[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

20 Dec 2024 14:39

PCE COOL - very good for us

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2598.47
TP ✅ @: 2614.49

Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 20843.30
TP ✅ @: 21178.90

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
SL 🔑 @: 93948.70
TP ✅ @: 95432.30

⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 9️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

20 Dec 2024 14:14

🔰 FREE RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
⚠️ HIGH volatility; Increased risk / do not trade large
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅93000 - 93600

► Even though the current support looks a bit like a “dead cat bounce”, we see an attractive entry point for longer-term as well as short-term crypto holdings after very heavy selling. Bitcoin has now fallen almost 10% over the last 24h and just over 13% from its ATH, which was reached just this week (on Tuesday).

► We are seeing a generally strong risk-off sentiment after sell-offs in New York as well and worried investors ahead of the US PCE data after a series of strong US economic data this week (including stronger-than-expected US GDP growth yesterday).

► We are buying a small position in Bitcoin here and although there are further downside movements in the short term, much of it is already priced in + panic selling. The USD has risen sharply this week and yields have climbed above 4.5% (for US 10-year treasuries), which may cool down a bit unless the US PCE data is hotter-than-expected. I see a risk of the monthly data coming in a little higher than expected (0.3% versus 0.2% expected), but I think it is unlikely that the year-on-year headline and core inflation will be hotter than expectations.

🗣️ Tip: You can multiply your trade size by ~ 0.3 - 0.5 (30% - 50%) trading Bitcoin (BTC/USD).

position code / 100% transparency - 24122002A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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——-

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

20 Dec 2024 11:09

Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇩🇪 PPI - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇬🇧 Retail Sales - 07:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 PPI - 07:45 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇨🇦 Retail Sales - 13:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 PCE Price Index - 13:30 ‼️
🔸 🇪🇺 Consumer Confidence - 15:00
🔸 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Sentiment - 15:00

♦️ 🇺🇸 "Triple Witching" Expiration day - 20:00 - 21:00 ‼️

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Carnival Corp (CCL) 🇺🇸

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

20 Dec 2024 00:55

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 17.12 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 20300.30 |or TP 20313.30, 20300.30, 20293.20)
✅ 17.12 - AUS_200 - SHORT ↘️ (TP-8300.30 |8290-8308.60)
✅ 17.12 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 118.37)
✅ 17.12 - COIN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 313.13)
✅ 17.12 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 110.43 for me | or TP - 109.69 w/ positive slippage)
✅ 17.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 69.66 me| clsd 69.60-75)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

✅ 18.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.26852)
✅ 18.12 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 22058.70)
✴️ 18.12 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
❌ 18.12 - MU - LONG ↗️ (SL - 94.70 w/ neg. slippage) 🔄📸
👉 TP ✅ @: 126.70
✴️ 18.12 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit| +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 0.62619 🔄
❌ 18.12 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 21268.70|+re-entry) 🔄
✅ 18.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2620.83|+re-entry) 🔄📸
✅ 18.12 - C - LONG ↗️ (TP - 69.79) 🔄

4/8 - (2 offene Trades)


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✅ 19.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7304.40)
✴️ 19.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit|+re-entry)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 2586.29 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 2609.39 🔄
✅ 19.12 - GBR_100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 8118.70 )📸
✴️ 19.12 - PYPL - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 88.19 🔄
✴️ 19.12 - AVGO - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 19.12 - GBR_100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 8121.70 me| or clsd 8122+) 📸
(✅ 19.12 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (CLSD - 21310.14)* 📸
✅ 19.12 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 42689.70)
✴️ 19.12 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 21286.90 🔄

4/7 - (excl. optional trade; 4 offene Positionen)
*optional trade


Actually, we did very well today, especially considering that the rebound completely fizzled out at the end. Congratulations to us for keeping our cool throughout.

Horrible, horrible Micron trade 🤯 - unfortunately closed for me right at the open. An excellent long-term entry at the current price. Fortunately, almost none of the members took the high-risk Micron trade. Micron was hit hard by yesterday's profit-taking and poor performance after the earnings report. I think that was the worst short-term trade I've ever made (from a % perspective). Also suboptimal closure of our Nasdaq position - we could have closed overall in profit today.

We took an extraordinary NYSE closing trade with Citigroup yesterday - and also closed at the absolute peak (TP) today. Unfortunately, I traded it a bit smaller than usual (for me).

In the end, cautious trading returned – making a smooth rebound even less likely. In reality, however, the market is overly concerned in view of the strong US economy and labor market, earnings growth and consumer spending. I also don't think inflation will prove to be a major problem – even though much depends on possible action under Trump.

We update our gold position. Gold remains vulnerable in the short term, but will perform well until the end of the year, benefiting from rising demand for safe havens. You can also slightly tighten the TP of our Nasdaq position. Our AUD/USD almost hit the TP - we tighten our TP by a few pips.

PS: I hope that everything is updated correctly here – such a buuuusy day...

– Yours, Robert

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 21:28

⚡️ FREE RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅21220 - 21250

► We are again buying the “dip” back to 21250 and setting a TP about 100 points above the entry price. This level remains important in the Nasdaq 100 even if it seems relatively random – but it is the Nasdaq's flat line for today.

