️⃣0️⃣📈
You can trade Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸 HERE:
🖥 VT Markets (🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
💻 Admiral Markets (🇬🇧🇦🇺🇳🇿🌍)
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ triggered @: 19824.30
Sorry I am a bit delayed - our Nasdaq 100 potentially already hit your TP ✅ @: 19824.30 - which is a good exit price given initial profit taking just before NYSE opening.
If you are still in - you can close slightly better TP ✅ @: 19842.80 or close now / soon (range 19825 - 19850) - we can get a better re-entry near / below 19800.
Also Costco hit our TP ✅ @: 873.79.
This means that we have now won 14 (!) index trades in a row - congratulations² 🎆
🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY WHEN* NYSE OPENED 🔼 Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Increased Volatility
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
🔹 Nasdaq (- 0.15%) opens little changed after 8 consecutive days of (recovery) gains. We see slight pre-market gains in the chip giants Nvidia & Broadcom, gains for Tesla after the EU slashed planned tariffs on China-made Tesla EVs (but not on other China-made EVs). We will see mostly sideways movement today (19700 - 19900) with further falling trading volume. We can set a not too-wide TP ✅ @: 19824.30.
🔹 Costco (+0.0%) opens also nearly unchanged. We further tighten our TP as we want to get out of Costco TP ✅ @: 873.79.
► Eli Lilly is trading 1.5% higher in pre-market trading at around 935.00 - near last week's high. We expect minimal profit-taking before further buying takes place. The super-diet/diabetes drug triazepatide, the active ingredient in Zepbound and Mounjaro, have been shown in a late-stage study to reduce the risk of overweight or obese adults developing type 2 diabetes by 94%. With almost one in three adults in the US being overweight - and obesity being one of the biggest health problems in the US (but also in other countries, particularly in the West) - the market for this drug remains gigantic. In addition to another promising study, US investment banking giant Wells Fargo is the next investment bank/firm to recommend buying Eli Lilly. Wells Fargo even goes one step further and calls Eli Lilly it's absolute top pick, following our own recommendation from two weeks ago. We enter in the 930 - 934* range shortly after the open.
► I see Eli Lilly now continuing its recent rally after a pause (which we fully expected). Eli Lilly now has room to rise further towards $950+ and back towards ATH (~$965).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 50 - 55 (5,000% - 5,500%) trading Eli Lilly (LLY)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——-
If you are not a VIP member - you again missed a massive profit in just a few minutes.
❌❌❌ STOP MISSING OUT ❌❌❌
❌❌❌ STOP MISSING OUT ❌❌❌
❌❌❌ STOP MISSING OUT ❌❌❌
RECEIVING THE SIGNALS NON-DELAYED IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT.
WRITE US AND BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤➕
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
► Wall Street is already running a bit hot now - we are already seeing (VIP ONLY). (VIP ONLY), with yesterday's positive close (VIP ONLY), we see (VIP ONLY) investors to start securing profits now. The technology sector (VIP ONLY)
► We saw(VIP ONLY) in Asia (VIP ONLY) China remains sluggish (VIP ONLY) as well as in Europe - with much of the gains also due to strong Wall Street and expectations that the Fed will be ready to start cutting rates next month.
► On the earnings side, (VIP ONLY) Lowe's is also up (VIP ONLY) some weakness and not the surprisingly strong consumer spending Walmart reported last week.
► We are seeing relatively stable (VIP ONLY), with investment banks r(VIP ONLY) and the VIX (which measures volatility in the S&P 500 and is considered a fear index) has also fallen dramatically. So we are seeing (VIP ONLY) likely to become a little more cautious ahead of Powell's statement in Jackson Hole on Friday, (VIP ONLY)...
► We want to (VIP ONLY) and find an entry point in the Nasdaq (VIP ONLY). The S&P 500 (VIP ONLY), while the Dow Jones (VIP ONLY)...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 60+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——
WRITE US AND BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤➕
✔️ 6+ non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 82+ % in the last 48+ months
✔️ Account manager by your side every step of the way
✔️ Access to our community - connect with other members
✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge
🔰 UPDATE SIGNAL 🕯
CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑 @: 7512.90
TP ✅ @: 7538.70
We made a very nice, perfectly timed (late after-hours) CAC_40 trade yesterday and set now an in-profit SL.
We see that stocks further rallied - also in Asia (as we expected). The CAC_40 found support at 7500 (as we expected) and is now trading at August highs. We give it a bit more room to rise. The CAC is a bit dragged down by Total - with the energy sector being under pressure from sharply falling oil prices due to hopes of a cease-fire agreement between Hamas and Israel.
——
Lucky number 13
✅ 13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅✴️ 19.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️ (SL in Profit)
13/13 = 100% Success Rate
WRITE US AND BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤➕
Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 10.07 - 12.08 (26 trading days)
120 / 143 = 83.9% ❗️ Success Rate 📈
(July 9 - 5/6 = 83.3% SR dropped out)
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2470.39 f. me|or SL - 2470.49)
❌ 13.8 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 17887.60)
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2472.94 f. me| clsd 2477+ )
✅ 13.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 914.97 or 925.43+ )
✅ 13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18997.70)
4/5 = 80% Success Rate
❌ 14.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2457.78| or SL - 2466.23)
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19026.30)
✅ 14.8 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 159.87 f. me | or clsd @: 160.00+)
✅ 14.8 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 59147.90)
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19112.70)
4/5 = 80% Success Rate
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (most of you TP - 19198.70| f. me SL - 19064.30)
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19289.90)
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40572.40)
✴️ 15.8 - COST - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 875.47
✅ 15.8 - BAC - LONG ↗️ (TP - 39.37)
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19388.90)
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40623.40 f. me| SL - 40544.40)
✅ 15.8 - GS - LONG ↗️ (TP - 499.97)
7/8 - (1 open position)
With a success rate of 83.9% in the “five” week period 10.07. - 12.08. we are already at an almost absurd success rate level, especially considering how turbulent the markets have been in this period, including the strong split between investors who see a long overdue correction and others who see more upside potential, as well as a healthy bull market supported by strong consumer spending and US economic growth and the prospect of monetary easing. We can assume that no one has had a short term trading success rate even close to ours in the last 6 - 10 weeks - congratulations!
Otherwise, no update. Costco remained sideways (+0.2%), underperforming Amazon and Walmart, which I think are heading towards their increasing dominance in global and especially US retail - we want to get out soon/preferably tomorrow.