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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 17.07 - 19.08 (26 trading days)

123 / 142 = 86.6%❗️ Success Rate 📈

(July 16 - 4/6 = 66.7% SR dropped out)

20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19824.30 or clsd 19825+)
✅ 20.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 73.267)
✅ 20.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 957.69)
✅ 20.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 961.93 or 964.39)
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19727.30)
✅ 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2510.67)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

✅ 21.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 72.110)
✅ 21.8 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 221.51)
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2505.33)
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2514.33)
❌ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2481.37)

4/5 = 80% Success Rate

22.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7564.90)
✅ 22.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11121)
✴️ 22.8 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 180.57
✅ 22.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2481.37)
❌ 22.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 75.116 f. me | pot. SL - 76.260) 🔄
✅ 22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (CLSD 19758.80 f. me | or 19724.40 - 19760)
✅ 22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL -19556.70)
✅ 22.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 953.48) 🔄
❌ 22.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11411)

6/9 - (1 open position)

We now have a success rate of 86.6% ‼️ over the five-week period (Jul 17 - Aug 19). I've been trading for 20+ years now and this is one of the craziest performances I've ever seen in short term trading - in particular because we trade all asset classes and don't close with micro profits (it will go up even more tomorrow!).

Congratulations to us all - an incredible achievement 🏆 THANK YOU for the motivation you and the team give on a daily basis.

The escalating tension in the Middle East has pushed our WTI position deep off profit. Most of you had already closed the position in your SLs on Friday (please always remember to NEVER lose more than 3-4% (max 5%) of your balance in a single trade - including potential re-entries). We closed another LLY position today with (albeit modest) profit (in a very well set TP) - congratulations!

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 GBP/(VIP ONLY)

► I see more upside potential for the GBP in all time frames, as the Bank of England is currently significantly less dovish than the Fed and the ECB. The Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, has made it very clear that the time has come for interest rate cuts. The market is pricing in a 100% chance of a rate cut in September and just over 100 basis points of rate cuts within 2024 (with both the Fed and ECB forecasting rate cuts of 75 basis points by the end of the year).

► The markets expect only one rate cut from the Bank of England this year. The BoE was one of the first major central banks to start raising borrowing costs after the pandemic - a total of 515bps between December 2021 and August 2023 - and will be one of the slowest to cut borrowing costs in the coming months/years.

Inflation remains well above the BoE's target - especially services inflation and wage growth (wage inflation). We have also recently seen improving economic data.

► Although we see a mixed session today, I see an overall positive risk sentiment (even with heightened global geopolitical tensions) - which ultimately benefits GBP. We are trading against (VIP ONLY) ...

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

► We return to the Nasdaq 100, which has fallen more than 1% (to below 19550) as we see an underperformance of the big tech companies - 9 of the 10 most heavily weighted stocks in the Nasdaq 100 are trading negatively (only Costco is up).

► The losses of Broadcom (-2.4%), Meta (-2.0%) and Tesla (-3.0%) in particular are weighing on the Nasdaq, and Nvidia is also deep red (-1.8%) after positive pre-market trading. Our Microsoft position hit our tight (in-profit) SL.

► The broader S&P 500 is in the green and the Dow Jones is up 200 points today. The small-cap index Russel 2000, which is considered more risk-sensitive, is currently trading 0.7 % higher, which shows that the market remains risk-on.

►We are buying in the range between 19450 - 19500 (update).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► We see gold trading in a tight range after jumping back to near ATH in European trading. A slight rebound in the USD (DXY +0.15%) provides slight headwinds to gold. We expect the precious metal to break out and reach a new ATH later this week (potentially today). We find an entry at the lower part of the current range ($2,517.50 - $2,521.50) now and/or using slightly increased volatility around the NYSE opening.

► Powell strongly signaled the potential for US rate cuts, indicating that upcoming economic data would determine their pace and scale but the time for rate cuts has come. The outlook for rate cuts will continue to support gold and will weigh on yields. Powell also said that the Fed is no longer only focusing on inflation and instead will focus more on the US labor market with further cooling in the job market would seen as unwelcome.

► We also see rising geopolitical tensions as the Hezbollah/Israel situation escalated over the weekend.

