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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔼 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; slight additional profit taking first

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

Recommended entry range ✅ 137.50 - 138.25

🔹 The Nasdaq (- 0.2%) is slightly down, but continues to find support at/below 21600. Lower chip stocks (such as Nvidia @ -2.5 %) are weighing on the Nasdaq. We have found a good entry and are maintaining our TP. Also AMD trades lower but is additionally pressured from a downgrade from Bank of America (I disagree with BofA).

🔹 Dow Jones (+ 0.15%) is up, while the Nasdaq 100 is down. The Dow Jones is benefiting from the rebound gains of last week's / Friday's underperformer. We are tightening our TP slightly - ✅ @: 44092.90.

🔹 Wells Fargo (+0.1%) remains in rebound mode after last week's losses in the first half. Wells Fargo will try to rise above $75.00 today. We remain LONG and maintain our current TP ✅ @: 76.47.



► We are buying Nvidia's significant dip. The world's most valuable (by far) and arguably most important company is trading about 2.5% lower in pre-market US trading after it was revealed that the Chinese State Administration for Market Regulation is investigating the chipmaker for possible violations of the country's antimonopoly law. The news weighs on Nvidia due to overall concerns about competition in the AI chip sector and potential further trade restrictions between the US and China.

Nvidia continues to see unabated demand for its AI chips (server chips) and would also see gigantic demand from China if the U.S. had not tightened restrictions on sales of the most advanced AI chips to China.

► We find entry into Nvidia at/below $138.00 (Nvidia opens at 139 and is likely to see some additional selling initially) and see Nvidia well supported below $140.00. Investors and analysts remain bullish for Nvidia. Morgan Stanley today again classified Nvidia as “Underweight.” Nvidia receives “BUY” recommendations from investment firms almost daily.

► The chip giant remains the dominant force in AI. Nvidia has also come under some pressure recently because Amazon (AWS) is investing heavily in further improving its in-house AI (server) chips. Amazon wants to offer an alternative – a more cost-effective option. The market remains gigantic and I don't currently see Amazon's current progress putting pressure on Nvidia's sales, forecasts or margins in the short or medium term (12-24 months in the semiconductor segment).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 300 - 330 (30,000% - 33,000%) when trading Nvidia (NVDA).

position code / 100% transparency - 24120902A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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———

Congratulations – this is once again a perfect NYSE opening trade (including a perfect prediction of early trading activity) 🎉

HOWEVER 🚨 – this signal is delayed by more than 3️⃣0️⃣ minutes.


⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️
⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️
⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️


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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Monday, December 9

❗️ Stocks in Europe / US struggle to find direction amid geopolitical uncertainty; Focus on Syria collapse & Fed expectations

European markets started the week cautiously, with the Stoxx 600 index trading flat amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and domestic uncertainties. The EUR fell slightly vs. other currencies, driven by its role as a proxy for risk in light of Syria's political upheaval. The collapse of Syria’s regime added to investor fears, alongside key political crises in South Korea, France, and Germany. In the economic news, expectations of further easing by the European Central Bank this week at least supported sentiment. With policymakers in Frankfurt facing pressure to deliver back-to-back rate cuts amid economic slowdowns in major economies like Germany and France, market participants are bracing for potential volatility.

US markets are little changed as investors awaited critical US inflation data this week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are flat or marginally higher (0.0% - 0.10% "higher"), reflecting caution around potential market-moving announcements. Last Friday’s jobs report, which showed robust growth but slight cooling in the labor market, further strengthened the outlook for Fed cuts. The Federal Reserve’s December meeting looms, with markets expecting a 25 basis-point rate cut. Analysts (including SmartTrader chief analyst Robert Lindner) suggest that the Fed may adopt a more hawkish tone, signaling a potential slowdown in the pace of easing. Markets remain cautiously optimistic, with traders watching for opportunities amid volatility.

Asian markets displayed a mixed start to the week amidst global political tensions and disappointing data from China. South Korea’s KOSPI fell sharply by 2.7%, driven by escalating political instability and renewed calls for President Yoon Suk Yeol’s resignation. The KRW extended losses to its lowest in two years, reflecting sour market sentiment. In China, weaker-than-expected inflation data underscored deflation risks. The Shanghai Composite remained unchanged, while the Shenzhen Component slipped by 0.55%, as investors awaited guidance from this week’s Central Economic Work Conference. The Hang Seng, however, rose sharply at +2.8%. Japan’s Nikkei eked out a modest 0.22% gain on the back of upward GDP revisions, reflecting resilience in its economy.

