🚨 US CPI data in 5 Minutes
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I expect a moderate reaction to the actual CPI data – even though the picture will probably suggest that inflation is stubbornly above the Fed's target. However, we are likely to see “relief movements/trading”.
I don't think the CPI data is too hot to significantly reduce expectations for a rate cut by the Fed next week, especially not in combination with the Bank of Canada's likely outsized rate cut today, which comes a little over an hour (also visible in the screenshot 📸) after the US CPI data.
The USD has already seen support before the CPI data and could initially strengthen a bit if the data shows that deflation has clearly hit a wall. However, much of this data is already priced in, leaving the USD with limited room to advance in the near term.
—-
If your GBP/USD position has not yet reached the TP: SL 🔑 @: 1.27813 // TP ✅ @: 1.27111
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 3️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP triggered ✅ @: TP - 2684.56 | SL - 2703.11
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL triggered 🔑 @: 68.26
Our gold and WTI positions were closed (overnight). Gold slumped during the Asian/early trading session, but has recovered somewhat. If you are still SHORT, you can close soon (range 2688 - 2691) or wait until the CPI data is released (with more risk!). After the CPI data is released, further headwinds (for gold) can be expected, as the assessment that inflation in the US is /will remain stubborn will likely be reinforced. The data is not expected to come as a surprise, but it does reinforce the picture that the Fed should not lower interest rates too quickly without taking the pending interest rate cut off the table.
Gold may have also reached your SL, as gold rose above 2700 during the closed markets + spread (before the Asian markets). I have worked with a wider SL and also a wider TP, but have set it narrower again as we want to reduce our positioning.
WTI is up and is even more than 1% higher as risk sentiment remains cautious, which in this case benefits oil prices. However, there are also fundamental reasons supporting oil prices, such as Chinese crude oil imports rising more than 14% year-on-year in November for the first time in seven months (which is a significant increase). We also see improved sentiment for oil demand as China has announced a "looser" monetary policy.
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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹
🗓 October 29 - December 10
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day
——————————————————————-
📊 5 - Week -Performance: 29.10 - 03.12
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 129 (+1 open position: WFC)
Number of Trades Won: 115
Overall REAL Success Rate = 89.1%
——————————————————————
🆕 The last 5 trading days:
✅ 4.12 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 838.9)
✴️ 4.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.28016 | TP ✅ @: 1.27121 🔄
✅ 4.12 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 838.89)
✅ 4.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2643.47 | overall in profit | +re-entry)
3/4 - (1 open position)
✅ 5.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 68.41)
✅ 5.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL-21515.30 |TP-21476.10, 21418.60)
✅* 5.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 21418.60) - Re-Entry*
✅ 5.12 -BTC/USD -LONG ↗️ (TP - 99918.70 me | 99898.90 or 100478.70+)
3/3 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate (or 4/4 incl. re-entry position)
No big updates on these days - also our WFC position is still open (off-profit) - we have seen another up-then-down day for WFC - we expect better performance after the CPI data, but are looking for an exit. Citigroup is the better option here as C is more attractively valued.
Our GBP/USD moved within 13 pips of our TP, but is now almost unchanged for the day as GBP remains strong (including its strongest against EUR since April 2022). We are seeing lower highs in GBP/USD, but GBP and USD are fairly balanced. We can tighten our TP very slightly.
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SELL NOW 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
Recommended Entry ✅near 2695
► Gold continued to edge higher, benefiting from increased safe-haven demand as investors became more cautious after the recent rally that pushed Wall Street (including the DAX or the Australian ASX 200) to new highs hit resistance.
► Gold also benefits from the expected monetary easing in China, which could not only lead to an upturn in Chinese economic activity but also to more gold purchases from China (due to fears of a weakening of the CNY, which we are already seeing very clearly).
► We are seeing a stronger USD and higher yields ahead of tomorrow's US CPI data. Expectations for a rate cut by the Fed in December have fallen slightly, from 90% to 86.5%.
► Gold is back near the key level of $2,700 - where it is likely to encounter temporary resistance. We can open a smaller re-entry position here and tighten our TP. We also work with a tight SL.
► We are currently seeing resistance at $2,695 - and go SHORT here.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.40 - 0.50 (40% - 50%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always be careful trading gold and limit losses to a max of 2-4% of your account balance per trade.
position code / 100% transparency - 24121001B
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———
Great Entry 🥇📉
2️⃣6️⃣9️⃣5️⃣
This signal is delayed by more than 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ (!) minutes.
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BUY NOW 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
Recommended entry range ✅ (VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► We closed another Nvidia NYSE “opening” position with a profit - although, like yesterday, we could have closed a little better. On the other hand, Nvidia saw strong profit-taking, which pushed the market leader in AI chips to yesterday's low, where we re-entered the market.
► (VIP ONLY) resistance as expectations grow that other chipmakers or the tech giants (especially Apple, Amazon and Alphabet) want a piece of the world's largest growth market (= AI / AI-enabling / server chips).
► In a statement released today, Hartmut Neven, the founder and head of Google Quantum AI, said that Google's “Willow” chip performs best in several areas. The quantum chip can exponentially reduce errors and perform a standard benchmark calculation in less than five minutes, which would take today's fastest supercomputers about 10 septillions of years, he said. The hype will probably be short-lived, because it will probably take several more years before “Willow” or another similar chip can be used in the real world, which is currently designed for “classical” calculations.
