Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇨🇳 Industrial Production - 02:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇨🇳 Retail Sales - 02:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇨🇳 Unemployment Rate - 02:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇨🇳 NBS Press Conference - 02:00
🔸 🇯🇵 Industrial Production - 04:30 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇬🇧 GDP Growth Rate - 07:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 Inflation Rate / CPI - 07:45 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇮🇹 Inflation Rate / CPI - 09:00 (released: 🟡)
♦️ 🇺🇸 Retail Sales - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Industrial Production - 14:15
🔸 🇺🇸 Manufacturing Production - 14:15
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ Alibaba (BABA) 🇨🇳
☀️ Trip. com (TCOM) 🇨🇳
☀️ Assicurazioni Generali (ARZGY) 🇮🇹 (released: 🔴)
(...a few more with market cap <$40B)
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑 @: 7343.20 🔄
TP ✅ @: 7232.60
While our Nasdaq and DAX SHORTs triggered their TP overnight / in early European trading (for big profits overall), the CAC managed to dodge the TP by 5 points (!) and is now outperforming as the recent rotation to US equities reversed for now. However, we expect general headwinds for equities today. We see Wall Street significantly weaker in pre-market US trading after Powell indicated yesterday that the Fed is in no hurry to cut rates.
We extend our SL slightly as we want to avoid an SL close (off-profit). We are maintaining our TP.
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 20821.60 for me | or 20826.70
EUR/USD
SL triggered 🔑 @: 1.05361
Our late trades have both already closed in profit. EUR/USD was a bit early for me (big spread) but anyways rose to 1.05400+. Our Nasdaq hit TP (I widened the TP slightly to 20821.60 // for you it might have closed at 20826.70) - if you are still awake, you can also close slightly better at TP ✅ 20813.60 (it close well below my TP actually - nice slippage!) or close near our TP ~20825.
Congratulations - amazing overnight profits 💵💵💵
———
You can also work with an optional pending order:
🔰 OPTIONAL PENDING ORDER 🕯
SELL SOON🔽 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
PENDING ORDER 🔽at (VIP ONLY)
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4.5- 6.5 (450% - 650%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100)
———
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: 19137.30
You can also widen the TP of our DAX position - it's well in profit.
———-
Please always stay humble (and always focused), even if some of us make overnight profits that are (several) months' rent for others. Help people in need, if possible ❤️
Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 07.10 - 07.11 (26 trading days)
110 / 118 = 93.2%❗️ Success Rate
(October 4 - 6/6 = 100% 🏆 SR dropped out;
November 7 - 3/5 = 60% SR added)
❌ 8.11 - SPX500 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 6011.60|or clsd ~6000)
✅ 8.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2695.43)
✅ 8.11 - WFC - LONG ↗️ (TP - 70.89 f. me | or TP - 71.23)
❌ 8.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2673.00)
✅ 8.11 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 21120.10 me| clsd 21114-25)
3/5 = 60% Success Rate
✅ 11.11 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 19455.80)
❌ 11.11 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 20968.40) 🔄
❌ 11.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2619.47)
✅ 11.11 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 148.63)
✅ 11.11 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 225.39)
✅ 11.11 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7378.80)
✅ 11.11 - WFC - LONG ↗️ (TP - 73.04)
✅ 11.11 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 345.13)
✴️ 11.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2629.47 (or wider) 🔄
6/9 - (1 open position)
✅ 12.11 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 72.04)
✅ 12.11 - USD/CAD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1.39357)
✅ 12.11 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7258.40)
✅ 12.11 - WFC - LONG ↗️ (TP-72.99 me|or TP-72.89,TP-73.18)
✅ 12.11 - PLTR - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 58.65 me| or TP - 59.13) 🔄
5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
Our success rate will now fall slightly (but from a level that traders in short-term trading would describe as unattainable anyway) - but for now is still well above 90% 🏆
We held our Nasdaq 100 for too long or worked with a TP that was too wide. While Wall Street's outperformance has been very strong, we are now also seeing some selling in New York (and probably more tomorrow).
We remain LONG in gold - but are tightening our TP a bit. I think it's a really exceptionally good price right now for a medium/long term buy. (I bought gold today at 2650 - for my 2025/long term portfolio).
I see Palantir as an excellent (but highly volatile and therefore quite risky) SHORT position - we have already closed our first Palantir SHORT well today (and continue to be SHORT).
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 21053.30
TP ✅ @: 20826.70
EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.05388
TP ✅ @: 1.05006
Spectacular timing for our USD LONG and the Nasdaq SHORT. We can already secure our EUR/USD here with an SL (also possible with a broader SL - as we now see even more tailwind for the USD).
Powell's speech certainly increases concerns about interest rates in the US staying “high(er) for longer”. We see major risks for the equity market now in the short-term - also now for (the expensively valued) Wall Street.
