[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Jan 2025 18:23

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅ 8241 - 8254

► The strong gains in the energy sector (and also in mining companies - which are quite heavily weighted in the FTSE 100 which is very “old economy”) are causing the FTSE 100 to rise above our previous entry price again. We are getting back in here - similar entry range and expect selling around 8240. We are working with a TP close to last week's lows.

► I am not (yet) convinced of a healthy recovery. We also see yields continuing to rise and the DXY rising above 110.00 – again showing a rotation of capital into US markets and the USD. Wall Street's recovery attempt has fizzled out (for now).

► The cost of debt continues to rise worldwide, particularly due to expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates high (at current levels) for longer. However, bond yields in the UK are rising faster due to growing concern that rising borrowing costs will trigger additional spending measures/tax increases in the UK, as the October 30 budget no longer seems tenable.

► Given the UK's severe (!) economic problems, investors are concerned about a further deterioration in competitiveness. Companies are already expecting higher employer social security contributions. As is so often the case, this will likely lead to (further) price increases, as companies pass on the cost of the increase to consumers.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 7 - 9 (700% - 900%) trading the FTSE 100 (GBR_100).

position code / 100% Transparency - 25011303A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


————

This signal is delayed by 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

We once again found the perfect entry.

❌❌❌ DON'T MISS OUT ❌❌❌
❌❌❌ DON'T MISS OUT ❌❌❌
❌❌❌ DON'T MISS OUT ❌❌❌

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Jan 2025 16:22

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 130.87
TP ✅ @: 134.34

Today, with Nvidia, we have again made one of the best possible NYSE opening trades – even better, we expected the trend reversal to occur just under $130.00 – 💯 perfect.

We are securing our position.


⏱️ Signal/Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


——-

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Jan 2025 14:31

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
SL 🔑 @: 8227.60
TP ✅ @: 8183.60

We found the perfect entry point into the FTSE_100 when we recognized the rebound trap. We now see signs of market stabilization in the US - but this offers little support to the FTSE_100, which is only outperforming due to gains in mining (e.g. Glencore) and energy stocks (BP, Shell) - as well as sports betting/gambling companies (Flutter Entertainment, Entain- after less than expected revenue expectations from Entain / the industry).

We set an in-profit SL.


⏱️ Signal/Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———

Trading with SmartTrader is incredible easy:
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2️⃣ Place your trade 💻
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Jan 2025 12:26

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal/Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅ 8238 - 8254

► We see continued weakness in the bond market – with increasingly lower expectations for Fed rate cuts. In particular, strong US labor market data last week, including a better-than-expected NFP report and rising job openings, have added to fears that inflation could accelerate further and become the Fed's main concern again.

► We see an even faster rise in UK yields - up more than 5bps today and hitting a multi-decade high (as high as last seen in the global financial crisis), further pushing up borrowing costs as the markets lack confidence in the UK budget in particular - as well as further fallout from the US and concerns over Trump's actions that will choke off global growth with a deterioration in trade relations, push up commodity prices and divert more capital to the US.

► Despite all the major red flags, we see the energy and commodity-heavy FTSE 100 outperforming other indices and remaining in the green for 2025 - while all other major indices have already turned negative for the year. Energy stocks are benefiting from a further rise in oil prices, as there are expectations that new US sanctions against Russian oil could remove around 1.5 million bpd from the global market in the near future.

► We are going SHORT on the FTSE and see more downside as Wall Street is also trading sharply lower in pre-market trading ahead of a data-heavy week. The UK government was expected to say more about the crisis in yields but instead is focusing on talking about upcoming economic growth plans, including more investment in AI and more trade with China. The UK government is once again on the wrong track - the GBP continues to fall - despite soaring borrowing costs.

► We are selling the mini spike here - the FTSE 100 is trading almost unchanged today (currently -0.2% at ~8239).

