Congratulations again - a quick personal message - please stay humble even though you are now in a different financial situation and may even feel 'wealthy' because you are now making very good profits trading. I have received some very nice messages - also about really impressive profits or just praise - and although I really love to support you (and really appreciate the 'flowers'!), I don't want you to brag about money or wealth, but to live our SmartTrader spirit wherever possible and help others - especially those who need a helping hand - thank you very much - your Robert 🤝
PS: Also sorry for the slow replies - I'm trying to find more time to answer messages ❤️
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 18942.70
TP ✅ @: 18836.60
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 18880 (area)
We have again found the perfect entry point into the Nasdaq 100 - which turned around at ~19000.
Our position is now (more than) 100 points in profit. You can close now. But we can also extend our TP slightly. We expect further losses as the Asian session is likely to be difficult and investors fear that the sell-off could intensify significantly tomorrow before and after the US NFP/unemployment data.
——-
Congratulations - we continue to trade indices with unreal precision. It remains pure money printing for us. Please share some of our “absurd” index profits with people in need 🧡💙 thank you
——-
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 18602.10
TP ✅ @: 18553.60
We are also securing nice profits with the DAX, which rose slightly above our expected range and benefited from the strong dip buying in New York. We are now setting a tight SL - as we indeed see/have seen another small buying phase (as we expected) in New York.
We do not set our TP too far away.
——-
✅ 13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
✅ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 26.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.8 - DAX40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 27.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
❌ 28.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 28.8 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 28.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 28.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 29.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 29.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
✅ 30.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
❌ 03.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
✅ 04.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅✴️ 05.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL in profit) 📸
✅ 05.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (+Re-Entry)
35/37 = 94.6% Success Rate
NO MORE MISSING OUT ... ❌🥵
It is a ⚡️ fast process:
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Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 18863 (for me) | 18810 - 18850 for you
Congratulations! Another very tough rebound trap - which unfortunately most traders have probably fallen into (again).
Not only did we keep our cool, but we also found the perfect (re-)entry.
We now see support around 18850 (as we expected). The markets will probably become even more nervous towards the US close. However, after a drop of more than 250 points (which we traded perfectly), there could also be (short-lived) dip buying.
———
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⚡️ FREE UPDATE SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW / STAY SHORT🔽 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19186.70
► The rebound did go relatively far - driven by strong gains in Big Tech - Tesla in particular, but also Amazon and Nvidia are driving the Nasdaq 100 higher here, after overall mixed data was seen as good enough to trigger dip buying - which then quickly turned into “panic” dip buying.
► The air is now getting thin and we expect investors to become cautious again ahead of tomorrow's NFP report and take “profits” soon.
► We are making a small re-entry here (at 19100) and also setting a not-too-tight SL. However, we assume that the current recovery rally will come to an end soon / now - therefore a small re-entry may make sense (or a re-entry if your position has already been closed).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
General Motors (GM) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 48.15
TP ✅ @: 47.36
What a beautiful NYSE opening trade. GM did exactly what we expected. Saw a positive opening - then rose above 49.00 only to then see very sharp profit taking - the perfect NYSE opening trade.
We secure huge profits.
⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
► Initial jobless claims show no signs of further weakness in the labor market - and therefore now led to a short term rise in the Nasdaq 100 back above 18900. We are selling here as we see the ADP data as a bit more important ahead of tomorrow's very important NFP data.
► If you are still SHORT in the Nasdaq 100 - stay SHORT. Otherwise we find a good re-entry point here 18880 - 18930 - thus well above our triggered TP.
► According to ADP data, US companies created 99K new private jobs in August, the fewest since 2021 (also well below expectations of 145K new jobs and below the 122K new jobs in July).