► Additionally, India’s gold demand during the upcoming festive season is likely to remain robust as a substantial reduction in import duty has made prices more appealing. We put the TP at ATH , but not too much above ATH.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Monday, August 26

❗️ Global stocks little changed after Powell's easing signal & rising tension in the Middle East

European equities showed minimal movement today, with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index virtually unchanged as investors remain cautious in the face of rising geopolitical tensions. Liquidity is also lower than usual due to the UK market being closed for a holiday. Chief executive officer of Telegram Pavel Durov was arrested at an airport on Saturday night outside Paris and placed in custody for alleged offences related to the messaging app. The arrest has sparked significant online backlash, with the token of Telegram-linked The Open Network (Toncoin) initially dropping over 20% before partially recovering.

US stock futures are slightly up in pre-market trading, following gains of over 1% in both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 on Friday. The USD held flat after a significant drop on Friday, while Treasury yields ticked lower. Investors are closely watching the implications of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, which signaled a shift towards monetary easing. Traders await other significant events this week, such as Nvidia earnings on Wednesday and US GDP data on Thursday.

► Asian markets were mixed, reflecting the global uncertainty. Japan's Nikkei 225 index declined as the JPY strengthened further, following comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. In contrast, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index and Australia’s ASX 200 rose, buoyed by positive sentiment from the prospect of US rate cuts. Meanwhile, China’s Shanghai Composite showed little direction as investors weighed the People's Bank of China’s decision to maintain the medium-term lending facility rate amidst ongoing concerns over the country’s economic health.

► Rising tensions in the Middle East, particularly Israel’s strike on Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, influenced oil prices to rise near $75.5/barrel (spot price; 75.70, Oct'24 contract) as concerns over escalating conflict in the Middle East added a risk premium to crude. Gold steadied near its record high in the range $2,520 - $2,525/oz, continuing its upward trend driven by some safe haven demand and expectations of US interest rate cuts. The precious metal has seen strong gains this year, bolstered by geopolitical risks and strong buying from central banks and consumers in Asia, as well as the prospect of easing interest rates and a normalizing USD.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇪🇸 PPI - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 Ifo Business Climate - 08:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇺🇸 Durable Goods Orders - 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index - 14:30

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations


Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ PDD Holdings (PDD) 🇨🇳
☀️ BHP Group (BHP) 🇦🇺
🌙 Heico (HEI) 🇺🇸
☀️ Trip. com (TCOM) 🇸🇬
(...a few more with market cap <$15B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

22.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7564.90) 🔄
✅ 22.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11121)
✴️ 22.8 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 180.57 🔄
✅ 22.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2481.37)
✴️ 22.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 72.116
✅ 22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (CLSD 19758.80 f. me | or 19724.40 - 19760)
✅ 22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL -19556.70)
✴️ 22.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 965.73 🔄
❌ 22.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11411) 🔄

5/9 - (3 open positions)

TODAY :

✅ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19684.30)
✴️ 23.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2498.00 | TP ✅ @: 2514.47
✅ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19737.90 | +re-entry)
✴️ 23.8 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
✴️ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - just-entered)

2/5 - (3 open positions)


It was another very good week - but really very difficult to trade as the highlight (Powell's brief update in Jackson Hole) was waiting at the end of the week and we knew that the market was already pricing in a lot more dovishness (rate cuts) - including a possible 50 basis point rate cut in September - too optimistic.

We kept our cool very well in a week full of pitfalls. I underestimated the extreme, very rapid weakness in the USD this week - which was basically the only reason some of our trades ended in loss (including our still open WTI). I'm also a bit surprised that gold wasn't able to rally a bit more today - but not too much either, as it shows that the market wants to put money back into risk assets (clearly visible in today's outperformance of small cap stocks, with the Russell 2000 closing 3.2% higher, and the strong gains in crypto and chip stocks + Tesla).

Ultimately, we are seeing exactly the market and sentiment we expected at the end of the week.

Congratulations again on a great week
👏. We have steered our way through the stormy seas with great precision.

Enjoy your weekend! Your Rob
🤝

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⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

► After the Nasdaq reached our tightened TP (19734.30), we saw light resistance pushing the Nasdaq 100 back down to 19670. We get back into the Nasdaq now.