Congratulations! Exceptional trading
---
Please don't forget that many people often work several days / or even several weeks for the profits we often make in a few hours. Here we have had exceptional timing - but even if it takes half a day... We are in a special situation (and blessed) doing this every single day ... please share some of your profits with people in need ❤️
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/USD
Recommended Entry Range ✅at / slightly above 1.05500
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 45+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► The USD extended its recent lead against all pears today and was already trading at a more than one-year high. The USD has now been rising for five days. We expect the current momentum to continue for a while. Even though the USD and all USD pairs are in short-term overbought territory.
► The market is assuming that the incoming Trump administration will introduce trade tariffs and cut taxes at the same time, which could further deepen the deficit and have an inflationary effect, making it increasingly difficult for the Fed to cut interest rates (at the same pace as other central banks). Although this could be potentially damaging for the USD in the long term, we are currently seeing a massive rally in the USD - partly due to the significant outperformance of the US economy - which is likely to intensify further if Trump is fully committed to businesses and pursuing “America first”.
► Even if disinflation in the Eurozone has stopped for now - we see inflation at/below the ECB target - and this will probably also be the case tomorrow (French/Italian inflation is probably well below 1.5 % year-on-year).
► We see the EUR/USD slightly above 1.05500 here, where we enter ahead of the Powell press conference and expect the pair to retest the 1.05000 level. If this level is breached (which seems likely), the selling could accelerate even further.
► We also see more signs of a sell-off in equities (already present in Europe and Asia), which would drive investors further into the USD.
► Expectations of a rate cut by the Fed in December have fallen sharply today (from around 83% to 72%) and are likely to fall further - we had already noted today that it was strange that these expectations had risen significantly in the meantime.
position code / 100% transparency - 24111406A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 45+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
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PERFECT entry / timing - yet again! 🎯
Please make sure you receive all signals WITHOUT DELAY!!!
CONTACT US FOR VIP: @SmartTrader_Onboarding 🇬🇧🇪🇸🇩🇪
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 148.13
TP ✅ @: 149.07
Palantir Tech. (PLTR) 🇺🇸 (if still SHORT)
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 58.60 - 59.10
OR
TP ✅ @: 58.67
Our Nvidia position is deep in profit. Nvidia did what we expected. Opened a bit higher - saw then first profit taking - before pushing above opening highs.
We see Nvidia now trying to push back to all-time-high range 149.00 - 150.00 just as we have predicted.
We secure profits.
Sorry for being a bit late on Palantir - if your TP already triggered - congrats.
Otherwise as we predicted - Palantir is dangerous and sees exactly the sharp profit taking that we have predicted. Many investors pushed yesterday sharply into Palantir and are facing huge losses now. We give Palantir more room to fall. If you already closed in profit - we can likely find a re-entry range 59.30 - 59.90 (so anyways above your triggered TP). I closed at 58.65.
Congratulations - mixed positioned (even in AI) - great profits!
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 7+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
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BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔼 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; first slight profit-taking!
Recommended entry ✅ near 146.50
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 45+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
🔹 The Nasdaq 100 (- 0.1 %) is almost unchanged, but faces headwinds from the very rapid strengthening of the USD, which reduces the value of non-USD earnings for US companies. We still see high yields even after recent strong gains - although little has changed for today. We see very few signs of weakness in the US economy.
🔹 Boeing (+0.8%) opens well after recent weakness, but remains volatile. Our TP is wide - but we maintain it and expect Boeing to find buyers below $145.00 and find support at $140.00.
🔹 Citigroup (+0.35%) opens higher. We want to stay LONG in financials. We can work with a not too wide TP ✅ 69.43.
🔹 Palantir (+ 0.6 %) opens higher again. Palantir opened very well yesterday, but then saw strong profit-taking. We continue to see a high risk of further profit taking in Palantir as Palantir is extremely expensive.
► Nvidia has fallen slightly in recent sessions (relatively sharply even yesterday with - 1.4%) and struggled near $150.00 - the level we think Nvidia should test this week. The rapid rise in the USD as well as high yields and lower expectations of interest rate cuts in 2025 have weighed somewhat on Nvidia (and growth stocks). Some investors are also a bit more cautious as Nvidia announces its quarterly results next week (on November 20th).
► We see Nvidia opening slightly higher pre-market and want to position ourselves LONG in the chip/AI giant again. We find an entry near 146.50 (or even lower) - which means that we expect first slight profit-taking after the positive opening.
► I believe that the AI supercycle remains intact - which means unbroken demand for Nvidia's leading AI server chips Hopper and Blackwell, which have helped Nvidia achieve year-on-year revenue growth of over 80% (!) and which I expect to be reconfirmed on November 20. Investors are also likely to welcome Nvidia's massive free cash flow.