Commodities gained as geopolitical instability and demand factors influenced prices. Oil prices rose over 1% to $67.8/barrel, despite Saudi Arabia’s unexpected price cuts for Asian buyers. Geopolitical concern following the Syrian regime’s support oil prices. Traders are closely monitoring any fallout that may affect oil trade routes. Gold also climbed sharply to above $2,650/oz, as China’s central bank resumed its gold reserve purchases in November after a six-month hiatus. Silver, however, was the strong outperformer, rising more than 2%, surprising investors who had sold silver at the end of the week (SmartTrader Chief Analyst Robert Lindner positioned our community LONG against the market on Friday). Precious metals also benefited from geopolitical uncertainties.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

♦️ 🇨🇳 Inflation Rate / CPI - 01:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇨🇳 PPI - 01:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇺🇸 Consumer Inflation Expectations (NOV) - 16:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations


Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

🌙 Oracle (ORCL) 🇺🇸
🌙 MongoDB (MDB) 🇺🇸
🌙 Caseys (CASY) 🇺🇸
🌙 Toll Brothers (TOL) 🇺🇸

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner


⏱️ News DELAYED by: 1️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed updates in the VIP Channel

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Silver (XAG/USD)🥈
SL 🔑 @: 31.314
TP ✅
@: 31.417

(or TP triggered @ 31.397)

Our gold position has already reached the TP✅ (2641.23) and is trading 0.9% higher today. Silver is significantly outperforming gold and is up almost 1.5% at the beginning of the week, generating very high profits for us. We are now setting a tight TP and securing a high profit with an SL. At the end of the week, we found an almost perfect entry point in silver and are also seeing the outperformance we expected from silver against gold (and all other precious metals).

If your TP (just) triggered at 31.397 - congratulations! A very, very good TP and one of the best over-the-weekend trade
you could have made!


⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 10+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed update in the VIP Channel


———-

PS: We just made a profit over the weekend with silver (+ gold) – what is an average week's to more than a month's salary (depending on your trade size) – please never forget the privileged position we are in and share some of your profits with people in need ❤️ thank you

——-

We have won ALL (= 100% 🏆 success rate) of our gold and silver trades in the last 5 weeks.

✅ 11.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 25.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.11 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 04.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 06.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✴️✅ 06.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️

12 / 12 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
(gold & silver trades)

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 October 25 - December 06
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)

*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day


————————————————————
——-

📊 5 - Week -Performance: 25.10 - 29.11
(= 25 "full" trading days)

Number of Trades/Signals: 126
Number of Trades Won: 113
Overall REAL Success Rate = 89.7%


——————————————————————

🆕 The last 5 trading days:

2.12 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7202.70)
2.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68.06)
✴️ 2.12 - WFC - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 76.47
2.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 21125.60)
2.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2649.07)
✴️(❌) 2.12 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open-off-profit |clsd off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 7453.80 | TP ✅ @: 7245.60

4/6 - (2 open positions)

3.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68.63)
3.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.05053 | or TP - 1.04716)
✅ 3.12 - COIN - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 309.11)
✅ 3.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2644.87)
✅ 3.12 - COIN - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 307.91 me| or TP - 307.67)
3.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2649.79)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success
Rate


We are adjusting our 5-week period to now 25 full trading days. We consider November 28/29 (Thanksgiving) to be one full trading day in this case. And we always show the last 5 days in their entirety in our overview to ensure maximum clarity & transparency.

We will continue to improve this to always give you a complete picture. You should always be 100% certain that every trade, every update, is fully shared with you, as well as being completely transparent and traceable.


—-

Sorry for the delay – we had a birthday party on the SmartTrader team, which then turned into long discussions about further improvements.

It is VERY IMPORTANT to everyone on the team that we focus even more on fraud prevention and explain why 99.99% of the trading signals and trading content you find are absolute fraud
⚠️ and 99.99% of self-proclaimed trading gurus have absolutely no idea about the financial markets, interdependencies, (current) fundamentals and trading in general – don't trust anyone who doesn't give you sound analysis (including a fundamental analysis) and doesn't share their full track record.

Your Robert

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Silver (XAG/USD)🥈
⚠️ Volatile

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 7️⃣5️⃣+ (!) minutes! smar
Recommended Entry Range 30.885 - 30.945
(+ spread)

► We closed out both of our previous gold trades at short-term peaks – practically perfect. While we see a solid entry point for gold again here, $7 – $10 below our triggered TP (2641.23), we see a more attractive entry point for silver at under $31/oz. Silver has significantly underperformed gold, as it is also facing headwinds from a weakening (among other things) auto industry and is more affected by both the stronger USD and concerns about lower industrial demand (manufacturing activity in China remains weak, though improving, and in the Eurozone it is disastrous and deteriorating further).

Silver is also currently very cheap compared to gold – the gold-silver ratio has now risen above 85 again.

► We generally see silver in recovery mode and in an upward trend. Silver has more short-term upside potential than gold and we now find a better entry price. Unlike gold, silver will also benefit from the current positive momentum in Asia. However, silver is more volatile.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 17.5 - 20 (1,750% - 2,000%) trading Silver (XAG/USD) - if contract size 100.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 1.75 - 2 (175% - 200%) trading Silver (XAG/USD) - if contract size 1000.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.35 - 0.40 (35% - 40%) trading Silver (XAG/USD) - if contract size 5000.

You can see the contract size of your broker when you right click on the asset and click on "specification" (MetaTrader).

position code / 100% transparency - 24120604A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 7️⃣5️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals & updates in the VIP Channel


——-

99 out of 100 ⚠️ - trading channels / signal providers are SCAM 🚫 🚫 - SmartTrader is the ONLY trustworthy signal provider where all trades are 💯% transparent and based on REAL fundamental and sentiment analysis (no technical analysis mumbo jumbo!).