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 7 - 9 (700% - 900%) trading the FTSE 100 (GBR_100).

position code / 100% Transparency - 25011301A

⏱️ Signal/Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———

PERFECT ENTRY 🇬🇧📈🎯📉

❌❌❌ DON'T MISS OUT ❌❌❌

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

11 Jan 2025 02:17

✅ 8.1 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2666.43)
✅ 8.1 - GBP/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1.23439)
✅ 8.1 - KO - LONG ↗️ (SL - 61.37) 🔄📸
✅ 8.1 - GBP/CAD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 1.77747)
🟡/❌ 8.1 - GBP/CAD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1.77083 me| or higher; overall near BE| +re-entry) 📸
✴️ 8.1 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)

4/6 - (1 open position)

✅ 9.1 - GBR_100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 8301.60) 🔄📸
✅ 9.1 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2676.69) 🔄 📸

2/2 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate


🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✴️ 10.1 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
👉 SL🔑 @: 2701.23 | TP-A ✅ @: 2685.17 | TP-B ✅ @: 2678.91
❌ 10.1 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 20794.30)
✴️ 10.1 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry in profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 107.79
✴️ 10.1 - MCD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 10.1 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 218.94) 📸
✅ 10.1 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 172.87 | or higher) 📸

2/6 - (3 open positions)


In December, the US economy created the most jobs since March 2024 and the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell, ending a surprisingly strong year (not just in terms of stock performance, but also the actual US economy). However, the good data became bad news again (it's that time again!) in the short term as investors sharply scaled back expectations for interest rate cuts. Added to this are concerns about a resurgence of US inflation.

On the other hand, we experienced a very volatile week with yields rising sharply - with potentially even catastrophic consequences in the UK. I see the main reason for the higher yields as higher growth expectations, which also lead to the expectation that the US economy does not need interest rate cuts at the moment.

I was too greedy on the Nasdaq 100, but we also saw a very sentiment-driven market. For me, it was not a good day on balance due to over-positioning in the Nasdaq (probably much better for most of you). We made an outstanding dip purchase with Boeing (unfortunately with a reduced trade size). Not perfect timing with ExxonMobil - although XOM really underperformed here (due to pressure on stocks in general). XOM has significant upside potential in all time frames.

Even though today was very mixed, we look back on an overall great week.

You also see the GBP/CAD (hasn't been shared yet) and the excellent trades from yesterday on the screenshot 📸 The GBP/CAD was closed mixed - depending on your entries - we consider it as not won / break-even.

Next week is the start of earnings season. Solid earnings growth could help rally Wall Street, although high yields continue to put pressure on risk assets.

Enjoy your weekend,
Rob 🤝

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 22:45

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Initial Entry:
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL-A 🔑 @: 2701.23
TP-A ✅ @: 2685.17

Re-Entry (optional):
TP-B ✅ @: 2678.91 (or wider)

We are updating our gold position. Gold was really strong today and saw little selling, even as yields rose back to multi-month highs and/or the USD reached its highest level since November 2022 today, rising by more than 0.5%. Even the temporary improvement in risk sentiment led to only light selling. We see a market that is generally concerned that there may not be a (Fed) rate cut in the next 6-9 months, as well as increased inflation and volatility.

At the start of next Monday, the gold price could initially fall slightly as the strong US economy and strong USD offer little headwind to Asian markets.

I am doing a mixed update here. I am working with a narrow TP for re-entry and a wider one for initial entry. Alternatively, you can also reduce your overall position (partial closure) to reduce the overall risk.

Fundamentally, gold is overbought here. It is possible that market sentiment will improve on Monday - but possibly not yet during Asian trading.

-> as always 💯 Transparency

PS: You probably have better entry prices.

⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


——-

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 19:23

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 171.43
TP ✅ @: 172.87 (already triggered!)
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 172.70 - 173.30

Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 221.73

Our Boeing position is very deep in profit. We see Boeing also for next week / medium-term very bullish - but we are tightening our TP here - if hit - we are happy with the closing price. We work with an in-profit SL.

