⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2501.79
TP ✅ @: 2509.93
Congratulations - we made a scary perfect gold trade with the perfect entry and prediction with gold indeed bouncing after shortly falling below $2,500.
We see now slight resistance at $2,505 - gold may again dip back to $2,500. We see gold moving back above $2,510 in the very near term.
We are now securing our position.
——-
We also won now 11 gold trades in a row and hit the turn-around with perfection.
✅ 27.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅✴️ 09.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL in Profit)
11/11 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/(VIP ONLY)
► We traded the EUR/USD well after the NFP data and want to remain EUR SHORT as inflation in the Eurozone has already reached the ECB target and further rate cuts are imminent - the ECB is likely to cut rates again by 25 basis points on Wednesday after a pause in July.
► The (VIP ONLY) faced headwinds from a stronger USD - especially after Friday's NFP data. A stronger USD weighs on the (VIP ONLY) (more than on the (VIP ONLY)) due to the (VIP ONLY) ...
► The (VIP ONLY) is currently one of the most (VIP ONLY) central banks, with most analysts now expecting (VIP ONLY) in 2024. The(VIP ONLY) made it relatively clear at the last meeting (in (VIP ONLY)) that market expectations (VIP ONLY) ...
► The (VIP ONLY) has seen some headwinds in recent sessions due to general risk-off sentiment and the underperformance of (VIP ONLY) following recent further (VIP ONLY), disappointing growth data and strong signs of weakening (VIP ONLY), including(VIP ONLY)s. We expect a positive session for (VIP ONLY) tomorrow. We expect the EUR/(VIP ONLY) to fall back into the (VIP ONLY) range in the short term (possibly as early as tomorrow).
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 18664.30
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 165.97
TP ✅ @: 167.69
Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 911.43 (*optional)
We are seeing choppy markets, after a strong session in pre-market - certainly also driven by buying from oversold territory - we saw some technical profit taking, but now a rebound again.
The JNJ position may have already reached the TP (if so, that's fine - even if with a small loss), if not, you can give the consumer staple giant a little more room to the upside to close with a profit. Sorry for the slightly delayed update.
We are now also setting a tight TP for our position in the Nasdaq 100. We see buying returning - especially in chip stocks, but also in some of the big tech stocks, such as Amazon, but also Meta, which found support at around $502. We don't expect massive gains for the Nasdaq 100 from here (but our position is nicely in profit), especially as tomorrow is also a rather quiet day (and ahead of the important US CPI data on Wednesday).
Eli Lilly saw some profit taking but has recovered and is little changed overall (+0.15% for today/current). We remain LONG for now - but you can set a tight TP.
🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW / SOON* 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENING 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
🔹 Johnson & Johnson (+ 0,2 %) remains little changed. We tighten our TP ✅ @: 166.69 and SL 🔑 @: 164.04.
🔹 Meta Platforms (+ 1.2 %) opens well after heavy losses in the previous week. We set a tight TP ✅ @: 514.89.
► We see more recovery potential in tech stocks/the Nasdaq, although the tech-heavy index is already 0.8% higher today (or in reality even better, considering the additional selling after the close on Friday).
► We see some of the very heavily sold stocks - such as Nvidia or chip stocks, the Magnificent 7 - that underperformed the S&P 500 in the previous week, with solid gains in pre-market trading and with more room for a recovery after the heavy losses in the previous week and overselling on Friday despite overall solid labor market data (still showing a cooling labor market but no dramatic signs of an imminent recession). We could trade individual oversold stocks, like Nvidia, Tesla, Alphabet (we are already LONG in Meta), but I prefer to trade the broader (growth) market. The investment banks remain bullish and there are more positive analyst opinions on the Magnificent 7 stocks, including Apple, Microsoft and Nvidia.
► We finished our Friday NYSE closing Nasdaq-100 (LONG; optional) with a large profit and are getting back in. We will see volatility around the NYSE opening (entry range 18550 - 18590).