► The number of jobless claims, however, did not surprise negatively, but was actually below expectations - especially for continuing jobless claims, which fell to 1838K (from 1860K), while analysts expected the number of claimants to rise.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———
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1️⃣8️⃣9️⃣0️⃣0️⃣📉
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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 (VIP ONLY)
► We see the markets in a wait-and-see mode ahead of a series of US economic data, especially labor market data, which has gained further importance after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that the focus has shifted from fighting inflation to supporting the labor market and, above all, that the Fed does not want to see any further (significant) easing of the labor market. It makes sense here to wait for the data before entering most assets. However, we see a good entry point (VIP ONLY) here.
► Yesterday saw a short-lived rebound in the Nasdaq after the JOLTS (job openings) report fell short of estimates and hit its lowest level since 2021 - confirming recent signs that the labor market is weakening further, increasing the likelihood of (rapid) rate cuts by the Fed.
► While the weakening US labor market data is currently providing slight support for Wall Street, there is little tailwind for (VIP ONLY). A slowing US economy means more headwinds for (VIP ONLY)
► The (VIP ONLY) jumped today after (VIP ONLY) better than expected - a rare positive data point (VIP ONLY) ...
► (VIP ONLY) warning of(VIP ONLY) is the most symbolic moment yet for the decline of (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 50+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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✅ 3.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2487.56 | clsd ~2485.50, SL 2490.16)
✅ 3.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2492.51)
✅ 3.9 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 21.03 | or clsd 20.67 - 20.85)
❌ 3.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18813.30 | +re-entry) 🔄
✴️ 3.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 3.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2485.56 | or TP - 2478.86) 🔄
4/6 - (1 open positions)
TODAY :
✅ 4.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 69.031)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 69.867 | TP ✅ @: 69.031
✅(✴️) 4.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - SL in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 18607.60 | TP ✅ @: 18534.60
✅ 4.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2487.86)
✴️ 4.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (open - slightly off profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 18856.70 🔄
✴️ 4.9 - JNJ - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 4.9 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 219.07)
✅ 4.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2495.43)
5/7 - (3 open positions)
Unfortunately I have to be very brief as I have a meeting with a New York based analyst team in 1 minute. It was another good day - we are well positioned overall, reduced risk wisely ahead of the labor market data and traded the sentiment-driven market well overall.
You can tighten your TP on our Nasdaq 100 position. Wall Street saw some profit taking ahead of the NYSE close as we expected.
Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 25.07 - 27.08 (26 trading days)
121 / 136 = 89% ❗️ Success Rate 📈
(July 24 - 9/10 = 90% SR dropped out)
❌ 28.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19346.90)
✅ 28.8 - CRM - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 262.36)
✅ 28.8 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18776.60)
✅ 28.8 - CRM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 258.87)
❌ 28.8 - CRM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 260.01 for me | or TP - 265.13)
✅ 28.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 19388.10 me|SL - 19392.10)
✅ 28.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 19201.60|or TP - 19161.60)
5/7 = 71.4% Success Rate
✅ 29.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.10667)
✅ 29.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19563.30)
✅ 29.8 - META - LONG ↗️ (SL - 522.49)
✅ 29.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 41369.90)
✅ 29.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2515.16)
✅ 29.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19577.90| + Re-Entry)
✅ 29.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.10503)
✅ 29.8 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 521.77 f. me |TP - 519.87 / 523.43)
8/8 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 30.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19581.70)
1/1 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
We have further improved our success rate in the five-week period even as July 24th dropped out with 9/10 (90% success rate) while August 27th was added with with 5/5 (🏆 100% Success Rate) - which shows at what level we currently "have to" trade to maintain our current, certainly world-best short term trading performance. Otherwise, there is nothing new - as all positions have already been closed.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2495.43
TP ✅ @: 2488.76
We set an in-profit SL now - as we see yields moving towards sessions lows (10-y at -6 bps) at the end of today's regular US trading session.
We also see the USD little change with the DXY still in the range -0.4% to -0.5%.
It makes sense here to protect our position.
