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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2577.77
TP ✅ @: 2582.89

We have again found a strong entry in gold - and are now securing profits with a tight SL. We saw a little more downside (to 2570), which is why we are now also setting a slightly tighter TP. We see the gold price very much driven by trading activity at the moment (overall low volatility as investors remain in wait-and-see).


——

We won 20 from our last 21 gold trades.

27.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 12.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 12.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 16.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅16.9 -XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅(✴️) 17.9 -XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL in profit) 📸

🔗 (clickable! = 100% transparency)

20/21 = 95.2% Success Rate

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19453.40
TP ✅ @: 19539.40

The Nasdaq 100 is now very close to our TP. We can widen slightly more but close soon with a nice profit. I expected support at 19300 yesterday but didn't wanted to over position us - especially as well as the rebound was very much depending on Apple anyways (and we are still LONG in Apple).

Update DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13.9 - EUR/GBP - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 0.84381)
13.9 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 687.69)
13.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19492.30)
✴️ 13.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 19526.40 🔄

3/4 - (1 open position)

TODAY :

16.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2579.67) 📸
✴️ 16.9 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 21.13 | TP ✅ @: 20.03
✴️ 16.9 - AAPL - LONG ↗️(open - in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 215.97 | TP ✅ @: 218.43
16.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2581.13) 📸

2/4 - (2 open positions)

Very unspectacular - still a solid day (at least traded) overall - but Intel is very painful and one of the very few unsuccessful NYSE opening trades for us. After-hours Intel is now up another ~7% as investors hope for further near-term gains as Intel spins off its foundry business into a subsidiary and (of course) enables debt financing. In reality, however, Intel doesn't really need more funding, but spinning off industries often leads to higher market capitalization in the short term.

We found some nice entries in gold today 📸 - but didn't close quite so perfectly - there was a lot more possible in the first gold position in particular. Gold remains fundamentally supported but still close to ATH - which makes short-term pullbacks likely.

Apple has room for a further recovery. We see the Nasdaq in a good position to move higher tomorrow - the Dow Jones hit a new ATH today, but we saw underperformance especially in the big tech and chip stocks.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 21.13
TP ✅ @: 20.03

Apple
(AAPL) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 215.97
TP ✅ @: 218.43

We are updating our two open equity positions before the NYSE closes. We see stocks stabilizing and the big tech companies recovering slightly from the earlier heavier losses.

Overall, we have seen that investors have not made any big bets today. INTC significantly outperformed today - especially against other chip stocks - and pushes our position clearly out of the money. We have seen Intel recover from recent heavy losses after news that more funding will be made available under the CHIPS and Science Act for the Secure Enclave program. Intel will disappoint, miss deadlines, make products that are too expensive and technologically outdated - Intel has done this in the past ~5+ years - but it has been enough for Intel (today) to bounce back from the recent extreme losses. We are now limiting the losses with an SL (if you are still in).

We are securing nice profits with our AAPL position - we still see significant upside potential from here.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2578.64
TP ✅ @: 2585.87

We see gold remaining in sideways movement and hovering near $2,580. We have hit the best possible (short-term) entry point right down to the minute.

We set now a tight in-profit SL. If triggered we will see gold likely again moving towards $2,576.


———

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸

► We see overselling in Apple - the world's most valuable company is currently trading 3.6% lower. We are buying the sharp decline here to ~$215.00 and expect dip buying. Early data on slow iPhone purchases/orders has now triggered some panic selling - at the same time we see less of a slowdown in the iPhone Pro Max (especially in China) which has higher margins.

Investment banks remain generally optimistic about Apple, and in particular that Apple Intelligence can continue to drive future Apple services and App Store revenue.

► Buyers may be disappointed that Apple Intelligence is delayed, which may have deterred early adopters from buying the high-end iPhones - including the fact that the iPhone 15 Pro and Pro Max will also be able to use Apple Intelligence. Sales figures for the iPhone 16 Plus (up 48% on the previous model at this point) and the standard iPhone (up 10%) are strong and well above those of the previous models.

