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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

❌(✴️
) 12.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP-A - 2660.33 | +re-entry / partial close) 🔄
👉 TP-B ✅ @: 2690.24
✅ 12.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7452.40 me| TP-7439.40)
✅ 12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.04656)
✅ 12.12 - MCD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 297.96)
✴️ 12.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit / partial close)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 30.243 | TP ✅ @: 31.079
✅ 12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.04668 me | or TP-1.04616, SL - 1.04808)

4/6 - (2 open positions)

13.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️(CLSD-1.04989 |or TP - 1.04936)
✴️ 13.12 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 452.39 🔄
13.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 133.98)
13.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 70.35 | or TP - 69.98) 🔄📸
✴️ 13.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 133.89 🔄
13.12 - UBER - LONG ↗️ (SL - 60.56) 🔄📸

4/6 - (2 open positions)


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

16.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7367.20) 📸
16.12 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 446.89 | or 450+) 📸
16.12 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 169.49 | or 171+) 📸
✴️ 16.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.04811

✴️ 16.12 - MU - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)

3/5 - (2 open positions)


We traded the very difficult markets very well today and benefited from the tech rally - although we could have made much higher profits with Tesla (if you have (partially) realized them - congratulations!). Overtrading would have led to even higher profits today - but we see a strong outperformance here, as some tech stocks are in a heavily overbought area (although Broadcom's profits were also supported by its very impressive earnings report). The AI hype pushed stocks higher today - Tesla, a big beneficiary of Trump's election victory, also rose significantly today.

We set the perfect TP for our WTI position - unfortunately, due to the spread, when WTI (spot) fell to 69.96/97, it did not trigger the TP for me by 1 (!) cent (due to spread) - very unfortunate. Maybe it triggered your TP (or you closed at $70 as planned).

Gold hit our off-profit TP. We currently see a good entry price for a medium-
/long-term position and expect gold to rise back towards $2,700 not later than in the next 2-3 weeks (even with elevated yields). You see here $1766.30 loss on my gold position - but that includes $933.00 from Friday's partial closing (so “only” -$833.33 (!) today) - if you closed everything at TP ✅ @: 2060.33, your percentage loss is lower.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by:
6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range (VIP ONLY)

► We have traded today's tech rally (with Tesla) very well (also good profits with Uber) and also see our Microsoft position in profit. Nvidia found support in the $130.00 - $130.50 range as expected. A possible re-entry is solidly in profit.

► We are seeing a very strong performance by the Nasdaq today, which rose by almost 2% at times, due in particular to strong gains by Broadcom, Amazon, Tesla and Alphabet, but also by Apple and Microsoft (= generally strong outperformance by Big Tech).

► It is once again the very intact AI growth story that is driving Wall Street higher after Broadcom's very impressive revenue growth in the fourth quarter (+51% year over year) - which is somewhat reminiscent of Nivida, especially since Broadcom reports that revenue growth from (server) AI chips has even increased by 220% (!) year over year - truly “Nvidia vibes”. Broadcom also gave an optimistic outlook, raising expectations that Broadcom is the next AI chip super growth story.

► While Broadcom seems to be getting all the attention, we also see (VIP ONLY) getting a significant boost from Broadcom's mega earnings and guidance, as (VIP ONLY) is not (VIP ONLY) ...

► We are seeing some profit taking (VIP ONLY) now and are entering before (VIP ONLY). Given (VIP ONLY), investors may also be getting (even more) excited a (VIP ONLY) ...


🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...

position code / 100% transparency - 24121605A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel

———-

DON'T MISS OUT 💲
DON'T MISS OUT 💲
DON'T MISS OUT 💲

We want to take advantage of the current tech rally!

Trading with SmartTrader is incredible easy:
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 (VIP ONLY)/USD
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range (VIP ONLY)

► We have gone SHORT in the EUR/USD three times (successfully) in the last three trading days and are going SHORT (VIP ONLY) ...

► The USD remains in demand on Monday after a strong week and remains near a three-week high against other major currencies.

► With US inflation above the central bank's 2% target and signs that inflation will remain stubbornly high for some time to come, and given the continued strength of US economic data, it is unlikely that the Fed will not take a more hawkish position and provide an outlook that is more “data-dependent” again.

► Even though it is very unlikely that the Fed will not deliver the expected rate cut on Wednesday, it will most likely be a rather “hawkish rate cut”.

► We expect that almost all other major central banks will take a rather dovish stance or maintain the rate cut path, with even the (VIP ONLY) having removed possible interest rate hikes from the agenda for the time being. We also expect China to continue trying to weaken the CNY further to stimulate its economy, and (VIP ONLY) ...

► Although we see a good entry point into the (VIP ONLY)/USD at (VIP ONLY) prefer the (VIP ONLY)/USD pair, which will (VIP ONLY) ...

position code / 100% transparency - 24121604A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel



———

DON'T MISS OUT❗️

✅ 14.11 - GBP/CAD - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 15.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 18.11 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 18.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 20.11 - GBP/CHF - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.11 - EUR/CHF - SHORT ↘️
✅ 27.11 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 28.11 - EUR/CAD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
04.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 13.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️

15/16 = 92% Success Rate

✴️ 16.12 - /USD - SHORT ↘️

We won more than 92% of our FX trades over the past 35 days.