► We see that yields are cooling down a bit – they are now up 6 basis points (from up to 10 basis points). We see markets calming down. US economic data was also very robust again today.

► Rate cut expectations (now for 2025) have fallen significantly, but the main reason why price pressures persist and the Fed can and should slow the pace of monetary easing is the very robust US economy and a labor market that is tighter rather than looser.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~4-5 (400%-500%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———-

🇺🇸2️⃣1️⃣2️⃣2️⃣5️⃣📈2️⃣1️⃣3️⃣5️⃣0️⃣


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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 18:33

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 8121 - 8123

We close our FTSE as we again see some (likely temporary) resistance in New York. With the LSE closed - this is some headwinds also for the FTSE.

⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 17:50

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Dow Jones (US30)  🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅42560 - 42620

► Much of the pre-market price action has reversed, and there are signs that investors have become cautious again but are still trying to buy the dip - but now a little less in growth stocks / interest-sensitive sectors. The Nasdaq is trading near flat for the day, but of course offers a very good entry point here (at 21250 ~ near our SL), with chip stocks in particular currently weighing on Wall Street.

► We see that yields are stabilizing after further increases, but the USD is benefiting from the return of slight risk-off sentiment - we therefore now prefer the Dow Jones - which has now dipped back to 42550.

► We still see good buying opportunities, but the recovery will not be smooth and possible further sales could lead to panic selling again. Today's US economic data was very good and further reduced expectations for a rate cut, but also showed that the US economy still shows no real signs of slowing down.

► We are going LONG on the Dow Jones here and expect the more defensive sectors, as well as financial stocks, to outperform tech stocks – or at least see fewer panic selling phases.

► The fact that the Dow Jones could end its long losing streak today could be seen as a positive signal for the currently nervous market.

► We are working with a TP at the session's highs - and are also setting a not-too-wide SL.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~1.5 - 2.5 (150%-250%) when trading the Dow Jones (US30).

position code / 100% transparency - 24120507A

⏱️ Signal DELAYED by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ (!) minutes! ⚠️⚠️
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———-

🇺🇸🔡🔡🔡
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 16:17

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
PayPal (PYPL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 88.19

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2584.73
TP ✅ @: 2613.47

Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 21268.70
TP ✅ @: 21502.30

Citigroup (C) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 69.87

PayPal has almost triggered our TP – we are now pulling it a bit tighter as we see a small pause in the strong rebound.

We can give gold a little more leeway. Given the overall strong volatility on Wall Street, we are seeing moderate volatility in gold at the moment. The very strong US economic data (especially the GDP growth data / continued strong labor market data) has pushed yields higher.

Our CAC and FTSE 100 positions both reached SL (in profit) during the NYSE opening volatility. We remain LONG in the Nasdaq, but are raising our TP. Citigroup has reached exactly 69.79 and may have hit your TP for a big profit – if not, you can easily extend the TP.


⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 14:49

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑 @: 7304.40
TP ✅ @: 7333.40

FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
SL 🔑 @: 8118.70
TP ✅ @: 8153.70

Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 21268.70
TP ✅ @: 21547.90

We update our index positions. We are overall in profit. The Nasdaq 100 is moving towards 21500 as we expected.

We found perfect entries into both the CAC and FTSE - and tighten our SLs - in both cases we work with tight SLs.


US GDP growth QoQ came in at 3.1% - stronger than already high expectations and even stronger than Q2. The very impressive GDP data weighs now a bit on gold - as it supports the USD and the expectations that no cuts are needed. However, GDP QoQ data is always a bit delayed - given that we are looking at Q3 vs Q2 GDP. Initial jobless claims came in low - showing no weakness in the US labor market - with also continuing jobless claims sliding lower. PCE QoQ show moderate inflation - thus the overall picture of the data is mixed.

The US economy remains very robust and grows faster than optimistic expectations.

⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 8️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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———-

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 13:57

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
SL 🔑 @: 7292.30
TP ✅ @: 7333.40


We are now very LONG positioned and want to take full advantage of the rebound. We remain LONG on Wall Street and see very strong buying from the overnight low.

Nevertheless, we are securing earlier now - as the market remains nervous.

We found the perfect entry point in the CAC and are pulling our SL tight here. We currently see the CAC around 7300 - but expect more buying here or lower.

⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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———

One more general point: it's perfectly fine to be hit by a sell-off (this year we have traded more than 90% of events and key dates outstandingly well - which is actually "too good") - especially when the market is trading in panic or only in sentiment. That's part of trading. What is bad, however, is when you only let yourself be driven by euphoria or fear after strong movements – that is the actual “failure” and where the wheat is seperate from the chaff (= the good from the emotionally driven trader). It is always important to evaluate each situation anew and neutrally and to understand past movements.

It is also very important for the overall performance / ROT to NOT to miss rebounds.