► Access to Apple Intelligence through the previous generation of high-end iPhones is a good reason why sales of the high-end models are slightly lower. But I don't see a general slowdown here - on the contrary, sales are looking good.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 260 - 280 (26.000% - 28.000%) when trading Apple (APPL).

position code / 100% transparency - 24091303A

Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2579.67
TP ✅ @: 2584.97

We pull our SL now very tight as we see some resistance - despite yields sliding down and the USD edging further down as well (DXY at -0.5%). Gold receives more fundamental tailwinds now but seems to be unable to benefit from it - meaning we see some technical selling.

If our SL is triggered - we can find again a re-entry near $2,575.

If our now tightening TP is triggered - we can also find a re-entry near near $2,581.

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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

While gold has run hot and received an additional boost of uncertainty typical for Friday, we currently see more fundamental reasons for gold to remain supported even at ATH levels.

► Swap markets and analysts now mostly expect a rate cut of 50 basis points (instead of 25 basis points), which makes gold even more attractive as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding the yellow (non-yielding) precious metal.

► We also see the USD weakening significantly at the start of the week, although this is largely due to the strengthening JPY and CHF, as the expectation is that the interest rate differential will narrow. The DXY has lost more than 0.4%.

► Gold hovered above $2,580 in late Friday trading and reached another ATH today in Asian/European trading - at almost $2,590.

► We are buying the current mini dip (back to ~$2,575) and see gold climbing back to $2,585 very soon after profit taking near $2,590.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

position code / 100% transparency - 24091601A

Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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——-

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If you think you're making mistakes or not getting the support you need, we're here for you! Our support team is ready to help. You can also ask for a different account manager if you are having problems or are not happy with the help and guidance you are receiving.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Good morning & good evening!

You may have already seen my latest video on Instagram - I’m a bit late to share it here.

I’m excited to announce that we’ve launched a new exceptionally useful tool on our website to help you manage risk more effectively and trade our trading signals profitably:

The SmartTrader Stop Loss & Take Profit Calculator 🔗

Most of you may be wondering how it could possibly be that, despite our average success rate of over 87.5% in the last two months (over 83% in the last 12 months), you could not be very profitable. The answer then lies in taking too large positions, especially through unnecessary re-entries, which can result in a single trade having a disproportionate impact on the trading account.

In serious, fundamental trading, SLs should always be in line with your individual risk preferences, but should never be based purely on technical data. If you see signals with fixed SLs and TPs - especially SL1, SL2 or TP1, TP2, etc. - please be careful 🛑 or better: stay away from them, because such “signals” are usually only based on technical “analysis” or, even worse, on no analysis at all.

Your SL position is influenced by (not complete list), your chosen trade size vs. margin (and in comparison to you account balance), the number of open positions and the leverage offered by the broker.

Although I sometimes set fixed SLs for events or data releases, overall it is not correct to work with fixed SLs and TPs in fundamental trading ⚠️ HOWEVER, you should never risk more than 3-4% (maximum 5%) of your account balance in a single trade (including possible re-entries). Our new SL & TP calculator helps you manage your risk effectively. If you trade more aggressively, set tighter SLs. If you trade smaller (= more conservative), you can work with wider SLs, which increases your success rate, but brings lower profits as a percentage (of your balance).

💬 Need help using our SL & TP Calculator or the Trade/Lot Size Calculator? Contact your account manager or our support team. You can also ask in our Discord Community.

🔜 PS: We will add missing assets such as gold and oil this week. Especially with gold, we have seen that some of our community members take too much risk or trade too large positions (especially through re-entries). We will continue to constantly improve this tool.

Wishing you all a successful week ahead!

