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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 (VIP ONLY)/USD

► I still see a bit more short-term recovery potential for the USD and both the (VIP ONLY)/USD and (VIP ONLY)/USD at too high levels in the short term (although both pairs rose mainly due to a weaker USD).

► The (VIP ONLY) has outperformed the (VIP ONLY) and we see another reason for this in today's data: (VIP ONLY), which continues to be dragged down by (VIP ONLY), but also by weakness in the Chinese economy as well as (VIP ONLY). The (VIP ONLY) were strong, but are likely to have received a not insignificant (VIP ONLY) ...

► In addition we saw today that (VIP ONLY) grew at a slower pace of (VIP ONLY) (YoY), easing fears of(VIP ONLY)

► We go SHORT again here at (VIP ONLY) and also expect concerns that Powell may be less dovish - in particular, that he does not fire up the idea of a 50bp rate cut in September or accelerated prospects for rate cuts in 2024/25. We expect the (VIP ONLY) to fall below (VIP ONLY) tomorrow.

Robust US economic data (today) will also reduce the pressure on the Fed to be more dovish. The USD is also receiving a tailwind from the significantly higher yields on US Treasuries across the curve.

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📊 SmartTrader Premium Insights: Analyst Rating Updates

📆 Thursday, August 22

🟢 Positive Ratings:

Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸🟢 
Analyst: Loop Capital reiterates as "BUY" 
Price Target: $300 

(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢 
Analyst: Bank of America reiterates as "BUY" 
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) ⤵️ $(VIP ONLY)

Estee Lauder (EL) 🇺🇸🟡⤴️🟢 
Analyst: Piper Sandler upgrades to "OVERWEIGHT" 
Previously: "NEUTRAL" 
Price Target: $95 ⤴️ $114 

(VIP ONLY) 🟢 
Analyst: Morgan Stanley initiates as "TOP PICK" 
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)

JD. com (JD) 🇨🇳🟢 
Analyst: Citigroup opens a "POSITIVE CATALYST WATCH"

Meta Platforms (META) 🇺🇸🟢 
Analyst: Morgan Stanley reiterates as "OVERWEIGHT"

Microsoft (MSFT) 🇺🇸🟢 
Analyst: Morgan Stanley reiterates as "OVERWEIGHT"

Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸🟢 
Analyst: KeyBanc reiterates as "OVERWEIGHT" 

Snowflake (SNOW) 🇺🇸🟢 
Analyst: Goldman Sachs reiterates as "BUY" 

Unilever (UL) 🇬🇧🔴⤴️🟢 
Analyst: Bank of America upgrades to "BUY" 
Previously: "UNDERPERFORM" 
Price Target: $47 ⤴️ $72

🟡 Neutral Ratings:

(VIP ONLY) 🟢⤵️🟡 
Analyst: Citigroup downgrades to "NEUTRAL" 
Previously: "BUY" 
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) ⤴️ $(VIP ONLY)

🔴 Negative Ratings:

N/A

Price Target (or target price): When an analyst sets a price target for a stock, he or she is trying to determine what the stock is worth and where the price will be in ~12 months. Ultimately, price targets depend on the valuation of the company issuing the stock. Analysts base their price targets usually on earnings forecasts and assumed valuation multiples. Price targets (especially average price targets) can be used to value stocks and may even be more useful than a stock analyst's rating.

🟢 = positive rating
🟡 = neutral rating
🔴 = negative rating

⤴️ = upgrade
⤵️ = downgrade

Du kannst die Analysten-Rating-Updates auch auf der Website finden: HIER KLICKEN 🔗

💬 As a subscriber / member - you can also comment there and exchange information with other community members!

SmartTrader™ Analyst team

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19546.70
TP ✅ @: 19613.90

We've hit the turnaround again practically to the minute perfect.
...for both the Nasdaq 100 and Eli Lilly - scary.