► A stronger (VIP ONLY) also(VIP ONLY). Overall, we see Wall Street mixed - with money flowing in and out of the technology sector into other sectors. We see this as a good entry point for (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)
position code / 100% transparency - 24121004A
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 140.23 🔄
TP ✅ @: 141.89
Coinbase (COIN) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 319.77 🔄
We give Coinbase a bit more room to rebound and test the 320 level.
We are slightly tightening the SL of our Nvidia position securing higher profits.
We see the Nasdaq testing the 21600 (and thus back in profit) moving towards our TP - we keep our (now tight) TP.
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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔼 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; slight profit taking first
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 2️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
Recommended entry range ✅ 138.60 - 139.20
🔹 The Nasdaq (+ 0.25%) rose slightly after yesterday's profit-taking. The risk sentiment in New York is stabilizing. Alphabet, which was up nearly 4.7% in pre-market trading, is driving the tech index - Alphabet was named a top pick by Piper Sandler. Alphabet is also benefiting from the fact that its self-driving unit Waymo is introducing its services in Miami, using all-electric Jaguar I-PACE vehicles and offering public services. Google also claimed breath-taking progress in quantum computing - saying that it's "Willow" chip can process much larger volumes of data than a traditional chip. We also see that Nvidia is stabilizing after yesterday's sell-off in chip stocks. We expect a recovery (also of Nvidia), but are maintaining our current ✅ @: 21656.30
🔹 The Dow Jones (-0.15%), on the other hand, is down slightly, as China-sensitive stocks such as Caterpillar are giving up yesterday's gains again in pre-market trading, and Microsoft (compared to other large tech companies) is underperforming after sentiment in the (cloud) software sector was mixed following Oracle's earnings report. We also see a slight rotation in tech. However, Oracle has had an exceptional year (up 80% - now a bit less - this year). Boeing continues its ascent - the beleaguered aircraft maker resumed production of its best-selling 737 MAX jet last week, thereby remaining a great medium-term investment. We hold our current ✅ @: 44968.90
🔹 Coinbase (+2.1%) is one of the top performers in the pre-market, after the stock suffered very heavy losses yesterday and also benefited from a 0.7% rise in Bitcoin. We are tightening our TP as we are finding a better re-entry point into the very volatile stock TP ✅ @: 319.87.
🔹 Wells Fargo (+0.9%) opened well after closing significantly lower yesterday. We expect a solid performance from financial stocks for the rest of the week and remain LONG.
► We are again trading Nvidia at the NYSE opening and find a similar/slightly higher entry price than yesterday - at around $139.00. Nvidia is trading almost flat at the NYSE open after yesterday's nearly 2.6% decline (we did an excellent job of trading yesterday's poor Nvidia open).
► Although Nvidia has faced some mild resistance of late due to news of more competition (including from Amazon, possibly Apple and Alphabet, and AMD), we see no immediate threat to Nvidia's dominance and instead expect 2025 to be another great year and the year of Blackwell - Nvidia's latest AI chip.
► Nvidia still has room to make up for yesterday's losses.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 300 - 330 (30,000% - 33,000%) when trading Nvidia (NVDA).
position code / 100% transparency - 24121002A
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——-
If you missed Nvidia yesterday -> don't miss out today!
We found a beautiful entry near 1️⃣3️⃣9️⃣ 📈
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🗓 Weekly Profit Overview
Date Range: Dec 02 - Dec 06
Return: +16.33% 🤑
Success Rate: 89.0%
With our trades, you could have increased your capital by over 16% last week! 💰
Fun Fact: We won every single oil trade since the beginning of November 2024. 🚀
⬇️ Check it here ⬇️
✅ 01.11 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 07.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.11 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 13.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 02.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 05.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Tuesday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Tuesday, December 10
❗️ Europe falls, Asia mixed as stimulus optimism fades; US remains in wait & see ahead of CPI data (WED)
► European markets dipped, snapping potentially an eight-day winning streak, as optimism from China’s latest stimulus announcements faded. The Stoxx Europe 600 index is trading lower (-0.3%), with miners and luxury goods makers leading the decline. French luxury stocks that are China sensitive lead also the CAC lower (Kering -2%; Louis Vuitton -1.9%, Hermes -1.0%). Germany’s inflation rose to 2.2% in November, in line with expectations, while France’s CAC 40 and the UK’s FTSE 100 also slid as traders awaited US CPI data and the ECB's policy decision later this week.
► In the US, equity markets retreated on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq pulling back from record highs. We see Wall Street in pre-market trading little changed. Nvidia shares fell yesterday as China opened an anti-monopoly probe into the company’s past acquisition, weighing on the broader tech sector. Weighing on sentiment - especially in the software segment - Oracle Corp. fell more than 8% after second-quarter results underwhelmed. Investors remain cautious ahead of Wednesday’s consumer price index (CPI) report, which will provide critical insights for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Any signs of stalled progress on inflation could temper hopes of a third consecutive rate cut. Investment banks remain optimistic: HSBC and forecast a 10% increase in the S&P 500 for 2025, driven by earnings growth. Treasury yields have barely budged, with the 10-year bond yielding 4.22%, a sign that US investors remain cautiously optimistic overall.