We can also set a not too wide TP for Amazon.

We generally see the market calming down after some volatility / panic infused selling.

We see significantly improving risk sentiment - also very visible in cryptos. However, we see typical Friday action - which generally benefits safe haven slightly after a volatile week / ongoing uncertainties.

——> Boeing just hit TP -» Update delayed

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———-

You can close Boeing a bit better ~173.24

Congratulations!

WRITE US NOW 📨 - JOIN SMARTTRADER VIP

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 18:00

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW / SOON🔼 (VIP ONLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Increased Volatility; 1/2 trade size

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅(VIP ONLY)

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Increased Volatility; 1/2 trade size

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅167.60 - 168.50 🔄

► We want to take advantage of the current sell-off and buy two more shares at a discount. We are trading both positions smaller as we are trying not to overtrade here. There is risk of profit taking to go a bit further here.

► (VIP ONLY) remains in a great position for further revenue growth in 2025 - especially with massive demand for (VIP ONLY). Today's US labor market data showed a very resilient US economy. We are now seeing the phenomenon of good news being bad news again in the short term. This was especially the case in 2023.

► (VIP ONLY) position reached the (VIP ONLY). We can now re-enter 1% below (VIP ONLY)

► We are also getting into Boeing, which is very attractively valued. Boeing is certainly risky and yield-sensitive, but the aircraft manufacturer has already priced in a lot of negative news and is trading at a discount. After the turbulence, I now see Boeing on a better path again - with continued strong demand (for both commercial and military products). Boeing is also a strong medium-term BUY.

► I also see an upcoming rebound in chip stock - but the chip sector is also facing headwinds from more (expected) export regulations - too hot for now. We already hold a small position in AMD (which we will hold into next week - as planned anyway).

🗣️ Tip: (VIP ONLY)

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 110 - 130 (11,000% -13,000%) trading Boeing (BA) - 1/2 trading size

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


position code / 100% transparency - 25011005A
position code / 100% transparency - 25011006A (Boeing)

———-

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 16:25

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER NYSE OPENING 🔼 (ONLY IN VIP) 🇺🇸

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended entry range ✅(ONLY IN VIP)

We have seen very strong US labor market data, which initially led to some selling in equity markets due to higher yields, a stronger USD and significantly reduced rate cut expectations. However, strong labor market data is generally positive and will ultimately lead to a continued rotation from European / Asian markets into the US.

🔹 The Nasdaq (- 0.5%) is trading slightly weaker but well above the session lows. We have found a very good (re-)entry point. Fundamental headwinds remain (e.g. from higher yields and the expectation that there will only be one rate cut in 2025), but ultimately this data is positive for Wall Street's outlook for 2025. The risk of panic selling remains.

🔹 AMD (- 2.0%) opens sharply lower following also new chip export restrictions that are expected to be announced soon. We see AMD here still undervalued and expect support (especially around the $115.00 level). We keep our small position.

🔹 Bank of America (- 1.0%) opens lower after recent strong gains. However, the strong labor market data is overall positive for the financial sector.

🔹 Coca-Cola (- 0.1%) opens little changed. Defensive stocks benefit a little from the higher yields and the general short-term rotation away from growth stocks. We have a tight SL & TP.

🔹 Wells Fargo (- 1.1%) opens lower after gains at the beginning of the week. We continue to expect buying in the 70.00 - 71.00 range


► We go LONG in the (ONLY IN VIP) sector and opt for (ONLY IN VIP), which opens around 1.3% higher after a sharp fall on Wednesday (-1.7%). We definitely do not want to buy at the peak here - the (ONLY IN VIP) have always seen profit-taking after gains - we generally also see the (ONLY IN VIP) very attractively valued. We are seeing very high (ONLY IN VIP) ...