► We continue to see good support for Wall Street and especially for growth stocks. We see significantly lower yields and weakened USD - both tailwinds for growth stocks.

►While we saw broad gains in New York today - spurred by clear signs that the Fed believes the time is right for rate cuts - we would have seen even stronger gains if it wasn't for Friday's session. We are now in a different cycle - because from now on the Fed will ease monetary conditions.

► We expect a positive start to next week and can re-enter the Nasdaq below our triggered TP.

► We see a strong close for Wall Street - a good sign for a positive start to next week. We want to stay LONG.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

Signal DELAYED by: 35+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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BUY NOW 🔼 Microsoft (MSFT) 🇺🇸

► We see a strong session in New York - but we would certainly see even stronger gains if it wasn't Friday's session. We see a dramatic fall in the USD in the US - to a new 52-week low, moving even lower towards the NYSE close. We also see falling yields, almost completely eroding yesterday's gains and continuing to decline. The prospect of lower interest rates after the Fed made it clear that it is time to cut rates has boosted growth stocks - such as chip stocks, but also investment-heavy Tesla, which generally benefits from lower interest rates and cheaper debt - or even Microsoft, which also benefits from a weaker USD (=higher margins outside the US).

► We are seeing much stronger gains in cryptocurrencies, for example - which we should probably have traded over gold today - as cryptocurrencies do not normally exhibit the typical Friday fatigue, as cryptocurrencies can be traded around the clock. Bitcoin is up 4%, showing how much the market is pricing in a cheaper USD, falling yields and improved risk sentiment.

► We are already LONG in Amazon and add Microsoft - one of the few major tech stocks even trading in the red today with significant upside potential after recent losses. We will likely see more bullish analyst calls for Microsoft next week.

► I also see Microsoft benefiting from the antitrust ruling against Google, as the court has concluded that Google is acting as a monopolist in many of its business areas - including illegal revenue-sharing agreements with major browser providers such as Apple and Mozilla to set its search engine as the standard. The only clear winner of the ruling is Microsoft, whose OpenAI-powered search engine Bing is currently Google's only serious competitor.

► We expect gains for Microsoft next week and now see an improved macroeconomic environment. We can scoop up Microsoft at ~$414.00 or a daily drop of ~0.4% - with Microsoft clearly underperforming Wall Street / Big Tech today.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 120 - 130 (12,000% - 13,000%) trading Microsoft (MSFT)

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: 2518.87 (or wider)

We can already set a TP that is not too wide. Gold recently saw technical resistance in the $2.518 - $2.520 range. We can re-enter at a better price if the TP is triggered.

We have seen the USD continue to weaken (DXY currently at -0.6%), with yields also eroding more of yesterday's gains and the downside potential in yields still there.

We are currently seeing a setup that will probably soon lead to a breakout (to the upside). You can also choose your TP a little further - e.g. ✅ 2519.89

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⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW / SOON*🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇

⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW / SOON* 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸

⚡️ LIVE TRADING ONLY !!! IN VIP CHANNEL ⚡️

►"We do not seek or welcome further cooling in labor market conditions..." Powell said, showing that the Fed sees now strong enough signs for a cooling labor market.

► "The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks," is as clear as it gets although he Powell is leaving the door open to the size of the cut.

► The market reacted very strongly on Powell's much more clear words - that clearly points towards a change in the Fed's opinion whether rate cuts are now appropriate or not - clearly towards the direction - it's time to cut "now".

► We find an entry into gold near / below $2,512.50 and also get back into the Nasdaq 100 in the range 19730 - 19780.

► The market reacted very strongly to Powell's much clearer words - clearly indicating a change in the FOMC's view on whether rate cuts are appropriate now or not - clearly in the direction of - it's time to cut.