———
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✅ 29.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 01.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (Re-Entry)
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 14.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 23.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 26.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅✴️ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL slightly in Profit) 🔄📸
27/30 = 90% Success Rate
📊 SmartTrader Premium Insights: Analyst Rating Updates
📆 Wednesday, September 4
📝 Investors are increasingly anticipating a “jumbo” rate cut in September after today's JOLTS (job openings) report fell short of estimates and reached the lowest level since 2021. The increasing signs of a slowdown in the US labor market triggered an immediate reaction in the bond market, where yields fell across the board, also causing the USD to give back some of its recent recovery gains. Equity markets also benefited slightly from increased rate cut expectations, especially after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that the Fed is now more concerned about labor market risks than inflation. I expect a short-term reaction and we are already seeing the immediate impact of the weaker than expected labor market report fade. Swap markets see September as a virtual coin toss between 25 and 50 basis points of rate cuts - overall we see a still nervous market - and even a large rate cut would not necessarily be a good signal as it signals the FOMC's concern that the US economy needs immediate and strong fiscal support - Robert
🟢 Positive Ratings:
Adobe (ADBE) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Oppenheimer reiterates as "BUY"
Price Target: $580 ⤴️ $625
Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Goldman Sachs reiterates as "BUY"
(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) upgrades to "OVERWEIGHT"
Previously: "EQUAL WEIGHT"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY) ⤴️ $(VIP ONLY)
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) 🇺🇸🟡⤴️🟢
Analyst: UBS upgrades to "BUY"
Previously: "NEUTRAL"
Price Target: $54 ⤴️ $55
(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) initiates as "BUY"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)
(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) initiates as "BUY"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)
(VIP ONLY)🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) initiates as "BUY"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)
Nasdaq (NDAQ) 🇺🇸🔴⤴️🟢
Analyst: Bank of America upgrades to "BUY"
Previously: "UNDERPERFORM"
Price Target: $53 ⤴️ $90
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Melius reiterates as "BUY"
(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) initiates as "BUY"
Price Target: $(VIP ONLY)
Visa (V) 🇺🇸🟢
Analyst: Compass Point initiates as "BUY"
Price Target: $319
🟡 Neutral Ratings:
Airbnb (ABNB) 🇺🇸🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: Argus downgrades to "HOLD"
Previously: "BUY"
Booking Holdings (BKNG) 🇺🇸🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: Jefferies downgrades to "HOLD"
Previously: "BUY"
Price Target: $4,350 ⤵️ $4,200
(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: (VIP ONLY) downgrades to "HOLD"
Previously: "BUY"
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) 🇺🇸🟢⤵️🟡
Analyst: Barclays downgrades to "EQUAL WEIGHT"
Previously: "OVERWEIGHT"
Price Target: $693 ⤵️ $438
🔴 Negative Ratings:
Meta (META) 🇺🇸🔴
Analyst: Needham reiterates as "UNDERPERFORM"
Price Target (or target price): When an analyst sets a price target for a stock, he or she is trying to determine what the stock is worth and where the price will be in ~12 months. Ultimately, price targets depend on the valuation of the company issuing the stock. Analysts base their price targets usually on earnings forecasts and assumed valuation multiples. Price targets (especially average price targets) can be used to value stocks and may even be more useful than a stock analyst's rating.
🟢 = positive rating
🟡 = neutral rating
🔴 = negative rating
⤴️ = upgrade
⤵️ = downgrade
You can find the Analyst Rating Updates also on the Website:
Click HERE 🔗
💬 As a subscriber / member - you can also comment there and exchange information with other community members!
SmartTrader™ Analyst team
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🔰
SELL NOW* 🔽 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ volatile
► We see increased rate cut expectations (for a Fed rate cut of 50bps) after the number of US job openings fell in July to the lowest level since early 2021, while the number of layoffs rose - which is in line with other recent signs of weakening labor demand. The number of available jobs fell to 7.67 million, down from 7.91 million the previous month.
► This also briefly provided a slight tailwind for equities - but this is likely to be short-lived as there are more signs of a slowdown in the US economy - even with the current heightened hopes of a major Fed rate cut in September, pushing yields lower and causing the USD to fall somewhat - tailwinds for growth stocks - and especially for interest rate sensitive/investment-heavy growth stocks such as (VIP ONLY).