► Asian markets presented a mixed picture following China’s stimulus announcements. Japan’s Nikkei climbed 0.55%. The JPY weakened past 151/USD, reflecting uncertainty about the timing of the Bank of Japan’s next rate hike. China’s Shanghai Composite rose by 0.59%, though earlier enthusiasm about China’s announcement of looser monetary policy and proactive fiscal measures for 2025 faded as Chinese equities gave up much of their initial gains. Investors are shifting focus to the Central Economic Work Conference later this week, where China is expected to unveil further policy details. Adding to the cautious sentiment, the AUD weakened after the Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged but hinted at easing inflation pressures, raising expectations for a possible rate cut in February.
► In commodities, crude oil prices declined, with WTI crude falling 0.4% to around $67.8/barrel (spot price / or near $68/barrel for the January contract), as traders balanced optimism from China’s policy shifts with lingering concerns about weak global demand. Saudi Aramco’s decision to cut January prices for Asian buyers to their lowest levels since early 2021 reflected subdued regional demand and Saudi Aramco's prediction of subdued demand in upcoming months. Gold prices extended gains (+ 0.25%), supported by China’s central bank adding to its reserves for the first time in seven months. We see gold trading at around $2,667/oz.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇨🇳 Balance of Trade - 03:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇦🇺 RBA Interest Rate Decision - 03:30 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇩🇪 Inflation Rate / CPI - 07:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇺🇸 NFIB Business Optimism Index - 11:00
🔸 🇺🇸 WASDE Report - 17:00
🔸 🇺🇸 API Crude Oil Stock Change - 21:30
🔸 🇯🇵 PPI - 23:50
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ AutoZone (AZO) 🇺🇸
☀️ Ferguson (FERG) 🇬🇧
☀️ Ashtead Group (ASHTY) 🇬🇧
🌙 GameStop Corp (GME) 🇺🇸
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹
🗓 October 28 - December 09
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day
——————————————————————-
📊 5 - Week -Performance: 28.10 - 02.12
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 127 (+1 open position: WFC)
Number of Trades Won: 113
Overall REAL Success Rate = 89%
——————————————————————
🆕 The last 5 trading days:
✅ 3.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68.63)
✅ 3.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.05053 | or TP - 1.04716)
✅ 3.12 - COIN - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 309.11)
✅ 3.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2644.87)
✅ 3.12 - COIN - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 307.91 me| or TP - 307.67)
✅ 3.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2649.79)
6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 4.12 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 838.9)
✴️ 4.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.28016 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 1.27106 🔄
✅ 4.12 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 838.89)
✅ 4.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2643.47 | overall in profit | +re-entry)
3/4 - (1 open position)
We can slightly update our GBP/USD here. The USD index (DXY) ended the day in the green, so that our GBP/USD also approached the profitable area again.
We closed our CAC SHORT - off-profit (position from December 2nd - which is now in our 25-day timeframe - together with our still open Wells Fargo position - which gave up its gains from Thursday/Friday today due to an overall negative start on Wall Street.
Our success rate for the five weeks (October 28 - December 09) remains at an extraordinary 89%.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 138.87
TP ✅ @: 139.97
We found a very good entry into Nvidia completely against the market (with Nvidia also first seeing slight additional profit taking that we expected). We see significant further upside in the near-term (longer-term anyways).
However, it makes sense to secure profits here as we generally see a rather shaky market today with investors searching for more reasons that would support the ongoing rally (but find little today with also an empty economic calendar).
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 6️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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———
🧑🏾💻👩🏼💻👨🏻💻🌍 Together Always Successful 🤝📈
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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (NAS100 / US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
Recommended Entry Range 21575 - 21605
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
► We want to take advantage of the fact that the Nasdaq is being weighed down and by the pre-market underperformance of Big Tech (for a change), particularly chipmakers like Nvidia (down ~2%), after the Chinese regulator said it was investigating the chipmaker for possible violations of China's antimonopoly law. The Beijing-based State Administration for Market Regulation has launched an investigation into the chipmaker in connection with its acquisition of Mellanox, the Chinese government announced Monday. This headwind actually matters little for Nvidia – especially since China is surely keen to do business with Nvidia (or for Chinese companies to be able to do more business) – which is way ahead in making the world's most advanced AI chips (+ software).
► We see the risk/cyclical-sensitive Russell 2000 (which consists of small-/mid-cap stocks) outperforming – which is positive to start the week. We also see very strong gains in Chinese/HK tech stocks (also in New York). The Hang Seng rose sharply today and continued to gain in after-hours trading.
► Last week's US economic data was still in the Goldilocks range (= ideal range), i.e. it shows a very moderate slowdown, which allows the Fed to cut interest rates again next week, but also shows that the US economy remains in very good shape ahead of Trump's inauguration in January. We are also LONG the Dow Jones (which is up slightly at +0.05%). Markets are now almost 90% expecting a rate cut on December 18, which shows that last week's economic data (especially the labor market data) was almost ideal.