► We find an entry in the range $2,505 - $2,510* and also re-enter the Nasdaq 100 in the 19730 - 19780* area.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

⚡️ LIVE TRADING ONLY !!! IN VIP CHANNEL ⚡️

Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️⚠️
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These signal are DELAYED!
YOU ARE MISSING OUT

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You can watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech at the 2024 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium here:

📺 LIVE Fed Chair Jerome Powell @ Jackson Hole 🔗

Starting at 14:00 UTC+0

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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

We see a that Wall Street strongly trimmed sharp losses from the previous session that was triggered by expectations that hopes for indication of a potential 50-bps rate cut were too optimistic. However, I still see the market benefiting from a clear confirmation from Powell that rate cuts are imminent (start in September). Powell's speech is scheduled at 14:00 UTC+0.


🔹 Nasdaq (+ 1.1%) is sharply higher and our LONG position already deep in profit. We can further tighten our SL a bit SL 🔑 @: 19684.30. We now also tighten the TP - as closing here about 80 points in profit is actually great - TP ✅ @: 19724.70.

🔹 Amazon (+ 1.1%) trades sharply higher in pre-market trading - we set a break-even TP ✅ @: 180.57. Investment banks remain very optimistic about Amazon with an average PT of 218.97 which is still more than a 23% upside (from current pre-market price).

🔹 Eli Lilly (+ 0.6%) remains our cash cow and opens deep in profit after we found the perfect entry yesterday. Eli Lilly opens near 960. We set a TP ✅ @: 965.73. Eli Lilly hit a new ATH yesterday. If Eli Lilly jumps quickly higher post opening (above 962.50 within the first 5 minutes) we set our TP ✅ @: 969.49.


► Gains are already well advanced in pre-market trading and we could initially see some profit-taking - especially as investors are becoming somewhat more cautious ahead of Powell's speech. We are generally positioned LONG and believe that overall risk sentiment could benefit from Powell's clear confirmation that the Fed is on the verge of a pivot (rate cuts). We are already positioned deep enough in the market.


Update DELAYED by: 10+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ (VIP ONLY)

► Investors have scaled back their expectations that Fed Chairman Powell would consider an outsized rate cut as a realistic option, but still expect very clear confirmation that the Fed will initiate a turnaround in interest rates in September - anything less would be a disappointment.

► This means that the markets will not be satisfied with the central banker's usual cautious restraint and his usual reference to the Fed's dependence on data. According to the CME Group's Fed Watch Tool, 30% of market participants expect a significant rate cut of 0.5 percentage points (50 basis points). Around 70% expect a rate cut of 25 basis points. I don't think Powell will give any indication of the size of the rate cut - although I am very sure there will be a 25 basis point cut next month (unless upcoming data shows a more significant economic slowdown/such as a rapid deterioration in the labor market - but this seems unlikely given the recent data releases).

► While the market won't get the dovishness it wants, I don't expect disappointment, which means the current rally can ultimately continue as investors are still “happy” enough for the Fed to start easing gradually in September and beyond.

► We are now buying the Nasdaq 100, which is already up 0.5% but still has room to run after yesterday's 1.7% drop (the worst since August 5).

► Our LONG positions in Amazon (+ 1.1%) and Eli Lilly (+ 0.7%) are currently trading very positively in pre-market trading. Our CAC_40 already closed deep in the money - it was our 1️⃣8️⃣th (!) successful index trade in a row.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

Signal / Update DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——-

We now won 18 from our last 18 index trades.

13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️

18/18 = 100% Success Rate

✴️ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️

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CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷7
CLSD @: 7561.30 (for me) | for you 7564.90+

Markets may react a bit disappointed on Powell not indicating that any big (50-bps) rate cut is a real possibility. However, ultimately markets should be still optimistic as Powell certainly validates expectations for an upcoming rate cut / the long waited Fed pivot.

——-


We now won 18 (❗️) index trades in a row.

13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ 🔄
22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️

18/18 = 100% Success Rate

🎆🎆🎆 CONGRATULATIONS! 🎆🎆🎆

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✅ 21.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 72.110)
✅ 21.8 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 221.51)
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2505.33)
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2514.33)
❌ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2481.37) 🔄📸

4/5 = 80% Success Rate

TODAY :

✴️ 22.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 22.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11121) 📸
✴️ 22.8 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 22.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2481.37) 📸
✴️ 22.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 72.116 🔄
✅ 22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (CLSD 19758.80 f. me | or 19724.40 - 19760) 📸
✅ 22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL -19556.70) 📸
✴️ 22.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
✴️ 22.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - just-entered)

4/9 - (5 open positions)

Today was a rather mixed performance with light and shade. A bit overtraded for my taste - exceptional timing in parts - especially our Nasdaq 100 entries - but we should have exited other positions earlier, especially those benefiting from the recent weakness in the USD and falling yields. We could have closed gold, for example, much better - although most of you closed earlier. Still, very good re-entry - but it could have been closed better as we already saw the fundamental headwinds and could have closed accordingly at $2,485 - $2,486 on today's recovery peak.