Best,
Robert 🤝


🔗 Links:
SmartTrader Stop Loss & Take Profit Calculator
SmartTrader Trade (Standard Lot) Size Calculator
SmartTrader Support Portal 🧑🏾‍💻👩🏼‍💻
SmartTrader Discord Community 📱
(My) SmartTrader Instagram Channel 📱

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 05.08 - 06.09 (26 trading days)

122 / 138 = 88.4% ❗️ Success Rate

(August 2 - 7/7 = 100% 🏆 SR dropped out)

9.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2501.13 for me | TP - 2493.53)
9.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18664.30)
9.9 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 911.43 + pot. positive slippage)
9.9 - EUR/AUD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.65631)
9.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2502.32)

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2508.97)
10.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18753.60)
10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2514.23)
10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2514.97 f. me | or 2513.23 - ~2515.50)
10.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 18756.60 f. me| or 18752.60 - 18766.60)

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

11.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18819.90 f. me | or TP - 18823.30)
11.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 66.155 | or TP - 65.515)
11.9 - JPM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 206.39)
11.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40578.90)
11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2515.63 f. me| or clsd 2515+)
11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2616.07)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


What a crazy beautiful overview 📊

- Five-week period with a success rate of 88.4%
- Trading days September 9 through 11 all trades won (16 out of 16)
- Even the day that fell out was a 100% day (7 out of 7)

Congratulations!
👏

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 19492.30
TP ✅ @: 19562.90

We see thinning trading volume and volatility. We set a tight SL and secure profits here.


——-

13.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
15.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
16.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
19.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
20.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - CAC40 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
22.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
23.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
26.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
27.8 - DAX40 - SHORT ↘️
27.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
❌ 28.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
28.8 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
28.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
28.8 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
29.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
29.8 - US30 - LONG ↗️
29.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
30.8 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
❌ 03.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
04.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
04.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
05.9 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
05.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
05.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
05.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
06.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (optional)
06.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+ pot. re-entry)
06.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (optional)
✅ 09.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 10.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 11.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅✴️ 13.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL in Profit) 📸

45/48 = 93.8% Success Rate

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► We saw positive (better-than-expected) sentiment data as we predicted. (VIP ONLY) has more room to rise and we can get in here (near flat (VIP ONLY)).

► We also continue to see rising expectations for a large rate cut - swap markets are now pricing in a 50 basis point rate cut at nearly 50% (47%), which continues to pull yields lower, particularly shorter-dated interest rate sensitive Treasuries - which are currently down 6 basis points.

Growth stocks - (VIP ONLY), but also small-caps, which are more sensitive to monetary easing - are receiving a fundamental tailwind, benefiting from optimism that rate cuts will come on time and support the slightly slowing but still robust US economy.

We expect (VIP ONLY) 100 to rise above (VIP ONLY) soon, which could then also lead to additional technical and sentiment buying.

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

position code / 100% transparency - 24091303A


——

If you think you're making mistakes or not getting the support you need, we're here for you! Our support team is ready to help. You can also ask for a different account manager if you are having problems or are not happy with the help and guidance you are receiving.

How to Reach Us?
- Email: support@smarttrader.community
- Support Portal: https://smarttrader.community/support

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Netflix (NFLX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 686.23 🔄
TP ✅ @: 692.97 🔄

Quick Update before Sentiment-Data.

Update DELAYED by: 3+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL
🕯
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔼 Netflix (NFLX) 🇺🇸

We see stocks little changed after two positive sessions as investors remain divided on the extent of expected Fed policy easing from next week's meeting. Inflation data came in a little hotter than expected this week, but the focus shifted to the US labor market, which has weakened significantly in recent data. Expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut have now risen significantly to 45% - partly due to comments from analysts and former New York Fed President William Dudley that a 50 basis point rate cut would be appropriate. The sharp rise in interest rate cut expectations has also pushed up the gold price and is weighing on the USD. We have no open position as we closed all our positions yesterday (in profit).

► Overall, we see little movement in pre-market trading. Strong recovery gains among the major tech companies have driven Wall Street significantly higher over the last two days. Markets are currently running a bit hot waiting for important consumer sentiment data (14:00 UTC+0), which I expect to be positive and could help the current rally to continue a bit longer before stocks consolidate in the second half of today's US trading session. We see signs of slight profit taking at the NYSE open, which is why we are holding back for now.

► We see a weaker USD and falling yields - which is very positive for Netflix as a large portion of Netflix's revenue comes from non-USD payers. The prospect of interest rate cuts, especially now that expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut are surprisingly high, will give Netflix a tailwind. The streaming giant is underperforming the market in pre-market trading, opening almost 1% lower. We find an entry point below yesterday's lows (near 680).