► (VIP ONLY) is also benefiting from rising sales (VIP ONLY) China, which (VIP ONLY). However, the overall picture remains bleak - general demand (VIP ONLY) has been weak this year, especially in Europe. At the same time, (VIP ONLY) margins are falling.
► We sell (VIP ONLY) strong (VIP ONLY) rise here (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 45+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW / SOON*🔽 (VIP ONLY)
⚠️ Volatile
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🔰
BUY WHEN** NYSE OPENS 🔼 Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) 🇺🇸
At first glance, we are now seeing stabilized markets after further losses in pre-market trading. I think it's still too early to buy on dips now (depending on US labor market data of course) - but we are seeing a deeply concerned market, especially after the probably overdone recovery rally in August that brought stocks back near all-time highs. We see further headwinds from the chip sector - Nvidia is trading ~1.5% lower again in pre-market trading / Intel even at almost -3%. We are not SHORT on Wall Street - but we are SHORT on the DAX. We will see some dip buying - but overall the nervous markets (and the elevated VIX) will cause further waves of profit-taking.
► We will certainly see quite a bit of volatility at the NYSE opening. Overall, we expect the sell-off (especially in the tech sector) to continue. We may therefore enter the (VIP ONLY) at around (VIP ONLY) and take a SHORT position (range (VIP ONLY)*). We see fairly broad losses in the risk-sensitive growth sector - but also in other cyclical sectors, with only more defensive sectors, such as consumer staples and health care, showing modest gains or little change in trading.
► Early August saw a similar sell-off, which also plays an important role in market sentiment currently, including the fact that September is generally the worst (and most volatile) month for Wall Street (if you look at the average monthly performance of the S&P 500 since 1950).
► We expect the current selloff to continue, but also the current rotation from growth to defensive. I like defensive stocks here - especially high-dividend blue chips. I like Pepsi, Coca-Cola as well as McDonald's and Co. but here we pick Johnson & Johnson from the consumer staples/healthcare sector, which is benefiting from the current rotation but also has very positive momentum with strong growth in the Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments, driven by new products and strong strategic acquisitions.
► J&J pays a reliable dividend of 3.1% and has a very reasonable valuation - there is still room for an increase. We buy JNJ in the range of 167.20 - 167.70**.
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by~ 300 - 320 (30,000% - 32,000%) trading Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 70.046
TP ✅ @: 69.186
We found a great entry into WTI with oil turning exactly around in the range we expected. We now secure profits with a tight SL. We give oil prices room to cool down again towards $69.00.
Also our gold position is in profit. Please set an in-profit SL once gold hit $2,484.50.
——
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Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 26.07 - 28.08 (26 trading days)
121 / 137 = 88.3% ❗️ Success Rate
(July 25 - 5/6 = 83.3% SR dropped out)
✅ 29.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.10667)
✅ 29.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19563.30)
✅ 29.8 - META - LONG ↗️ (SL - 522.49)
✅ 29.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 41369.90)
✅ 29.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2515.16)
✅ 29.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19577.90| + Re-Entry)
✅ 29.8 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.10503)
✅ 29.8 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 521.77 f. me |TP - 519.87 / 523.43)
8/8 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 30.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19581.70)
1/1 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 3.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2487.56 | clsd ~2485.50, SL 2490.16)
✅ 3.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2492.51)
✅ 3.9 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 21.03 | or clsd 20.67 - 20.85)
❌ 3.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18813.30 | +re-entry)
✴️ 3.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.11331 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 1.10462 🔄
✅ 3.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2485.56 | or TP - 2478.86)
4/6 - (1 open positions)
Nothing new here. Our EUR/USD position is currently a bit more than 50 pips out of profit - that's not very much, but we are limiting losses here with a relatively tight SL. Tomorrow's NFP data will move the USD significantly. I don't think we'll see a similar negative surprise as last month - nor do I think the Fed will “overtake” the ECB in terms of speed of rate cuts.