We are staying LONG with Eli Lilly. We are already securing profits with the Nasdaq 100.

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Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
CLOSED ✅ @: 19758.80 (or 19739.30 / 19755+)

A crazy, successful LONG trade in the Nasdaq 100 on a sharply bearish day (a bit absurd our timing). We see the Nasdaq 100 now back near 19600 - we could see a lower low with returns to session highs.

We see the Nasdaq now slipping again - but already finding mild support (a bit earlier than before) - but basically we still see headwinds and therefore want to see if 19600 holds before (potentially) getting back in.

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2481.37
TP ✅ @: 2488.13

Yields are rising again and have risen too much to expect a much stronger recovery in gold in the short term. Our re-entry is well in profit. We are tightening our SL & TP.

We could find a better re-entry anyway. Yields still have room to move higher after the recent sharp slide.

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⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY) 🔄

► Today's sell-off - following robust US economic data and falling expectations that the Fed sees the need to ease monetary policy quickly - went a long way - even though we were already seeing a stock market that was running too hot. The market has been too quick to expect strong signals of rapid easing by the Fed - and may be disappointed tomorrow. However, we see a robust US economy, a healthy US consumer and a path to easing monetary conditions.

► We now go into the Nasdaq at near 19600 and expect Wall Street to stabilize. We already see that yields and the USD have stabilized after a sharp rise this morning.

► While I don't expect Powell to entertain the idea of a 50 basis point rate cut, he won't deny that it's possible either. Powell will maintain the rather dovish tone tomorrow as the latest data allows the Fed to cut rates. We do not expect a full recovery, but a partial one, and can therefore work with a TP slightly more than 100 points above 19600.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

Signal / Update DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.11121
TP ✅ @: 1.11033
OR
CLOSE NOW @: 1.11030 - 1.11070

We see yields stabilizing (but still significantly up). The EUR/USD sees some support at / below 1.11000. We close here now / or tighten our TP a bit. We also tighten our SL.

We still see the USD oversold and with more room to trim some of this week's sharp losses.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 961.93 📸

Eli Lilly pushed further up and now tests (briefly broke) the $970 level (which is a new ATH). We were a bit too fearful here and should have given Eli Lilly a bit more time and room to rise. We continue to observe Eli Lilly.

We see slight profit taking in the US (especially in the growth sector but in particular also because Wall Street already ran hot in early / pre-market trading) due to a strong rebound in the USD / higher yields.

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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔼 Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸

We see that the markets are in wait-and-see mode. US jobless claims barely rose last week, suggesting that the labor market is only gradually weakening - a different overall signal than yesterday's stronger-than-expected downward correction in US labor market data over the past 12 months - which had only a minor impact on risk sentiment but continued to weigh on the USD (also in anticipation of a sharp correction). Overall, we see positive market sentiment.

🔹 Eli Lilly ( +0.3 %) opens slightly higher in pre-market trading in line with the broader market (S&P 500). We remain optimistic about the pharmaceutical giant. We foresee further gains for Eli Lilly, but tighten our TP ✅ @: 961.93 slightly, just ahead of Powell's comments on Friday. Michelle Weaver of Morgan Stanley reiterated yesterday that Eli Lilly remains one of the top twenty picks of investment banks, with a price target for Eli Lilly of $1,106.


► Wall Street ran a little hot after the jobless claims data, again reducing concerns that the US economy may be slowing significantly. We found the perfect entry point into the CAC_40, which also benefited from Wall Street's new August highs. Overall positive market sentiment as well as recent strong retail sales (but also positive earnings data from Walmart, Target and to some extent Lowe's) continue to provide bullish sentiment in the retail and e-commerce sector. Amazon opens near 0.4% higher and will try to surpass yesterday's highs. The company is still in recovery mode after heavy losses in July. We enter Amazon after some initial profit taking - range 180.20 - 180.70* (or slightly above yesterday's closing price).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 250 - 270 (25,000% - 27,000%) trading with Amazon (AMZN).