► Netflix has been growing faster again recently and its ad-supported subscription plans have been another growth driver. The investment banks are very positive about future advertising revenues and believe that Netflix will become a major player in advertising revenues. Today, JPMorgan again rated Netflix positive (overweight).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 75 - 80 (7,500% - 8,000%) trading Netflix (NFLX)

position code / 100% Transparenz - 24091302A

Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——

Perfect NYSE opening trade again 🔥

Make sure you receive our signals on time (with no delay) - especially important for NYSE opening trading.

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Friday, September 13

❗️European stocks rise as ECB cuts rates; US markets await next week’s Fed Decision

► European markets rose, with the Stoxx 600 index gaining 0.35%. Investors reacted (cautiously) to the European Central Bank's decision to cut interest rates again on Thursday, as expected, although the ECB did not provide a clear strategy going forward, saying it will continue to act in a data-dependent manner. The inflation rate in France fell to 1.8% in August, its lowest level since July 2021. The 10-year yield in Germany fell by 2 basis points to 2.14%, reflecting a cautious bond market and the general expectation that the ECB will maintain its current course.

► US stock futures pointed to slight gains, with the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 little changed at +0.1% after two strong sessions. US Treasury yields dropped as investors anticipated the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision, with the two-year yield falling 6 basis points. Data showed an uptick in US producer prices, but unemployment claims also rose slightly, fueling concerns about a weakening labor market. Markets are expecting interest rate cuts of around 33 basis points next week, due to concerns about the labor market and the latest inflation data, which was slightly higher than expected but not considered so high that the Fed should focus on acting against inflation.

► Asian markets were mixed on Friday. Japan’s Nikkei dropped 0.97% as the JPY strengthened following hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan. In China, the Shanghai Composite dipped slightly amid economic uncertainty, with upcoming data expected to provide more clarity on the country’s growth prospects. Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rose 0.75% as the market rebounded from a 5-week low, supported by Chinese President Xi Jinping’s call for stronger GDP growth.

► In commodities, oil prices were little changed after a positive session and trade near $68.7/barrel (spot price), following a significant drop earlier in the week. However, there are discussions around a ceasefire in the Middle East, which will contribute to easing the geopolitical risk premium. Gold prices continue to rise, setting a new all-time high as surprising weakness in the USD and low Treasury yields supported safe-haven demand. The ongoing anticipation of a Fed rate cut is also contributing to bullish sentiment in gold markets. The gold price is hovering around $2,570/oz - at ATH.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇯🇵 Industrial Production - 04:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇫🇷 Inflation Rate / CPI - 06:45 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 Industrial Production - 09:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Sentiment - 14:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations


Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No significant earnings reports

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► We see (VIP ONLY) for gold as (VIP ONLY) continue to fall and are now approaching a (VIP ONLY). Swap markets are now pricing in (VIP ONLY) rate cut.

(VIP ONLY) unable to find a bottom for now - it is being dragged down by expectations that (VIP ONLY) ...

► We now see gold back at $(VIP ONLY) - (VIP ONLY) now possible. We continue to see gold (VIP ONLY) ...

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

position code / 100% transparency - 24091701A

Signal DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


———

You can become a SmartTrader VIP Member for FREE and work with an account manager who will help you every step of the way.

WRITE US AND BECOME VIP MEMBER FOR FREE 👤
OR: Other contact possibilities 🔗

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Tuesday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Tuesday, September 17

❗️ European & US stocks rise with investors remaining cautiously optimistic ahead of interest rate decisions

► European stock markets rose, with the broadStoxx 600 gaining 0.5%. Investors are focused on upcoming central bank decisions, particularly the US Federal Reserve (on Wednesday) and the Bank of Japan (Friday). Also the Bank of England will announce it's interest rate decision later this week (Thursday). Key economic data, including US retail sales (today!) and the upcoming Fed rate cut, are keeping markets cautiously optimistic. Markets are waiting to see if the Fed will implement a 25 or 50 basis point rate - with markets are now generally expecting a larger rate cut. The market remains somewhat unsettled - mainly due to the fact that the Fed is keeping the markets in the dark about its plans to cut interest rates.