We continue to have a success rate of over 88% (in our 5-week period) - which will increase again tomorrow with a 100% performance day joining the 5-week-period (August 29).
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SELL NOW 🔽 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
► The Nasdaq saw a return of dip buying after falling more than 300 points following a short-term rise to just above 19100. We see the tech-heavy index now trying to reclaim 19000 but facing profit-taking again 80 minutes before the end of regular trading.
► The market has been overly sensitive to potential growth fears in recent weeks, such as Tuesday's sell-off after weak manufacturing data and the initial sharp losses after today's ADP payrolls report, which showed the slowest private hiring since 2021. Positive data on initial jobless claims and data showing that the US services sector expanded slightly faster than expected in August only then brought dip buying back.
► Ahead of tomorrow's NFP report and the unemployment rate update, we are now taking a cautious view of the market again. We expect investors to be concerned about potentially disappointing data - especially knowing how much stocks sold off last month when the NFP data came in worse than expected and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3% (vs. 4.1% expected).
► We are going SHORT again here (range 18980 - 19000).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
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This signal is delayed by ~50 minutes ⚠️
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 228.56
TP ✅ @: 225.16
We also secure big profits with our Tesla position. Tesla rose a bit further - with Tesla always being a very sentiment driven stock but also as generally saw dip-buying in New York and in particular in big tech.
There is more downside potential - but we may first see slight gains again before selling returns.
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 18841.60
OR
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 18810 - 18850
We found the perfect re-entry into the Nasdaq which indeed hit resistance at 19100. Our overall position is now extremely deep in profit.
We don't want to be too greedy here and set a now tight TP or close now / soon to secure a nice profit.
My position closed a bit earlier just now (18863 - deep in profit)
Congratulations! 🎆
🔰 RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🔰
SELL NOW 🔽 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ volatile
► We see (VIP ONLY) significantly higher again - currently up (VIP ONLY)% and close to/above (VIP ONLY). (VIP ONLY) we found a good entry price in (VIP ONLY) and closed with a profit (VIP ONLY) - now we see (VIP ONLY) significantly above (VIP ONLY) ...
► The(VIP ONLY) has announced that it plans to launch (VIP ONLY) ...
► The Nasdaq 100 has recovered and is now 0.5% higher than yesterday, with the big tech companies seeing some dip buying. We expect the dip buying to subside soon and profit taking to return - especially in the second half of US trading.
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
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SELL AFTER NYSE OPENED 🔽 General Motors (GM) 🇺🇸
We have seen conflicting labor market reports: The ADP report shows that hiring was very weak in August (the lowest level since 2021), while initial jobless claims did not rise and were even below expectations. The market will move sideways today as investors are mainly waiting for tomorrow's NFP report. Given the impact that the NFP report had on the markets last month, it is no surprise that investors are not making any major bets today - however, they may become more cautious towards the end of today's trading session.
🔹 The Nasdaq (- 0.35%) continues its slide as expected. Yesterday's JOLTs data caused a short-lived upswing and triggered a rebound trap. Our SHORT position triggered the TP after today's weak ADP report. We entered very well after the jobless claims data and remain SHORT. We won't see any big moves, so we have a not very wide TP ✅ @: 18787.60.
🔹 Johnson & Johnson (+0.0%) is little changed, but overall remains in its upward momentum. We can set a TP near yesterday's highs TP ✅ @: 168.69. The defensive stock will continue to benefit from cautious trading.
► We sell General Motors after another strong opening (at 49.00 - 49.25* ; up ~1%) and expect the cyclical sector to remain under pressure today. General Motors is up 34% this year - a strong outperformance after General Motos was overlooked for a long time - mainly because the focus is on Tesla. However, we see that the auto industry is struggling - very clear signals are coming from Volkswagen, which is seeing a dramatic fall in sales. China - also a key market for GM - continues to struggle, while competition (especially in the electric car sector) continues to increase and weigh on margins. General Motors has seen strong sales of its pick-ups (in the US), but the outlook for 2025 is uncertain, especially as GM focuses more on electric vehicles - an industry that has become very tough with razor-thin margins. Investment firm Wolfe downgraded General Motors today, which will put additional pressure on the Detroit automaker.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 1,000 - 1,200 (100,000% - 120,000%) trading General Motors (GM).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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What a beautiful NYSE opening trade - yet again!