At SmartTrader you will be assigned an account manager (mentor) - who will support you with every decision and all questions!


TRADE PROFITABLY NOW WITH SMARTTRADER:

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Bitcoin
(BTC/USD) 💰
SL 🔑
@: 98737.40
TP ✅
@: 99898.90 (or a bit wider 100478.70)
OR
CLOSE NOW
✅ @: near 99550

Gold
(XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅
@: 2641.23

Our Bitcoin position is well in profit. We are now moving our SL into profit. You could work with a wider TP, but we can certainly find a better re-entry point since we will probably see resistance at over $100K again. Alternatively, you can close now, as we are already seeing slight technical resistance between 99,500 - 100,000.

In addition, Eli Lilly is almost at our TP – we are maintaining our TP (838.89).

Our gold position is also in good profit – we are raising our TP here a little – as we see a temporary resistance at around $2,640. We can find a better re-entry point.

Congrats! Good timing.

⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———

Please share some of your profits with people in need ❤️

WRITE US, BECOME VIP MEMBER & TRADE PROFITABLY 💵📈
OR: Other contact possibilities ❤️

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
TP ✅
@: 1.05773
OR
CLOSE @: 1.05740 - 1.05810

We found the perfect entry into the EUR/USD.

We set a tight TP here or close. Nearly 50 pips in a few minutes

We don't want to be too LONG in the USD.

⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


——

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

We see EXACTLY what we expected. At first glance, the NFP data looks good. Overall, however, the picture is rather mixed.

We see a temporary weakening of the USD. The data is overall good for Wall Street – although the slightly stronger than expected wage growth could be seen as a slight risk to inflation – but we see a mild reaction in the bond market and little change in rate cut expectations (still close to 70%).

We are slightly widening the SL of our CAC position –


CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑
@: 7465.60
TP ✅
@: 7316.60

and ...

⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/USD

Recommended Entry Range 1.06200 - 1.06300

►... sell the EUR/USD advance as the EUR/USD is now trading above 1.06250 – more than a three-week high.

► We see some headwinds for the USD, but they will be rather weak as the overall NFP picture shows a resilient US labor market with no sign of a rapid slowdown.

► The data is definitely not too strong to take the rate cut on December 18 off the table – but it shows no signs of a recession – which Europe has been in (again) for a while - currently still technical recession.

position code / 100% transparency - 24120601A


⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣7️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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——

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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇬🇧 Halifax House Price Index - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 Industrial Production - 07:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 Balance of Trade - 07:45 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇮🇹 Retail Sales - 09:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 GDP Growth Rate - 10:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇺 Employment Change - 10:00 (released: 🟡)
♦️ 🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls - 13:30 ‼️
🔸 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Sentiment - 15:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations


Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No significant earnings reports today

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP triggered ✅ @: 2643.47


⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE
🕯
GBP/USD
TP ✅
@: 1.27067

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
TP ✅
@: 99898.90 (or wider)

CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑
@: 7458.70
TP ✅
@: 7316.60


Gold triggered our well-placed TP and resulted in a very nice profit overall – in overnight trading there was another low-volume dip. If you are still in, please work with a tight TP of 2642.50 – 2646.00 (or close soon), as we can find a better re-entry point anyway.

GBP/USD is little changed – USD will be heavily influenced by today's NFP data. NFP data is very difficult to predict as the last publication was also influenced by Hurricane Helene at the end of September and Hurricane Milton, as well as the massive strikes by Boeing workers.

Overall, we expect the NFP data to paint a picture of a robust US economy and not rapidly weakening labor market, which will support the USD in the short and medium term. We will see a volatile USD later today, but the general outlook for the USD remains bullish (vs. EUR, GBP).

Our Bitcoin position is back in profit – we can close near 100K mark with a profit or work with a wider TP. I am tightening the TP here as we are likely to see some profit taking at / before $100K anyway.

Emmanuel Macron was able to calm the market further and will try to rebuild the French government in the midst of political chaos. The CAC was able to recover from the recent very strong losses – not good for our position. We expect little further upside from here for today – but it is best to get out as the CAC may see further dip buying. If you are still in – we limit the losses and work with a narrower TP.

Please excuse me for being a little late today – unfortunately I had some important appointments in Cyprus that took much longer than expected.

⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Overview last 30 trading days:

✅ Performance: 28.10 - 28.11 & 29.11 (26 trading days)

115 / 126 = 91.3%
❗️ Success Rate

(October 25 = 4/4 = 100%
🏆 SR dropped out;
November 28 & 29
= 1/2 = 50% SR added)


2.12 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7202.70)
2.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68.06)
✴️ 2.12 - WFC - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 76.47
2.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 21125.60)
2.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2649.07)
✴️ 2.12 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 7245.60

4/6 - (2 open positions)

3.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68.63)
3.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.05053 | or TP - 1.04716)
✅ 3.12 - COIN - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 309.11)
✅ 3.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2644.87)
✅ 3.12 - COIN - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 307.91 me| or TP - 307.67)
3.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2649.79)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate



We have included our Thanksgiving trades in our statistics and count them as one trading day – even though the two days together are not really comparable to a full trading day.