✉️ CONTACT US: @SmartTrader_Onboarding 🇬🇧🇪🇸🇩🇪

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Uber Technologies (UBER) 🇺🇸
SL triggered 🔑 @: 60.56

Tesla
(TSLA) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 446.89 me | or 447+

Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 169.49


Huge profits with stocks today in early US trading.

We see Tesla now even at 450. If you are still LONG - close now / soon (range ✅ 451 - 453) for a mega profit.

Also Boeing recovered very strongly is now back in profitable territory. You can close also now (range 170.50 - 170.99) for a mega profit. We expect Boeing to later fall also again below 170.00.


Congratulations – we hit the bull's eye with Tesla and Boeing and also had very good entries.

⏱️ Update ist DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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———

A mega start to the week.
🚀💵💵💵

Trading with SmartTrader is incredible easy:
1️⃣ Get trade recommendation 📲
2️⃣ Place your trade 💻
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 441.98
TP ✅
@: 446.89

Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
TP ✅
@: 169.49

Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
TP ✅
@: 133.89

Uber Technologies (UBER) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑
@: 60.29
TP ✅
@: 61.13

Tesla is up sharply after the NYSE opening and is now back above $445 (or more than 2%). Many of you have already closed out with a bug profit in just a few minutes earlier. We see further short-term upside potential for Tesla, but are now working with an in-profit SL & TP.

Our Boeing position is also well in profit - we set a TP at the flat line.

Uber almost triggered our TP - but is now seeing some profit taking. We secure profits with an SL and work with a TP near today's highs (still very deep in profit).

Our Nvidia position went out of the black - we set our TP near our entry. We may also improve our entry with a small re-entry range 🔼 $130.00 - $130.50 (below $131). We expect a rebound.

⏱️ Update ist DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


——-

Congratulations - beautiful NYSE opening trades! 🎯💵💵💵

SmartTrader is the ONLY trustworthy and 100% transparent trading community / signal provider in the world.

✉️ CONTACT US: @SmartTrader_Onboarding 🇬🇧🇪🇸🇩🇪

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Recommended Entry Range (VIP ONLY)

► After a mixed session in Asia (weak Chinese markets) and ongoing political instability in Europe, we saw some losses in Europe. Eurozone PMI data also showed continued weakness, especially in the manufacturing sector. Germany and France, the largest economies in the Eurozone, were unable to increase their manufacturing output due to a loss of competitiveness and weak domestic/Chinese demand.

► The (VIP ONLY) today, coming under additional pressure from (VIP ONLY) ...

► A stable EUR also gave (VIP ONLY) ...

► We see a bounce in the (VIP ONLY) ...

► We see another day of markets waiting – mainly to see further signals from the Fed and to see if the Fed will take a more hawkish stance – which I think is likely. We also see the EUR/USD as more likely to trend down in the coming sessions – and the (VIP ONLY) ...

(VIP ONLY) cooling of energy prices today.

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

position code / 100% transparency - 24121601A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———

Join SmartTrader VIP 💎 in a few minutes ...
WRITE US NOW 📨 - JOIN SMARTTRADER VIP

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸
🇯🇵 Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI - 00:30 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇯🇵 Jibun Bank Services PMI - 00:30 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇯🇵 Jibun Bank Composite PMI - 00:30 (released: 🔴)
♦️ 🇨🇳 Industrial Production - 02:00 (released: 🟢)
♦️ 🇨🇳 Retail Sales - 02:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇨🇳 Unemployment Rate - 02:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speech - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Composite PMI - 08:15 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 08:15 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Services PMI - 08:15 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 08:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Composite PMI - 08:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Services PMI - 08:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Composite PMI - 09:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 09:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Services PMI - 09:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Composite PMI - 09:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - 09:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Services PMI - 09:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇮🇹 Inflation Rate / CPI - 10:00 (released: 🟢 1.3% vs. 1.4% exp.)
🔸 🇺🇸 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 S&P Global Composite PMI - 14:45
🔸 🇺🇸 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - 14:45
🔸 🇺🇸 S&P Global Services PMI - 14:45

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations



Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No significant earnings reports today

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑
@: 70.35
TP ✅
@: 69.98

The start to the third of December was positive for us, as precious metals initially recovered (gold hit a possible TP ✅ at 2660.33 (off-profit); both gold and silver rose by almost 0.4%). Oil prices, on the other hand, fell on Monday as we expected, while the general market sentiment also remains subdued – with mixed Asian markets and weakness in Europe ahead of the vote of confidence in the German parliament and Moody's surprise decision on Saturday to downgrade France's credit rating from Aa2 to Aa3. Wall Street, on the other hand, is slightly positive.

We set an in-profit SL for our WTI position and the TP at / near key mark 70.00, where the oil price (spot price) could be given temporary and technical support.

We found a very strong entry against the market on Friday and see the oil price trading slightly lower after three days of gains.