———-

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 13:31

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Thursday, December 19

❗️ Fed's hawkish dot plot update sends stocks tumbling; BoE & BoJ take a rate break; Equities poised for rebound

► European stock futures mirrored the global risk-off sentiment, sliding 1.5% (Euro Stoxx 600) after the Federal Reserve hinted at fewer rate cuts in 2025. This weakness followed Wall Street’s sharp selloff, with the S&P 500 recording its steepest Fed-decision-day decline since 2001. The hawkish Fed stance prompted a reassessment of global equity valuations. The Bank of England kept rates unchanged but three MPC members voted for another cut. Analysts only expected only a single MPC vote for another rate cut - we thus see a rather dovish rate pause (=according to SmartTrader chief analyst Robert Lindner) with the decision for the pause being split.

► US markets show signs of stabilization after a sharp selloff on Wednesday that was caused by investors falling into panic even as the Fed delivered what was widely expected. Futures point to a rebound, with the S&P 500 rising 0.3%, and Nasdaq futures increasing 0.3%. Treasury yields edged further up, with the 10-year yield trading above 4.5%, reflecting ongoing concerns about inflationary pressures and reduced rate-cut expectations. The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points but signaled a slower path of reductions next year, prompting cautious remarks from Chair Jerome Powell, who emphasized the need to see more progress on inflation. Swap markets show that investors reduced rate cut expectations for 2025 to below two rate cuts - which will only be true if the US economy will remain in strong growth. The US economy is no need for Fed stimulus.

► Asia-Pacific markets traded firmly in the red - but much less losses what we have seen at Wall Street. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.8%, dipping below 38,700, as or despite the Bank of Japan keepimg its policy rate unchanged at 0.25%. The JPY weakened past 155/USD, its lowest in a month, as BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated no immediate policy changes, even as market pressure mounts for action. China’s Shanghai Composite fell modestly by 0.33%, reversing earlier gains despite intervention from the People’s Bank of China to stabilize the CNY. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng declined 0.56%, as losses in property developers and tech stocks weighed on sentiment. Australia’s ASX 200 was the big underperformer and slid 1.7% to a six-week low amid rising inflation expectations and hawkish Fed cues.

► Oil prices extended losses as the stronger USD weighed on oil prices and the outlook for rates to remain higher for longer also expectations for US oil demand growth. WTI Crude trades at $69.5/barrel, with investors eyeing further market pressure as global monetary tightening weighs on growth prospects. Gold staged a partial recovery in Asian trading, rebounding from a 2% drop in the prior session to trade near $2,620/oz. The ongoing risk-off environment fueled by the Fed’s hawkish rate projections created volatility across commodity markets, with some analysts expecting gold to find support at current levels as safe-haven demand picks up. Bitcoin also declined, briefly trading below $100,000 after its recent all-time highs (SmartTrader analyst Robert Lindner said 100K offers a good short-term entry), driven by the dollar’s surge and a hawkish outlook on monetary policy that led to a risk-off mood.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 10:58

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP triggered ✅ @: 2620.83 | or 2617.67, 2621.47

Gold is currently seeing resistance in the 2618 - 2623 range, which we expected. We can find a better re-entry, but gold remains attractive here even at higher returns at this price, as investors are now more cautious about the outlook for equities. If you are still LONG here, you can also work with a wider TP near ✅ @ 2625 or close here / raise your SL significantly SL 🔑 @: 2608.77

The USD has gone too far up in the short term - and we are seeing the significant rebound we expected in the EUR/USD & GBP/USD.

We are now generally LONG positioned and expect the market to recover from yesterday's panic reaction - it is important not to miss the recovery(s) and to re-evaluate the market without being guided by fear and greed.




———


We are also updating our position in the Nasdaq 100, which is up 0.5% and still has significant room to recover. Investors remain very cautious here, and the swap markets have also further scaled back their expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025 – they now expect even fewer than two rate cuts and are thus well below what the Fed forecast yesterday (60 basis points). The swap markets clearly show here why and that the market overreacted yesterday.


⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 21212.30
TP ✅ @: 21522.70


———-

Yesterday's movements offer us many options 📉📉🎯📈

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 01:14

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 16.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7367.20)
✅ 16.12 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 446.89 | or 450+)
✅ 16.12 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 169.49 | or 171+)
✅ 16.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.04811)
✅ 16.12 - MU - LONG ↗️ (SL - 108.98)

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

✅ 17.12 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 20300.30 |or TP 20313.30, 20300.30, 20293.20)
✅ 17.12 - AUS_200 - SHORT ↘️ (TP-8300.30 |8290-8308.60) 🔄📸
✅ 17.12 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 118.37)
✅ 17.12 - COIN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 313.13)
✅ 17.12 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 110.43 for me | or TP - 109.69 w/ positive slippage) 🔄📸
✅ 17.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 69.66 me| clsd 69.60-75) 🔄📸

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✅ 18.12 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.26852) 📸
✅ 18.12 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 22058.70) 📸
✴️ 18.12 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
❌*(✴️) 18.12 - MU - LONG ↗️ (open - *deep-off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 126.70
✴️ 18.12 - AUD/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit| +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 0.62689 🔄
✴️(❌*) 18.12 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit| +re-entry)
👉 SL 🔑 21043.30 🔄 | TP ✅ 21493.90 (or wider) 🔄
*initial entry likely in SL
✴️ 18.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
👉 SL 🔑 2566.83 | TP ✅ 2621.47 🔄
✴️ 18.12 - C - LONG ↗️ (open - just-entered)

2/7 - (5 open positions)


After a very good few days, we overtraded the Fed press conference today and suffered some (harsh) losses. My Dow Jones position also ended up closing with a huge loss – even though that was to be expected, I could / should have closed significantly better. Most of you probably closed in the previous week (which is also correct – please make sure that no single position puts your account in "serious" troubles - the max drawdown should be 3-4% for a single trade incl. re-entries).