🗣️ Tip: (ONLY IN VIP) ...

position code / 100% transparency - 25011003A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———

We find a very good entry here - NOW 🏭📉📈

⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️

Trading with SmartTrader is incredible easy:
1️⃣ Get trade recommendation 📲
2️⃣ Place your trade 💻
3️⃣ Receive position update 📲
4️⃣ Congratulations 💰

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 15:42

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2701.13
TP ✅ @: 2676.67

If you risk management allows (!) - you can give gold a bit more room for the current volatility and let it test the 2700 level.

We are tightening our TP here. Gold is being bought as a safe haven, while (and/or because) equities and risk assets are experiencing increased volatility (and some losses).

⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 13:40

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Friday, January 10

❗️ Investors await US payroll data (NFP) amid global economic tensions

► Euro Stoxx 600 futures are slightly lower as investors brace for US nonfarm payrolls data, which could shape the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. UK stocks, which outperformed yesterday on the back of strong mining and energy stocks are underperforming today. Volatility persists as markets digest inflation concerns and central bank signals but we see investors not making big bets ahead of important US labor market data. Industrial production and retail sales data from across Europe paint a mixed economic picture, with French industrial production rising 0.2% MoM in November, while Italy's retail sales declined 1.1% YoY.

► US stock markets resumed trading Friday after Thursday’s closure for a National Day of Mourning for former President Jimmy Carter. Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are little changed. Investors are closely watching the US labor market report (13:30 UTC+0), which is expected to show a decline in hiring in December (according to analysts' expectations), with the median figure standing at 165,000 new jobs. Government bond markets remained stable after this week's volatility, with the 30-year yield remaining near multi-year highs of over 4.9%. The USD remains stable following recent gains and the DXY (USD index) is trading close to a two-year high.

► Stocks across Asia slipped, with MSCI’s Asia benchmark declining for the third session. Japan’s Nikkei fell over 1%, while China’s Shanghai Composite dipped by 1.24%, pressured by deflationary concerns and the People’s Bank of China’s announcement to suspend bond buying. The offshore CNY gained marginally against the dollar following Beijing’s move to stabilize yields. Meanwhile, Australia’s ASX 200 (-0.42%) retreated as weak consumer sentiment weighed on the markets.

► Oil prices are on track for a third weekly gain with significant gains today. WTI trades now above $75.5/barrel, supported by declining US stockpiles and signs of tighter market conditions as well as general demand for commodities due concerns about more headwinds on the stock markets. The gold price has since risen above $2,680/oz, breaking through key technical levels as investors focus on safe-haven assets amid volatile equity and bond markets. The sluggish performance of equities and mixed but overall robust US labor market data further reinforce gold's upward momentum, while expectations of increased capital inflows into the US under Trump’s policies add to the current investment landscape.

——

Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇫🇷 Industrial Production - 07:45 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇪🇸 Industrial Production - 08:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇮🇹 Retail Sales - 09:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate - 13:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Non Farm Payrolls - 13:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate - 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Sentiment - 15:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

——

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Constellation Brands (STZ) 🇺🇸
☀️ Delta Air Lines (DAL) 🇺🇸

——

SmartTrader™ Analyst Team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 05:28

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2668.83
TP ✅ @: 2676.69 (or wider)

Guten Morgen!

We can (don't worry if you haven't) update our gold positions here. We really made two beautiful trades with perfect timing in yesterday's tough sideways market.

I'm already setting the SL in profit here and widening the TP slightly - you can also work with a wider TP - but we'll definitely can find a re-entry at 2670 - so no need to get overly greedy here.

No update on the FTSE 100 - which has already almost reached our TP in early Asian trading.


--——

✅ 11.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 25.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 04.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 06.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.12 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 11.12 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
❌ 12.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 18.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 03.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 08.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅✴️ 09.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL in profit)

17/18 = 94.4% success rate

We have only lost a single gold trade over the past 2 months.