► We also buy the dip in (VIP ONLY), which fell about (VIP ONLY)% in the prior week, also after announcing (VIP ONLY), which I don't see as a significant headwind since it was clear (VIP ONLY). We buy (VIP ONLY) in the (VIP ONLY) range and continue to see the (VIP ONLY) giant with very strong revenue growth.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 3.5 - 5 (350% - 500%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
⏱ Signal / Update DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Monday, September 9
❗️ European stocks rebound after Friday losses and amid ECB & Fed rate cut anticipation
► European equities staged a strong recovery today, with the Stoxx 600 gaining 0.8%, surprising investors who sold in panic (unlike our chief analyst who expected a recovery on Monday and positioned us accordingly) and partially recovering from last week's 3.5% loss. Inflation in Europe continues to fall, providing a buffer for equity markets. Technology stocks led the way as investors looked ahead to Thursday's European Central Bank meeting, where a 25 basis point rate cut is expected. The German DAX rose 0.8%, while the French CAC gained 0.8%. The UK's FTSE 100 gained 0.7%, supported by positive sentiment after last week's sell-off. Yields rose on the European bond markets, with the yield on ten-year German Bunds climbing by 6 basis points to 2.24 %.
► After last week's sell-off, US equities are set for a recovery on Monday. Many investors sold in panic on Friday, even in after-hours trading, and have now missed the recovery (or attempt at a recovery). Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose by over 0.7% and 1% respectively, following a sharp sell-off resulting in the worst week for the S&P since S&P 500. Bond yields are front and center as investors debate how quickly the Fed will reduce rates, with bets largely leaning towards a quarter-percentage-point cut at the September 18 meeting. Treasury yields climbed, with the 10-year yield rising 5 basis points to 3.76%, reflecting market uncertainty over the Fed’s pace of easing.
► Asian stocks were mostly in the red, tracking last week’s Wall Street losses. Japan’s Nikkei index fell by over 0.7%, marking its lowest in a month, following underwhelming Q2 growth data. Meanwhile, China’s inflation figures sparked mixed reactions, with the CPI rising 0.6% year-on-year, while producer prices shrank by 1.8%, marking the 23rd consecutive month of declines. Mainland stocks fell to seven-month lows as concerns over economic recovery lingered. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped for the fifth straight session, mirroring the retreat in riskier assets.
► Oil prices are little changed and remain weak trading at below $68/barrel (spot price) after its largest drop in nearly two weeks as discussions around a Middle East cease-fire reduced geopolitical risks. Meanwhile, gold prices declined slightly to $2,495/oz affected by the decrease in yields from last week.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇨🇳 Inflation Rate / CPI - 01:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇨🇳 PPI - 01:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇺🇸 Consumer Inflation Expectations - 15:00
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
🌙 Oracle (ORCL) 🇺🇸
(...a few more with market cap <$6B)
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
✅ 5.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18602.10)
✅ 5.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 18863 f. me|or clsd 18810 -18850 ; +re-entry)
✅ 5.9 - GM - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 48.15)
✅ 5.9 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 228.56)
✅ 5.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 18836.60) 🔄📸
5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
TODAY :
(✅ 6.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18843.00 f. me | or clsd 18810 - 18850) - optional trade 📸)
✅ 6.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL -2513.36) 📸
✅ 6.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.10667) 📸
❌ 6.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18594.30 | +re-entry)
✅ 6.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2504.51 f. me | or clsd 2502.50 - 2503.67)
✴️ 6.9 - META - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 6.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.10886)
(✴️ 6.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit - optional trade)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 18263.30 | TP ✅ @: 18698.70
4/6 - (1 open position / excl. optional trades)
Our expectations for the NFPs were spot on (our forecast in particular), but markets ended up still spooked by an overall very difficult picture of the US economy/labor market and in particular what this means for the prospects of Fed rate cuts.
Stocks are still very volatile, which usually leads to further panic selling - especially on a Friday and with an overall uncertain picture. We may have been a little too quick to buy the dips - although I already see good opportunities for medium term investment - including Nvidia.
We could have done even better on yesterday's Nasdaq 100 SHORT 📸 and should have focused more on risk sentiment and the impact on yields (which we did with our gold and EUR/USD positions very well). We could have made even bigger profits in gold - which was very difficult to trade today and certainly caused many investors/traders to fall into the bull traps. Congratulations on some excellent gold trades though.
It was another outstanding week - congratulations 👏. We have another volatile week ahead of us.