► Nvidia's operating margin remains close to 70% and showed no signs of declining, with Nvidia still the clear market leader in enabling AI-powered processes.
► ASML's strong outlook gives AI chips and additional boost. We have seen a rise in chip makers outside the US today. Analysts remain very bullish on Nvidia (I agree). Oppenheimer raised their price target from $150 to $175 today ahead of Nvidia's earnings report.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 300 - 330 (30,000% - 33,000%) when trading Nvidia (NVDA).
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 45+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
GBP/CAD
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 1.77935 - 1.77990
OR
TP ✅ @: 1.77949 (hit TP for me at 1.77943)
We made one of the best post PPI Forex Trades - which seemed tricky as it didn't even include the USD.
Our position is ~65 (!) Pips in profit. We set now a tight TP or CLOSE.
Congratulations!
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 (VIP ONLY)
Recommended Entry Range ✅(VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 75+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► We are SHORT in Europe (with the CAC - currently ~50 points out of profit). The weak EUR and a strong revenue outlook from ASML / strong earnings from Siemens / Siemens Energy have boosted (VIP ONLY). The (VIP ONLY) is the outperformer - currently (VIP ONLY) higher.
► (VIP ONLY) Siemens and (VIP ONLY) up 6% (VIP ONLY) also up strongly at more than +4% (VIP ONLY). (VIP ONLY) ASML's strong sales outlook.
► We are going SHORT here - as the (VIP ONLY) extreme USD strength, went very far in the short term (VIP ONLY) ...
► Markets in Asia closed weaker, especially in China. We can see that Wall Street hardly changed in US pre-market trading. The (VIP ONLY) also found support near the key level of (VIP ONLY). We do not expect the (VIP ONLY) to be able to fully sustain the initial strong gains. The medium-term outlook (VIP ONLY) ...
► Added to this is the weak (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
position code / 100% transparency - 24111401A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 75+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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✅ 12.11 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 72.04) 🔄📸
✅ 12.11 - USD/CAD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1.39357) 🔄📸
✅ 12.11 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7258.40) 🔄📸
✅ 12.11 - WFC - LONG ↗️ (TP-72.99 me|or TP-72.89,TP-73.18)🔄📸
✴️ 12.11 - PLTR - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 59.13
4/5 - (1 open position)
TODAY :
✴️ 13.11 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 0.64787 🔄 | 👉 TP ✅ @: 0.65297 🔄
✅ 13.11 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18987.40 me|or 18986.90+)📸
❌ 13.11 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 328.97 me | or SL - 329.47) 📸
❌*/✅ 13.11 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 331.40 me| or SL - 330.43, clsd near 333+ or pot. SL - 322.87) 📸
✴️ 13.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
✴️ 13.11 - C - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✴️ 13.11 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - slightly in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 7180.70
1/7 - (4 open positions)
*considered lost as closed off-profit for some members)
Sorry for the delay - it was a really long day and I had a quick bite.
Besides our bad timing with Tesla 📸 (only shared in VIP channel) it was actually a solid day - although our Nasdaq 100 LONG may still close off-profit and we had no good timing with our AUD/USD - please update SL / TP. I will put both (!) Tesla trades as loss - as always - we don't want to polish in any way our success rate (will hurt for a while!).
Palantir was quite off-profit and may have closed for some of you also in the SL. We also have more open positions than I usually like to hold.
We closed yesterday's positions overall very well.
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
Recommended Entry Range ✅(VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 70+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► We traded the rebound in Europe well today - although we could have closed our DAX LONG even better (📸💸), as the DAX rose above 19000 again and only turned back at almost 19050. We are also seeing the expected gains in New York - although these are limited by a renewed rise in yields (which are now even higher again on a daily basis), a (still) very strong USD and concerns that the inflation trend is again pointing to an acceleration in inflation, making it increasingly difficult for the Fed to justify further rate cuts.
► We are now going SHORT (VIP ONLY)and in particular shorting the (VIP ONLY) here - which is trading flat again (even (VIP ONLY)) as the (VIP ONLY) that sold off heavily (VIP ONLY) recoup some of the very heavy losses. Overall, (VIP ONLY) red - even deep red - but the(VIP ONLY), as well as (VIP ONLY), (VIP ONLY) and (VIP ONLY) (all with market cap >$(VIP ONLY)bn) closed higher today, supporting (VIP ONLY) ...
► We are going SHORT here and also see the DAX (VIP ONLY) ...
► The (VIP ONLY) benefited from a weak EUR today.
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
position code / 100% transparency - 24111307A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 70+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
A great entry price here 📉
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⚡️ FREE RAPID SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
Recommended Entry Range ✅68.15 - 68.35
(current spot price: ~ 68.15 - 16:11 UTC)
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► We are seeing volatile trading today, even after US CPI data came in line with expectations but confirmed that inflation will now be the Fed's main focus again (instead of the labor market).