Join also our SmartTrader Discord Community:
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

09 Jan 2025 19:38

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal/Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅2662.50 - 2665.00

► We are buying gold's mini-dip here after it hit its highest level since December 13 at almost $2,680, despite yields soaring and the USD approaching its highest level since November 2022. Higher yields are a headwind for gold as they increase the opportunity cost of owning gold - however, rising yields and concerns about a return of inflation in the US (especially with potentially inflation-increasing measures under Trump) are spooking investors - and increasing safe haven demand for gold.

► Markets in Asia got off to a poor start with continued signs of economic weakness in China, which also increased demand from Asia (for gold).

► Labor market data in the US was rather mixed, but overall we see a very robust US economy that is likely to continue to outperform as Trump will push through further measures that will generally attract more capital to the US.

► Gold broke through several technical levels and is now also in the short-term seen as a good investment / hedge, benefiting from the sluggish performance of equities. We expect gold to maintain its current upward momentum.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~0.35 - 0.5 (35% - 50%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always trade gold with caution and limit losses to a maximum of 2-4% of your account balance per trade.

position code / 100% Transparency - 25010902A

⏱️ Signal/Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


——-

What an entry 🥇🎯

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09 Jan 2025 19:03

FYI - Elon Musk's controversial conversation with AFD leader and chancellor candidate Alice Weidel starts any minute. I'll be listening too ...

🔉 https://x.com/i/spaces/1nAJEprWvWeGL

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

09 Jan 2025 13:24

Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇦🇺 Balance of Trade - 00:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇦🇺 Retail Sales - 00:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇨🇳 Inflation Rate / CPI - 01:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇨🇳 PPI - 01:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 Balance of Trade - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 Industrial Production - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 Retail Sales - 10:00 (released: 🔴)

🔸 🇺🇸 US stock market remains closed (national day of mourning for former President Jimmy Carter)

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

——

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Tesco (TSCDY) 🇬🇧

——

SmartTrader™ Analyst Team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Jan 2025 16:42

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 108.74
OR
CLOSE SOON ✅ @: 108.60 - 108.89

Our overall position in XOM is extremely deep in the money after Friday's mispricing, which we took advantage of.

We secure mega profits with a tight TP here or close now.

You could also work with wider SL & TP here – but we expect to be able to find a better re-entry point anyway.


⏱️ Signal/Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———-

🏭📉1️⃣0️⃣6️⃣📈

What a trade/profit, which could be enough to pay for the fuel costs for several weeks/months...

WRITE US NOW 📨 - JOIN SMARTTRADER VIP

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Jan 2025 16:08

🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER NYSE OPENED 🔼 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ High volatility; 2/3 trading size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅ below $130.00 ($129.50 - $130.00)

We see global equities extending last week's losses, with Wall Street also opening lower on fears that the Fed is refocusing on keeping inflation in check rather than supporting the US economy by lowering high borrowing costs.


🔹 AMD (- 1.4 %) drops slightly below Friday's lows, with profit-taking increasing among interest-sensitive stocks. We maintain our position. TD Cowen suggests taking advantage of the price declines in AMD and Nvidia. The chip sector is particularly affected by potential tighter export restrictions.

🔹 Bank of America (- 0.5%) opens slightly weaker. We expect some buying ahead of the big banks' earnings this week. BAC will hover around $45.00.

🔹 ExxonMobil (+0.8%) opens higher and has more room to rise as oil prices are up 6% in the last 7 days (natural gas +10%). We set our TP above Friday's open ✅ @: 108.83.

🔹 McDonald's (-0.1%) opened little changed. Defensive stocks will outperform the broad market as long as we have the current market uncertainty/increasing concerns about higher inflation/higher yields.

🔹 Wells Fargo (-0.6%) opened below the key level of $70.00, but is well positioned for gains this week.


► While we continue to see worried markets and Biden's new restrictions on AI chips are weighing heavily on the important chip stocks – with Nvidia leading the losses and opening below the key $130 level – we are entering cautiously. The “Interim Final Rule on Artificial Intelligence Diffusion” announced today would set new restrictions on how many AI chips companies can send to different countries without special agreements with the U.S. government. Nvidia will be most affected by this because the company has an estimated 90% market share in AI chips.