We can slightly tighten our TP for our WTI position - we have found a good entry point. I am also very happy with our LLY entry, less so of course with our AMZN entry (which was actually good, but the positions were then hit by today's heavy profit taking).

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2509.32
TP ✅ @: 2521.87
OR
CLOSE SOON ✅ @: ~2519+ (near break-even)

EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.11689 (or wider)
TP ✅ @: 1.11457

Overall, we have seen very thin trading and mainly sideways movements on the currency market today. Gold has hardly changed either, even after the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified significantly. We are therefore setting a tight TP to trigger.

We see a slightly stronger USD today (DXY at +0.15 %) and stable yields (+1 basis point for US-10-Y). A slightly stronger USD is a bit of a headwind for gold. You can also simply close at breakeven.

We are working with a tight SL for our EUR/USD position. Alternatively, you can give the pair a bit more room and work with a wider SL - I prefer to re-enter at a slightly higher price if our position reaches the SL (1.11800+). We continue to see the pair as bearish, but with little movement overall.


———

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🔰 VIP UPDATE SIGNAL 🔰
STAY LONG / BUY NOW 🔼 Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 146.93
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► CVX tested and briefly broke $150 as we predicted, but then saw some profit taking - despite much higher oil prices for today. Chevron also continues to underperform #1 peer Exxon - which is still up more than 1% for the day.

► We continue to see significant upside for Chevron, especially after the very sharp losses in August, with Chevron still down more than 8% for August.

► We saw some profit taking in New York - but mostly in Big Tech - with investors putting more money into smaller companies - which are more risk sensitive but would benefit from lower rates/yields. Most companies in the S&P 500 are trading in the green. In fact, the S&P 500 equal-weight index - which gives each stock equal weight - has hit a new all-time high.

► I see Chevron as very attractive here - even for a medium/long term investment. We stay LONG and re-enter with a small position near 147.60. We work now with a tight SL and can also set a TP (VIP ONLY).

► Our Microsoft position has already triggered our in-profit SL. Eli Lilly closed in profit again - hitting our very well placed TP a little over an hour ago. We remain bullish on Eli Lilly and may re-enter range $942 - 947.

Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———-

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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🔰
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔼 Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸


🔹 Amazon (- 0.4%) opens slightly lower, with Wells Fargo lowering its price target for Amazon slightly to $225 (from $232) but keeping the e-commerce giant at “Overweight” - an overall positive assessment.

🔹 Eli Lilly (- 0.3 %) opens slightly lower / remains slightly positive for us. We set a tight TP ✅ @: 953.48.

🔹 Microsoft (- 0.1 %) opens unchanged. Wells Fargo recommends buying Microsoft and sees significant upside potential. We found a great entry on Friday and set an in-profit SL🔑 @: 414.89 and a tight TP ✅ @: 417.94.


► We are seeing a flat Wall Street that has lost some of the earlier pre-market gains. The Nasdaq 100 is down slightly, while both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones are up just before the NYSE open. I still see optimism - especially since Powell also gave the market what it wanted - a strong sign that the Fed will (gradually) cut rates from now on - starting with a first rate cut in September.

Geopolitical tensions and higher energy prices are putting pressure on global markets. We also see the USD trimming some of last week's sharp losses, which is a slight headwind for growth stocks.

► We buy Chevron - which will open 0.8% higher at near $149.00. We expect Chevron to test/possibly break through the $150.00 level. We find an entry slightly below/at $149.00 - or near 148.50 - but do not expect much headwind - especially as oil prices are significantly higher (currently +3%) after new escalation in the Middle East.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~330 - 360 (33.000% - 36.000%) when trading Chevron (CVX).

Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——-

🔤🔤🔤
1️⃣4️⃣9️⃣📈

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✔️ 5+ non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/USD

► The EUR/USD touched the 1.12000 mark on Friday - its highest level in more than a year following the sharp fall in the USD last week. In particular, Fed Chair Powell's speech in Jackson Hole on Friday acted as an additional catalyst for further headwinds for the USD. Powell sent a clear message to the markets that a rate cut is closer than ever - although the market had already priced in a 100% chance of a first rate cut at the upcoming meeting in September.

► There is not much more potential for additional dovishness that has not already been priced into the USD - which now limits short-term downside potential after the recent sharp fall.

► We see increased demand for safe havens on fears of escalating conflict in the Middle East after Israel attacked Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah fired rockets into Israel. We are also seeing significantly higher oil prices - now 2.5% higher after a further increase in the risk premium. A possible intensification of the conflict in the Middle East has a greater impact on the European economy - partly due to its greater dependence on oil/gas imports. Higher energy costs mean that more EUR will be exchanged for USD.

► The USD is also slightly supported by continued strength on Wall Street. Rising expectations that the ECB will also continue its interest rate cuts (next time in September) will also weigh on the single currency.

Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19748.90
TP ✅ @: 19797.30

Our Nasdaq 100 is deep (~100 points) in profit. The Nasdaq would probably be even higher by 50 - 100 points if the increasing tensions in the Middle East were not dampening the general bullish sentiment. Hezbollah claimed to have fired more than 320 Katyusha rockets at Israel, hitting eleven military targets. Shortly before the attacks, Israeli jets attacked targets in Lebanon as the military said it believed Hezbollah was preparing to begin firing.

Our gold position has also hit the TP (if you're still in, you can close even lower in profit at ~$2,523 - $2,524.90 (now)). If you are still SHORT in WTI, please set a tight SL 🔑 @: 75.62 (spot price / 75.96 Oct 24) - as oil prices now have a risk premium again, which could still rise in the short term.

We have now won 21 index trades in a row.
This one was a great over-the-weekend trade / position.
Congratulations
👏


——-

13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
✴️✅ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL in profit) 🔄

21/21 = 100% Success Rate

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Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 16.07 - 16.08 (26 trading days)

123 / 143 = 86%❗️ Success Rate 📈

(July 15 - 2/3 = 66.7% SR dropped out)


❌ 19.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11516)
✅ 19.8 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 126.79 | or clsd @ 127.50+)
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19553.70)
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19648.70)
✅ 19.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7512.90)

4/5
= 80% Success Rate

20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19824.30 or clsd 19825+)
✅ 20.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 73.267)
✅ 20.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 957.69)
✅ 20.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 961.93 or 964.39)
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19727.30)
✅ 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2510.67)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

✅ 21.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 72.110)
✅ 21.8 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 221.51)
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2505.33)
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2514.33)
❌ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2481.37)

4/5 = 80% Success Rate


We have now reached 86% ‼️ - and it will rise a little further in the coming days. Other than that - no updates on our trades from August 19-21 - as all positions are/were already closed.

It's hard to comprehend how successfully we have traded in the last weeks/months - especially when you consider that we averaged 5.5 short-term Trades per day, that we trade all asset classes, that on average we hold our positions for significantly less than 24 hours but more than 2 hours, that we do not move our SLs into profit early (which could inflate a high success rate) and that the markets have been very chaotic in recent weeks. The bottom line is that we can say with great certainty that this performance is currently unmatched - whether human or AI/machine supported trading.

This is a performance that no one can take away from us. Congratulations on being on board - and thank you for being part of SmartTrader!
🏆🙏

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Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 19734.30

Our Nasdaq 100 position just hit TP for an overall mega profit. If you are still in - we see a strong momentum - even 30 minutes before NYSE closing. This points to a strong start into the upcoming week.

You could widen your TP here a bit and even take a LONG in Nasdaq into the next week. However, we have set a very good TP here and are happy to close out with an overall big profit (thanks to our very strong re-entry position). We are overall LONG positioned with Amazon, our very well timed Microsoft LONG and also with Eli Lilly (which, however, is little impacted by today's further improved macroeconomic outlook).

Congratulations!