———

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 November 1 - December 13
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)

*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day


————————————————————
——-

📊 5 - Week -Performance: 01.11 - 06.12
(= 25 "full" trading days)

Number of Trades/Signals: 127 (incl. 2 open positions: WFC & US30)
Number of Trades Won: 111
Overall REAL Success Rate = 87.4% 🔽

Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Oct. 31)
Added to statistics: 3/4* - 75% Success Rate (Dec. 06)


(*1 open position: US30 - with TP off-profit)

——————————————————————

🆕 The last 5 trading days:

09.12 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 21640.70)
09.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 138.87)
09.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 67.56)
09.12 - COIN - LONG ↗️ (TP - 317.97| or TP-318.23+)

4/4 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

*() 10.12 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2684.56 | SL - 2703.11 overall in-profit ; +Re-entry)
10.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 140.23)
10.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 68.26)
10.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 137.97 me| TP-138.97 )
10.12 - GOOGL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 192.13 me | 192.43)

3/5 = 60% Success Rate

*considered LOSS as some members closed in SL overnight


This overview looks a bit better than the actual week was – because although we also made many good trades and found solid entries in an overall sideways / sentiment-driven market – we encountered strong profit-taking and are significantly out of the money (or significantly closed out of the money) with some positions.

The market became even more unbalanced after the rather positive CPI data was negated by the warm PPI data. As a result, yields, which were already rising sharply over the past weeks, rose even further - especially in yesterday's and today's sessions and are now moving towards the key level of 4.5% (for the US 10-year) where the market in general could become a little more nervous.


The success rate fell to still very strong 87.4% (in our five-week-period) as we counted our both open position as loss now (TP is off-profit).

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; 1/2 trade size

Recommended entry ✅ near 133.75

🔰
FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Uber Technologies (UBER) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; 1/2 trade size

Recommended entry range ✅ 59.75 - 59.90

► We are taking advantage of additional Friday evening sales to buy Nvidia and Uber at a discount.

► Broadcom's mega-rally (+25%) has attracted all the attention in the chip sector / AI industry today and actually left little else - in an already very mixed, actually cautious market. Despite the very good prospects for server chips and AI enabling, all other major chip stocks and even other AI-related stocks were unable to really benefit - with a few exceptions such as Micron, which is not considered a competitor to Broadcom but is also a major beneficiary of the massive growth in the AI industry (and plays the “memory role” in AI).

► We see Nvidia down 2.5% and expect that Nvidia, given strong earnings of its own and the overall completely intact AI growth story - in which Nvidia continues to play the main role (also as a key innovator) - can attract some buyers at the current price. We maintain our LONG position in Microsoft, which is almost unchanged before the NYSE close.

► We are also buying a small position in UBER, which has fallen further and is now trading under $60 - which I consider to be a very good price for a medium to long-term holding. Goldman Sachs named Uber as its "top pick" for 2025 - if you look at the key figures and how they improved, particularly in 2024, I would fully agree. I don't see why Uber's strong growth story and massive improvement in profitability should not continue into 2025.

► Ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision next week, it was another rather strange day/week for equities, with the sharp rise in yields in particular weighing heavily on sentiment (another near 8 bps higher for the US 10-Y today).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 170 - 190 (17,000% - 19,000%) when trading Nvidia (NVDA) - 1/2 trade size.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~400 - 450 (40,000% - 45,000%) when trading Uber (UBER) - 1/2 trade size.


position code / 100% transparency - 24121305A (NVDA)
position code / 100% transparency - 24121306A (UBER)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

⚡️LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 133.89
TP ✅
@: 134.79

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP-A ✅
@: 2660.33 (off-profit)
TP-B ✅ @: 2690.24

-> close 50% - 60% of your position at TP-A.

Silver (XAG/USD)🥈
SL 🔑
@: 30.347
TP ✅
@: 31.077

EUR/USD
TP ✅
@: 1.04767

As we expected, we are seeing another day in which the markets are searching for direction - with Broadcom's very strong forecast driving Wall Street higher (but with overall very mixed sector performance).

It's hard to find trades & entries in this market - but we found solid entries into Microsoft and especially Nvidia and are holding our WTI trade.

We are too deeply positioned in gold/silver, with gold also experiencing some extended profit taking today, after it had even reached a five-week high in overnight trading just yesterday.

We are now updating our positions. We are working with a tight TP for Nvidia as we generally want to reduce our exposure. We are setting a tight in-profit SL. For now, we remain LONG in Microsoft.

Your gold position has probably already been closed in the wake of the current strong profit-taking. If you are still in, you should reduce your position/exposure and close (or a part of your position) at the next rise. Gold is likely to see some support in the last two hours of trading this week. We currently see support in the range $2,651 - $2,655 - but could also test the $2,650 again. Gold remains bullish in the medium term.

We close 50% (or more) of our position at the next spike at $2,660. We can hold our smaller silver position - but we set an SL and a narrower TP.

We have again found an almost perfect entry point in EUR/USD and see some further downside pressure for the pair (or USD buying) towards the end of regular US trading.


⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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———

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; 2/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 8️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended entry ✅ near 133.20

► After a very strong pre-market performance in New York, we are seeing some profit taking. Broadcom is still up about 19-20% and is benefiting from a massive rotation from other tech stocks as well.

► The Nasdaq saw some profit taking after making a new ATH for the second time this week. We could buy the current mini-dip in the Nasdaq, but I prefer (although even more volatile) to buy the much stronger dip of Nvidia.

Chip stocks initially benefited from Broadcom's very good earnings forecast, which once again shows that the AI growth story remains fully intact.

► We now see that Nvidia fell far from the day's high shortly after the NYSE opened (at around 139.60) – Nvidia is about 2.8% lower for today (at 133.50) / or about 4% from today's highs.