We also closed yesterday's session with a 100% 🏆 success rate - but it still looks way too good, because Micron also fell significantly post earnings report - the forecast was really disappointing. Micron is now an even better buy for 2025 - but in the short term we will incur significant losses here. In addition, we entered the AUD/USD (before the Fed decision) and the Nasdaq far too early.

We saw an overreaction on the Fed dot-plot update - which, however, extended into the closing - which means that tomorrow, too, sentiment will remain very nervous at first. Nevertheless, we expect the market to calm down - because in the end the Fed acted "only" as expected. However, it seems that many investors (shadow expectations) had expected the Fed to be less clear in the message.

We are tightening our TP here significantly (gold) and should also work with a not too wide SL - we can find a better entry point if the high yields push gold further down temporarily.

Sorry for the late update – I had a call with a former analyst colleague regarding this significant correction – at least we both see a strong rebound coming fairly quickly – but the correction today was really – surprisingly – strong – especially considering the cautious sentiment in the previous sessions (although the rally in Big Tech probably went too quickly too far...).

PS: Sorry also for some bad entries / trades today (!) - I definitely over positioned us before the Fed rate decision and then was too sure that a hawkish dot plot was mostly priced in.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

18 Dec 2024 22:25

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Very volatile, market trading in panic

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅21100 - 21200 (update)

► Of course, it's really hard to catch a falling knife, especially when the market is selling in panic or is completely sentiment-driven. However, the sell-off went very far, and the market is now reacting to its own harsh reaction (which is leading to panic selling - this is perhaps an unpleasant but not unusual market reaction).

► Although we are seeing a clear risk-off mood. The interest-sensitive small-cap stocks (Russell 2000) have fallen by more than 5% (!) – we are now seeing the market trying to stabilize in the typical range of 15-30 after the Fed press conference (after an “eventful” interest rate decision or one that caused major market movements).

► We also see that yields are now at least stabilizing (but near 4.5% for the US 10-Y).

► We are now seeing the Nasdaq below 21250 and are getting back in, expecting it to at least return to the 21500-21600 range in the near future. Traders will come to realize that the Fed did not surprise here, but it is nevertheless clear that the Fed was wrong, as it often is.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~4 - 5 (400%-500%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel



———-

🇺🇸📉📉📉🎯📈

🖥 PU Prime (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

18 Dec 2024 21:51

Sorry for the few updates in the Trial channel – we are trading in the VIP with the markets, which are very volatile at the moment.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

20 Dec 2024 14:29

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2591.87
TP ✅ @: 2613.37
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 2603 (near)

Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 20764.70
TP ✅ @: 21178.90


We can now close our gold position mixed (initial entry in loss / re-entry in profit) or extend our TP here somewhat, but also limit possible losses if the US PCE data turns out to be hit - which I don't think it will.

On Wall Street, there was further profit-taking overnight ahead of the PCE data, as expectations were influenced by another round of strong US economic data – including GDP growth that reinforced the picture of a robust US economy and consumer. US retail sales reported on December 17 came in very strong in November.

We are tightening our SL here slightly to limit potential losses.


⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

20 Dec 2024 14:08

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
(VIP ONLY) ❓ WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅(VIP ONLY)

► We are seeing risk-off sentiment in all regions - Asia closed down for the sixth day in a row, Europe lost more than 1% and yesterday's recovery attempt on Wall Street met with further profit taking. Strong US economic data has raised expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates at their current level for longer and will only cut them twice in 2025 (the swap markets even expect less than two full interest rate cuts for 2025). However, this would also mean that the US economy will remain strong in 2025. Despite this actually positive outlook, there was not enough positive stimulus to lift the market out of the current risk-off mood, mainly due to concerns about continued high borrowing costs. In addition, (VIP ONLY) ...

► The sharp rise in yields (VIP ONLY) stabilized in the run-up to the US PCE data) is (VIP ONLY) oil prices and (VIP ONLY) rising.