🔰 OPTIONAL TRADE 🕯
BUY NOW / SOON* 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; 2/3 Trading Size
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
►At the end of a volatile week - the S&P 500's worst weekly loss in more than a year (also worse than the early August selloff - which was triggered by weak July jobs data )- we could stay out of the market or (VIP ONLY)
► Investors were confused about this week's jobs data and the implications for Fed rate cuts. The labor market data was mixed and showed further signs of weakness in the US economy, but perhaps not enough to trigger a 50 basis point rate cut this month. Overall, I see weak data as a bad again. The market has been spoiled with almost perfect data recently (and wanted more of it) - in addition, the market is often nervous at the beginning of September.
► The fact that stocks have stabilized in the last few hours of trading this week, rather than the selling accelerating, is a cautiously positive (VIP ONLY). We also see that some of the heavy selling stocks are now in an area where they are seeing more technical support - like (VIP ONLY) near $(VIP ONLY), after another weak day and a week of more than a (VIP ONLY)% decline.
► Monday will be rather quiet (at least in terms of data). Chinese inflation data could be slightly positive - so more signs that deflation is over. Today's labor market data was actually good in my opinion - better than in July (although the data for June and July was revised down even further), but slow enough to clearly assume that the Fed is now starting the rate cut cycle and will continue to cut consistently in the coming months - which should give a tailwind to (VIP ONLY) - especially (VIP ONLY) ...
► It's (VIP ONLY) - but I'm (VIP ONLY) here (range (VIP ONLY)*) and expect (VIP ONLY) on Monday. We are limiting potential losses and working with an SL (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
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⚡️RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/USD
► Our TP (1.10667) was perfectly set - then the EUR/USD rose again, now back above 1.11100 (short-term spike to even 1.11350 on some dovish Fed comments) i.e. nearly 50 pips above our triggered TP - basically to the level before the publication of the NFP data. We are going SHORT again.
► We saw yields fall again sliding lower (to session lows), which also pushed the DXY back into negative territory. I do not see a sufficient signal here that the Fed would cut by 50 bps in the upcoming rate decision - it is a risk that the Fed is unlikely to take (for fear of an overreaction).
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
► We (VIP ONLY) gold (range (VIP ONLY) with the now short (VIP ONLY) back to $(VIP ONLY). The initial reaction after the jobs data was causing yields and the USD to fall. We now see the opposite (VIP ONLY) gold (VIP ONLY) ATH.
► Gold saw typical buying near (VIP ONLY), we expect gold to (VIP ONLY) later today.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.11112
TP ✅ @: 1.10686
Also our EUR/USD is already 50 - 60 (!) pips in profit. We traded the initial market reaction well here - which, however, could have resulted in your previous EUR/USD to hit SL (we should have worked with a wider SL as we expected correctly what will happen - also as initial reaction on the data).
Congratulations!
———
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⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
► We are seeing EXACTLY the expected market reaction - which is also due to analysts' overly optimistic expectations and traders don't understand the concept of "true expectations".
► The initial market reaction - a slide in the USD and a recovery in government bonds - is now weakening as traders and analysts evaluate the labor market figures more closely (basically coming to a conclusion - which we already knew or correctly predicted)
► At 142,000 for August and a three-month average of just 116,000, the rise in employment figures is weaker than analysts' optimistic expectations - but it does not indicate that the US labor market is collapsing, as the July data suggested.
► We return to the Nasdaq, which is now encountering resistance at 18900 (we may return to the 18850 - 18885 range). I expect the Nasdaq to continue rising towards 19000+.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———
Congratulations - our analysis BEFORE the jobs data (prediction) and what will happen right after it (initial reaction / direction after initial reaction) was very likely the world's most accurate analysis.
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⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/USD
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
► I still see not enough reason here to see here a dramatically worsening labor market that needs strong support from the Fed.
► The further weakening USD is in my opinion a mispricing / - reaction. The ECB is not less dovish than the Fed and the Eurozone economy is in much more need of fiscal support.
► We thus get back in SHORT (near / above our triggered SL - 1.11350 - 1.11500). I see the USD not much further weakened from this report as . believe the "true expectations" (for jobs data) were likely lower.
► We also generally see a positive reaction now - with the Nasdaq breaking the 18900. We will look for a good re-entry.
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
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⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
► We see gold first higher - as the data came in below analysts' very optimistic expectations which first causes further USD weakness (our EUR/USD hit SL) and yields to drop. However, the data is much better than July's surprise (negative) report.