Signal / Update DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷

European equities got off to a good start to the day and continued to rise for the time being following strong PMI data (with the exception of Germany, which continues to show that the latest signs of economic recovery have already fizzled out). While the (important) manufacturing sector in France continues to contract - particularly due to weak Chinese demand - we are seeing (VIP ONLY). The services PMI rose from 50.3 in July to a preliminary reading of 55.0 for August - the fastest expansion in two years. The overall picture in the Eurozone(VIP ONLY), (VIP ONLY) manufacturing sector is still showing signs of weakness.

► We are seeing (VIP ONLY), with investors also waiting for further signals from the Fed that the world's most influential and important central bank will initiate its monetary easing course in the coming months. The (VIP ONLY) ...

► We have (VIP ONLY) solid Asian session with investors awaiting tomorrow's comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. The Bank of Japan's rate hike and hawkish signals from Ueda contributed to a meltdown in global financial markets earlier this month, which will likely (VIP ONLY) ...

► The CAC is somewhat weighed down by Total, which has a weight of almost 8.9% in the CAC. The energy sector remains under pressure after the recent fall in oil prices (which we traded very successfully). I expect (VIP ONLY) ...

► We (VIP ONLY) ...

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 12 - 14 (1,200% - 1,400%) trading the CAC 40 (FRA_40).

Signal / Update DELAYED by: 45+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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We have won ALL of our last 15 index trades ‼️

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PS - haha, what a great title image 😴 - thanks Telegram 🫶

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19824.30 or clsd 19825+)
✅ 20.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 73.267) 🔄
✅ 20.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 957.69)
✴️ 20.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (open - slightly off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 964.39 🔄
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19727.30)
✅ 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2510.67) 🔄

5/6 - (1 open position)

TODAY :

✅ 21.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 72.110)
✅ 21.8 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 221.51) 📸
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2505.33)
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2514.33)
✴️ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - slightly in profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2,519.79 (optional) 🔄

4/5 - (1 open position)

Due to today's sideways movement in relatively narrow ranges, we focused on markets other than equities today - although we made a very good NYSE opening trade with Tesla 📸. After yesterday's successful oil trade, we also made a very good WTI trade today (and sold the spike again in a still bearish oil market). Gold continues to be driven by the USD (weakness), expectations of rate cut(s) and the Treasury market movements - we successfully dip-bought gold today and remain LONG in gold (we can set a TP at $2,520).

We did not overtrade today's sideways market, but traded very well again - congratulations!


Your Rob 🖤❤️🧡

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⚡️ FREE RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

► Gold encountered resistance before $2,520 - we assume temporary resistance here.

► We see yields stabilizing, with yields on the US 10-Y bottoming at -4 basis points and rising slightly. However, we continue to see a much weaker USD and expect yields to fall further as investors increasingly assume that the Fed will make it very clear that the time for rate cuts has come (from September).

► We are getting back into gold, below our triggered SL range of $2,510 - $2,512. Gold is seeing lower safe-haven demand and is also significantly underperforming silver, palladium, platinum and base metals - partly due to its proximity to the ATH. Gold remains fundamentally supported after the BLS data, which showed a weaker US labor market than the data of recent months had suggested.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

Signal / Update DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

🥇
2️⃣5️⃣1️⃣1️⃣📈

29.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 01.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (Re-Entry)
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 14.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️

18/19 = 94.7% Success Rate

✴️ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️

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⚡️ FREE RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

► Gold has reached our SL - but we want to remain LONG in Gold (re-entry range 2.504 - 2.506), which is still benefiting from further declining yields and (remaining) headwinds for the USD as investor expectations of swift rate cuts have received a boost following the BLS revision of worse hiring data in the 12-month period to March 2024 than originally reported - pointing to a generally weaker labor market. The revision was the sharpest since 2009 and is therefore certainly not insignificant (almost 30% fewer jobs created than originally reported by the BLS).