► The stronger U(VIP ONLY) oil demand in (VIP ONLY) rising oil (VIP ONLY)

► We expect (VIP ONLY) “triple witching”.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5.5 - 7.0 (550% - 700%) trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - if contract size 10
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.55 - 0.70 (55% - 70%) trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - if contract size 100

🗣️ Tip: The Feb 25'-Futures Contract is currently $0.10 above the spot price

You can see the contract size of your broker when you right click on the asset and click on "specification" (MetaTrader).

position code / 100% transparency - 24122001A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———-

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✔️ You can start completely FREE of charge

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

20 Dec 2024 11:02

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Friday, December 20

❗️ Global stocks edge lower ahead of US PCE data; Concerns about more data that suggests rates to stay higher for longer

► European stock futures are trading lower, with Euro Stoxx 600 contracts falling nearly 1%. This mirrors the cautious tone in global markets, as investors brace for the release of the U.S. PCE inflation data, a key indicator for Federal Reserve policy. The recent hawkish shift by the Fed has intensified concerns about tighter monetary conditions in 2025, especially after Thursday’s strong US GDP and consumer spending data. Meanwhile, U.K. retail sales figures disappointed, rising just 0.2% in November compared to the expected 0.5%, signaling continued consumer strain amid elevated inflation and high interest rates.

► US stock extended profit taking, with Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq trading 0.5% - 0.8% lower as traders await the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. The hawkish pivot from the Fed earlier this week has tempered market optimism, with Treasury yields holding steady at 4.57% - a six-month high - following Thursday’s gains. Currently, yields have stabilized and traded even slightly (1.5 bps) lower in US pre-market trading. The DYX reached new highs (or two-year highs) on expectations of tighter policy and better economic data, but is currently down 0.15% in European trading. Investors are also grappling with uncertainty over a looming U.S. government shutdown, as a Republican-led House rejected a funding proposal backed by President-elect Trump, raising fears of political gridlock in the months ahead. Additionally, today's large US options expiration "triple witching" which will see some $6.5 trillion worth of options tied to individual stocks, indexes and exchange-traded funds expire which will cause additional volatility and a risk off mood.

► Asian equities remained under pressure, with the region’s benchmark indices on track for their sixth consecutive session of losses—the longest streak since April. Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.22%, with inflation data showing that headline CPI rising to 2.9% in November, a three-month high. The stronger inflation print pushed the JPY past 157/USD, reversing recent declines, as officials issued warnings against currency speculation. In China, the one-year bond yield dropped to 1% for the first time since the 2009 financial crisis, fueling expectations of more monetary easing. The Shanghai Composite remained unchanged, despite the People's Bank of China holding lending rates at record lows. Elsewhere, Australia’s ASX 200 fell 1.24% - being once more the underperformer and hitting a three-month low, as investors digested softer private sector credit growth.

► Oil prices continued to slide, with WTI crude trading at $68.7/barrel, down for the second straight day as the strong USD and rising Treasury yields pressured commodity markets. Concerns about global demand and persistent geopolitical uncertainties added to bearish sentiment. Gold showed some resilience, trading near $2,607/oz after sharp profit-taking earlier in the week. Rising yields have dampened the metal's appeal in the short term, though safe-haven demand remains supportive amid heightened political and economic risks. Bitcoin extended its recent slide, trading lower at below $95,000/BTC, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment as it retreated further from its all-time highs reached earlier this month.

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 22:24

🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 November 7 - December 19
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)

*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day


——————————————————————-

📊 5 - Week -Performance: 07.11 - 12.12
(= 25 "full" trading days)

Number of Trades/Signals: 125 (incl. 1 open positions: WFC)
Number of Trades Won: 106
Overall REAL Success Rate = 84.8%🔽

Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Nov. 6)
Added to statistics: 4/6 - 66.7% Success Rate (Dec. 12)

——————————————————————


🆕 The last 5 trading days:

✅ 13.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️(CLSD-1.04989 |or TP - 1.04936)
✅ 13.12 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (TP - 451.49)
✅ 13.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 133.98)
✅ 13.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 70.35 | or TP - 69.98)
✅ 13.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 132.63 w/ positive slippage)
✅ 13.12 - UBER - LONG ↗️ (SL - 60.56)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

✅ 16.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7367.20)
✅ 16.12 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 446.89 | or 450+)
✅ 16.12 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 169.49 | or 171+)
✅ 16.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.04811)
✅ 16.12 - MU - LONG ↗️ (SL - 108.98)

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


We now have 19 positions not won in our five-week period - the most in almost 4 months - which shows us the impossible levels we've been trading at in recent months.

Otherwise, there is not much to report here - the trades of December 13 & 16 were already all closed (all positive). WFC lost a large part of its early gains and closed just 0.2% higher, while Wall Street's initially promising recovery lost momentum at the close - but also stumbled somewhat due to strong US data. The market once again signed that it does not need interest rate cuts from the Fed in the next two meetings (and should no longer expect them).

In the end, the Dow Jones closed almost lower again - only a tiny bit in the plus - 24 points or 0.07% - and thus the first green close since December 4 (!).

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 20:11

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Dow Jones (US30)  🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 42689.70
TP ✅ @: 42863.70

Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸 (optional trade)
SL 🔑 @: 21289.30
TP ✅ @: 21393.90
OR
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 21370 - 21410

What we didn't have yesterday (at least after the Fed dot plot update), we have all the more today – really good timing with indices.

Our Dow Jones position is in profit (for a change) - we can now work with an in-profit SL. If you also bought the Nasdaq 100 in the range 21200 – 21250 (as recommended / optional trade) – you can also secure profits here.