► We sell gold here near ATH - 2526 - 2530.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL ⚠️
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 23+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———
🥇📈2️⃣5️⃣2️⃣9️⃣📉
Please make sure you receive our signals on time ⏰
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯 (optional trade!)
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 18547.00
TP ✅ @: 19089.00 (optional)
FYI: I am trading it. If jobs data comes indeed significantly better than expectations - we will not only see stocks rebound, but also for instance gold fall, yields rise, USD rebound. If jobs data is coming in similarly weak as in July - we will see a much weaker USD, gold surge and also stocks fall sharply.
Just be aware - I can't guarantee here our "usual" 90+% success rate trading indices.
Our Nasdaq 100 short from yesterday, btw. hit our TP overnight for a very nice profit - congratulations! 👏
NFP / unemployment data in 20 minutes!
———
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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Friday, September 6
❗️ Global stocks fall ahead of key US jobs data; Markets brace for NFP Report
► European stocks are heading for their worst week since early August, with the Stoxx 600 down 0.3% amid concerns over upcoming US jobs data. Germany recorded a trade surplus of €16.8B in July, but industrial production dropped by 2.4% over the previous month. France reported a trade deficit of €5.9B, with both exports and imports decreasing in July. Industrial production in France also fell by 0.5%. These economic indicators that continue show weakness (especially in Germany) have contributed to the cautious tone in European markets as investors look ahead to the US Federal Reserve's next move.
► US stock futures declined ahead of the August nonfarm payrolls & unemployment reports (due 12;30 UTC+0), with Nasdaq 100 futures down over 0.5% and S&P 500 futures down 0.4%. Markets are awaiting the jobs data to gauge the likelihood of a "jumbo" rate cut (50-bps instead of 25-bps) later this month. 10-year US Treasury yields dipped by 3 basis points to 3.70%. Expectations for a 25 basis-point rate cut remain strong, but there is a 35% chance (according to swap markets) the Fed could deliver a larger 50 basis-point reduction.
► Asian equity markets closed mostly lower as forecasted by SmartTrader Chief Analyst Robert Lindner, with investors focused on the anticipated US jobs report. Japan’s Nikkei fell over 0.6%, marking its third straight session of losses as the further strengthening JPY pressured local stocks. China's markets also posted declines amid ongoing deflationary concerns and a lack of policy support. In contrast, Australia’s ASX 200 rose by 0.43%, led by financial stocks, even as the Reserve Bank of Australia maintained a cautious stance on interest rates despite sluggish economic growth.
► Oil is on track for its biggest weekly loss in almost a year due to concerns about weak demand and ample supply, despite OPEC+ delaying a planned output increase which according to our chief analyst, however, is a signal that the OPEC is worried about reduced demand and thus a bearish signal for markets. WTI Crude oil prices are hovering around $68.5/barrel (spot price). Meanwhile, gold prices remain steady above $2,515/oz, benefiting from the weaker USD and lower yields and investor uncertainty ahead of the US jobs report.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇩🇪 Balance of Trade - 06:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇩🇪 Industrial Production - 06:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 Balance of Trade - 06:45 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 Industrial Production - 06:45 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇪🇺 GDP Growth Rate - 09:00
🔸 🇪🇺 Employment Change - 09:00
🔸 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate - 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Non Farm Payrolls - 12:30 ❗️
♦️ 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate - 12:30 ❗️
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
No significant earnings reports
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
► After (VIP ONLY) gold trades (all of which we won = 100% success rate), we are trading gold(VIP ONLY). (VIP ONLY) the market has reduced expectations of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut, we have seen gold (VIP ONLY) ...
► (VIP ONLY) expectations of a 50bp rate cut are now lower after the NFP data showed no need for further emergency Fed action, swap markets are (VIP ONLY) for 2024 - which is (VIP ONLY) three rate decisions left for 2024.
► We are therefore now (VIP ONLY) and expect gold to (VIP ONLY) $2,(VIP ONLY), while also assuming that investors are (VIP ONLY) Wednesday's US CPI data will (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——
✅ 29.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 01.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (Re-Entry)
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 14.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 23.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 26.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
30/33 = 90.9% Success Rate
✴️ 09.9 - XAU/USD - (VIP ONLY) ❓
Write us! Become SmartTrader VIP MEMBER for FREE 👤👑
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 18664.30
We have closed our next index trade at a profit. If you're still in - you can close minimally better at 18700 (but please don't be greedy here) - we expect some resistance at 18700 and the opportunity to find a better re-entry.