Otherwise, there is not much new: Our success rate in our five-week period remains at over (incredible) 91% and our WFC and CAC_40 positions remain open. WFC rose significantly today, as we expected yesterday. The pause in the outperformance of the technology sector led to a rotation back into non-technology. Wells Fargo closed 0.82% higher today (after some profit-taking at the close of the NYSE), but still has plenty of upside.

The CAC is currently pretty impressive because the worst has already been priced in – as is so often the case (buy the rumor, sell the news). However, we remain SHORT as it is likely that we will see slight profit-taking tomorrow (including in Europe).

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 FREE RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
⚠️ HIGH volatility; Increased risk / do not trade large

TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Recommended Entry Range
97500 - 98100

⏱️
Signal DELAYED by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

► We have seen Bitcoin reaching the "historical" mark of $100,000, and apart from that, Bitcoin has also gained an additional 4% from the additional tailwind and attention it has received reaching that milestone. But now we are nevertheless seeing the “typical” price development – namely profit-taking after a new ATH. Bitcoin usually experiences profit-taking even after breaking through a significant level. However, we expect Bitcoin to find buyers rather quickly at the current $98.000 – especially since traders clearly expect BTC to reach new ATHs this year.

► We are now buying a small position here. Bitcoin is now even trading in negative territory – currently at 98100 (- 0.7%). There is no doubt that Bitcoin will quickly crack $100,000 again and will also re-test today's highs. The sentiment around Bitcoin is too positive.

► We see that the overall positive risk sentiment has slightly decreased. We also saw higher yields today, but a weaker USD and the expectation that the Fed will remain supportive (i.e., further rate cuts – next on December 18).

► We go LONG here. Due to Bitcoin's current volatility, we do not trade Bitcoin "too large".

🗣️ Tip: You can multiply your trade size by ~ 0.2 - 0.3 (20% - 30%) trading Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - 2/3 trade size.

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️


———

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🔰 VIP UPDATE / SIGNAL 🔰
STAY LONG / BUY NOW🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Recommended Entry Range 2621.50 - 2624.50

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 7️⃣5️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

Gold slipped a little today as US Treasury yields extended their gains. The number of unemployed people in the US rose moderately last week, indicating that the labor market continues to cool slowly – which keeps expectations of an interest rate cut alive – rather positive for gold – however, we see a slow easing of a previously already very tight labor market.

► The focus will be on NFP data, which plays the most important role here, and we see the market in a state of stagnation today – similar to gold, which was in a slightly bullish momentum but continues to meet resistance at over $2,650 and buying interest at below $2635 - $2640.

► We are now improving our entry and setting the TP near our entry price (our starting position).

► Gold was also a little less in focus as Bitcoin reached the $100,000 mark for the first time. We are now seeing some typical slight profit-taking after a new high.

► Gold remains attractive on all time frames. Gold made a weekly high yesterday and we expect gold to rise again by the weekend. We expect gold to find significant support in the $2620 - $2625 range.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.40 - 0.50 (40% - 50%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always be careful trading gold and limit losses to a max of 2-4% of your account balance per trade.

position code / 100% transparency - 24120404B

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 7️⃣5️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️


——-

Great Entry 2️⃣6️⃣2️⃣4️⃣

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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL DURING NYSE OPENING 🔽 Nasdaq (NAS100/US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 3️⃣5️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

Recommended Entry Range 21515 - 21540 (ATH)

We expected it yesterday and are seeing the movements today. The rally, which went very far, is taking a breather today and will probably see some slight profit-taking (due to short-term overbought conditions ahead of tomorrow's NFP data). The unemployment claims rose a little more than expected and once again paint the picture of a slightly easing labor market – actually very good – as Fed-friendly. The US economy remains in very good shape – or as Powell calls it: in "remarkably good shape”.



🔹 Eli Lilly (+0.2%) will open slightly higher after yesterday's strong performance (which we took advantage of), but it ended with some profit-taking at the close of trading on the NYSE. We are now setting a not-too-far TP - ✅ @: 838.89. Morgan Stanley remains optimistic about Eli Lilly and reaffirms LLY as “overweight”.

🔹 Wells Fargo (+0.5%) is trading higher, benefiting from a pause in the rotation into tech – we expected this yesterday. We expect further gains as the strong gains in tech will (partly) spill over into other segments – such as financials.


► We continue to see the Nasdaq 100 near all-time highs (above 21510). While we see (yet) another flat/slightly positive open for Big Tech, some profit taking is likely. We can find a good entry around the NYSE open and want to take advantage of slight profit taking. Wall Street will remain in good shape, but good data, more business-friendly reforms under Trump and a (still) supportive Fed are priced in. Wall Street also posted gains simply because investors wanted to take advantage of the ongoing short-term year-end rally (which, in my opinion, may even go a little further).

► We find a good entry near/at ATH and aim for a profit of about 100 points. We also see that many of the prominent large tech stocks are trading at or near ATH, which limits further gains. We see a slightly negative performance of mid-cap stocks in the Nasdaq 100.

► We see the more risk-sensitive Russell 2000 trading slightly lower in premarket at -0.25%.