► In view of the volatility and the fact that we do not want to be too heavily positioned in this sideways trending market (on a Friday), we are trading Nvidia a little smaller here.

► We now see Nvidia below this week's lows, even below 133.70. We expect support to rise at this level (range 132.50 - 133.50) and therefore go here LONG.

► Nvidia has received a positive rating from an analyst (as it does almost every day) - today Mizuho with “Outperform”.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 210 - 230 (21,000% - 23,000%) when trading Nvidia (NVDA) - 2/3 trade size.

EDIT: position code / 100% transparency - 24121303A

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⚡️LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
McDonald's (MCD) 🇺🇸
TP ✅
@: 297.96

A good NYSE opening for us. We also found the perfect entry point for Microsoft.

We are giving McDonald's a little more room to move upwards.


PS: MCD may already have ended up in your TP – if it has – “we” are happy with that.


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⚡️RAPID UPDATE 🕯
CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑
@: 7452.40
TP ✅
@: 7463.90 (or already triggered ~7439.40)

Sorry for the delayed update - I had a meeting with my accountant. It's quite complicated as I will be moving out of Germany in 2024.

I have added 30 points to my TP for my/our CAC position - but I want to close it soon. Your position could have been closed earlier ~7439.40 (in profit) or slightly higher as the CAC has seen a solid rebound in the last ~4 hours. The Dow Jones has indeed found support at 44K and is currently trading ~0.2% (or about 100 points) higher. We remain LONG.

Our gold position has slipped a little further out of the money, but gold is likely to see slight gains again today before the NYSE closing, under pressure from further price gains. Gold has had a turbulent week but is still up for the week – yesterday's profit-taking went a bit further, however. Silver is still close to the key mark of $31/ozwe may reduce our exposure in precious metals soon.

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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

*() 10.12 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2684.56 | SL - 2703.11 overall in-profit ; +Re-entry)
10.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 140.23)
10.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 68.26)
10.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 137.97 me| TP-138.97 )
10.12 - GOOGL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 192.13 me | 192.43)

3/5 = 60% Success Rate

*considered LOSS as some members closed in SL overnight

11.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7429.70)
11.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP-32.077 | TP-31.987, 32.097)
11.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2719.33)
✅ 11.12 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 167.89) 🔄📸
11.12 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 111.99 | or clsd 112+) 🔄📸

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✴️
12.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2703.93 🔄
✴️ 12.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 7439.40 🔄
12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.04656) 📸
✴️ 12.12 - MCD - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 297.97
✴️ 12.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 31.267 🔄
(✴️) 12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.04808|TP ✅ @: 1.04616 or CLOSE ✅ @: 1.04650🔄


A very difficult market to trade, characterized by sideways movement and low trading activity overall. Investors are looking for direction. We see a market that is also searching for equilibrium, or rather, seeking its own pricing. The further rise in yields could become a problem, as could the fact that some markets (including Wall Street, DAX, ASX, Nikkei, etc.) are trading near all-time highs after strong performance in 2024, making profit-taking generally more attractive.

We closed yesterday with a 100% 🏆 success rate with very difficult trades (Boeing 📸 - big profit / Exxon 📸 - great entry against the market). Congratulations!
👏

Our gold position(s) are not quite ideal – but the growing uncertainty is generally supportive for gold – although rising yields are also a problem for gold. We made two wonderful EUR/USD trades today. You can also close our second EUR/USD now (deep in profit).

We are tightening the TP of our gold and silver position (not too tight). We are also tightening our CAC TP a bit - which was already relatively deep in profit today - we probably should have closed it when our position was more than 25 points in profit.

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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 November 4 - December 16
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)

*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day


————————————————————
——-

📊 5 - Week -Performance: 04.11 - 09.12
(= 25 "full" trading days)

Number of Trades/Signals: 126 (incl. 2 open positions: WFC & US30)
Number of Trades Won: 111
Overall REAL Success Rate = 88.1% 🔼

Dropped from statistics: 4/5 - 80% Success Rate (Nov. 1)
Added to statistics: 4/4 - 100%
🏆 Success Rate (Dec. 09)

——————————————————————

🆕 The last 5 trading days:

*() 10.12 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2684.56 | SL - 2703.11 overall in-profit ; +Re-entry)
10.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 140.23)
10.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 68.26)
10.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 137.97 me| TP-138.97 )
10.12 - GOOGL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 192.13 me | 192.43)

3/5 = 60% Success Rate

*considered LOSS as some members closed in SL overnight

11.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7429.70)
11.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP-32.077 | TP-31.987, 32.097)
11.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2719.33)
✅ 11.12 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 167.89)
11.12 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 111.99 | or clsd 112+)

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


Very good news from WFC, which was among the top performers in the S&P 500 today, closing 2.2% higher. By contrast, the Dow Jones saw slight selling again (-0.25%) after initial gains. The problem in the Dow Jones remains UnitedHealth, which once again dragged the Dow Jones down. Although the losses are small, the underperformance against the S&P 500 is growing (especially against the Nasdaq 100). However, after another strong gain in the tech sector, it is almost overdue that the Dow Jones can catch up a bit - at least once UNH has found a bottom.

We are raising our TP again and looking for an exit - despite the underperformance, I would not (if not LONG) favor the Dow Jones over the S&P 500, the Nasdaq 100 (very hot) or European futures here. TP ✅ @: 44112.70 (off-profit).