► However, the technology cannot be stopped and demand will continue to outpace production capacity for Nvidia. I don't see a short-term slowdown in revenue growth due to the additional export restriction - especially not before Trump takes office. Trump will focus more on cutting China off from AI chips than on imposing a broad export restriction. Ultimately, exports cannot be completely avoided anyway.

► We expect Nvidia to be volatile today – but we see the chip giant near a level where Nvidia received significant support last week. We go LONG below or near $130.00, with Nvidia opening at around $129.80 (almost 5% lower). We expect increased (dip) buying and support in the $126.00 - $130.00 range.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~200- 220 (20,000%- 22,000%) when trading Nvidia (NVDA) - 2/3 trade size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 25011302A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———

WOW - perfect entry 🎯 (signal 4️⃣0️⃣ minutes delayed!)

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Jan 2025 13:31

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Monday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Monday, January 13

❗️ Stocks retreat on Fed rate-cut outlook & further rising yields; Oil surges amid sanctions on Russia

► European markets saw declines, with the Stoxx 600 falling by 0.9%, weighed down by diminished expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and investors being increasingly rattled by rising yields. Energy stocks provided some support, buoyed by rising oil prices. German bonds slumped for an eighth consecutive session (=rising yields), marking the longest losing streak since December 2022, as global bond markets faced mounting pressure. The GBP fell 0.8% to around $1.21100, its lowest since November 2023, amid concerns over the UK’s fiscal and current account deficits.

► In the US, futures for the S&P 500 dropped over 0.7% in early trading, while Treasury yields extended last week’s surge, with the 10-year yield climbing to 4.78%. The USD strengthened for the fifth consecutive session, hitting a more than two-year high. Friday’s strong payroll data, reflecting resilience in the labor market, reduced hopes of Fed rate cuts in 2025. Bank of America now predicts no rate cuts this year, while Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast to "only" two cuts, down from three. This week’s key economic data includes US inflation figures on Wednesday, which could offer further insights into the Federal Reserve’s trajectory. Traders will also watch for producer prices on Tuesday, jobless claims on Thursday, and the New York Fed’s one-year inflation expectations due later today.

► Stocks in Asia fell for a fourth consecutive day, with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index sliding 1.1%, bringing its monthly loss to over 3%. China’s Shanghai Composite dipped 0.24%, despite record-high export growth of 10.7% YoY in December, as concerns over incoming US tariffs weighed on sentiment. Despite strong export growth and a surprise rise in imports (+1.0% YoY), the CNY remained under pressure. The People’s Bank of China stepped in with liquidity measures, issuing 60 billion CNY worth of bills in Hong Kong, to curb speculative bets and support the currency. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 1%, while South Korea’s KOSPI dropped 1.04%. Australia’s ASX 200 slid 1.23%. Markets in Japan were closed for a holiday.

► Oil prices surged further, with WTI crude oil surging over 1.5%, with prices trading at about $77/barrel (spot price), reaching a four-month high after the US imposed aggressive sanctions on Russia. These measures, targeting major exporters, insurance providers, and over 150 oil tankers, are expected to tighten global supply, fueling further gains in crude prices. Gold prices are lower, trading currently back at $2,670/oz pressured by high yields and a strong USD. Despite the strength of the USD and with the DXY approaching 110, gold remains very resilient due to increased safe-haven demand amid heightened volatility in equity and bond markets.


——-

Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)

🔸 🇨🇳 Balance of Trade - 03:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇺🇸 Consumer Inflation Expectations - 16:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations


——-

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No significant earnings reports today

——-

SmartTrader™ Analyst Team & Robert Lindner

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

13 Jan 2025 07:43

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2701.23
TP-B ✅ @: 2682.08

Our TP-A ✅ was triggered in pre-market / early Asian trading. TP-B (if set) was missed by a few cents.

We are off to a slow start this week, which is not surprising given Wall Street's weak performance on Friday after rising inflation concerns and lowered expectations for interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve after strong US labor market data on Friday.