► We will see some slight profit taking – but the overall sentiment remains very positive (which can also be seen from the fact that BTC has (finally) broken through the 100K mark. We see slightly higher yields, which means some headwind for growth stocks. We see a weaker USD – but from here it has limited short-term downside potential and will rather limit losses.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4 - 5 (400% - 500%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100)

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🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤
2️⃣1️⃣5️⃣2️⃣5️⃣📉

What a GREAT entry

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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇦🇺 Balance of Trade - 00:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 Factory Orders MoM - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇫🇷 Industrial Production - 07:45 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇪🇸 Industrial Production - 08:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇮🇹 HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Construction PMI - 09:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇪🇺 Retail Sales - 10:00
🔸 🇨🇦 Balance of Trade - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Balance of Trade - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims - 13:30

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations


Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 🇨🇦
☀️ Bank of Montreal (BMO) 🇨🇦
☀️ Canadian Imperial Bank (CM) 🇨🇦
☀️ Kroger (KR) 🇺🇸
🌙 Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 🇺🇸
🌙 Veeva Systems (VEEV) 🇺🇸
🌙 Samsara (IOT) 🇺🇸
🌙 Hewlett Packard (HPE) 🇺🇸
🌙 Cooper (COO) 🇺🇸
☀️ Brown Forman (BFb) 🇺🇸
🌙 Ulta Beauty (ULTA) 🇺🇸
🌙 DocuSign (DOCU) 🇺🇸
🌙 Gitlab (GTLB) 🇺🇸
...

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Recommended Entry Range 21575 - 21605

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

► We want to take advantage of the fact that the Nasdaq is being weighed down and by the pre-market underperformance of Big Tech (for a change), particularly chipmakers like Nvidia (down ~2%), after the Chinese regulator said it was investigating the chipmaker for possible violations of China's antimonopoly law. The Beijing-based State Administration for Market Regulation has launched an investigation into the chipmaker in connection with its acquisition of Mellanox, the Chinese government announced Monday. This headwind actually matters little for Nvidia – especially since China is surely keen to do business with Nvidia (or for Chinese companies to be able to do more business) – which is way ahead in making the world's most advanced AI chips (+ software).

► We see the risk/cyclical-sensitive Russell 2000 (which consists of small-/mid-cap stocks) outperforming – which is positive to start the week. We also see very strong gains in Chinese/HK tech stocks (also in New York). The Hang Seng rose sharply today and continued to gain in after-hours trading.

► Last week's US economic data was still in the Goldilocks range (= ideal range), i.e. it shows a very moderate slowdown, which allows the Fed to cut interest rates again next week, but also shows that the US economy remains in very good shape ahead of Trump's inauguration in January. We are also LONG the Dow Jones (which is up slightly at +0.05%). Markets are now almost 90% expecting a rate cut on December 18, which shows that last week's economic data (especially the labor market data) was almost ideal.

► The Nasdaq 100 traded at the ATH during European trading, but then lost around 100 points (mainly due to losses in chip stocks). We expect the Christmas rally to continue this week. We see a quiet start to the week as no important economic data is being released from the US (or Europe) today. We see support for the Nasdaq at/below 21600 and expect the tech-heavy index to reach new ATHs this week.

► We can work with a TP - a little more than 100 points above our entry.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4 - 5 (400% - 500%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100)

position code / 100% Transparency - 24120901A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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——-

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
GBP/USD

SL 🔑 @: 1.28037
TP ✅
@: 1.27116

We update our GBP/USD position slightly (as precaution) and give the GBP/USD a bit more room (to hit resistance at key-level). We see the USD little changed (slightly weaker - with DXY down 0.15% in US pre-market trading) despite US Treasury yields edging a bit up (but after trading lower on Friday).

We also observe gold & silver which both edge a bit further up (silver hit our TP / gold hit our TP already during Asian pre-market trading today).

We are confident about our Dow Jones position – although we see mixed markets globally. Our CAC position closed without a profit (I closed ✅ near 7430.00 (at 2428.75) in early European trading as “planned”). If you are still SHORT on the CAC, there could be more profit taking (thus a potential better closing) today after a rather weak start to the week in Asian markets (which was already seen in the DAX), but I prefer NOT to be SHORT on the CAC at the moment (if you want a SHORT position on Europe, I prefer the recently outperforming DAX at the moment).

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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

4.12 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 838.9)
✴️ 4.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.27856 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 1.27086 🔄
4.12 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 838.89) 📸🔄
4.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2643.47 | overall in profit | +re-entry) 📸🔄

3/4 - (1 open position)

5.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 68.41)
5.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 21515.3 | or TP-21476.10 or 21418.60)
✅* 5.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 21418.60) - Re-Entry*
5.12 -BTC/USD -LONG ↗️ (TP - 99918.70 me | 99898.90 or 100478.70+) 📸🔄

3/3 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate (or 4/4 incl. re-entry position)


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

6.12 -EUR/USD -SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.05773) 📸
6.12 -XAU/USD -LONG ↗️ (TP - 2641.23) 📸
✴️ 6.12 -US30 -LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 45093.90
✴️ 6.12 -XAG/USD -LONG ↗️ (open - near break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 31.397 (or wider)

2/4 - (2 open positions)


The day is looking very good - and it was - but there was also certainly some shade in all the light. Bitcoin performed as we expected (despite a sudden dip like cryptos - which may have triggered SLs - but offered an even better re-entry) and we closed our gold positions incredibly (!) well (both on short-term peaks). We made an extremely good post-NFP trade and sold the EUR/USD perfectly at the absolute peak. However, our CAC fell further out of the profit after missing our TP by less than 2 points on Wednesday...