Otherwise, there is no update here. Our success rate has risen above 88% again.

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⚡️RAPID UPDATE 🕯
CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑
@: 7367.20
TP ✅
@: 7378.70

We trade today's market very well. We overall see reduced trading activity and made excellent stock trades (although there was even more profits possible with our really well selected stocks - in particular Tesla or Boeing - which is now up 2.7%.

We secure small profits with our CAC_40. We can find a better re-entry.

We see Wall Street higher but yet again very (big) tech driven.

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Great trade – against the market. However, we see little momentum in Europe/Asia overall.

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The misery has come to an end -
(more misery loading ...)

To the end - Scholz as always, abysmal 🇩🇪📉
Germany is being driven against the wall - but it's always the others who are to blame.


——-

Little reaction in the market - everything as expected. Please never give this man responsibility again.

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⚡️LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 443.89
TP ✅
@: 446.89 (or slightly wider)

Uber Technologies (UBER) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑
@: 60.56
TP ✅
@: 60.98

We secure bigger profits with Uber and Tesla tightening our SLs. Boeing already triggered our TP for a very nice profit.

Mega trades. Also Tesla is near our TP (you can widen a bit - but we believe we can likely find a better re-entry - thus closing near 447.00 would be great).

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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER NYSE OPENED🔼 Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile; Reduced Trade Size

Recommended Entry Range 437.50 - 439.50

🔰 FREE OPTIONAL TRADE 🕯
BUY AFTER NYSE OPENS
🔼 Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile

Buy only at
near / below 167.00 🔄*
*Boeing opened a bit weaker than expected


⏱️ Signal is
DELAYED ⚠️ by:
3️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️


🔹 The Dow Jones (+0.2%) rose by more than 100 points at the beginning of the third week of December, with UnitedHealth - the big brake man of last week - also stabilizing. The Dow Jones remains a relative underperformer compared to the more tech-heavy S&P 500 and especially the Nasdaq 100 (back at ATH). We remain LONG. We are LONG positioned in the tech sector and hold individual stocks, as we took advantage of Friday's decline:


🔹 Microsoft (+0.1%) opens slightly higher. We can tighten our TP a bit ✅ @: 452.39. Jefferies calls Microsoft a “top pick”.

🔹 Nvidia (+ 0.25%) opens higher after a weak Friday (and an overall negative week) but remains volatile. We found an excellent entry point on Friday and are working with a TP that is not too far away ✅ @: 136.53. Nvidia receives an “Outperform” rating from Bernstein. Bank of America recommends “buying” Nvidia and also describes it as a top pick for 2025.

🔹 Uber (+1.8%) is one of the top pre-market performers, opening nearly 2% higher (near $61.00). Our position is deep in profit after the open. We set a TP: ✅ @: 61.34.

🔹 Wells Fargo (0.0%) opens flat, with most of the gains coming from tech again. Wells Fargo has found support in the $70.00 - $71.00 range. We maintain our TP.


► We expect an overall positive start to the week and also see the return of the Trump trade at the beginning of the last full trading week in 2024. We also see a dip in Boeing - which we are trying to catch. The aircraft manufacturer is trading 0.7% lower in pre-market trading and is the worst performer in the Dow Jones. We expect Boeing to dip into the $167-$168 range, maybe even a little lower. If we don't get a good entry price (near $167), we'll stay out of it.

► On the other hand, we are getting into Tesla despite a positive opening (pre-market trading 1% higher). We expect Tesla to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of Trump's inauguration and that the regulatory environment for autonomous driving is likely to change completely over the next four years. With Musk being an important advisor to the incoming administration, it is likely that Tesla will be able to further increase its positive cash flow. Investors will also be optimistic about Musk's most important project for Tesla - the robotaxi service.

► Although Tesla's average target price is around $270 - well below the current price - we believe that more and more analysts will upgrade Tesla significantly. Today we saw two of them: Analysts at Wedbush raised their target price from $400 to $515. Truist Securities also adjusted its target price for Tesla, raising it from $238 to $360 (although this is still below the current price).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~120 - 130 (12.000% - 13.000%) when trading Tesla (TSLA) - 3/4 trading size

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 320 - 350 (32,000% -35,000%) trading Boeing (BA).

position code / 100% transparency - 24121602A (TSLA)
position code / 100% transparency - 24121603Ao (BA)


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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸
🇯🇵 Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI - 00:30 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇯🇵 Jibun Bank Services PMI - 00:30 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇯🇵 Jibun Bank Composite PMI - 00:30 (released: 🔴)
♦️ 🇨🇳 Industrial Production - 02:00 (released: 🟢)
♦️ 🇨🇳 Retail Sales - 02:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇨🇳 Unemployment Rate - 02:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speech - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Composite PMI - 08:15 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 08:15 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Services PMI - 08:15 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 08:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Composite PMI - 08:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Services PMI - 08:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Composite PMI - 09:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Manufacturing PMI - 09:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Services PMI - 09:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Composite PMI - 09:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - 09:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Services PMI - 09:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇮🇹 Inflation Rate / CPI - 10:00 (released: 🟢 1.3% vs. 1.4% exp.)
🔸 🇺🇸 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 S&P Global Composite PMI - 14:45
🔸 🇺🇸 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - 14:45
🔸 🇺🇸 S&P Global Services PMI - 14:45