——-


We now won 20 (❗️) index trades in a row (not double counting our previous Nasdaq + Re-Entry position)

13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry) 🔄

20/20 = 100% Success Rate

🎆🎆🎆 CONGRATULATIONS! 🎆🎆🎆

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2498.00
TP ✅ @: 2514.47

Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19548.40
TP ✅ @: 19737.90

We would have traded the Nasdaq 100 perfectly if the expected disappointment about no signal for a 50-bps cut would have come first. But Powell chose a strong entry into his short speech - which retrospectively could have been expected.

We currently see a bit of a correction (again). We (or rather me) have been way too greedy here and should have closed both our gold and Nasdaq 100 positions already deep in profit when we had the chance to (maybe you did!). We are tightening our TPs and (hope to) close in the next rebound. Fundamentally we see both gold and growth stocks still supported.


———

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⚡️ FREE RAPID UPDATE SIGNAL 🕯
STAY LONG / BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ (VIP ONLY)

► We have now seen some profit-taking as the market increasingly expects an "only" 25 basis point cut. The Fed's intentions are clear: Powell said the "time has come" for the Fed to cut rates. The words were clear, and the FOMC's reaffirmation of its intention to prevent further cooling in the labor market also increases the prospects of gradual easing in the coming months.

► We are now still seeing the slight (delayed) disappointment that we had initially expected - but Powell started his speech with a very clear dovish statement, which initially led to gains and then now to the slightly delayed profit-taking.

► However, this now gives us the great opportunity to enter/re-enter/improve our entry price at below 19600. We assume that risk sentiment will benefit or remain positive from the overall clear statement that interest rate cuts are imminent and thus buy here (currently at 19555 - 19595).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

Signal DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️⚠️
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———

This SIGNAL ist more than 15 minutes delayed!

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📉1️⃣9️⃣5️⃣6️⃣0️⃣🎯📈

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We see markets with increased volatility, but overall we see the markets as we expected them to be. Powell has made it very clear that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is ready to cut rates. The reason why this was (immediately) received a bit more positively than I had expected is that Powell's comments make it clear that the Fed is moving away from a focus on fighting inflation and is instead at least equally (if not more) supportive to fight potential weakness in the labor market.

This shift away from a strong focus on inflation and a much stronger focus on supporting the labor market will give the Fed more flexibility and reduce the risks that a temporary slowdown in disinflation (or even a short-term acceleration in inflation) will deter the Fed from loosening monetary conditions altogether.

I see the comments as rather dovish. The market will take this positively. The USD remains under pressure (our EUR/USD has reached our tight SL).

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.11411
TP ✅ @: 1.10762

Our EUR/USD is slightly in profit, with the USD gaining slightly against its peers (DXY at +0.03 %).

It is very difficult to trade Powell's statement in advance here.

I think his comments may initially disappoint somewhat as he is not hinting at the possibility of quick rate cuts (which should provide some support to the USD after recent losses) - but at the same time, he will be clear (enough) in his words that the time for rate cuts has come and that recent data shows that it is appropriate to start the easing cycle. The Fed will get another month of data, but Powell is surely aware that too much caution would lead to heavy losses in New York - something he would surely also want to avoid ahead of the presidential election (even though he says the Fed is 100% independent).

It would have been nice if our pair had already made more profit - so we could set an in-profit SL. Now we're just limiting losses with a relatively tight SL.

An initial disappointment will also lead to headwinds for stocks. Overall, however, I expect the current rally to continue as investors are still cheering the fact that rate cuts are coming.


———

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✔️ 5+ non-delayed signals/day based on fundamental analysis
✔️ Full transparency (fully transparency also in our TRIAL channel)
✔️ REAL success rate of 82+ % in the last 48+ months
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19681.30
TP ✅ @: 19756.90

Our Nasdaq 100 LONG is already more than 50 points in profit. We set an in-profit SL securing our 19th successful index trade in a row (congratulations!) - which is very likely the currently longest short-term winning streak in the world. We slightly widen our TP.