Otherwise, we are happy with our positioning, especially with our position management today (except for the CAC), and are optimistic about the coming week. We are also very pleased with our Eli Lilly TP trigger. Wells Fargo closed 0.9% higher today and remains bullish.

Congratulations on another exceptionally successful week
👏📈

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Dow Jones
(US30)  🇺🇸
TP ✅
@: 44974.80

CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑
@: 7453.80
TP ✅
@: 7332.60
OR
CLOSE @: near 7330.00 (off-profit)

Silver (XAG/USD)🥈
TP ✅
@: 31.397 (or wider)

GBP/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.27856
TP ✅
@: 1.27086


We are updating our positions before the end of the week.

For a change, we have open index positions out of profit at the end of the week (I think this is a first this year).

I don't like our positioning in the CAC. We can either close here/soon and bite the bullet or set our SL tighter. But there is a good chance that our CAC position will close above the SL on Monday. Although the CAC appears to be outperforming, it still has plenty of room to recover, even given the chaos in France and the continued weakness in the Eurozone in terms of economic activity, demand and sentiment. Monday could see a mixed opening in Asia, which could weigh on the CAC in the short term.

We remain LONG in the Dow Jones, which will recover and was heavily weighed down today by the sharp losses in UnitedHealth, which is heavily (over-)weighted in the Dow Jones. The strong performance of the technology sector also weighed on more defensive sectors (such as health care and consumer staples). The energy sector also performed very poorly today – Chevron (a Dow Jones component) was down 2.5% today. The Dow Jones even offers even a good entry (re-entry) price 🔼 here.

We maintain our TP for Wells Fargo and can set a not-too-wide TP for silver (we found a great entry).

We remain SHORT in GBP/USD, but set an SL and a fairly narrow TP (30 pips away, which we would like to trigger on Monday).

⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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——

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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
TP triggered @: 99918.70 (me) | 99898.90 or 100478.70

Our Bitcoin position hit (all) TPs / I widened mine a tiny biz. If you are still long - you can close even better for a mega profit near ✅ 101390 (TP) or just now range 101100 - 101600.

We also closed our LLY and gold positions in our very well set TP (perfect for gold - again!).

Congratulations – our position management is extremely good today

⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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———-

Unbelievable profits with gold and bitcoin today – wow!

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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW / SOON 🔼(VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Recommended Entry Range (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

🔹 Eli Lilly (+0.15%) will open little changed after a very strong performance this week. We continue to see significant upside potential for the pharmaceutical giant.

🔹 Wells Fargo (+0.7%) is again starting well with less panic buying in the tech sector - as we expected. We are maintaining our TP ✅ @: 76.47 for the time being.

► We see the (VIP ONLY) more than (VIP ONLY) points below yesterday's highs and expect Wall Street to rise a little higher today after this week's mixed labor market data. While the labor market data is not clear, it shows that the US economy remains very resilient.

► We saw a slight increase in the unemployment rate, but overall very robust job growth. I expect the Fed to cut rates again in December, but a rather “hawkish cut” with the prospect of a slowing in the rate cuts in the future. Wage growth seems to have bottomed out at 4% year-on-year, but has risen slightly to 4.4% on a three-month basis. Although this is probably not a massive warning to the Fed, wage growth of 4.4% does not really fit with 2% price inflation and a 2% inflation target + continued interest rate cuts.

Optimism will continue/return. We see strong gains in the risk- and economy-sensitive small-cap index Russell 2000 (up +0.8%) – this is a signal that investors are increasingly returning to risk markets (= including equities). We buy (VIP ONLY) ...

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...

position code / 100% transparency - 24120503A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals & updates in the VIP Channel


——-

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Other SmartTrader contact possibilities 🔗

If you think you're making mistakes or not getting the support you need, we're here for you! Our support team is ready to help. You can also ask for a different account manager if you are having problems or are not happy with the help and guidance you are receiving.

If you have any questions, you can also contact SmartTrader Support:
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- Email: support@smarttrader.community

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Recommended Entry Range (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

We practically closed our gold position perfectly today at almost $2,645 (VIP ONLY) ...

► We see slightly lower (VIP ONLY) as the initial reaction (to the NFP data) and also expect investors to view the NFP data as (VIP ONLY) risk that the Fed would take the risk of disappointing the markets by not cutting rates on December 18 is (VIP ONLY). The Fed will (VIP ONLY) hawkish (VIP ONLY)

► We expect gold to (VIP ONLY) find an entry point of (VIP ONLY)

Gold faces slight headwinds as labor market data this week was almost ideal, allowing investors to return to Wall Street and expect (VIP ONLY) ...

(VIP ONLY) ~$2,625, but expect (VIP ONLY) ...

► We are setting the TP (VIP ONLY) ...