► The Nasdaq 100 traded at the ATH during European trading, but then lost around 100 points (mainly due to losses in chip stocks). We expect the Christmas rally to continue this week. We see a quiet start to the week as no important economic data is being released from the US (or Europe) today. We see support for the Nasdaq at/below 21600 and expect the tech-heavy index to reach new ATHs this week.
► We can work with a TP - a little more than 100 points above our entry.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 4 - 5 (400% - 500%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100)
position code / 100% Transparency - 24120901A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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——-
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
GBP/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.28037
TP ✅ @: 1.27116
We update our GBP/USD position slightly (as precaution) and give the GBP/USD a bit more room (to hit resistance at key-level). We see the USD little changed (slightly weaker - with DXY down 0.15% in US pre-market trading) despite US Treasury yields edging a bit up (but after trading lower on Friday).
We also observe gold & silver which both edge a bit further up (silver hit our TP ✅ / gold hit our TP ✅ already during Asian pre-market trading today).
We are confident about our Dow Jones position – although we see mixed markets globally. Our CAC position closed without a profit (I closed ✅ near 7430.00 (at 2428.75) in early European trading as “planned”). If you are still SHORT on the CAC, there could be more profit taking (thus a potential better closing) today after a rather weak start to the week in Asian markets (which was already seen in the DAX), but I prefer NOT to be SHORT on the CAC at the moment (if you want a SHORT position on Europe, I prefer the recently outperforming DAX at the moment).
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹
✅ 4.12 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 838.9)
✴️ 4.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.27856 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 1.27086 🔄
✅ 4.12 - LLY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 838.89) 📸🔄
✅ 4.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2643.47 | overall in profit | +re-entry) 📸🔄
3/4 - (1 open position)
✅ 5.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 68.41)
✅ 5.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 21515.3 | or TP-21476.10 or 21418.60)
✅* 5.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 21418.60) - Re-Entry*
✅ 5.12 -BTC/USD -LONG ↗️ (TP - 99918.70 me | 99898.90 or 100478.70+) 📸🔄
3/3 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate (or 4/4 incl. re-entry position)
🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹
✅ 6.12 -EUR/USD -SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.05773) 📸
✅ 6.12 -XAU/USD -LONG ↗️ (TP - 2641.23) 📸
✴️ 6.12 -US30 -LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 45093.90
✴️ 6.12 -XAG/USD -LONG ↗️ (open - near break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 31.397 (or wider)
2/4 - (2 open positions)
The day is looking very good - and it was - but there was also certainly some shade in all the light. Bitcoin performed as we expected (despite a sudden dip like cryptos - which may have triggered SLs - but offered an even better re-entry) and we closed our gold positions incredibly (!) well (both on short-term peaks). We made an extremely good post-NFP trade and sold the EUR/USD perfectly at the absolute peak. However, our CAC fell further out of the profit after missing our TP by less than 2 points on Wednesday...
Otherwise, we are happy with our positioning, especially with our position management today (except for the CAC), and are optimistic about the coming week. We are also very pleased with our Eli Lilly TP trigger. Wells Fargo closed 0.9% higher today and remains bullish.
Congratulations on another exceptionally successful week 👏📈
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
Recommended Entry Range ✅7406 - 7415
► We want to avoid being overly positioned – because we continue to see very cautious or wait-and-see trading ahead of the US consumer price index data. The market has priced in the CPI data on the negative side – which means that some relief is likely.
► While analyst expectations for the CPI are rather moderate – meaning that it is not unlikely that inflation will be somewhat higher than expected – shadow expectations (= real expectations) are somewhat above analyst expectations, as evidenced by the recent strength of the USD and higher yields.
► I expect the Fed to see another sign in the CPI data to be more cautious again and wait for further signs that inflation will not accelerate again. However, the Fed will not shock the markets and cut rates in December, but will probably give a rather hawkish outlook.
► The second/third Decemver week is historically a strong week for European equities – this means that we also see some support from seasonality, although equities have done well this year – but not the CAC – which has a YTD performance of -2% due to the weak French economy, political uncertainty and budget concerns and is therefore clearly underperforming (DAX e.g. up 21% for 2024).
► We expect the CAC to post positive performance for the year from here. The CAC should also benefit from a rotation out of German stocks (back into French stocks) and the recent plunge in China-sensitive stocks (such as French luxury stocks) could also reverse given signs of improving economic activity and consumer demand in China // strong US economic data and consumption
► The CAC still has room to recover after yesterday's sharp losses and move back towards 7500+.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 9 - 11 (900% - 1,100%) trading the CAC 40 (FRA_40).