U.S. stock futures rose as traders await the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting starting Wednesday. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq showed significant gains. Focus remains on the upcoming Fed rate cut, which has created mixed sentiment in the market. US retail sales data due later today may further inform this decision. Technology stocks, especially Apple and chipmakers, were under pressure due to concerns about weak reported weak demand for Apple's new iPhone, leading to slight sell-offs ahead of the Fed’s decision. Investors were expecting a massive boost for Apple's new iPhones due to Apple Intelligence and saw the rather mixed signs that as a sign that AI might not be the revenue driver hoped. However, our chief analyst believes this sell-off is an overreaction, generally sees the iPhone order numbers as not very negatively surprising (especially since Apple Intelligence is delayed) and expects Apple to recover from yesterday's heavy losses that also dragged other AI stocks lower.

► Asian equities presented a mixed picture, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 index falling over 1.2% as losses in the tech sector weighed heavily. Concerns about China's economic slowdown persisted, though trading in China, Taiwan, and South Korea was shut for public holidays. Meanwhile, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 1.40% on the strength of the tech sector (which is a weird phenomenon giving the sharp losses of Japanese tech), while the Japanese JPY steadied at 140 per USD, as investors awaited the BoJ’s decision later in the week.

► Commodities showed little movement, with oil prices being little changed still near $69/barrel (spot-price), following the largest rise in two weeks, reflecting a cautious market amidst talks of a cease-fire in the Middle East. Gold remained near record highs at $2,580/oz but has difficulties to rise further despite fundamental tailwinds near ATH - expectations of a 50-bps Fed rate cut is boosting its appeal.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇪🇺 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index – 09:00
🔸 🇩🇪 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index – 09:00
🔸 🇨🇦 Inflation Rate / CPI – 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Retail Sales – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Industrial Production – 13:15
🔸 🇺🇸 Manufacturing Production – 13:15
🔸 🇯🇵 Balance of Trade – 23:50

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations


Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Ferguson (FERG) 🇺🇸
(...a few more with market cap <$8B)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 06.08 - 09.09 (26 trading days)

120 / 136 = 88.2%❗️ Success Rate

(August 5 - 7/7 = 100% 🏆 SR dropped out)

10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2508.97)
10.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 18753.60)
10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2514.23)
10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2514.97 f. me | or 2513.23 - ~2515.50)
10.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 18756.60 f. me| or 18752.60 - 18766.60)

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

11.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18819.90 f. me | or TP - 18823.30)
11.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 66.155 | or TP - 65.515)
11.9 - JPM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 206.39)
11.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40578.90)
11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2515.63 f. me| or clsd 2515+)
11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2516.07)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

✴️ 12.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 70.311 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 67.756 🔄
12.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2522.49 f. me|or TP - 2522.97 - 2529.00)
❌ 12.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.10926) *for me open
12.9 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 119.97)
❌ 12.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2567.56)

2/5 - (1 open position)


WTI almost reached our TP in early European trading (unfortunately missed by a few cents) before oil rallied. Nearly a fifth of crude oil production and more than a quarter of natural gas production in the Gulf of Mexico remain off line following Hurricane Francine, which supported energy prices today. However, the outlook remains bearish as demand from China points to a further slowdown. Chinese oil refinery output has fallen for the fifth month as weak fuel demand and export margins curbed production / this comes on top of weak Chinese economic data over the weekend. We are pulling up our price target slightly. We also set a SL slightly above key level $70/barrel (spot-price / $71 Oct'24).

We saw the markets in a wait-and-see mode today - with all focus on the upcoming Fed rate decision.

Our overall success rate (five-week period) is down 0.2 percentage points, although we included one 100% trading day in the statistics (5-out-of-5) - however, a 7-out-of-7 day fell out - which shows how difficult it is to stay at this extremely high level (which we have now managed for almost two months).

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2581.13
TP ✅ @: 2585.87

We see gold now back in the $2,583.50 - $2,585 range. We continue to see little activity in all markets. We are tightening our SL a bit / keep our TP (which is now also tight).