► Oil prices had fallen significantly in the meantime as the market sees conditions that make it very difficult for the Fed to justify potential rapid rate cuts in the medium term.
► Rising inflation combined with concerns about more US protectionism, which could harm international trade and economies (outside the US), is seen as a further problem in reviving the global economy and thus oil demand.
► We are now selling the rebound in oil after earlier heavier losses and remain bearish on oil. We see WTI slightly up today (+0.3%) after trading more than 1% lower earlier already.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.6 - 0.8 (60% - 80%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader⚠️ The January-Futures Contract is currently near the pot price
position code / 100% transparency - 24111105A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
——-
🛢📉📉📈🎯📉
99 out of 100 🚫 - trading channels / signal providers are SCAM ⚠️ - SmartTrader is the ONLY trustworthy signal provider where all trades are 100% transparent and based on REAL fundamental and sentiment analysis (no technical analysis mumbo jumbo!)
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 20929.70
TP ✅ @: 21227.70
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
We see some profit taking in New York, but still close to / above the CPI data.
We adjust our SL / TP a bit further and allow the Nasdaq to possibly drop back to 21000 (near yesterday's low) and find technical support there.
⚠️⚠️ This update is too late in the TRIAL channel. If your SL is already triggered - best to stay out here or find a re-entry below 21000.
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 25+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed update in the VIP Channel
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 21014.90
TP ✅ @: 21237.90
We give the Nasdaq even a bit more leeway for the NYSE opening.
⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
Recommended Entry Range ✅18920 - 18950
► We expect some relief trading in the US - which should also help Europe to reduce the very heavy losses of recent times a little. The DAX has fallen by more than 0.5 % today after losing a lot yesterday. This is due to concerns that Trump's future cabinet could result in a more aggressive stance on international trade, which could also impact European companies and drive up supply chain costs.
► The Chinese market nevertheless stabilized today and the Hang Seng even rose by 1% today.
► The oil price has fallen to its lowest level in two weeks, which is having a positive impact on the DAX (which does not include energy companies).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4 - 6 (400% - 600%) when trading the DAX (GER_40)
position code / 100% transparency - 24111302A
⏱️ Signal / Update DELAYED by: 15+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
———
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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Friday, November 15
❗️ Stocks slide on hawkish Fed signals; mixed UK/China economic data; US retail sales ahead
► European markets faced headwinds with the Euro Stoxx 600 falling sharply then recovering some of the losses (now at -0.4%), reflecting concerns over the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to rate cuts. French inflation edged higher to 1.2% in October (still below ECB target; Italian inflation at 0.9% up from 0.7%), while the UK reported sluggish Q3 GDP growth of just 0.1%, marking its weakest expansion in three quarters. The UK's production sector contracted by 0.2%, and monthly GDP dipped by 0.1% in September. These signals, combined with a rising trade deficit of £-3.46B, underscore lingering economic pressures in the region. Construction showed some resilience, expanding by 0.8%, but it wasn’t enough to offset broader concerns.
► US markets extended losses, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures down 0.55% and 0.80% (in pre-market trading), respectively, as investors digested Jerome Powell’s hawkish tone and two reports that showed that inflation in the US is picking up. Powell emphasized a measured approach to rate cuts, dampening hopes for a December policy easing. Meanwhile, Tesla and Rivian slumped after reports of Trump’s plan to eliminate EV tax credits, highlighting potential policy shifts that could impact growth sectors. Retail sales data and speeches by Fed officials later today could provide further clarity. The USD is set to gain nearly 1.5% for the week, supported by Trump’s election win and expectations of upcoming Trump policies (such as new tariffs and tax cuts).
► Asian markets delivered mixed performances, influenced by cautious signs of stabilization in China’s economy. Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.35%, buoyed by solid Q3 GDP growth of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter and improved industrial production. The JPY weakened further, hitting a four-month low at 156 per USD, as monetary conditions remained accommodative. In China, retail sales surged 4.8% YoY in October, the highest pace in eight months, driven by government stimulus and a week-long holiday. However, industrial output grew by 5.3%, below expectations of 5.6%, and property sector challenges persisted with home prices falling for the 16th consecutive month. To address liquidity concerns, the People’s Bank of China injected CNY 981 billion in its largest single-day cash infusion since 2020, aiming to stabilize the struggling economy. Chines markets, however, closed again significantly lower: Shanghai at -1.5%; Shenzhen even -2.6% / Hang Seng closed near flat at -0.05%.