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations



Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No significant earnings reports today

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner


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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Montag, 16. Dezember


❗️ European stocks lower on weak economic data, political instability, a credit downgrade & sluggish Chinese retail sales; Wall Street holding steady

► European stock futures opened lower on Monday
as weak retail sales data from China dampened investor sentiment. The disappointing 3% growth in November, falling short of the expected 5%, heightened concerns about the global economic outlook. We see the Stoxx 600 index trading 0.17% lower. Additionally, Moody’s downgrade of France’s credit rating from "Aa2" to "Aa3" exacerbated uncertainty, reflecting growing fiscal challenges and political fragmentation. The CAC 40 index has already faced pressure, closing marginally lower last week as President Macron struggles to maintain stability following his latest cabinet reshuffle. Political nervousness also spread to Germany, where Chancellor Olaf Scholz faces a critical vote of confidence that he wants to use to trigger snap elections, which would prevent any meaningful fiscal support for Europe's largest economy, which is already struggling with slow(ing) "growth".

US stock futures, on the other hand, are stable, even slightly up (S&P 500 +0.15%). Traders remain cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision this Wednesday. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points. Swaps traders are now pricing in three 25 basis point rate cuts over the next 12 months, though last week’s expectation of a fourth cut has moderated. Treasury yields edged higher as investors positioned ahead of the announcement, reflecting lingering concerns about inflation and the broader economy.

Asian equities closed mixed as China’s retail sales data highlighted persistent weakness in domestic demand. The Shanghai Composite fell 0.17%, while the Shenzhen Component fell even 1.3%, reflecting unease over Beijing’s underwhelming stimulus efforts and prolonged property market woes. Analysts noted the 3% retail sales growth underscores a lack of momentum despite earlier pledges to boost consumption. Japan’s Nikkei 225 remained steady following stronger-than-expected core machinery orders, which signaled improving capital spending prospects. However, Japan’s factory activity contracted for the sixth consecutive month, offsetting gains. Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 0.88%, weighed by regional economic uncertainty and further concerns over China’s property downturn. In South Korea, political uncertainty eased after President Yoon’s impeachment, with markets stabilizing as investors expect limited long-term economic impact.

Oil prices declined after last week’s gains, with WTI crude (spot) trading at around $70.2/barrel (down almost 1%). Prices were supported by news of tighter U.S. sanctions on Russian crude, which could restrict supply in the near term. However, weaker demand signals from China’s retail and industrial data weighed on the broader outlook. Gold prices gained slightly, hovering around $2,660/oz, as traders exercised caution ahead of a busy economic week. Rising US Treasury yields (currently slightly lower at -2bp for the US-10-Y) and a stronger USD could add near-term pressure on the precious metal. Bitcoin surged temporarily above $106,000 (= ATH), after positive comments regarding implementing a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

11.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7429.70)
11.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP-32.077 | TP-31.987, 32.097)
11.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2719.33)
✅ 11.12 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 167.89)
11.12 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 111.99 | or clsd 112+)

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

*(✴️) 12.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit or closed off-profit | +re-entry / partial close)🔄📸
👉 TP-A ✅ @: 2660.33 (off-profit)| TP-B ✅ @: 2690.24
🔄
12.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7452.40 me| TP-7439.40) 🔄📸
12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.04656)
12.12 - MCD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 297.96) 🔄
✴️ 12.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit / partial close)📸
👉 SL 🔑 @: 30.243 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 31.079 🔄
12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.04668 me | or TP-1.04616, SL - 1.04808) 🔄📸

4/6 - (2 open positions)


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

13.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️(CLSD-1.04989 |open-in profit) 📸
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.04936 (if not closed in profit)
✴️ 13.12 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (open - slightly off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 454.79
13.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 133.98)
✴️ 13.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 69.23
✴️ 13.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - just-entered)
✴️ 13.12 - UBER - LONG ↗️ (open - just-entered)

2/6 - (4 or 5 open positions)


We have now seen markets out of balance for almost a full week. There are more and more signs of further headwinds at the end of the year – especially rising yields. The second/third week of December is historically positive – but we are likely to see a prolonged sideways movement with subdued trading activity (especially before the Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday evening – US time – which will be important, especially the interest rate outlook).

In this difficult market, we have made very good stock trades in the past few days and found good entry opportunities (with Nvidia and Uber) to take advantage of the ongoing profit-taking before the NYSE closed – at least if the market picks up again next week.

We have reduced our overall positioning – most of you have probably already closed out of gold significantly. We have not managed our gold position well – especially since we made a good re-entry yesterday and could have closed (our re-entry) at a profit. Please remember that you should never lose more than 3-4% of your account balance in a single trade (this also (!) includes re-entries) – be especially careful when trading gold (silver, oil and Bitcoin = commodities).

Have a less chaotic weekend, your Rob
☃️

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⚡️LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
TP ✅
@: 1.04936
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅
@: near 1.04950 - 1.05000

Silver (XAG/USD)🥈
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 30.570 - 30.600 (50% position size)
Rest:
SL 🔑
@: 30.243
TP ✅
@: 31.079

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇 (if still LONG)
CLOSE NOW ✅
@: 2649 - 2650 (25% position size)


We continue to see a sharp rise in yields, which poses a problem for our precious metal holdings.