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
———
🇫🇷7️⃣4️⃣0️⃣0️⃣📈7️⃣5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹
✅ 6.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.05773)
✅ 6.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2641.23)
✴️ 6.12 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 44959.70 🔄
✅ 6.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 31.417 | or TP 31.397)
3/4 - (1 open position)
✴️ 9.12 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 21601.30 🔄
✅ 9.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 138.87)
✅ 9.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 67.56) 📸🔄
✴️(✅*) 9.12 - COIN - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | or TP-318.23)
👉 TP ✅ @: 319.77 🔄
2/4 - (2 open positions /* or 1 open position)
🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹
✴️ 10.12 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit| +re-entry in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2703.11 | TP ✅ @: 2684.56 🔄
✅ 10.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 140.23) 📸
✅(✴️)10.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - SL in Profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 68.26 | TP ✅ @: 68.05
✴️ 10.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 139.47
✴️ 10.12 - GOOGL - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 182.32
2/5 - (3 open positions)
While everything still looks solid (including today's closed trades) and especially before Monday - we are positioned too deep in a market in wait-and-see. I don't think that tomorrow's CPI data will be a game changer - but investors also remained on the sidelines today, taking profits and favoring commodities (especially precious metals). My/our gold position from 25.11 (if you still held the initial entry) finally closed in profit for me today (you could even have worked with a wide TP here - but my position was a bit too big for me).
Furthermore, we are seeing a market that is generally looking for direction and tends to overreact (as it did today with Alphabet's statement on the progress of its quantum chip, which caused a rotation out of chip stocks and into Alphabet).
We had the opportunity today to reduce our positioning by closing our Nasdaq 100 position at break-even – that would have been the right thing to do. Coinbase was also up nicely – with most of you probably closing in the TP (in the money) given the slightly delayed update.
We saw mixed markets again. After initial gains, Wall Street closed almost unchanged (even slightly negative). We are tightening the TPs of our index positions.
A likely unspectacular consumer price index tomorrow could restore confidence that Wall Street can continue to rise, while the Fed will likely cut interest rates again (on December 18) before positioning itself somewhat more cautiously and data-dependently again.
⚡️RAPID UPDATE 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 68.26
TP ✅ @: 68.05 (or a bit wider ~67.83)
Wir setzen einen engen In-Profit-SL für unsere WTI-Position gesetzt.
Wir haben einen sehr guten Wiedereinstieg in Öl gefunden. Der vorsichtige Handel bzw. die Zurückhaltung der Anleger im Vorfeld der morgigen US-CPI-Daten aus den USA half den Rohstoffpreisen heute trotz eines leicht stärkeren USD.
Wir sehen im Moment keine niedrigeren Höchststände bei den Ölpreisen, was zeigt, dass die Ölpreise technisch unterstützt werden. Ich ziehe es vor, hier bald zu schließen, da wir wahrscheinlich wieder einen Einstieg im Bereich 68,50 - 68,90 finden können. Du kannst auch mit einem etwas breiteren TP arbeiten.
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 7️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals & updates in the VIP Channel
——-
All oil trades since November 1, 2024:
✅ 01.11 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 07.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.11 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 13.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 02.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 05.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✴️✅ 10.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL in Profit) 📸
10/10 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
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SELL NOW 🔽 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
Recommended entry range ✅ (VIP ONLY)
► Alphabet stock is up more than 5% (VIP ONLY) announcing “Willow,” a revolutionary quantum chip that could reshape the future of computing. We are seeing heavy losses in chip stocks, including Nvidia (after an initial rise after the NYSE opened, which we successfully traded) and even worse for Broadcom (down 5%) as well as AMD, (VIP ONLY), (VIP ONLY)s, (VIP ONLY), (VIP ONLY), etc., all of which fell by 2-3%.
► In the medium and long term, I still like (VIP ONLY) very much,(VIP ONLY) much lower than that of the other (VIP ONLY). (VIP ONLY) faced some recent headwinds due to concerns over (VIP ONLY)... nevertheless, we are going SHORT here in the short term.
► In the short term, however, (VIP ONLY). It will take (VIP ONLY) given the quantity of production that (VIP ONLY) - or even Apple - manage.
► We expect a rotation back to (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...
position code / 100% transparency - 24121005A
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——-
🧑🏾💻👩🏼💻👨🏻💻🌍 Together ALWAYS Successful 💲💲💲
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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
Recommended Entry ✅near 68.75 (update)
► We made the perfect oil trade yesterday (closed today) and now see that the oil price is back at our entry price from yesterday, after our TP was triggered during European trading and the rebound came right after it (=near perfect TP).
► China's commitment to further stimulate the economy (with stimulus measures) and to make its monetary policy more accommodative has recently boosted markets in Asia and also raised expectations for China's oil demand in 2025.
► In contrast to yesterday, when natural gas prices rose sharply and supported oil prices, we see that natural gas prices are losing much of yesterday's strong gains – so rather a headwind (for oil) from natural gas prices.
► Geopolitical concerns appear exaggerated after the overthrow of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. I cannot imagine that this will affect oil routes or oil production (e.g. OPEC+).
► Saudi Arabia's (Saudi Aramco) recent price cuts for Asian buyers and the extended OPEC+ production cuts underscore the weak demand fundamentals.
► We see a stronger USD and are also likely to see a Fed taking a more hawkish stance at the upcoming interest rate decision (on December 18), although it will still very likely cut rates as much as the market expects and wants to see.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.55 - 0.70 (55% - 70%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader⚠️ The Jan-Futures Contract is currently $0.20 above the spot price
position code / 100% transparency - 24121003A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals & updates in the VIP Channel
———
DON'T MISS OUT ❌🛢🔥
✅ 01.11 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 07.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.11 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 13.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 02.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 05.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
9/9 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 10.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
We haven't lost a single oil trade over the past 4️⃣0️⃣ days.