► In commodities, oil prices continued to decline, heading for a sharp weekly loss amid concerns of a supply glut and the impact of a stronger USD. WTI Crude fell over 1% to $67.7/barrel due to weak demand expectations (especially from China) that have compounded the bearish sentiment in the energy markets. Gold was steady and hovered near a two-month low as higher Treasury yields and a strong USD weighed on the metal’s safe-haven appeal. The lack of clarity on the Fed’s policy path has added to the uncertainty, keeping gold prices subdued for now.
⚡️ FREE RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯.
SELL NOW 🔽 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
Recommended Entry Range ✅19265 - 19295
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► Our DAX position closed deep in profit in early European trading (📸) - the DAX then rose 150 points back into positive territory - where we SHORT again.
► The DAX benefited from the sharp fall in oil prices (our WTI SHORT also hit TP 📸). We also saw a mixed performance in Asia again. The markets in Asia fell significantly overall this week and are at multi-month lows. Ongoing concerns about the global economy and weak Chinese demand are also reflected in oil prices, which fell by more than 3 % (currently) this week.
► Heavy pre-market losses are recorded in New York: further headwinds for global equities. Lower expectations for future Fed interest rate cuts are weighing heavily on US growth stocks. We see Europe outperforming the US in early trading today, as the ECB is also expected to maintain its monetary easing course. However, the European economy will continue to underperform and come under pressure from concerns about Trump and possible protectionist measures by the US (and the actual measures).
► The inflation rate in the Eurozone (today Italy at 0.9%, France 1.2%, and to a certain extent German real prices -0.8% YoY / but +0.4% MoM) showed what we had predicted - a halt to disinflation, but inflation that is already below the ECB's target.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4 - 6 (400% - 600%) when trading the DAX (GER_40)
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 40+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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❌ 13.11 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 0.64787 )🔄
✅ 13.11 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 18987.40 me|or 18986.90+)
❌ 13.11 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 328.97 me | or SL - 329.47)
❌/✅* 13.11 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 331.40 me| or SL - 330.43, clsd near 333+ or pot. SL - 322.87)
✴️ 13.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - break-even)
✴️ 13.11 - C - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 69.43 🔄
✴️ 13.11 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 7326.10 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 7232.60 🔄
1/7 - (3 open positions)
*considered lost as closed off-profit for some members
TODAY:
✅ 14.11 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 19233.70)📸
✅ 14.11 - GBP/CAD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1.77943 f. me | or TP - 1.77949)📸
✅ 14.11 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 148.13)📸
✴️ 14.11 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 19157.60 (optional)
✴️ 14.11 - PLTR - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
✅(✴️) 14.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - SL-in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.05363 (or wider) | TP ✅ @: 1.05006
✅(✴️) 14.11 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (open - SL-in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 21053.30 (or wider) | TP ✅ @: 20826.70
Yesterday we managed Tuesday's positions very well - but did not have very good timing with Tesla (although some of you closed with a profit overall) and also did not have good timing with AUD/USD.
We trade the tough markets very well today - though we should have closed our Nasdaq 100 position much better (preferably yesterday).
We were otherwise ahead of the market - a little too far ahead even - we are now seeing a little less sentiment driven movement and slowly a return to fundamentals - with expectations, however, continuing to be the main driver - especially speculation on what the world will look like under Trump and how the US will position itself with the new president in January.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.05363 (or wider)
TP ✅ @: 1.05006
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: 19157.60 (optional)
CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑 @: 7326.10
TP ✅ @: 7232.60
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: 68.01
We are very well positioned in the market / were ahead of the markets.
We can slightly tighten the SL for our EUR/USD. You can also work with a wider SL - as we expect the EUR/USD to fall/test the 1.05000 again (tomorrow).
We see plenty of downside in the DAX - which has been a strong outperformer today. Our position is in profit - we set a not too tight TP. We keep the TP for our CAC position but can tighten the SL (but not too tight - as we usually see high spread from brokers for the CAC in after-hours trading.
We also tighten the TP for our WTI position (currently near break-even).
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⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
Recommended Entry Range ✅20960 - 20995
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 55+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► We are now going even more SHORT in equities (in addition to our DAX 🇩🇪 and CAC 🇲🇫 SHORT). We are now also shorting the Nasdaq 🇺🇸 - which is less than 300 away from the ATH, which was only reached on Monday.
► Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell, just said that strong economic growth in the US will allow policymakers to take their time when deciding how far and how fast to cut interest rates. This essentially means that the economy doesn't need rate cuts - which is actually obvious anyway, with markets at record highs and a very tight labor market. (The problem, of course, is the US debt mountain...)
► We are now clearly seeing what we have been predicting for the past few weeks - that Powell is preparing the markets for the Fed to focus more on inflation again, rather than supporting a labor market that doesn't seem to need any help at the moment.
► Powell described the growth of the US economy as “by far the best of any major economy in the world” and also sees little weakness in the labor market. The recent weak NFP data (in October) was largely (apparently) due to storm damage in the south-east of the US.