Silver has recovered by 1% from its low, indicating a general oversold situation. However, we have seen no other positive impulses for precious metals today, as we have also seen a mixed stock market – including an incredible record close for the Nasdaq 100.

I am closing half of my silver position HERE and also reducing my gold position a little (which has probably already hit the SL for most of you). However, we see gold at the key level of $2,650, where it will probably find buyers (during the Asian session on Monday).

We expect both gold and silver to rebound again next week. If you don't have a position yet, you can buy a small gold position here or on Monday (range 🔼 2,641 - 2,649).

We can either work with a tight TP here (for our EUR/USD position) and close it on Monday or close it NOW.


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⚡️LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 133.98
TP ✅
@: 134.97

We widen our TP a bit for our Nvidia position a bit. We expect a bit of more dip buying before NYSE closing and Nvidia potentially test the $135.00.

Potentially you can also stay LONG with a broader SL & TP. We actually found a very good entry.


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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY)
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Recommended Entry Range (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

► We see oil prices trading significantly higher for another day (currently +1.35%). We now see WTI at 70.55 (spot) // 70.90 (Jan'25) (VIP ONLY) ...

► Oil prices were boosted this week by increased Chinese demand and the prospect of looser monetary policy in China.

(VIP ONLY) increased Chinese purchases were (VIP ONLY). Crude imports by the world's largest importer, China, are also likely to remain at high levels in early 2025, as (VIP ONLY) ...

► We see a (VIP ONLY). In addition, (VIP ONLY) countries will increase their (VIP ONLY) ...

► Even though we see some (VIP ONLY) in light of ongoing geopolitical instability, we see an attractive price to (VIP ONLY) ...

► We also see rising (VIP ONLY), which also (VIP ONLY) they had risen sharply this week.


🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 5.5 - 7.0 (550% - 700%) trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - if contract size 10
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 0.55 - 0.70 (55% - 70%) trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - if contract size 100

🗣️ Tip: The Jan 25'-Futures Contract is currently $0.30 above the spot price

You can see the contract size of your broker when you right click on the asset and click on "specification" (MetaTrader).

position code / 100% transparency - 24121304A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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———-

Since November 1, 2024, we have made 10 oil trades. Of these 10 trades, we have won 10 = 100% 🏆 success rate.

DON'T MISS OUT 🛢
💵
DON'T MISS OUT 🛢💵
DON'T MISS OUT 🛢
💵

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL
🕯
BUY AFTER NYSE OPENED 🔼 Microsoft (MSFT) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by:
3️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range 447.25 - 448.50

The Nasdaq 100 has reached new highs in pre-market trading after chip stocks rose sharply - particularly Broadcom, which gained around 19% (!) after the company forecast unexpectedly high revenue for the current quarter and cited increased demand for chips due to growing interest in AI.


🔹 The Dow Jones (+0.1%) opens another day little changed, with the weakness of a major component UnitedHealth persisting. However, we see gains in financials (including Goldman Sachs, the most heavily weighted stock in the Dow Jones) and in cyclical and technical stocks (Salesforce up 1.7%). We are maintaining our price target for the time being. We expect the Dow Jones to perform modestly today.

🔹 McDonalds (-0.2%) opens slightly weaker after a solid performance yesterday. Our position is close to breakeven. We are raising our TP to: ✅ @: 297.43. McDonald's should benefit from some inflows into more defensive stocks in the second half of US trading.

🔹 Wells Fargo (+0.2%) opens little changed after recent losses. We are tightening our TP: ✅ @: 73.63. We see gains for financial stocks in pre-market trading.


► We don't want to overtrade the market, but I see some good buying opportunities - with some chip stocks that have the potential to recover significantly (like AMD), but also other stocks that have been sold across the board (in the tech/growth area) and could recover - including UBER, which has exceptionally strong metrics and is showing strong growth and improving profitability. Many investors also underestimate UBER's competitive advantage as they price in the risks from robotaxis etc.

Broadcom's mega-gains on the back of very strong demand for AI are driving Wall Street higher today. Broadcom is up almost 20% (!) in pre-market, and other chip stocks are also up - including Nvidia, which is likely to test the $140 mark again after some profit-taking.

► We are turning to ... Microsoft, which saw some profit taking yesterday and is a leader in the adoption of AI features – it sees massive growth in its Azure service. Microsoft opens flat at / slightly negative (at 449.00) and could retest yesterday's highs. We try to find an entry just below the opening price (at around 448.00).

Microsoft is the leader in AI and cloud computing. 33% growth in Azure and very strong strategic partnerships, particularly with OpenAI, ensure strong adoption of (Microsoft) AI services and further revenue growth. Microsoft's enterprise AI tools such as Microsoft 365 Copilot and GitHub Copilot are being rapidly adopted and will help Microsoft maintain/expand its already high market share.

► Financially, Microsoft has been able to gradually improve its operating margin (currently around 46.5%) despite massive investments in AI infrastructure. I expect Microsoft to be able to further improve its financial key figures in 2025. Microsoft is and remains one of the absolute AI winners.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 110 - 120 (11,000% - 12,000%) trading Microsoft (MSFT)

position code / 100% transparency - 24121202A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry near 1.05200

► We also closed yesterday's second EUR/USD excellently overnight (📸) and in early Asian trading, and the pair rose again above 1.05000, although expectations of a Fed rate cut were scaled back slightly to ~96.5% (from around 98% yesterday).