► I still wouldn't call the revision a shock - given analysts' pessimistic / correct expectations - but it will certainly help the Fed to mention signs of a weaker US labor market when announcing the end of ultra-tight monetary policy. Cooling inflation and coupled with a cooling labor market will be the main reasons for the Fed (at least in the rationale) that rate cuts are now appropriate.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

Signal / Update DELAYED by: 50+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——

We have been trading gold over the past four weeks (potentially all year) with likely the highest success rate in the world (short-term-trading). Congratulations to all of us 👏🏆

29.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 01.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (Re-Entry)
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 14.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️

17/18 = 94.44% Success Rate

✴️ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️

NO MORE MISSING OUT
NO MORE MISSING OUT
NO MORE MISSING OUT

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 72.526
TP ✅ @: 72.110

Your position may have just triggered TP (at 72.526 - for a very nice profit).

If you are still SHORT, stay SHORT. While the BLS revision keeps pressure on the USD and weighs on yields (positive for oil), it also shows that the labor market (=US economy) has been not insignificantly weaker than expected over the last 12 months.

We can extend our TP and ride the oil train further down. If you've already triggered your TP, you can stay out - we can probably find a re-entry at 72.50+.

Congratulations! 🛢💵

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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Solid US labor market data and surprisingly strong home sales once again paint a robust picture of the US economy, although the number of new hires over the last 12 months was significantly lower than indicated in previous BLS data.

► The falling crude oil inventories in the US reported yesterday by the EIA are also supporting the oil price. However, we are seeing signs of falling demand for fuel - which is also due to the end of the very large US summer driving season, which usually ends at the end of August.

Oil is trading almost 2% higher despite a 0.5% rise in the USD (DXY) and growing concerns that Powell will not offer a realistic chance of a 50 basis point rate cut in September followed by rapid additional monetary easing.

China's weak economic development continues to weigh on demand for oil. In addition, investors are underestimating the impact of the rapid switch from combustion to electric vehicles by Chinese consumers. There is also a very strong trend in China for trucks to switch to LNG - which also means less demand for oil.

► We sell the surge and can position us SHORT range $73.00 - $73.25.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader⚠️ The October-Futures Contract is currently $0.10 above spot price

Signal / Update DELAYED by: 240+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——-

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19556.70
TP ✅ @: 19622.70

We pull our SL 10 points tighter / TP ~10 points wider.

We may see slightly more profit taking in the final 90 minutes of today's US trading and thus make this incremental change(s).


———-

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⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY) 🔄

⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸

► We see strong profit taking in New York, which could go a little further tomorrow given this week's strong gains supported by hopes of sharp Fed rate cuts, a weaker USD and much lower yields making equities more attractive.

► We are now taking advantage of the sharp dip (again) in the Nasdaq, which has not only fallen below 19600 but towards 19500 (currently down 1.7% to 19520). We enter here (range 19500 - 19525).

► We also buy the slump in Eli Lilly into slightly negative territory. I see it as a gift to be able to buy LLY here again below 950 (947-949) after the pharma giant hit another ATH today before running into resistance (as we had predicted). Eli Lilly's numbers remain absolutely absurd. In the past quarter, Eli Lilly was able to increase its sales by 36% (!) Y-o-Y and the gross profit margin to over 80% (!!) - a pure money printing machine.

► We now see yields for the US 10-Y 8 basis points higher, which is slightly below today's high of almost +10 basis points. The DXY also remains +0.5% - 0.6% higher for the day, reducing the additional headwind on growth stocks.

► We set the TP (Nasdaq 100) at almost 100 points above the entry point.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 50 - 55 (5,000% - 5,500%) trading Eli Lilly (LLY)

Signal / Update DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——-

🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤
1️⃣9️⃣5️⃣2️⃣0️⃣📈

🔤🔤🔤
9️⃣4️⃣8️⃣📈

WRITE US AND BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤👑

⚠️⚠️⚠️ These signals are 15 minutes delayed ⚠️⚠️⚠️
We again hit the perfect entry on the minute.