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 139.97
TP ✅ @: 141.89
Coinbase (COIN) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 318.23
Nvidia was one of the top-performers post NYSE opening. We set a not too wide TP here with Nvidia already up nearly 2% (well above yesterday's highs). We secure profits with an in-profit SL. Congratulations!
We are slightly tightening the TP for our Coinbase position as we see some resistance despite further gains of Bitcoin post NYSE opening.
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 7️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals & updates in the VIP Channel
⚡️ RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 1️⃣5️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
Recommended Entry Range ✅(VIP ONLY)
► We see gold rising for the rest of the year and also in 2025 - in particular because China has announced an expansion of monetary stimulus and an “appropriately loose monetary policy” for next year, as well as a more proactive fiscal policy, to boost economic growth. We also see that the PBOC is buying gold again.
► We now see gold near $2,680 - where (VIP ONLY), as the risk sentiment (VIP ONLY) profit-taking. We also see that European markets are (VIP ONLY) ...
► Asian markets (VIP ONLY) gave up stronger gains in early Asian trading, which also led to profit-taking in Europe initially.
► We are seeing higher (VIP ONLY). We are also seeing a stronger (VIP ONLY) ...
► We are not working with a too distant TP, as we only see a (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.40 - 0.50 (40% - 50%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always be careful trading gold and limit losses to a max of 2-4% of your account balance per trade.
position code / 100% transparency - 24121001A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 1️⃣5️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals & updates in the VIP Channel
——-
⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️
✅ 11.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 25.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.11 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 04.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entry)
✅ 06.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 06.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️
We won our last 12 gold / silver trades.
✅ 10.12 - XAG/USD - ❓
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WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP triggered ✅ @: 67.57
Congratulations - we made the perfect WTI trade with also a very well set TP - which just triggered.
If you are still SHORT, I would advise to close soon or at this TP.
⏱️ News DELAYED by: 1️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed updates in the VIP Channel
———
We won every single oil trade since the beginning of November.
✅ 01.11 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 07.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.11 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 13.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 02.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 05.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✴️ 09.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ 📸
9/9 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹
✅ 5.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 68.41)
✅ 5.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 21515.3 | or TP-21476.10 or 21418.60)
✅* 5.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 21418.60) - Re-Entry*
✅ 5.12 -BTC/USD -LONG ↗️ (TP - 99918.70 me | 99898.90 or 100478.70+)
3/3 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate (or 4/4 incl. re-entry position)
✅ 6.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.05773)
✅ 6.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2641.23) (*again 🔄)
✴️ 6.12 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 44968.90 🔄
✅ 6.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 31.417 | or TP 31.397) 🔄
3/4 - (1 open position)
🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹
✴️ 9.12 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 21656.30 🔄
✅ 9.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 138.87) 🔄
✴️(✅) 9.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit | opt. SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 68.33 (optional)* | TP ✅ @: 67.56
✴️ 9.12 - COIN - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 328.90
1/4 - (3 open positions)
We traded today's market - which was looking for direction and remained very mixed overall - relatively well (at least we tried not to overtrade - although we should not necessarily have gone for a rebound so "early"). We have two open index LONG positions on Wall Street that are currently out of the money - we remain LONG. We can slightly tighten the TP for our Nasdaq 100 and Dow Jones positions. Our CAC position 📸 ended way out of the profit zone (for most of you probably less in loss and more in SL).
We made one of the best possible Friday night trades in silver 📸 - and made a massive profit on the precious/industrial metal - although there was more to be made as silver had one of its strongest days this year, rising 4.5% at some time today. On Friday, I made a small re-entry into gold 📸 (which closed back at 2641.23 + slippage).
We made a strong NYSE opening trade (again) in Nvidia. Our Coinbase position is not in profit - but Coinbase will likely find buyers at/below $310 and rally strongly later in the week.
Our WTI position is well in profit - we are holding our TP. You can optionally set an in-profit SL. We keep our TP.
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW / SOON* 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
(VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
Recommended Entry Range ✅(VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
► (VIP ONLY) broke out of the (VIP ONLY) range on Wednesday and even tested the $(VIP ONLY) mark, partly because investment banks & firms turned very bullish on (VIP ONLY) and have raised their price targets significantly (for example, (VIP ONLY) from $(VIP ONLY) to $(VIP ONLY) // (VIP ONLY) from an already high $(VIP ONLY) to $(VIP ONLY) // (VIP ONLY) from $(VIP ONLY) to $(VIP ONLY) or (VIP ONLY) $183.00 (VIP ONLY)).
► We see that (VIP ONLY) has fallen back into the range today because trading in general is very cautious – which of course affects speculative stocks even more. (VIP ONLY) also faced headwinds as (VIP ONLY) ...
► However, as investment banks continue to raise (VIP ONLY) target price significantly, we expect (VIP ONLY) ...
► (VIP ONLY) volatile, but will also benefit from the fact that (VIP ONLY). The high volatility / high trading volume is generally positive for (VIP ONLY) ...
► We are trading (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...
position code / 100% transparency - 24120904A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals in the VIP Channel!