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.40 - 0.50 (40% - 50%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always be careful trading gold and limit losses to a max of 2-4% of your account balance per trade.

position code / 100% transparency - 24120602A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel



———

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🚨 NFP data in 2 minutes

LIVE TRADING SESSION

⚠️ (ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL)

We are likely to see data that looks quite positive thanks to the return of workers/jobs after the hurricanes and the massive strike by Boeing workers in October.

However, the overall picture will be more mixed, with signs of a moderate cooling in the labor market – which would be seen as ideal as it would allow the Fed to cut interest rates further.

The unemployment rate and wage growth will also be in focus. There could be signs of a slight weakening of the labor market in the unemployment rate as well.

In general, we could see a slight additional headwind for the USD at first – but it could then recover towards the end of the NYSE. NFP data will keep US investors in a positive mood.

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Friday, December 6

❗️ Global markets mixed ahead of NFP report; Bitcoin retreats after historic high

European markets saw a mixed performance as traders exercised caution ahead of the critical US jobs report. The European Stoxx 600 rose by 0.2%, as GDP and employment change data rose but remained within expectations. France’s CAC 40, however, climbed more than 1.1%, extending it's rebound after a period of strong underperformance, despite the recent government collapse. This comes after Marine Le Pen’s announcement that a budget could be finalized within weeks. French bonds outperformed. Germany’s DAX rose slightly by 0.3%, despite weaker-than-expected German industrial production, which fell 1% in October against hopes for a rebound. Economic data from Germany and France remain very poor. UK’s FTSE 100 is trading 0.1% lower despite upbeat housing data (which is not very important data for the FTSE) showed a 1.3% monthly gain in the Halifax House Price Index.

US markets remained subdued as investors focused on November’s nonfarm payrolls report, anticipated to show a rebound of 220,000 jobs following disruptions from recent hurricanes and strikes. Futures on major indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were little changed, reflecting the market's "wait-and-see" approach. The US 10-year Treasury yield is near flat (up 1 bp) to 4.19%, while swap trading indicated a 68 - 70% likelihood of a December Fed rate cut (down from about 75% earlier this week). I expect data to remain in very good territory, showing ongoing growth of the US economy without overheating.

Asian markets presented a mixed picture, mirroring global caution. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.8%, dragged down by a decline in household spending and weaker wage growth, which dampened consumer sentiment. However, China’s SHCOMP rallied 1.05%, with investor sentiment lifted by hopes of economic support measures expected to emerge from next week’s Central Economic Work Conference. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rebounded sharply, gaining 1.56% as traders positioned themselves ahead of anticipated favorable policy announcements. Meanwhile, South Korea faced pressure amid rising political tensions; the KRW traded near a two-year low as investors reacted to impeachment proceedings against President Yoon Suk Yeol.

Commodities were mixed as markets awaited cues from the US labor report. Oil prices declined, with WTI Crude trading at around $67.5/barrel after OPEC+ announced a three-month extension of production cuts. Most analysts/traders expected a sharp short-term increase in oil prices and could not have been more wrong – As predicted by SmartTrader Chief Analyst Robert Lindner: The extended production cuts were more of a headwind for oil as markets are concerned about a weak demand outlook given OPEC's apparent assessment that extended production curbs are needed. Gold prices rose slightly (+ 0.3%), trading near $2,640/oz, as high U.S. yields continue to weigh on the precious metal which however generally remains bullish with a strong medium-/long-term outlook. Bitcoin, after surging past $100K for the first time earlier this week, pulled back slightly as traders hedged against potential volatility. The cryptocurrency market also digested the news that President-elect Trump appointed David Sacks as the White House crypto and AI advisor, hinting at possible regulatory relaxation in the future.

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4.12 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 838.9)
✴️ 4.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.27022 🔄
✴️ 4.12 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 838.89
✴️ 4.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | re-entry in profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2643.47 🔄

1/4 - (3 open positions)

TODAY :

5.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 68.41) 📸
5.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 21515.3 | or TP-21476.10 or 21418.60) 📸
* 5.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 21418.60) - Re-Entry* 📸
✴️ 5.12 -BTC/USD -LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 100879.90 🔄

2/3 - (1 open position | or 3/4 incl. re-entry position)


With the exception of Bitcoin, it was a very unspectacular day, which also (unfortunately) kept our open positions open. We are adjusting the TP for our GBP/USD position here a little. The USD was somewhat weak – which makes the sharp drop in Bitcoin in overnight trading even more surprising.

We saw a very sharp, very brief dip in Bitcoin – which once again shows us how volatile, sudden and to some extent completely “random” cryptocurrencies can be. We expect this to be a short-term dip and Bitcoin to recover (almost as if it hadn't happened).

If you have improved your entry – great. I'm pulling the TP for our BTC position a bit tighter (you could also hold it a bit longer if your position is small enough). You can also work with a pending order (max. 1/2 of the usual trade size near
🔼 92510, in case Bitcoin makes another short-term dip – I added to my small position at 94557).

The Nasdaq did exactly what we expected today – we may even see some additional profit-taking ahead of tomorrow's important NFP data but the general sentiment in New York remains positive (although less euphoric than Mon-Wed this week).

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 21492.60
TP ✅ @: 21418.60

We see exactly the profit taking that we expected the Nasdaq to see (ahead of NFP data) after one of the strongest phase this year. The crazy part - we made this prediction yesterday (!) already. You can slightly widen your TP.