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 19755 - 19770
OR
SL 🔑 @: 19739.30
TP ✅ @: 19760.70

If you are still in - we close now. Our Position is 150 points in profit. We can likely find a better re-entry.

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19729.70
TP ✅ @: 19771.30

We made an almost frighteningly perfect Nasdaq 100 trade (almost unreal accuracy). Your position may have already triggered the TP (19724.40) - the jump up ended up being very fast (as fast as the selloff)

If you are still in - you can close even better, because after being oversold there is still positive rebound momentum. We are working with a tight SL in any case.

Congratulations!

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⚡️ FREE RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ Increased volatility
SL 🔑 @: 2469.39
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► We were too greedy with our EUR/USD - 1.11011 was a very good TP (for now).

► We see yields and the USD stabilizing after it rose following very solid jobless claims data and a very surprisingly sharp rise in US home sales, which ended a four-month losing streak in July, rising 1.3% month-on-month.

► While it is hard to catch a falling knife - we have actually seen gold find support slightly below the key $2,475 level. This is where we can enter cautiously. We also see a more cautious market in general, which offers gold slight support.

► We extend our SL slightly (but keep it tight) and now buy the dip in gold.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40 % - 60 %) when trading gold (XAU/USD) ⚠️ Please do not overtrade gold - a $25 move (currently ~1%) is not unusual intraday - it is better to trade gold a little smaller. Do not make repeated additional re-entries (as this primarily increases your position size).

Signal / Update DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——

🥇📉2️⃣4️⃣7️⃣2️⃣📈

WRITE US AND BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤👑

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.11161
TP ✅ @: 1.10967

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2470.43 (corrected)
TP ✅ @: 2494.97 (off-profit)

We see a strong rebound in the USD (and yields; but now signs of stabilizing) - while we expected it - the jump is a bit faster than expected which also pushed our gold trade well off-profit (or into your SL). We can slightly widen the TP for our EUR/USD and set an in-profit SL.

If you are still LONG in gold - then we need to work with a tight SL here. If gold can't find support in the 2472.50 - 2475 range further selling could push gold into the 2450 - 2460 range short-term.

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Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 961.93

Eli Lilly hit our tightened TP - if you are still in - you can close a bit higher (963 - 966) or keep yesterday's TP ✅ @: 964.39 to close again deep in profit.

Congratulations. Eli Lilly remains our insane cash cow 🤑

Eli Lilly is again strongly outperforming Wall Street - we expect resistance in the range 965 -970 (ATH).

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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► We are getting back into the EUR/USD, which triggered our SL yesterday. Recent data, including yesterday's sharp downward revision in BLS labor market data and the rather dovish Fed meeting minutes, and especially the persistent disinflation in the US, have been very supportive of expectations of Fed rate cuts. In particular, yields have fallen sharply as the Fed is expected to show greater resolve to ease monetary policy in the coming months, including a very significant policy reversal in September.

► All of this is priced in - including the lingering expectation that a 50 basis point rate cut could be on the table. While Powell will indeed indicate that the time for a rate cut seems to have come, he will not give any indication of rapid rate cuts - which would support the USD. Furthermore, I also do not believe that BoJ Governor Ueda will hint at rapid rate hikes tomorrow (i.e. in the other direction) as he knows the risk such positioning would bring to Japanese and even global financial markets.

► Strong Eurozone PMIs - especially strong data from the French services sector supported the EUR today. However, I don't see the ECB seeing signs of healthy economic growth here. The strong French service sector was certainly also boosted by the Olympic Games in Paris. The EUR/USD has been mainly driven by the USD in recent sessions. We expect the pair to test the 1.11000 level again in the short term and are positioning ourselves SHORT in the 1.11375 - 1.11450 range now/soon. We are working with a tight SL.