——-
✅ 13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
✅ 23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 26.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.8 - DAX40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 27.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
❌ 28.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 28.8 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 28.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 28.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 29.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 29.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
✅ 30.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
❌ 03.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
✅ 04.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 05.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 05.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 05.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 05.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (optional)
❌ 06.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+ pot. re-entry)
✅ 06.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (optional)
✅ 09.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ 📸
40/43 = 93% Success Rate
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2501.13
TP ✅ @: 2493.53
We found the perfect range in which gold turns around after dip buying and see gold now heading towards $2,495. For now, however, the $2,500 level remains very key - meaning that we continue to see some increased buying below this level as well profit taking / selling above it.
We see reduced rate cut expectations now after Friday's labor market update (including a hotter-than-expected wage inflation).
——
✅ 29.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 31.7 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 01.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (Re-Entry)
✅ 05.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 14.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 20.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 21.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 23.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 26.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅✴️ 09.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL in profit) 📸
30/33 = 90.9% Success Rate
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
► Gold has tried to move back above $2,500 during the Asian session and again during the European session. So far we are seeing selling near/above $2,500. While we are also seeing some technical buying/recovery, we are also seeing higher yields and a stronger USD today (DXY clearly up at +0.4% - though slightly down again), which is working against gold fundamentally.
► While gold remains supported and bullish in the medium term thanks to Fed rate cuts in the coming months, Friday's labor market update reduces pressure on the Fed to cut rates quickly, even though the labor market remains weak - but unemployment fell slightly to 4.2% from 4.3%. At the same time, y-o-y wage inflation rose to 3.8% from 3.6% in July, slightly above expectations of 3.7%.
► Expectations for an interest rate cut of 50 basis points were lowered to below 25%. Much attention will be paid to Wednesday's US CPI data.
► We sell above $2,500 - range $2,503.50 - $2,507.00 and expect gold to fall back below $(VIP ONLY) in the next phase of profit taking. We see technical resistance near $2,510. Gold is currently benefiting somewhat from the fact that yields are cooling slightly again.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
🥇2️⃣5️⃣0️⃣4️⃣📉
WRITE US NOW AND BECOME VIP MEMBER 👤⚡️
OR: Other contact possibilities 🔗
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 18558.90
TP ✅ @: 18689.70
Our (optional) Nasdaq 100 position is deep in profit. We found a good entry on Friday at the close on the NYSE (although there was even more profit taking in after-hours trading).
Congratulations - a very difficult trade against the market (which was selling in panic). Huge profit over the weekend.
———
We trade indices over the last 3 months with an incredible success rate of over 90% ‼️. This most likely makes us more successful (probably even by some margin - which is actually unbelievable) than any other short-term trader in index trading.
Please continue to share some of your big index trading profits with people in need.
———
Unlock all signals (and receive all signals & updates without delay):
WRITE US NOW AND BECOME VIP MEMBER 👤⚡️
OR: Other contact possibilities 🔗
Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 29.07 - 29.08 (26 trading days)
127 / 143 = 88.8% ❗️ Success Rate 📈
(July 26 - 2/2 = 100% 🏆 SR dropped out)
✅ 30.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 19581.70)
1/1 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 3.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2487.56 | clsd ~2485.50, SL 2490.16)
✅ 3.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2492.51)
✅ 3.9 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 21.03 | or clsd 20.67 - 20.85)
❌ 3.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 18813.30 | +re-entry)
❌ 3.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.11331) 🔄
✅ 3.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2485.56 | or TP - 2478.86)
4/6 = 66.7% Success Rate
✅ 4.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 69.031)
✅ 4.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18607.60)
✅ 4.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2487.86)
✅ 4.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 18856.70)
✴️ 4.9 - JNJ - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 168.69
✅ 4.9 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 219.07)
✅ 4.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2495.43)
6/7 - (1 open position)
We are still scratching, or back to scratching, the 89% success rate in our five-week period - and staying in that range much longer than I would have expected possible - especially in the current really difficult and choppy markets that continue to take a very wait-and-see attitude - or in reality even saw very significant risk-off moves this week.