I hit my entry exactly for the Dow Jones at 42550 - we will continue to buy in this range (42500 - 42560) in case the Dow Jones will again see a profit taking wave.

Congratulations!


⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 9️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———-

We traded the rebounds very well today 📉🎯📈

WRITE US, BECOME VIP MEMBER & TRADE PROFITABLY
OR: Other contact possibilities ❤️

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 18:19

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
SL 🔑 @: 8113.90
TP ✅ @: 8134.30

We found the perfect entry into the FTSE at the minute - and the main UK stock market did indeed find support at 8095.

We are now locking in our profits as we are again seeing resistance to the risk sentiment leading to some selling in global equities (including UK equities in the LSE after-hours trading).

I also got back into the Nasdaq – if you are in as well, I would recommend to work with a tight SL here and potentially go LONG again in the🔼 21200 – 21250 range (optional buy). In the Dow Jones, I saw less risk of heavy profit taking – so I preferred to recommend the Dow Jones. We remain LONG in the Dow Jones and have found a very good entry point.


If you are LONG Nasdaq, you can update as follows:

Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 21294.90
TP ✅ @: 21463.00

⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 8️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel



——-

🧑🏾‍💻👩🏼‍💻👨🏻‍💻🌍 Together ALWAYS Successful 💲💲💲

WRITE US NOW 📨 - TO JOIN SMARTTRADER VIP

Join also:
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🖥 SmartTrader Essentials Webinar 🇬🇧🔗

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 16:48

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Recommended Entry Range ✅ 8090 - 8097

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 2️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

► After yesterday's sell-off, we are of course seeing another volatile session. US economic data has continued to show how robust the US economy is – in terms of growth, the labor market and consumer spending – making interest rate cuts not only less likely, but above all unnecessary.

► Swap markets now see even less than 50 basis points of rate cuts for the whole of 2025 – and thus also less than the 60 basis points suggested by the dot plot.

► After a strong pre-market, we're seeing a little resistance. We get back into the FTSE – and find an entry below our previous entry – and near session lows. The Bank of England left borrowing costs unchanged at 4.75%. However, the swap market has increased expectations for BoE interest rate cuts in 2025 and now expects almost three rate cuts (3 x 25 basis points), after three of the nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee called for a cut today.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 8 - 10 (800% - 1,000%) trading the FTSE 100 (GBR_100).

position code / 100% transparency - 24121906A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 2️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———-

🇬🇧8️⃣0️⃣9️⃣5️⃣📈

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💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
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🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 16:08

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔼 PayPal (PYPL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 88.43

Recommended Entry ✅near 86.00

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY WHEN NYSE OPEN 🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸

Recommended Entry ✅(VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

🔹 The Nasdaq (+0.9%) is staging a strong recovery, with most components (about 85 of the 101) in the Nasdaq 100 trading in positive territory. A similar picture is emerging in the broader S&P 500. We are also seeing a rise in growth stocks/rate-sensitive stocks. The underperformance of Apple (widely considered a defensive tech stock) shows that investors are pushing back into typical growth stocks. US economic data points to a US economy that remains very strong and does not currently require further interest rate cuts from the Fed.


🔹 Amazon (+1.9%) opens very well and outperforms the Nasdaq 100. We expect Amazon to remain in recovery mode after yesterday's sharp losses.

🔹 Citigroup (+ 1.4%) starts strongly. We found the perfect entry point at the low point yesterday after the sharp sell-off. We can set a TP ✅ 69.79.

🔹 Micron (-10.9%) opens deep red after a disappointing earnings forecast that points to slower-than-expected revenue growth going forward – however, first-quarter revenue was in line with expectations and overall revenue beat estimates. Investors had expected that the massive demand for AI would also lead to rapid earnings growth at Micron. However, the chipmaker has now become even cheaper. We expect dip buying. If your SL was triggered or you are not invested, you can enter below $90 / also very lucrative as a long-term holding (for 2025).

🔹 Wells Fargo (+ 1.3%) will open stronger than other financial stocks, which fell sharply yesterday as investors withdrew their money from Wall Street.


► We want to buy more of the stocks that fell sharply yesterday in the panic-driven market.

► PayPal was one of yesterday's biggest losers, closing down 6% - and is now down for the month of December after initially outperforming the broader market by a wide margin. PayPal combines the recovery potential of financial stocks with the even sharper sell-off in growth stocks yesterday. While I am not a fan of PayPal and the product and the long-term prospects for significant revenue growth, PayPal is attractively valued (now even better), has a very solid financial performance and has shown many positive catalysts and now has a much better management team that is focused on profitable growth. PayPal will open around 0.8% higher (at 86.00) and has much more recovery potential. We are buying PayPal as early as possible.

► We also want to buy (VIP ONLY) two-day slide - after a very strong performance in the last five days, (VIP ONLY) slid almost (VIP ONLY)% yesterday. (VIP ONLY) rose sharply on (VIP ONLY). We expect investors to take advantage of (VIP ONLY). We are trading (VIP ONLY) given the high volatility. I prefer (VIP ONLY) here - although Tesla also has strong rebound potential.


🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~500 - 550 (50.000% - 55.000%) when trading the PayPal (PYPL).

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY) ...

position code / 100% transparency - 24121904A
position code / 100% transparency - 24121905A


⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———-

TRADE PROFITABLY NOW WITH SMARTTRADER:
✉️ CONTACT US: @SmartTrader_Onboarding 🇬🇧🇪🇸🇩🇪
✏️ Enter »Start«

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 14:29

⚡️ FREE RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 8️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅ 8100 - 8110

► We also buy the FTSE 100 – which fell in sympathy with Wall Street after the Fed's much more hawkish outlook. We can buy the FTSE (near / below 8110), which is still more than 1.1% lower for the day.

► The Bank of England left rates unchanged, but 3 out of 9 MPC members voted for a rate cut - much more than the expected 1/9 - so it is rather the opposite of what the Fed said yesterday - a rather dovish rate pause. Six members of the MPC voted for the rate pause.

► We see a weakening of the GBP, as the markets are already more optimistic about Bank of England interest rate cuts. I also see the Bank of England as being likely pressured to cut as the British economy needs a relief in borrowing costs due to ongoing weakness and severe UK budget problem.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 8 - 10 (800% - 1,000%) trading the FTSE 100 (GBR_100).

position code / 100% transparency - 24121903A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 8️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———-

BUY THE DIP / DON'T MISS OUT

🇬🇧📉📉📉🎯📈
🇬🇧8️⃣1️⃣0️⃣5️⃣📈

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💻 Vantage (🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 NAGA (🇪🇺🌍)
🖥 Libertex (🇪🇺🌍)

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 13:32

Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇦🇺 Consumer Inflation Expectations - 00:00 (released: 🔴)
♦️ 🇯🇵 BoJ Interest Rate Decision - 03:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇩🇪 GfK Consumer Confidence - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇫🇷 Business Confidence - 07:45 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇸 Balance of Trade - 09:00 (released: 🟡)
♦️ 🇬🇧 BoE Interest Rate Decision - 12:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇺🇸 GDP Growth Rate - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims - 13:30
🔸 🇯🇵 Inflation Rate / CPI - 23:30

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Accenture (ACN) 🇺🇸 (reported: 🟢)
🌙 Nike (NKE) 🇺🇸
☀️ Cintas (CTAS) 🇺🇸
🌙 FedEx (FDX) 🇺🇸
☀️ Paychex (PAYX) 🇺🇸
☀️ Darden Restaurants (DRI) 🇺🇸
☀️ FactSet Research (FDS) 🇺🇸
☀️ Conagra Brands (CAG) 🇺🇸
☀️ CarMax (KMX) 🇺🇸 (reported: 🟢)

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 12:44

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

Recommended Entry Range ✅7250 - 7275

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

► We are also seeing a sea of red in Europe, after investors feared that the Fed would cut interest rates less sharply after the Fed published the dot plot update yesterday, which suggests fewer interest rate cuts in 2025. The sell-off in Europe is weaker than in the US, where there are already clear signs that markets are recovering from yesterday's panic selling. Investor fears that the US would weaken it are overblown here - the US economy does not need back-to-back interest rate cuts.

► The CAC has performed significantly worse than other European equities this year and today, with heavy losses in cyclical stocks, the heavyweights of the luxury sector and technology and export-oriented components.

► There have also been heavy losses in the automotive sector, led by chipmaker STMicroelectronics. STM is heavily exposed to the auto industry, particularly the transition to fully battery-powered electric vehicles – a market that is faltering in Europe while competition from China (and Tesla in the US) is increasing. Also the general PC market (outside of AI - which are mostly server chips) remains weak.

► We see this as an attractive entry point into the CAC near the day's lows. Business confidence in France came in at 97 (vs. 96 expected), and thus has not deteriorated further – although the general business climate continues to deteriorate due to political uncertainty in France and ongoing budgetary problems. French equities are oversold and, despite the weakness of the French economy / economic outlook, are not unattractive for 2025.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 9 - 11 (900% - 1,100%) trading the CAC 40 (FRA_40).

position code / 100% transparency - 24121901A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———-

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

19 Dec 2024 04:50

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2574.74
TP ✅ @: 2620.83 (or a bit tighter ~ 2617.67)

We don't want to overtrade the market here and we are already positioned to benefit from a correction in the USD - which has risen to its highest level in more than 2 years.

We see many good entry opportunities here, such as silver in the 29.20 - 29.40 range, Bitcoin near the correction area - but probably back at 105000+ (which means 5% up from here ~ at near 100K) before Sunday - the sharp losses on Wall Street. We have found a solid (re)entry point into the Nasdaq. We also see short-term recovery potential for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD. While the EUR/USD still rather bearish in the medium term, I see the GBP/USD pair as supported at the current level. AUD/USD will also “recover” in the short term in the 0.62500 - 0.62750 range.

The Bank of Japan decided to keep interest rates unchanged – giving the US Dollar Index another mini-boost higher – however, overall, we see a market that is overly jittery in the face of a Fed that delivered what was expected (no more hawks than expected).