► Powell seems less and less optimistic about inflation, although he mentions that the Fed's preferred metric in October was 2.3%, or 2.8% core inflation - which is still above the 2% Fed target, however.
► After Powell's comments, we also saw the USD rise again - we found the perfect entry point into the EUR/USD just before Powell's rather hawkish comments.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4.5- 6.5 (450% - 650%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100)
position code / 100% transparency - 24111407A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 55+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
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LIVE TRADING IS ONLY AVAILABLE IN VIP ⚡️❌
We found again the perfect entry here 🎯
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SELL NOW 🔽 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
Recommended Entry Range ✅19225 - 19245
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW🔽 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile
Recommended Entry Range ✅(VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 90+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► We have already closed a DAX position with a profit today 📸 (we are still SHORT with the CAC in Europe; our Nasdaq 100, on the other hand, closed in the SL). We are now also seeing that Wall Street is not able to maintain the recent gains that were triggered by investors rushing back into equities following Trump's clear victory. The markets had expected a much closer race, which could have led to a lengthy process to confirm the winner. In the end, Trump won all 7 swing states and the Republicans made the complete sweep in the US Congress.
► The very strong USD is now weighing somewhat on growth stocks as well as emerging concerns that inflation is "back" and could be further accelerated by Trump introducing more tariffs while cutting taxes.
► Europe benefited from the ASML/Siemens reports and the very weak EUR as well as a recovery after being oversold in the last two sessions. We continue to see more downside than upside potential.
► We see further headwinds for equities (especially outside the US) and are getting back in - at around the level at which our TP was triggered. The DAX closed 1.26% higher today - we expect the DAX to quickly fall back below 19200 and probably retest the 19000 to 19100 range next week. We expect further profit-taking in Europe and Asia tomorrow (probably also in New York in the second half of the day).
► We are also (VIP ONLY) SHORT on (VIP ONLY) and anticipate further profit-taking after the recent very strong (VIP ONLY) As we expected, (VIP ONLY) recovered somewhat before encountering resistance at (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4 - 6 (400% - 600%) when trading the DAX (GER_40)
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
position code / 100% transparency - 24111404A (DAX)
position code / 100% transparency - 24111405A (VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 90+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel
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🔸 SmartTrader Renews Partnership with NAGA
We’re thrilled to announce that SmartTrader has officially renewed its partnership with NAGA, the German fintech and CFD/ETF/stock broker that many of our members have loved in the past!
In H1/2023, our risk management team decided to pause this collaboration due to slight concerns over NAGA’s financial health. We remain committed to partnering only with regulated, reputable, and financially stable brokers that offer excellent trading conditions.
With strong new investors and BaFin’s full confidence, NAGA has demonstrated its stability, and we’re excited to work with them again. A big thanks to the NAGA team for their efforts in rebuilding this collaboration!
Why NAGA?
► Excellent Trading Platform(s): Enjoy NAGA’s own platform or via MT4/MT5. NAGA's platform is also great for mobile trading.
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: 19233.70
CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑 @: 7337.60
TP ✅ @: 7232.60
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 20968.40
TP ✅ @: 21138.90 (off-profit)
We update our index positions. We see some selling - our DAX is in profit / break-even again. We set a tight SL for our CAC and limit potential losses.
The Nasdaq is back at hovering near 21000. We saw some profit taking (also for Nvidia as we expected). We now see Nvidia back up (148.00) also as we expected. Our NVDA position is deep in profit.
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 7+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed Update in the VIP Channel
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⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 GBP/CAD
Recommended Entry ✅near 1.77300
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️
► The US PPI points to further signs of a renewed acceleration in US inflation. The USD remains extremely strong - supported by momentum, US economic strength and expected tax and tariff policy changes under Trump.
►The USD has broken through several key levels and the momentum seems to be holding for now - until we see some weakness in the US economy. However, initial jobless claims also pointed to a strong US labor market - another reason for the Fed to slow the rate cut. We see that the markets are now pricing in an 82.5% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut - so the expectation continued to rise - so we are actually seeing contrarian moves here which indicates some confusion in the markets.
► The strong USD weighs somewhat on Wall Street in pre-market trading. The CAD is benefiting from the fact that it is more closely linked to the US economy than other currencies and from today's (probably temporary) recovery in oil prices.
► We buy the GBP/CAD here near the multi-month lows and see the CAD with some selling after the recent gains.
position code / 100% transparency - 24111402A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 30+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Thursday, November 14
❗️ Global markets digest US inflation data - next US PPI; ASML & Siemens lift stocks in Europe
► European stock futures saw some gains, with Euro Stoxx 600 futures up 0.5% boosted by strong earnings reports from Dutch advanced chip-making machines maker ASML (only forecast, not yet Q3/24 report) and Siemens Energy. Siemens Energy AG reported strong revenue growth and rose to ATH, with Q4 non-GAAP EPS reaching €2.57 and total revenue hitting €20.81 billion, driven by a steady performance in its electrification and digital industries. ASML maintained its positive long-term outlook as AI drives demand for semiconductors.