J&J was little changed today but could no longer benefit from the rotation out of the tech sector as we saw a broad sell-off overall.
We did not close the EUR/USD from July 3 well (we should have used a wider SL here) - but we were positioned correctly and closed two very good EUR/USD positions today with more (pips in) profit overall.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: 2503.67 (already hit my TP at 2504.51 📸)
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 2502.50 - 2505
Our gold trade is well in profit. I see that many of you closed earlier - near 2500 - a good price to close, especially as we expected gold to test that level (gold saw a rebound at 2500.50).
We now work with a tight SL or close now in profit. We see yields still lower although not anymore at session lows. We may see slight gold buying before the end of regular trading. It's good to close here with a nice profit - we can likely find anyways a better re-entry.
⚡️ UPDATE SIGNAL 🕯
STAY LONG / BUY NOW* 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 18619.70 ⚠️OUTDATED
⚠️ OUTDATED
⚡️ RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW** 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
► The Nasdaq was again pushed to near session lows, with chip stocks again dragging down the Nasdaq 100. In particular, Broadcom's very heavy losses (down almost 10%) after its fourth quarter revenue forecast yesterday came in slightly below Wall Street's optimistic expectations, hurt by sluggish spending in the company's broadband segment led to excessive panic. However, Broadcom's revenue and sales forecast for its AI chips rose sharply.
► However, the data must continue to be virtually perfect in the AI segment - any fear of slowing revenue growth in AI leads to strong sales - which we have also seen recently following good but just not completely astronomical numbers from Nvidia.
► We see overselling and are improving our entry into the Nasdaq 100 (range 18660 - 18700*). We are now working with a tight SL.
► We also sell the strong profit-taking in (VIP ONLY). After a positive opening, (VIP ONLY) fell to yesterday's lows (and now to daily lows). We buy (VIP ONLY) in the range of (VIP ONLY)** or more than 2% below the daily highs right after the NYSE opening.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5 - 7 (500% - 700%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
⏱ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——-
Our Nasdaq already hit the SL ⚠️ If you are still in - set a tight SL now - there is a good chance that the Nasdaq sees more selling (to and below 18500) due to the overselling in the chip sector causing some panic selling in tech.
⚠️ This post is delayed / outdated
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.10903
TP ✅ @: 1.10667
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 1.10750 (area)
Now more than 80 pips in profit. We tighten our SL by 21 pips. You can also close now.
I see the EUR/USD still too high - with the ECB being not less dovish than the Fed.
Congrats!
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2513.36
TP ✅ @: 2505.16 (or wider)
Unfortunately, this is was another difficult trap for most traders - also because they cannot estimate initial reactions and why they happen.
Our position is now very deep in the money and close to the TP. We will update again.
⏱ Update DELAYED by: 5+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed updates in the VIP Channel
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2517.21
TP ✅ @: 2507.26 (or wider)
We are trading the current movements with near perfection at the moment / our prediction was perfect. While the market positioned itself wrong ahead of NFP and is confused about the current reaction - we knew what will happen and also what the initial reaction will be due to the overly optimistic analysts expectations.
We secure nice profits.
Congratulations! 👏
A big once again not insignificant detail is actually a downward revision (again!) for June and July totaling 86,000 fewer jobs. As always, this looks suspicious as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics constantly revises the previous month's numbers downward. However, keeping that in mind, the current data (if trustworthy) is actually a pretty solid increase in terms of new jobs.
We are currently seeing lower yields and the swap market is now pricing in a 50% (!) chance of a 50 basis point rate cut later this month (overly optimistic).
This is why we see the USD weakening for the time being.
⏱ News Update DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed updates in the VIP Channel
⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 18810 - 18850
► Jobs data is better than July (better than the whisper number too) - slightly worse than analysts' optimistic expectations - basically exactly as WE expected. Please close the Nasdaq at a nice profit of ~18810 - 18850 as there could be some light selling soon as the vast majority of investors / traders don't understand “True Expectations”. Overall, however, this is GOOD enough data for Wall Street.
❗️ All eyes on US jobs data - my take on this data
We are seeing markets in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the highly anticipated jobs data release (NFP + unemployment rate) in a an hour (12:30 UTC).