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❗️ ADP data shows hiring is slowing
The ADP employment data is the next data point showing a further slowdown in the US labor market. There were 99K new jobs in the US private sector (instead of the expected 115K and down significantly from July's 145K). While yesterday's weak JOLTS labor market data initially led to a positive reaction on Wall Street (due to increased rate cut hopes / lower yields / weaker USD) and lured many traders into a recovery trap (not us), the ADP data now caused losses in New York, which also pushed our Nasdaq 100 SHORT into the TP ✅ @: 18856.70. We see that yields are now 2 basis points lower (for the US 10Y) and the USD is weakening slightly.
More labor market data coming up - next jobless claims in 10 minutes.
If you are still SHORT in the Nasdaq 100 - you can set your TP ✅ @: 18801 or close near that area 18750 - 18805 - congrats!
📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Thursday, September 5
❗️ Global equities stable for now after recent declines; Markets await further US labor market data
► The Stoxx 600 Index in Europe is little changed today as gains in some sectors were offset by heavy losses in chemicals and mining stocks. Iron ore prices fell to their lowest level since 2022, putting pressure on the sector. Traders are closely watching US initial jobless claims data later today and continue to await Friday's non-farm payrolls (NFP) report for clues on the Fed's next moves. Swap markets expect at least 100 basis points of rate cuts this year, with a “jumbo” 50 basis point cut also possible.
► US futures contracts held steady after a mixed Wednesday where all three major indices ended the day little changed, losing much of their earlier gains as market focus has shifted to Friday's NFP report and traders eagerly await more data outlining the health of the labor market. The ISM US services PMI report could also move markets today as investors look for further indications of how robust the US economy is. The JOLTS report released yesterday showed that the number of job openings is at its lowest level since 2021, raising hopes of a Fed rate cut. Treasury yields remained stable for today, as did the USD after yesterday's declines.
► Asian equities presented a mixed picture. The Nikkei 225 dropped by over 1%, extending its losses as Japanese wage growth slowed and concerns lingered over rising costs. Meanwhile, China’s Shanghai Composite managed a small gain, buoyed by improved risk sentiment. However, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell as investors digested reports of potential mortgage interest rate cuts to stimulate the Chinese property market. Australian stocks rose by 0.23% after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates unchanged, with a focus on balancing inflation control and labor market gains.
► Oil prices are little changed at $69/barrel after their recent decline, as market attention shifted to Middle East cease-fire talks, which reduced some risk premiums for crude. Gold prices increased to $2,515/oz, on track to post gains for the third consecutive month, as the market continues to seek safe-haven assets ahead of the upcoming U.S. jobs report (Friday) and Fed decision (Sept 18) and following yesterday's slide in yields post softer-than-expected labor market data.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇦🇺 Balance of Trade - 01:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 Factory Orders - 06:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪🇪🇺🇮🇹🇫🇷 HCOB Construction PMI - 07:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Construction - 08:30 (released: 🔴)
♦️ 🇺🇸 ADP Employment Change - 12:15
♦️ 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims - 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 ISM Services PMI - 14:00
🔸 🇺🇸 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change - 15:00
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
🌙 Broadcom (AVGO) 🇺🇸
🌙 Samsara (IOT) 🇺🇸
☀️ Sekisui House (SKHSY) 🇯🇵 (released: 🟢)
🌙 DocuSign (DOCU) 🇺🇸
(...a few more with market cap <$10B)
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
✅ Performance: Jul 25 - Aug 27 (26 trading days)
❌ 15 trades LOST
✅ 121 trades WON
121/136 = 89% success rate
🎉 Congratulations SmartTrader Community 🎉
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 219.07
TP ✅ @: 215.56
We secure nice profits with our Tesla position. We found a very strong entry above $220.00 and see the stock now 1.2% below our initial entry.