Signal / Update DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———-

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Thursday, August 22

❗️ European stocks rise after encouraging PMI data,: US jobs data revision & Fed minutes fuel Fed rate cut speculation

► European stocks edged higher with the Stoxx 600 index rising near 0.5%, supported by a rally in Deutsche Bank, which predicted a boost to its third-quarter results. However, sentiment was mixed in Germany as Germany's flash PMI data showed the private sector in contraction, with the composite PMI at a five-month low of 48.5. Meanwhile, France's flash PMI numbers indicated strong expansion in services, reaching a 27-month high. Also PMI data from the UK and the Eurozone as a whole improved significantly. Overall, cautious risk on mood prevailed as markets anticipated key events from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.

► US markets ended Wednesday on a higher note after the Fed meeting minutes revealed that several officials supported a September rate cut if inflation continues to slow. In addition to this, the significant downward revision to US job growth strengthened the case for a rate cut next month, further fueling market speculation. However, traders are still wary of potential surprises from Powell’s upcoming remarks. Yields on 10-year US Treasuries held steady at 3.79% after edging further down yesterday, while the USD showed little movement after recent sell-offs.

► In Asia, major stock benchmarks erased earlier gains as cautious trading set in ahead of global central bank events. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index rose 0.67%, hitting its highest levels in three weeks, driven by robust services PMI data despite weaker-than-expected manufacturing performance. Hong Kong's markets also saw a slight recovery, with tech and financial stocks leading gains. Conversely, Chinese markets continued their slide due to persistent economic concerns and lackluster stimulus efforts.

► The MSCI’s All Country World index is trading close to a record with also global stock-market breadth improving.

► Oil prices edged lower to $71.6/barrel, as concerns over a US economic slowdown and ongoing China weakness overshadowed the positive impact of falling inventories. Gold remains bullish, trading near record highs, supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut and recent Treasury market movements. Gold continues to benefit from falling yields, recent USD weakness and ongoing economic uncertainty.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇯🇵 Jibun Bank PMIs - 00:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB PMIs - 07:15 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB PMIs - 07:30 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB PMIs - 08:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global PMIs - 08:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 S&P Global PMIs - 13:45
🔸 🇪🇺 Consumer Confidence Flash AUG - 14:00
🔸 🇬🇧 Gfk Consumer Confidence - 23:01
🔸 🇯🇵 Inflation Rate / CPI - 23:30

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations



Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

🌙 Intuit (INTU) 🇺🇸
☀️ Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 🇨🇦
🌙 Workday (WDAY) 🇺🇸
☀️ NetEase (NTES) 🇨🇳 (announced)
🌙 Ross Stores (ROST) 🇺🇸
☀️ Swiss Re (SSREY) 🇨🇭 (released: 🟡)
☀️ Baidu (BIDU) 🇨🇳 (announced)
☀️ Dollar Tree (DLTR) 🇺🇸
(...a few more with market cap <$19B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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Guys - don't say I didn't warn you that you'll be seeing more of me from now on.

Thank you so much for your kind messages - I really appreciate it. Since I provide you with so much "complicated" content (I hope some of you actually read my analysis and don't “just” take advantage of it - PS: That's fine too), maybe it's good to post something easy to digest - for a change.

Your Robert

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Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 12.07 - 14.08 (26 trading days)

120 / 142 = 84.5% ❗️ Success Rate 📈

(July 11 - 6/9 = 66.7% SR dropped out)

15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (most of you TP - 19198.70| f. me SL - 19064.30)
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19289.90)
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40572.40)
✅ 15.8 - COST - LONG ↗️ (TP - 873.79| or TP - 875.47)
✅ 15.8 - BAC - LONG ↗️ (TP - 39.37)
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19388.90)
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40623.40 f. me| SL - 40544.40)
✅ 15.8 - GS - LONG ↗️ (TP - 499.97)