► In the US, inflation data aligned with expectations, supporting hopes that the Fed may still cut in December, with traders now pricing in an 80% chance for a 25-bp rate cut, up from around 60% before US CPI release. However, inflation remains stick and concerns that Trump’s policies on tax and tariffs will reignite price growth remain present. The 2-year Treasury yield dropped five basis points to 4.29% as traders increased their bets on rate cuts. US PPI data, due later, is expected to reveal annual producer price increases for October, providing further inflation insights. Dollar strength remained a market driver, with the DXY hitting a two-year high, up 0.5%.
► Asian markets closed mostly lower again, weighed down by a strong USD and uncertainty over trade policies under President-elect Donald Trump. Major losses were seen in Chinese (-1.72%) and Hong Kong (-1.96%) stocks as technology stocks in Hong Kong continued their slide, led by Alibaba and Meituan. JPY weakened to its lowest level since July as the USD strengthened, causing concern among Japanese officials who warned about the JPY's "one-sided" move. Japan’s Nikkei fell slightly as investors awaited key economic data, while Australia’s ASX 200 bucked the trend, rising 0.37% on gains in tech and financials, despite a weaker-than-expected jobs report showing only 15,900 new jobs in October, missing forecasts.
► In commodities, oil prices edged up slightly by +0.1% and WTI crude prices continued to trade at (slightly above) $68/barrel despite demand concerns and high inventories. Gold continued to fall to $2,550/oz, dropping for the fifth consecutive session amid a strong USD and Treasury yields, which increased the pressure on the precious metal. The Bitcoin price continued to rise, hitting a record above $93,000 as markets welcomed Trump's positive attitude towards cryptocurrencies. Investors see it as a potential asset class with lower regulatory risk.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇦🇺 Consumer Inflation Expectations - 00:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇦🇺 Unemployment Rate - 00:30 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇸 Inflation Rate / CPI - 08:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇺 Employment Change - 10:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 GDP Growth Rate - 10:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇺 Industrial Production - 10:00 (released: 🔴)
♦️ 🇺🇸 PPI - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change - 14:00
♦️ 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Powell Speech - 20:00
🔸 🇯🇵 GDP Growth Rate - 23:50
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ Walt Disney (DIS) 🇺🇸
☀️ Siemens (SIEGY) 🇩🇪 (released: 🟡)
🌙 Applied Materials (AMAT) 🇺🇸
☀️ Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY) 🇩🇪
☀️ Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) 🇯🇵
☀️ Hon Hai Precision (HNHPF) 🇹🇼
☀️ Brookfield (BN) 🇨🇦
☀️ National Australia Bank (NABZY) 🇦🇺
☀️ Merck (MKKGY) 🇩🇪
☀️ NetEase (NTES) 🇨🇳 (released: 🟢)
☀️ JD. com (JD) 🇨🇳 (released: 🔴)
☀️ Ross Stores (ROST) 🇺🇸
☀️ Swiss Re (SSREY) 🇨🇭
☀️ EON SE (EONGY) 🇩🇪
(...a few more with market cap <$25B)
SmartTrader™ Analyst Team & Robert Lindner
Overview last 30 trading days:
✅ Performance: 04.10 - 06.11 (26 trading days)
113/ 119 = 95%❗️ Success Rate
(October 3 - 4/5 = 80% SR dropped out;
November 6 - 5/5 = 100% 🏆 SR added)
❌ 7.11 - EUR/GBP - LONG ↗️ (SL - 0.82793)
✅ 7.11 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7433.30 me | or clsd - 7436-39)
✅ 7.11 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 147.63 |or clsd 148.20 - 148.60)
✅ 7.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 71.33)
❌* 7.11 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL- 2709.57|or 2693.67 break-even*)
3/5 = 60% Success Rate
❌ 8.11 - SPX500 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 6011.60|or clsd ~6000)
✅ 8.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2695.43)
✅ 8.11 - WFC - LONG ↗️ (TP - 70.89 f. me | or TP - 71.23)
❌ 8.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2673.00)
✅ 8.11 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 21120.10 me| clsd 21114-25)
3/5 = 60% Success Rate
✅ 11.11 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 19455.80)
✴️ 11.11 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 20978.90 🔄 | 👉 TP ✅ @: 21227.70 🔄
❌ 11.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2619.47)
✅ 11.11 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 148.63)
✅ 11.11 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 225.39)
✅ 11.11 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7378.80)
✅ 11.11 - WFC - LONG ↗️ (TP - 73.04)
✅ 11.11 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 345.13)
✴️ 11.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2634.97 (or wider)**
6/9 - (2 open positions)
9️⃣5️⃣🔣
We go once again to the flat 95% success rate in our five-week period - this makes me almost emotional, as we know that such a performance in short-term trading over more than 100 trades in 5 weeks - and above all in this turbulent period - has probably never been achieved before. Congratulations to all of us! 🌟
I would like to take this opportunity to mention also once again that we should never become negligent or believe that we are infallible during phases in which everything seems to be going our way. Losing a trade is as much a part of trading as rain is part of the weather. We also want to be aware that the big profits - for many members also life-changing - can also be used to do good and help other people (around us or those in need) - thank you!