——-
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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❔ WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 7️⃣5️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
Recommended Entry Range ✅(VIP ONLY)
(current spot price: ~ 68.55 - 16:52 MEZ)
► We (VIP ONLY) today following the return of growth hopes in China, as Beijing said China will adopt a "moderately loose" monetary policy. It's the same term that Beijing used in 2010 when it looked to support a recovery from the global financial crisis.
► Oil prices also see support from increased geopolitical uncertainty after the fall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. However, Syria has been a minor oil producer and (VIP ONLY) - much lower than (VIP ONLY). (VIP ONLY) change in Syrian leadership (VIP ONLY) ...
► On Thursday, OPEC+ pushed back plans to increase output to at least the second quarter of next year, the third delay in recent months. (VIP ONLY) reduces the oil on the market in upcoming months (VIP ONLY) ...
► Additional, top exporter Saudi Aramco on Sunday (VIP ONLY) ...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.55 - 0.70 (55% - 70%)* trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - [VT Markets / PU Prime / Markets / Libertex] *multiply by 10 when trading at Admiral Market / Markets WebTrader⚠️ The Jan-Futures Contract is currently $0.45 above the spot price
position code / 100% transparency - 24120903A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 7️⃣5️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed signals & updates in the VIP Channel
——-
We won every oil trade since November 1.
❌❌❌ DON'T MISS OUT ❌❌❌
✅ 01.11 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 07.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 13.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.11 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 02.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 05.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
7 / 7 = 100% Success Rate
✴️ 05.12 - USOIL - ❔
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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔼 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; slight additional profit taking first
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
Recommended entry range ✅ 137.50 - 138.25
🔹 The Nasdaq (- 0.2%) is slightly down, but continues to find support at/below 21600. Lower chip stocks (such as Nvidia @ -2.5 %) are weighing on the Nasdaq. We have found a good entry and are maintaining our TP. Also AMD trades lower but is additionally pressured from a downgrade from Bank of America (I disagree with BofA).
🔹 Dow Jones (+ 0.15%) is up, while the Nasdaq 100 is down. The Dow Jones is benefiting from the rebound gains of last week's / Friday's underperformer. We are tightening our TP slightly - ✅ @: 44092.90.
🔹 Wells Fargo (+0.1%) remains in rebound mode after last week's losses in the first half. Wells Fargo will try to rise above $75.00 today. We remain LONG and maintain our current TP ✅ @: 76.47.
► We are buying Nvidia's significant dip. The world's most valuable (by far) and arguably most important company is trading about 2.5% lower in pre-market US trading after it was revealed that the Chinese State Administration for Market Regulation is investigating the chipmaker for possible violations of the country's antimonopoly law. The news weighs on Nvidia due to overall concerns about competition in the AI chip sector and potential further trade restrictions between the US and China.
► Nvidia continues to see unabated demand for its AI chips (server chips) and would also see gigantic demand from China if the U.S. had not tightened restrictions on sales of the most advanced AI chips to China.
► We find entry into Nvidia at/below $138.00 (Nvidia opens at 139 and is likely to see some additional selling initially) and see Nvidia well supported below $140.00. Investors and analysts remain bullish for Nvidia. Morgan Stanley today again classified Nvidia as “Underweight.” Nvidia receives “BUY” recommendations from investment firms almost daily.
► The chip giant remains the dominant force in AI. Nvidia has also come under some pressure recently because Amazon (AWS) is investing heavily in further improving its in-house AI (server) chips. Amazon wants to offer an alternative – a more cost-effective option. The market remains gigantic and I don't currently see Amazon's current progress putting pressure on Nvidia's sales, forecasts or margins in the short or medium term (12-24 months in the semiconductor segment).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 300 - 330 (30,000% - 33,000%) when trading Nvidia (NVDA).
position code / 100% transparency - 24120902A
⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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———
Congratulations – this is once again a perfect NYSE opening trade (including a perfect prediction of early trading activity) 🎉
HOWEVER 🚨 – this signal is delayed by more than 3️⃣0️⃣ minutes.
⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️
⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️
⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️
Join the VIP channel and get access to all ‼️ (non-delayed) ‼️ signals, markets analysis, insider knowledge, market data and our VIP trading community where you can connect with traders from all around the world 👨💻👩💻🤝
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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Monday, December 9
❗️ Stocks in Europe / US struggle to find direction amid geopolitical uncertainty; Focus on Syria collapse & Fed expectations
► European markets started the week cautiously, with the Stoxx 600 index trading flat amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and domestic uncertainties. The EUR fell slightly vs. other currencies, driven by its role as a proxy for risk in light of Syria's political upheaval. The collapse of Syria’s regime added to investor fears, alongside key political crises in South Korea, France, and Germany. In the economic news, expectations of further easing by the European Central Bank this week at least supported sentiment. With policymakers in Frankfurt facing pressure to deliver back-to-back rate cuts amid economic slowdowns in major economies like Germany and France, market participants are bracing for potential volatility.