——

We won 19 from our last 20 gold trades.

27.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 12.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 12.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 16.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅(✴️) 16.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL in profit) 📸

🔗 (clickable! = 100% transparency)

19/20 = 95% 🏆 Success Rate

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⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW* 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

► We see that yields remain close to the flat line and the USD is also showing little sign of recovery. This is also due to the fact that expectations for a 50bp rate cut have risen further and the swap markets now see a 60 - 65% probability of a 50bp rate cut this week.

► We are now getting back into gold as planned earlier at this price (range $2,575 - $2,576.50*).

► At the moment it is important to find good entry prices in gold as we see gold moving sideways and close to the ATH.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.4 - 0.6 (40% - 60%) when trading gold (XAU/USD)

position code / 100% transparency - 24091604A

Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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———

Never miss a gold trade!

Again perfect entry!
(make sure you receive all signal with no delay ⚠️)

🥇 📉2️⃣5️⃣7️⃣6️⃣📈

Contact possibilities 🔗👤

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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 VIP SIGNAL
🕯
SELL AFTER* NYSE OPENS 🔽 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ (VIP ONLY)

As we predicted on Friday, trading activity has been subdued today and is off to a slow start to a very busy week. The USD and Treasury yields are falling as the market increasingly expects the Fed to initiate the easing process with a rate cut of 50 basis points - this could lead to further gains in the short term. Overall, however, we see Wall Street little changed - somewhat nervous after recent significant gains. Concerns about weak demand for Apple's latest iPhone update are weighing on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 as a whole. Apple fell by more than 2.5% in pre-market trading.

🔹 The Nasdaq 100 (- 0.4%) is trading slightly weaker, with Apple being the most important component weighing on the tech index. However, we also see some other tech giants, especially chip stocks, trading in the red in pre-market US trading. We set a TP - 90 points away from the current price - TP ✅ @: 19526.40.


► We see a sideways market - possibly with some profit-taking at first after the solid three-day rally that brought Wall Street back to the level before the sell-off in the first week of September.

► We are selling the(VIP ONLY) outperformance of (VIP ONLY), which opens (VIP ONLY)% higher (near (VIP ONLY)) after an already strong Friday session. (VIP ONLY) to make(VIP ONLY). While this is a significant (VIP ONLY), it doesn't do much to help the fact that(VIP ONLY) and there are many uncertainties, such as the possible (VIP ONLY) causing even more headaches for management, who already seem overwhelmed trying to (VIP ONLY) ...

► While (VIP ONLY) seems to have qualified for (VIP ONLY), we also see that (VIP ONLY) has lost (VIP ONLY) ...

► We sell the spike in (VIP ONLY) shortly after the NYSE open near $(VIP ONLY)*. We also see profit taking in (VIP ONLY) for now. It will be difficult for (VIP ONLY)y outperform the other (VIP ONLY). We continue to see (VIP ONLY) as a very risky long-term investment even after the sharp losses - especially (VIP ONLY) ...

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...

position code / 100% transparency - 24091302A

Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel



——

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2578.97
TP ✅ @: 2586.49

We set an in-profit SL / keep our TP.


———

Never miss a gold trade:

Contact possibilities 🔗👤

27.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.8 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 12.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 12.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅✴️ 16.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL in Profit) 📸

18/19 = 94.7% 🏆 Success Rate

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Monday, September 16

❗️ Global stocks steady as focus shifts ahead of big week for central banks around the world


► The European stock markets started the week cautiously, with the Stoxx 600 remaining unchanged. Traders were bracing themselves for a number of important central bank decisions, in particular the expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, but also the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan, both of which are likely to leave interest rates unchanged but will probably give a clearer outlook on further monetary policy measures. The German DAX fell by around 0.3 % and the French CAC rose slightly by around 0.1 %. There was little movement on the European bond markets, with the 10-year yield in Germany, for example, remaining unchanged at 2.15%. The European markets are focusing heavily on the upcoming decision by the US Federal Reserve, which will play an important role in the performance of global assets this week.