We secure profits and give Tesla more room to trim today's losses.
Tesla remains a beautiful cash cow for us - forever.
——-
ENOUGH MISSED... ❌🥵
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 18607.60
TP ✅ @: 18534.60
We don't want to increase our risk exposure against a rebound in stocks. Increased rate cut expectations in the US (after a soft labor market report briefly improved risk sentiment).
The DAX was very little impacted and also doesn't see much of the sharp rise in volatility that we see in the S&P 500 (measured by the VIX) or even more so in the Nasdaq 100.
We secure nice profits with our DAX position. We work with a wide TP. We expect more selling towards NYSE closing (also in the US).
———
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SELL NOW 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⚠️ To receive all trading signals (and non-delayed signals & updates) - become a SmartTrader VIP member (you can join for FREE). Benefit as a VIP member from by far the most accurate trading signals in the world. SmartTrader is the only fully transparent trading channel and signal provider and the only one that bases all its signals on in-depth fundamental and sentiment analysis. If you follow our signals correctly and apply basic risk management (e.g. never risk more than 3-4% of your balance in a trade, including possible re-entries), you have a 100% chance of trading successfully over a period of more than two weeks. We have not had a single negative month in the last six years and on average win over 80% of all our trades.
► The gold price rose again to $2,500 after new US labor market data (job openings) confirmed the recent signs of a weakening US labor market, which in turn is a sign of a weakening US economy.
► The Fed has recently stated that it no longer wants to see a weakening of the US labor market. Therefore, today's JOLTs labor market data, which came in lower than expected and is also the lowest it has been since January 2021, has had a significant effect on yields (and the USD) as it has raised expectations for Fed rate cuts (and possibly an outsized 50bp rate cut - still very unlikely for me).
► We saw a significant drop in yields, with US 10-year bond yields falling more than 6bps - we are now seeing yields narrowing their losses and the USD stabilizing.
► We are selling gold again (slightly below $2,500 / currently at ~$2,498).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2487.86
TP ✅ @: 2475.31
We found (again) the absolute perfect entry into gold and already set an in-profit SL (as said earlier). We keep the wide TP.
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❌ DON'T MISS OUT (!!!!) ❌
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 69.867
TP ✅ @: 69.031
We see WTI soon dipping back to $69.00. We adjust our TP slightly and tighten our SL.
A beautiful trade (against the short-term "trend") - congratulations!
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⚠️ To receive all trading signals (and non-delayed signals & updates) - become a SmartTrader VIP member (you can join for FREE). Benefit as a VIP member from by far the most accurate trading signals in the world. SmartTrader is the only fully transparent trading channel and signal provider and the only one that bases all its signals on in-depth fundamental and sentiment analysis. If you follow our signals correctly and apply basic risk management (e.g. never risk more than 3-4% of your balance in a trade, including possible re-entries), you have a 100% chance of trading successfully over a period of more than two weeks. We have not had a single negative month in the last six years and on average win over 80% of all our trades.
► Gold is back above $2,490 and thus well above our triggered TP (either ✅: 2485.56 or ✅: 2478.86). Gold is getting some support from risk-averse sentiment, slightly lower yields and the USD, which is losing some (currently almost all) of yesterday's modest gains. We are (VIP ONLY), range $(VIP ONLY)
► We see more short-term (VIP ONLY) for gold, (VIP ONLY) bullish outlook and the current risk-off sentiment. We also see (VIP ONLY) - including a test of (VIP ONLY)...
► Gold remains near its all-time high and is (VIP ONLY) - for example in the face of further equity market weakness - which is a typical (VIP ONLY) ...
► I also expect the market to understand in the coming sessions that hopes for a Fed rate cut (VIP ONLY). Gold also remains (VIP ONLY), including other precious metals and (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
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