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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 21506.70
TP ✅ @: 21437.60

If you got back in at ATH (as planned) or are still SHORT in the Nasdaq, I would now update SL & TP. We can see that the Nasdaq is indeed encountering sustained resistance in the 21510-21550 range. If the Nasdaq now continues to break through 21500, we will probably see an overall flat close – although I still generally expect some profit taking ahead of tomorrow's NFP data.

If your position has been closed at the TP, you can stay out for now – we may find a better re-entry.

If the SL is triggered, we may find a re-entry in the 21525 - 21550 area.

We are seeing a narrow range overall today.

⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 5️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
WTI
(USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑
@: 68.41
TP ✅ @: 67.63

Nasdaq
(NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 21515.30 (or wider)
TP ✅ @: 21476.10


We found excellent entries with both WTI and the Nasdaq moving as we predicted. However, we see overall much lower volatility today with investors waiting for more guidance - in particular tomorrow's US NFP data.

We will likely see a bit more profit taking in New York - but losses will be modest with overall sentiment remaining positive.

If you want - you can also set the SL of your Nasdaq 100 position in profit. I set it - as we can then find (potentially) a better re-entry again near ATH.

⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 7️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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SELL NOW / SOON 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Recommended Entry Range 68.50 - 68.84

(current spot price: ~ 68.54- 12:27 UTC+0)


⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

Oil prices initially rose slightly during European trading before falling by more than $1 per barrel. We are now seeing a recovery to 68.50, which we are using as a renewed entry point for shorts.

► OPEC+ is currently discussing an extension of the production cuts in Vienna – I have no doubt that OPEC+ will decide to extend the voluntary curbs on oil production. No matter how it does it, OPEC can only send a "bad" signal here.

► Most traders expect this to lead to an increase in oil prices, however, the extended curbs are largely priced in and it is in fact another sign that OPEC+ also expects the market to remain well supplied (even oversupplied) well into 2025. We will see a short-term reaction to the actual extension - but then profit taking (you could theoretically work with a pending order at, say, 68.97).

► We see ongoing weakness in Europe and China and tentative signs of a healthy cooling in the US. We also expect the USD to remain on a path of strengthening – especially now that more key figures in Trump's cabinet/team are known to be trade hardliners and tariff supporters.

► Meanwhile, Donald Trump's Middle East envoy has traveled to Qatar and Israel to launch the US president-elect's diplomatic push and help secure a ceasefire for Gaza and a hostage release deal before he takes office on January 20. Trump's inauguration in January 2025 is likely to help stabilize the region.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.55 - 0.70 (55% - 70%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader⚠️ The Jan-Futures Contract is currently $0.20 above the spot price

position code / 100% transparency - 24120501A

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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Thursday, December 5

❗️ Mixed global stock prices after collapse of FR government & while US traders focus on NFP (Friday); Bitcoin reaches $100K

European markets faced a mixed start as traders digested the collapse of France’s government. Euro Stoxx 600 futures rose by 0.3%, reflecting broader caution, led by travel and banking stocks. Industrial production data painted a varied picture: Germany reported a 1.5% drop in factory orders for October, while French industrial output eased its decline to just 0.1%. Political uncertainty loomed large as Marine Le Pen's far-right coalition and left-wing groups voted to remove Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s administration, raising questions about France’s economic trajectory. Corporate developments provided some optimism; Shell and Equinor announced a joint venture to form the UK’s largest independent oil and gas producer, bolstering energy sector stocks.

US markets showed resilience following a stellar rally driven by the ongoing positive momentum and optimism about more rate cuts following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks. Powell highlighted the economy’s “remarkably good shape” and hinted at cautious rate adjustments, reinforcing market confidence. US stock futures are slightly lower after Wednesday’s record highs; the S&P 500 is little changed at -0.05% while the Nasdaq eased 0.15%, respectively. Treasury yields edged higher, with the 10-year yield reaching 4.21% (+3 bps). Investors are now eyeing Friday’s non-farm payrolls for signs of labor market strength, a key determinant of the Fed’s December policy decision.

Asian markets reflected heightened caution amidst regional and global uncertainties. Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.38%, bolstered by optimism around U.S. economic strength, supported also by dovish remarks from the Bank of Japan following weak wage growth. South Korea’s KOSPI fell sharply (- 0.9%), reflecting investor unease over political instability following President Yoon’s martial law decree and impeachment threats as well as political instabiliy in South Korea. In China, the SHCOMP rose 0.12%, weighed down by concerns over uneven economic recovery and ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions. Conversely, Australia’s ASX 200 rose 0.15%, buoyed by an eight-month high trade surplus driven by a rebound in exports, stabilizing the AUD.

► In commodities, oil prices steadied ahead of the OPEC+ meeting, with WTI Crude hovering around $68.6/barrel as traders awaited signals on production adjustments. Gold prices dropped slightly (- 0.15%) to $2,645/oz, with slight pressures from higher US yields and USD strength. Bitcoin’s meteoric rise to $100,000 (ATH) drew significant attention, fueled by Donald Trump’s pro-crypto SEC pick, signaling a potential regulatory pivot favorable to digital currencies.

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