US equity futures remained stable ahead of the highly anticipated meeting of the US Federal Reserve, with slight gains in the technology sector as expected by our chief analyst. Investors are focusing on whether the Fed will cut the key interest rate by 25 or 50 basis points. The market now predominantly expects a rate cut of 50 basis points (the probability of this currently stands at 59% on the swap markets - see CME Fedwatch Tool (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html)). Government bond yields have fallen for two weeks in a row in anticipation of significant easing, with the 10-year yield falling to 3.64%. We expect the current rally in US equities to continue, with a particular focus on the Nasdaq 100 and the more interest rate sensitive small caps.

► Markets in Japan, South Korea, and China were closed for holidays, leading to lighter trading volume across Asia. In China, disappointing economic data raised concerns about the potential for more aggressive stimulus from Beijing. Industrial output, retail sales, and fixed investment all slowed in August, while the jobless rate hit a six-month high. The Japanese JPY surged to its highest level since July 2023, fueled by narrowing interest rate differentials with the US, while the offshore CNY fell to 7.10 per USD amid weak domestic demand.

► In the commodities market, gold rose to a record high trading close to $2,590/oz (now near $2,585/oz), supported by rising anticipation of a large Fed rate cut. Oil prices are little changed at $68.3/barrel (spot price) after last week’s first weekly gain in a month. The drop in Libyan oil exports was counterbalanced by concerns over China’s weakening economy, adding to global demand uncertainty.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇮🇹 Inflation Rate / CPI - 08:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇺 Balance of Trade - 09:00 (released: 🟢)

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations


Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No significant earnings reports

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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✴️ 12.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 67.661 🔄
12.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2522.49 f. me|or TP - 2522.97 - 2529.00)
❌ 12.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.10926) 🔄 *for me open
12.9 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 119.97) 📸
❌ 12.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 2567.56) 🔄📸

2/5 - (1 open position)

TODAY :

13.9 - EUR/GBP - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 0.84381)
13.9 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 687.69)
13.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 19492.30)
✴️ 13.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)

3/4 - (1 open position)


We set too tight an SL for our EUR/USD position and should have given the pair a chance to hit resistance at 1.11000 - which is what actually happened - (I'm still SHORT in the trade as I gave the pair a bit more room Shortly after midnight (CET) during my meeting- I should have updated you here (sorry!) my SL 🔑 @: 1.11068 // TP ✅ @: 1.10361.

The gold trade 📸 should have been closed earlier - too bad, because the losing trade ended our 17-fold gold winning streak🏆 or above all, optimistic investors/analysts raising expectations for a big Fed rate cut next week (50 basis points) have increased the appeal of the "non-yielding" yellow precious metal, which rose another 1% today. Overall, it was still a good day yesterday thanks to our mega trade in Nvidia 📸 (and the successful closing of all our other open equity positions).

Also today we made a fantastic NYSE opening trade with Netflix - which was an underperformer pre-market and ended the day as a strong outperformer (we could / should have taken even more profits here).

Overall, however, we remained on the sidelines today, as we saw thin trading and mostly sideways movement after the strong movements on Wednesday and Thursday.

We expect the generally positive market sentiment to continue on Monday - it will be a quiet start to a very busy / important week with interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve 🇺🇸, the Bank of England 🇬🇧 and the Bank of Japan 🇯🇵.

Congratulations on a very good week (yet again) - have a pleasant weekend. Your Rob


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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NEXT MINI DIP* 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸

► We expect the current rally to continue in the coming week - which will be one of the most important weeks in years, as the Fed will finally open the path of interest rate cuts. The question remains - how much will the Fed cut rates?

► While this week's inflation data indicated that the Fed will act rather cautiously, the focus has clearly shifted from fighting inflation to supporting the US economy and halting the deterioration of the labor market. The Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will also make an interest rate decision (as will several other central banks, e.g. from Brazil, Indonesia, Russia, South Africa, Turkey, etc.).

► The latest labor market data consistently shows a weakening labor market, i.e. fewer job openings, fewer new hires and generally rising unemployment (although the unemployment rate fell from 4.3% in July to 4.2% in August).