Analysts are expecting significantly stronger labor market data compared to the surprise negative results from July. In July, hiring fell to its lowest level since the post-COVID crash, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.3%, down from 4.1% in June. This was contrary to the expectation of unemployment holding steady (at 4.1%). The jobs data from last month caused a sharp sell-off - which is also a reason why markets are currently cautious.
Are the analysts expectations realistic?
I think analysts are more on the optimistic side. However, there are actually good reasons to believe that the data will not be as bad as in July, especially given the unusual 30.6% spike in “temporary layoffs” in July. Such spikes in layoffs have only been recorded six times in the last 57 years, with two of them occurring during the COVID slump in 2020. It would be a significant anomaly to see another sharp rise in temporary layoffs, which was one of the main reasons for the rise in unemployment in July. It is therefore indeed likely that this effect on the unemployment rate was not repeated in August.
My Take on the Data
I do expect August's data to be better than July's, but I think analysts are leaning towards optimistic outcomes - not unrealistic though. It’s more likely the data will come in slightly worse than analysts expect but still an improvement over July - so still "good data". The real market expectations, or "whisper number," seem much lower, as evidenced by the weakness in the USD, falling yields, and headwinds in stocks this week. Given this, August’s jobs data could be better than the "whisper number", which might lead to an improvement in risk sentiment.
Trading Strategy
At the moment, we could consider opening a long position on the Nasdaq at 18,700. The current market caution combined with more pessimistic "whisper numbers" opens up the possibility of being positively surprised by the actual data.
🔰 OPTIONAL TRADE 🕯
BUY NOW* 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
/*near 18700 - with SL 🔑 ~ 18540 // TP ✅ 19000+ (optional)
Initial Reaction Caution
Be aware that the initial market reaction may not indicate the direction for upcoming days, especially given the optimistic analyst expectations. For instance, if 150K jobs are created (analysts' consensus is 160K), that would be below analysts expectations, but still much better than July and likely better than the unknown true expectations (whisper number). This could help stabilize the markets, but we might see an initial downward move before recovery sets in this particular scenario.
Data Revisions
One thing many traders overlook is the importance of revisions in previous data, which have recently been significant (more than in previous years). Some believe there's a political agenda behind these adjustments, as initial numbers are often revised downward in later months. This is another factor to watch closely in today’s report. Also important will be wage inflation - will also be released at the same time today (but less important than in previous months as the Fed said it will now focus more on supporting the labor market than fight inflation).
Long story short - this also gives you an idea of how deep my fundamental and in this case sentiment analysis goes. Most traders (>99.9%) don't understand the importance of actual market sentiment (“true expectations”) and always look at what the analysts say and react to the actual data vs. analyst consensus (which you also see in the screenshot) - worse, some “traders” believe that technical analysis and indicators predict where the markets are going on any given day - which is of course nonsense! Again, this is generally hard to understand as there is no data to indicate short-term market sentiment and the reason why we are outperforming >99.99% of the traders. Your Robert
✅ 4.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 69.031)
✅ 4.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18607.60) 🔄📸
✅ 4.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2487.86)
✅ 4.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 18856.70) 🔄📸
✴️ 4.9 - JNJ - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 168.69 🔄
✅ 4.9 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 219.07)
✅ 4.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2495.43)
6/7 - (1 open position)
TODAY :
✅ 5.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18602.10)
✅ 5.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 18863 f. me|or clsd 18810 -18850 ; +re-entry)
✅ 5.9 - GM - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 48.15) 📸
✅ 5.9 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 228.56)
✅(✴️) 5.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (open - SL in Profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 18942.70 | TP ✅ @: 18836.60
5/5 - (1 open position // 100% 🏆 Success Rate)
We continue to trade these really difficult sideways markets extremely well. We dodged a lot of bullets today, made the right decisions and were way ahead of the markets - but we should have also SHORTED oil after OPEC+ decided to postpone the production increase by two months - this initially led to gains (even above $70.00/barrel) but then to sharp losses - as always happens when markets take this type of news as a signal that OPEC+ is worried about oil demand rather than pricing in a slight reduction in global oil production.
Apart from that, our timing especially with indices continues to be exceptional. We were a bit unlucky with a tiny spike in the DAX 📸overnight - otherwise our position in our TP would have been closed. Congratulations!
*edit - today's performance is already at 100% 🏆 Success Rate