Our overall gold position is already well in profit again - we expect short-term resistance at 2,618 - 2,623. We can therefore tighten our price target slightly (or even a bit tighter at 2,617.67).


⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

18 Dec 2024 23:30

🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 November 6 - December 18
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)

*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day


——————————————————————-

📊 5 - Week -Performance: 06.11 - 11.12
(= 25 "full" trading days)

Number of Trades/Signals: 124 (incl. 1 open positions: US30)
Number of Trades Won: 107
Overall REAL Success Rate = 86.3%🔽

Dropped from statistics: 7/7 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Nov. 5)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Dec. 11)

——————————————————————


🆕 The last 5 trading days:

❌ 12.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP-A - 2660.33 | +re-entry)
✅ 12.12 - FRA_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 7452.40 me| TP-7439.40)
✅ 12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.04656)
✅ 12.12 - MCD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 297.96)
❌ 12.12 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 30.243| clsd 30.500+)
✅ 12.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.04668 me | or TP-1.04616, SL - 1.04808)

4/6 = 66.7% Success Rate

✅ 13.12 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️(CLSD-1.04989 |or TP - 1.04936)
✅ 13.12 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (TP - 451.49)
✅ 13.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (SL - 133.98)
✅ 13.12 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 70.35 | or TP - 69.98)
✅ 13.12 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 132.63 w/ positive slippage) 🔄
✅ 13.12 - UBER - LONG ↗️ (SL - 60.56)

6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


We'll keep this brief – these days here and our five-week period continue to look good and we are of course pleased that we have also closed also Friday with a 100% 🏆 success rate (Nvidia near break-even), but we have positioned ourselves too deeply into today's Fed interest rate decision and have been burned quite a bit.

Our success rate is down a bit – but only because a phenomenal day dropped out of the statistics (November 5 – when we won 7-out-of-7 trades).

We saw the market in panic and although we will benefit from the recovery, we were hit by the panic selling - a first this year but one that hit us quite hard and something that you ideally avoid happening. Wells Fargo fell further but will benefit from the fact that financials are in better shape than other sectors after the prospect of fewer cuts by the Fed.

We were the first to be optimistic about the Dow Jones today, but the heavy selling in New York pushed not only the Nasdaq 100, but also the Dow Jones deep into the red. Almost funny, or at least ironic – the big outperformer in the Dow Jones today was... UnitedHealth 🙈 (although how it should be given that it is the most defensive stock in the Dow Jones).

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

18 Dec 2024 21:59

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Citigroup (C) 🇺🇸
⚠️ High volatility

Recommended Entry Range ✅67.80 - 68.15

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ Increased volatility; Reduced Trade Size

Recommended Entry Range ✅2585 - 2590

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

► We are seeing a very nervous market reacting to concerns that the Fed will keep rates high for longer – which, however, was widely expected. The Fed ultimately did not surprise in a hawkish way – but it did make a significant reduction to the planned interest rate cuts.

► However, the immediate reaction is very risk-off, as the news around the world also suggests that interest rates will now remain higher for longer in the US. The market also sees Powell making it clear that the Fed is now more concerned about inflation, which has proven to be “more persistent than (...) expected”. Nevertheless, little has changed - the Fed will look at upcoming data anyway and act accordingly (and as often too late).

► Powell also reiterates that he is very optimistic about the US economy, which continues to grow rapidly (with 2.5% GDP growth). Powell also says that the Fed expects another good year.

► We see a market that is deep in the red and offers many good entry opportunities - but of course we don't want to overtrade here.

► We remain LONG Micron - but I wouldn't add much to the position size ahead of the earnings report, which will likely send Micron up or down some 7%.

► The press conference is now over and we'll see how the market stabilizes. You can improve your entry into gold as the gold price has now fallen below $2,600 - but it is important that you do not overtrade gold here.

► We are positioning ourselves LONG in financials, which have also fallen, but generally do not face much headwind from interest rates that remain “slightly” higher for longer.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 800 - 850 (80,000% - 85,000%) trading Citigroup (C)

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.25 - 0.30 (25% - 30%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always be careful trading gold and limit losses to a max of 2-4% of your account balance per trade - 1/2 trade size.

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

18 Dec 2024 21:22

⚡️ RAPID POSITIONS UPDATE 🕯

Our portfolio is clearly affected by the ongoing risk-off trade action in the market as markets react disappointedly to the Fed's interest rate forecast.

The Nasdaq has now fallen by 2% and is trading at 21600 (where we are likely to see support / range 21500 - 21600).

Another important factor for headwinds is the rise in yields to the key level of 4.5% (for the US 10-Y). However, we now see yields with signs of stabilizing.

Even though we currently see an overreaction - our positions are clearly in the red and some of your positions may have triggered your SL already. However, the current reaction is not a big surprise as the market has been waiting for the dot plot update for a long time. The news platforms themselves are reporting very hawkishly on the dot plot update, which is currently exacerbating the risk-off movement in the market.

We expect markets to stabilize in about 15-30 minutes after the Fed press conference. Please do not panic trade and do not chase the markets. We expect gold to continue to find buyers in the 2600-2620 zone (or now near 2600).