1️⃣9️⃣🎆

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Friday, August 23

❗️ Stocks in Europe and Wall Street edge higher after yesterday's profit taking & ahead of Powell’s speech

European stocks move back near yesterday's highs with the French CAC_40 (+0.7%) outperforming. The broad Stoxx 600, Europe’s main equities benchmark, increasing by 0.2%. Traders braced for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, with investors speculating to what extent Powell validates expectations for a September rate cut, and whether he offers any indication of a potential outsized rate cut (50-bp).

US stock futures stabilized and trimmed sharp Thursday losses in early Friday pre-market trading. Investors remain cautiously optimistic according to our Chief Analyst, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures currently both up 0.35%. The focus remains on Powell's upcoming speech, which is expected to provide clues on the Fed's future rate policy. Meanwhile, the latest US data showed an only gradual cooling of the labor market (not a rapid one), mixed manufacturing activity, and a surprising increase in existing-home sales - the overall robust picture of the US economy remains intact. We also see that the yield on 10-year Treasury remained stable at ~3.84% (after a significant rise in US yields yesterday), while the USD weakened slightly again.

Asian markets showed mixed results as investors responded to Japan’s inflation data and moderate comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. Many investors feared hawkish comments, but Ueda acted as our Chief Analyst expected and tried to calm down concerns about a much more hawkish positioning. The Nikkei 225 rose 0.55%, despite the JPY’s appreciation following Ueda’s indication of potential rate hikes if economic conditions align with forecasts. In contrast, China’s Shanghai Composite fell slightly by 0.07% amid ongoing economic concerns, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index declined by 0.46% due to trade tensions between China and the EU.

► In commodities, oil prices rose to $73/barrel after experiencing the biggest drop in nearly two weeks, as discussions of a potential cease-fire in the Middle East reduced the risk premium. Gold prices were able to recover some of yesterday's losses, trading again near key-level $2,500/oz. Gold is still on path to gain for the third consecutive month as investors expect falling yields and a potentially further weakening USD as the Fed starts to cut rates in September.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇫🇷 Business Confidence - 06:45 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 Consumer Inflation Expectations - 08:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇨🇦 Retail Sales - 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Powell Speech - 14:00
🔸 🇺🇸 New Home Sales - 14:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations


Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Cathay Financial (CHYYY) 🇹🇼
(...a few more with market cap <$7B; overall no major earning reports)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
CLOSE NOW / SOON @: 7563 - 7569
OR
SL 🔑 @: 7556.70
TP ✅ @: 7564.90

After a negative session yesterday and ahead of Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech, we see a positive start to Friday's session for equities.

I see limited upside potential for equities ahead of the speech, which is why we are happy to close our CAC_40 here with a good profit and near the August highs.

My position has already been closed at 7561.30 (you can close slightly better).

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 15.07 - 15.08 (26 trading days)

122 / 142 = 85.9%❗️ Success Rate 📈

(July 12 - 6/8 = 75% SR dropped out)

✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19498.90|+Re-Entry)
❌ 16.8 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (SL - 146.183)
✅ 16.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2483.67 |2485.57 or lower)
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19519.90)

3/4 = 75% Success Rate

❌ 19.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11516)
✅ 19.8 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 126.79 | or clsd @ 127.50+)
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19553.70)
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19648.70)
✅ 19.8 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7512.90)

4/5
= 80% Success Rate

20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19824.30 or clsd 19825+)
✅ 20.8 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 73.267)
✅ 20.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 957.69)
✅ 20.8 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 961.93 or 964.39) 🔄
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19727.30)
✅ 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2510.67)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


Another massive increase in the success rate. 85.9% in a period of almost five weeks (15.07 - 15.08) is absolutely incredible. Even if you win 6 out of 7 trades every day for five weeks, you don't get to 85.9% - unreal performance. For many of you, of course, this is more than just a number - it's a complete change in your life situation. I said it yesterday - and I'll say it again - I am deeply humbled (and happy) that I can help you achieve these numbers. We achieve this together... 🤝

Actually, another video would be appropriate, but I'll spare you that tonight 😅

We closed our LLY trade from Tuesday with a profit - we could have closed even significantly better as LLY was hit a new all-time high. But as expected, the pharma giant ran into resistance near $970 or at the new ATH - but also under pressure from general, significant profit taking in New York (in all sectors). We found a very good re-entry below $950.

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