► We see a strong outperformance of the riskier and more interest rate sensitive small caps. The Russell 2000 Index, which measures the performance of the 2000 smallest of the 3000 largest companies on the New York Stock Exchange, is showing strong outperformance today - it (VIP ONLY) ...

► While (VIP ONLY) is slightly more correlated with (VIP ONLY), we are trading (VIP ONLY) as I see a bit more rebound potential (VIP ONLY) also still rebound potential in (VIP ONLY). The (VIP ONLY) near the all-time high(VIP ONLY)). We are waiting for the next mini-dip to position ourselves LONG i(VIP ONLY) - we continue to see Wall Street supported by hopes of rate cuts, which is also reflected in falling yields, the falling DXY (US dollar index) and gold, which is up another 1% today (which also ended our 17-session gold winning streak).

► We see (VIP ONLY) a bit too hot now - but can buy the next mini dip ((VIP ONLY)* range) - we will likely see temporary resistance soon - near our previously (VIP ONLY) ...

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

position code / 100% transparency - 24091304A

Signal DELAYED by: 50+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel


——

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/GBP
SL 🔑 @: 0.84381
TP ✅ @: 0.84256

We have found an absurdly perfect entry in the EUR/GBP and are now locking in profits.

I see more downside potential for the EUR, but overall moves will be limited in the FX market today and more likely to be USD driven. We see some support at 0.85300 - we are working with a tight SL.


——

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Netflix (NFLX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 687.69
TP ✅ @: 692.97

We are again tightening our SL and secure thus more than 1% movement in our favor (even at SL). Our position is very deep in profit. We see slight resistance at 690.

Update DELAYED by: 3+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Netflix (NFLX) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 684.97
TP ✅ @: 692.43

Congratulations - we have made another “perfect” NYSE opening trade and are now securing profits. Netflix rose a little more than 1% from it's weak opening.


——

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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/GBP

Markets took ECB President Lagarde's refusal (in yesterday's ECB press conference after the expected 25 bp rate cut) to present a clear plan for further rate cuts as a rather hawkish signal, with Lagarde saying that the ECB will remain data-dependent (=basically says nothing) on upcoming rate cuts. However, given the inflation data in the Eurozone, which shows that consumer price inflation is already below the ECB's target, as well as the ongoing economic weakness, a further easing of conditions is to be expected. In any case, the ECB is already ahead of the other major central banks - including the Bank of England - in its cycle of interest rate cuts.

► The BoE is likely to leave its key interest rate at 5.0% on September 19, having cut it from a 16-year high of 5.25% at its last meeting. Data on price pressures has been mixed recently. Wage growth cooled, as Monetary Policy Committee members expected last month, and the economy failed to grow in July, meaning the Bank of England will need to support the economy soon to avoid a sharp slowdown. For now, however, mixed inflation data, particularly still high services inflation, and wage inflation remain well above the level the Bank of England considers appropriate.

► We sell the current spike to above 0.84500 (range 0.84520 - 0.84550) and currently also see too much EUR strength - which unfortunately also pushed our EUR/USD into SL.

position code / 100% transparency - 24091301A

Signal DELAYED by: 60+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
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——

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

11.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18819.90 f. me | or TP - 18823.30)
11.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 66.155 | or TP - 65.515)
11.9 - JPM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 206.39) 🔄📸
11.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 40578.90)
11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2515.63 f. me| or clsd 2515+)
11.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 206.39) 🔄

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

TODAY :

✴️ 12.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 67.516 🔄
12.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2522.49 f. me|or TP - 2522.97 - 2529.00)
✴️ 12.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.10926 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 1.10211 🔄
12.9 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 119.97) 📸
✴️ 12.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2567.56 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 2547.63 🔄

2/5 - (3 open positions)


I have to keep myself short as I have a meeting starting basically now (5 minutes postponed).

With Nvidia 📸 we made a beautiful NYSE opening trade and we were also able to close our other two still open stock position in profit today (META & JPM 📸).

We update our WTI, EUR/USD and XAU/USD positions - we see a market that has run a bit hot today - with also a surprisingly weak USD.

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