► The recent slowing of the pace of disinflation in the US – especially yesterday when the PPI came in a bit warmer – and the still very strong labor market with the unemployment rate lower than the Fed projected in September, as well as the continued strength of Wall Street, make it very likely that the Fed will position itself more hawkishly next week.

► Yesterday saw some rate cuts in Europe (SNB by as much as 50 basis points and the ECB). The ECB's general statement was not very dovish, but the tone has moved further and further away from a hawkish stance. The governors of the central banks of the Eurozone (such as France, Latvia, Estonia and others before yesterday) also favor further and rapid interest rate cuts in the future.

► The ECB also acknowledges that capital spending and growth are weak and that the outlook for the Eurozone economy is very uncertain, all of which argues for further easing. Lagarde also hinted that a handful of ECB officials advocated an above-average 50 basis point rate cut.

► We go here SHORT again – for the third time at a similar level - more than 60 pips above the lows at the European open.

position code / 100% transparency - 24121301A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———

⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️

✅ 14.11 - GBP/CAD - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 15.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 18.11 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 18.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.11 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 20.11 - GBP/CHF - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.11 - EUR/CHF - SHORT ↘️
✅ 27.11 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 28.11 - EUR/CAD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
04.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ 📸

14/15 = 93.3% Success Rate

✴️ 13.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️

We likely have the highest success rate in short-term FX trading over the past 30 days.


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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Friday, December 13

❗️ Stocks mixed after disappointing China economic meetings; Tech stock lead Wall Street higher

European stock market futures (DAX, CAC, FTSE 100) are trading slightly higher after a rather subdues opening following losses in Asia. Sentiment was weighed down by China’s Central Economic Work Conference, which disappointed traders by offering vague policy promises instead of concrete fiscal stimulus measures. Key sectors struggled, with political turmoil in France and Germany adding to investor caution. The UK economy contracted by 0.1% in October, its second consecutive monthly decline, dragging the pound lower. Despite Germany’s trade surplus of €13.4B and France’s inflation aligning with expectations at 1.3% in November, broader European equities remain mostly in sideways movement, reflecting concerns about stagnant growth and mounting geopolitical uncertainties.

US markets showed mixed signals as investors digested Thursday’s economic data. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.6% in Friday's pre-market trading, buoyed by Broadcom’s (!) 14.5% after-hours surge following strong results. Broadcom's strong gains also boosted other chip stocks. However, the S&P 500 fell 0.5% in Thursday’s session, with nine consecutive days of more decliners than advancers, raising questions about the sustainability of the year’s 27% rally. Treasury yields edged lower, while the swaps market indicated a 95% confidence level for a December rate cut. Producer price data was mixed, with wholesale inflation rising in November, driven by egg prices, while jobless claims unexpectedly climbed, highlighting lingering economic uncertainties.

Asian markets traded broadly lower, with China’s SHCOMP falling over 2% and Hong Kong’s HSI losing 2%. The market reacted negatively to China’s lack of detailed stimulus measures from its Central Economic Work Conference, despite promises of fiscal expansion and monetary easing. Japan’s Nikkei dropped 1.2%, with the JPY weakening to a two-week low as speculation grew that the Bank of Japan might pause rate hikes. Industrial production in Japan rose by 2.8% MoM in October but missed preliminary estimates.

Oil prices continued their upward trajectory, with WTI crude trading above $70/barrel, supported by expectations of tighter US sanctions against Iran and Russia. Gold traded a bit lower at $2,675/oz as investors await the high likelihood of a US rate cut next week. Bitcoin continues to hover around the $100K mark, maintaining its strong performance as crypto markets gained from hopes of relaxed regulatory frameworks and dovish central bank policies.


Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇬🇧 GfK Consumer Confidence - 00:01 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇩🇪 Balance of Trade - 07:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 GDP - 07:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 Industrial Production - 07:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 Manufacturing Production - 07:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 Inflation Rate / CPI - 07:45 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇸 Inflation Rate / CPI - 08:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇪🇺 Industrial Production - 10:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations


Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No significant earnings reports today

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner


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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 October 31 - December 12
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)

*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day


————————————————————
——-

📊 5 - Week -Performance: 31.10 - 05.12
(= 25 "full" trading days)

Number of Trades/Signals: 127 (+1 open positions: WFC)
Number of Trades Won: 113
Overall REAL Success Rate = 89% 🔼

Dropped from statistics: 5/6 - 83.3% Success Rate (Nov. 30)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Dec. 05)


——————————————————————

🆕 The last 5 trading days:

06.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.05773)
06.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2641.23)
✴️ 06.12 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 44494.70 🔄
06.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 31.417 | or TP 31.397)

3/4 - (1 open position)

09.12 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 21640.70)
09.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 138.87)
09.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 67.56)
09.12 - COIN - LONG ↗️ (TP - 317.97| or TP-318.23+)

4/4 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


No update on these positions. Our Dow Jones position is already down a little more than 2% (off-profit) – we will close at the next spike, but generally see a sideways-trending market with reduced trading volume overall. We won't see any strong gains tomorrow, and next week the markets will remain cautiously optimistic, but will not make any major moves before the Fed's interest rate decision – although there is little scope for a negative surprise.

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