► US markets are little changed as investors awaited critical US inflation data this week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are flat or marginally higher (0.0% - 0.10% "higher"), reflecting caution around potential market-moving announcements. Last Friday’s jobs report, which showed robust growth but slight cooling in the labor market, further strengthened the outlook for Fed cuts. The Federal Reserve’s December meeting looms, with markets expecting a 25 basis-point rate cut. Analysts (including SmartTrader chief analyst Robert Lindner) suggest that the Fed may adopt a more hawkish tone, signaling a potential slowdown in the pace of easing. Markets remain cautiously optimistic, with traders watching for opportunities amid volatility.
► Asian markets displayed a mixed start to the week amidst global political tensions and disappointing data from China. South Korea’s KOSPI fell sharply by 2.7%, driven by escalating political instability and renewed calls for President Yoon Suk Yeol’s resignation. The KRW extended losses to its lowest in two years, reflecting sour market sentiment. In China, weaker-than-expected inflation data underscored deflation risks. The Shanghai Composite remained unchanged, while the Shenzhen Component slipped by 0.55%, as investors awaited guidance from this week’s Central Economic Work Conference. The Hang Seng, however, rose sharply at +2.8%. Japan’s Nikkei eked out a modest 0.22% gain on the back of upward GDP revisions, reflecting resilience in its economy.
► Commodities gained as geopolitical instability and demand factors influenced prices. Oil prices rose over 1% to $67.8/barrel, despite Saudi Arabia’s unexpected price cuts for Asian buyers. Geopolitical concern following the Syrian regime’s support oil prices. Traders are closely monitoring any fallout that may affect oil trade routes. Gold also climbed sharply to above $2,650/oz, as China’s central bank resumed its gold reserve purchases in November after a six-month hiatus. Silver, however, was the strong outperformer, rising more than 2%, surprising investors who had sold silver at the end of the week (SmartTrader Chief Analyst Robert Lindner positioned our community LONG against the market on Friday). Precious metals also benefited from geopolitical uncertainties.
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
♦️ 🇨🇳 Inflation Rate / CPI - 01:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇨🇳 PPI - 01:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇺🇸 Consumer Inflation Expectations (NOV) - 16:00
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
🌙 Oracle (ORCL) 🇺🇸
🌙 MongoDB (MDB) 🇺🇸
🌙 Caseys (CASY) 🇺🇸
🌙 Toll Brothers (TOL) 🇺🇸
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
⏱️ News DELAYED by: 1️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed updates in the VIP Channel
Silver (XAG/USD)🥈
SL 🔑 @: 31.314
TP ✅ @: 31.417
(or TP triggered ✅ @ 31.397)
Our gold position has already reached the TP✅ (2641.23) and is trading 0.9% higher today. Silver is significantly outperforming gold and is up almost 1.5% at the beginning of the week, generating very high profits for us. We are now setting a tight TP and securing a high profit with an SL. At the end of the week, we found an almost perfect entry point in silver and are also seeing the outperformance we expected from silver against gold (and all other precious metals).
If your TP (just) triggered at 31.397 - congratulations! A very, very good TP and one of the best over-the-weekend trade
you could have made!
⏱️ Update DELAYED by: 10+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
⚡️ Receive non-delayed update in the VIP Channel
———-
PS: We just made a profit over the weekend with silver (+ gold) – what is an average week's to more than a month's salary (depending on your trade size) – please never forget the privileged position we are in and share some of your profits with people in need ❤️ thank you
——-
We have won ALL (= 100% 🏆 success rate) of our gold and silver trades in the last 5 weeks.
✅ 11.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 25.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.11 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 04.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 06.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✴️✅ 06.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️
12 / 12 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
(gold & silver trades)
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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹
🗓 October 25 - December 06
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day
——————————————————————-
📊 5 - Week -Performance: 25.10 - 29.11
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 126
Number of Trades Won: 113
Overall REAL Success Rate = 89.7%
——————————————————————
🆕 The last 5 trading days:
✅ 2.12 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7202.70)
✅ 2.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68.06)
✴️ 2.12 - WFC - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 76.47
✅ 2.12 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 21125.60)
✅ 2.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2649.07)
✴️(❌) 2.12 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open-off-profit |clsd off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 7453.80 | TP ✅ @: 7245.60
4/6 - (2 open positions)
✅ 3.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 68.63)
✅ 3.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.05053 | or TP - 1.04716)
✅ 3.12 - COIN - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 309.11)
✅ 3.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 2644.87)
✅ 3.12 - COIN - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 307.91 me| or TP - 307.67)
✅ 3.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2649.79)
6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
We are adjusting our 5-week period to now 25 full trading days. We consider November 28/29 (Thanksgiving) to be one full trading day in this case. And we always show the last 5 days in their entirety in our overview to ensure maximum clarity & transparency.
We will continue to improve this to always give you a complete picture. You should always be 100% certain that every trade, every update, is fully shared with you, as well as being completely transparent and traceable.
—-
Sorry for the delay – we had a birthday party on the SmartTrader team, which then turned into long discussions about further improvements.
It is VERY IMPORTANT to everyone on the team that we focus even more on fraud prevention and explain why 99.99% of the trading signals and trading content you find are absolute fraud ⚠️ and 99.99% of self-proclaimed trading gurus have absolutely no idea about the financial markets, interdependencies, (current) fundamentals and trading in general – don't trust anyone who doesn't give you sound analysis (including a fundamental analysis) and doesn't share their full track record.
Your Robert