8/8 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19498.90|+Re-Entry)
❌ 16.8 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 146.183)
✅ 16.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2483.67 |2485.57 or lower)
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19519.90)

3/4 = 75% Success Rate

❌ 19.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11516)
✅ 19.8 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 126.79 | or clsd @ 127.50+)
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19553.70)
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19648.70)
✅ 19.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7512.90)

4/5
= 80% Success Rate


Our success rate in the “five” week period (2.07. - 14.08.) is now at 84.5% (‼️) and will continue to rise tomorrow. We are moving into spheres that even the best of the best traders would consider unachievable - especially with over 140 trades and an average positive movement (in our favor) of more than 0.4%. We did this together.

It's really hard to find anything negative - but with our EUR/USD hitting our tight SL today, we have now closed two negative FX trades in a row (having previously won 14 in a row).

Congratulations to everyone in the community. Please share some of your profits with people in need - we'd love to hear about it - you can also post about it in our Discord community to motivate other members. (Please make sure you complete step 1 and step 2 to verify your Discord account 📸 - more than 50% of our members are currently not verified).


CLICK TO JOIN SMARTTRADER DISCORD CHANNEL ❤️
(New 50 Discord Tickets available)

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2514.33
TP ✅ @: 2528.79

Gold has now been able to break away from the $2,510 level, supported by the Fed's meeting minutes, which show that the FOMC agreed in July to cut rates in September as long as data continued to come in as expected - which has been the case in recent weeks, with only the US economic data (GDP growth/retail sales were better than expected) actually being taken into account.

"The vast majority observed that, if the data continued to come in about as expected, it would likely be appropriate to ease policy at the next meeting."

At the same time, however, today's sharp downward revision in US payrolls confirmed that the US labor market (a key indicator of the US economy) has been weaker over the past 12 months than the BLS data suggested.

Gold remains bullish and could rise to new ATHs.

We set an in-profit SL. The USD fell further and also pushed our EUR/USD into our tight SL (we should have closed here earlier).

Alternatively, you can close near $2.520 (such as 2.519.89) and take a mini dip to get back in.

———

29.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 01.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (Re-Entry)
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 14.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅(✴️) 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL in profit)

18/19 = 94.7% Success Rate

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 72.456
TP ✅ @: 72.110

WTI fell very sharply here - understandable as the BLS hiring downward revision has been significant. Hiring was nearly 30% weaker than data has suggested.

We can further tighten the SL here a bit.

Oil fell down - despite falling US crude oil stockpiles in the previous week that still indicated that demand has been outpacing production in the previous week (however, this is also due to the high demand for fuel during the US summer driving season).

PS: just hit TP - I am too slow / we may now see temporary support at $72.00/barrel (spot price).

Update DELAYED by: 5+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———

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✔️ 6+ non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 82+ % in the last 48+ months
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2505.33
TP ✅ @: 2519.67

Please excuse my slight inactivity. I was asked to give some quick advice to an US investment bank I have worked with in the past on the impact the BLS employment revision will have on the outlook for the USD, the US Treasury market and the near term outlook for risk sentiment (stock market performance).

We made the perfect decision to position against the market that was dragged down by technical traders not understanding what to and the lack of understanding of the fundamental significance of the BLS report. We found a very good entry point into gold and now secure profits.

Gold still has room to move higher as the USD remains under pressure due to increased expectations that the Fed will feel some more pressure to loosen financial conditions - this will also support the US Treasury market (leading to lower yields - also positive for gold).


PS: A general note - gold is very much driven on data and fundamentals - it's key as a gold trader to understand this. Looking solely on volume, a trend or indicators is not a sufficient analysis.


——

🥇2️⃣4️⃣9️⃣8️⃣📈2️⃣5️⃣1️⃣9️⃣

Nobody trades short-term at our level (success rate > 80%; regardless of the market environment).

Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑

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