**edit: correction - TP of course
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BUY NOW 🔼 Citigroup (C) 🇺🇸
Recommended Entry Range ✅68.85 - 69.05
(+ spread)
► We have made very strong bank trades over the last few days (again Wells Fargo today 📸) and continue to see Wall Street banks as one of the best (and safest) medium and long term trades - especially as regulation is likely to be relaxed under Trump and less anti-trust scrutiny will lead to more mergers and acquisitions (which is why investment banks in particular have rallied strongly). The prospect of higher tariffs and further signs of continued inflation will also lead to a higher interest rate close - this is not good for the markets, but not a real headwind for the banks.
► Citigroup also posted strong Q3/24 earnings - but remains the most undervalued major US bank. We now rate Citigroup higher than Wells Fargo as we see more upside potential for Citi in the short term - also given the fact that Citigroup is more than 1.7% below last week's highs (at currently 69.04) and about 1.1% below today's high, making it almost flat again for today.
► Citigroup's discounted price continues to be a phenomenon - especially as Citigroup has no asset cap. Financial institutions are still generally quite cheap (exception: JPMorgan). Wells Fargo (even with an asset cap) and Bank of America are both trading at a P/TBV of 1.6x. However, Citigroup's Tangible Book Value is still well below 1 (!), which is very cheap - especially in an otherwise very expensive market.
► Citigroup must improve its RoTCE of only 7.0%, which is rather weak compared to other banks, and also reduce costs and increase efficiency. However, I think that CEO Jane Fraser is taking the right measures and that her target of 11.5% is realistic, as Citi is largely reducing its costs and less profitable business areas.
► I like Citigroup very much in the long term and we are also buying Citigroup now for short-term gains.
► We want to stay LONG in the financial sector and find a good entry here/soon at $69.00 and see Citigroup rising quickly back to $70.00.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 800 - 850 (80,000% - 85,000%) trading Citigroup (C)
position code / 100% transparency - 24111306A
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 18983 - 19005
OR
TP ✅ @: 18986.90
Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 20978.90
TP ✅ @: 21227.70
Our timing today is definitely not outstanding (to put it nicely). We see markets looking for direction.
We saw some additional selling in equities (including in Europe). Our DAX is now well in profit (after all!), but we want to close here or with a tight TP.
The Nasdaq has found support at 21000 (for now) - so we can tighten our SL here as well.
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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔹 The Nasdaq (+0.0%) benefited a little from the unsurprising US consumer price figures, but opened unchanged. We expect slight gains, but lower expectations of interest rate cuts will continue to be a headwind. Tesla may see again gains after Elon Musk is now part of Trump's cabinet.
🔹 Boeing (+0.3%) opened slightly higher but continues to face profit-taking. We maintain our SL & TP.
🔹 Palantir (+2.4%) opens higher after some profit taking yesterday. Palantir remains at high risk of further profit-taking. We set a TP ✅ @: 59.13
🔹 Wells Fargo (+0.7%) opens higher again and will probably open above our TP for another nice profit with Wall Street Bank (congrats!). We will be looking for a good re-entry in Wells Fargo as we want to stay LONG in a US financial stock. If you can - you can widen the TP ✅ @: 73.19 as Wells Fargo will try to push back to yesterday's highs.
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 20+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 (VIP ONLY)/USD
Recommended Entry Range ✅(VIP ONLY)
⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP ⚠️
► Consumer prices in the US remained elevated in October, underscoring the risks facing the US Federal Reserve (Fed) as it attempts to achieve its target while bringing interest rates back to a “neutral” level.
► The so-called and more important core CPI - which excludes volatile food and energy costs - rose 0.3% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, however, in line with expectations.
► The markets were expecting the CPI data to show more signs of inflation accelerating again - we are now seeing confirmation - but at least no “negative” surprise.
► We expect some relief, even if inflation is now certainly a problem again for the Fed, which has already started to cut rates (quite aggressively).
► We are buying the (VIP ONLY)/USD near (VIP ONLY). The(VIP ONLY) could support (VIP ONLY). We also see slightly lower US yields in response to the CPI data.
(VIP ONLY)
position code / 100% transparency - 24111301A
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