We can raise the TP-B (if your position is still open) slightly, as the upward momentum in gold remains intact despite a strong(er) USD with a DXY close to 110.00 (!).


——-

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

11 Jan 2025 01:32

🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 November 20 - January 10
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)

*Nov 28 & 29 (Thanksgiving) = 1 trading day


——————————————————————-

📊 5 - Week -Performance: 20.11 - 03.01
(= 25 "full" trading days)

Number of Trades/Signals: 125 (incl. 1 open positions: WFC)
Number of Trades Won: 109
Overall REAL Success Rate = 87.2% 🔽

Dropped from statistics: 6/6 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Nov. 19)
Added to statistics: 5/6 - 83.3% Success Rate (Jan. 3)

——————————————————————


🆕 The last 5 trading days:

✅ 6.1 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 20183.40 me | or 20093.30 / CLSD 20170+)
✅ 6.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.03667)
✅ 6.1 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 21688.30 |or CLSD 21650+)
✅ 6.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.03576)
✅ 6.1 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7423.70| overall in profit | +re-entry)

5/5 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate

✅ 7.1 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 76.42 | or 75.97)
❌ 7.1 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 20986.30 | +re-entry) 🔄
✴️ 7.1 - BAC - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 46.48
❌ 7.1 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 220.27) 🔄
✅ 7.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP- 1.03501 me|or 1.03450+)
✅ 7.1 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 142.96)

3/6 - (1 open position)


Our success rate has edged lower to 87.2% as another 100% day (6 out of 6; November 19) fell out of our 25 trading days statistics - but remains outstanding.

In addition, my AMZN position also fell into the SL - with today's very strong US labor market data causing the market to sharply reduce its still overly optimistic rate cut expectations. The profit-taking also pulled our Nasdaq 100 into the SL - for a deep red close.

Financial stocks recorded some losses today, but will probably stabilize and recover in the coming week ahead of earnings reports from the Wall Street banks next week (and after probably solid quarterly figures).

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 19:43

Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 172.87 | or higher

Absolutely crazy trade. One of the best dip purchases we could have made. We see now Boeing even testing the 173.50 - but even at 172.87 we made more than 2% movement in our favor.

Congratulations!


——

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 218.94
TP ✅ @: 221.73

Also our Amazon dip purchase was very good. We can work with an in-profit SL as well reducing our overall exposure to potential returning profit taking before NYSE closing.

We stay LONG in MCD, AMD (found support at ~115.00). We also found the perfect (re-)entry into XOM after some mispricing / profit taking.


———

Trading with SmartTrader is incredible easy:
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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 18:45

🔰 VIP SIGNAL / UPDATE SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW / STAY LONG 🔼 ExxonMobil (XOM)  🇺🇸
⚠️ Volatile
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended entry range ✅105.96 - 106.21

► Exxon saw profit-taking (as we expected), but then significant further selling (=including panic selling), which even pushed XOM into negative territory - now at almost $106, close to Wednesday's low or the 2025 low.

► The profit-taking was also triggered by profit-taking in oil prices after very strong gains. We are re-entering XOM here (or improving our entry price) and see XOM as clearly oversold. We expect clear support in the 105.00 - 106.00 range // or already around 106.00 (near the 2025 low).

► Exxon is also suffering somewhat from the fact that Chevron has been named a “TOP PICK” by Bank of America. I view both similarly - although Chevron is a bit more defensive due to its higher dividend yield. I see Exxon as slightly better (cheaper) valued - especially now after further losses. Oil prices have now stabilized again after profit-taking and remain significantly higher for today.

► We expect oil prices to rise again slightly towards the weekend.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 400 - 450 (40.000% - 45.000%) when trading ExxonMobil (XOM).

position code / 100% transparency - 25011003A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel

———-

🏭📉1️⃣0️⃣6️⃣📈

⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️
⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️
⚠️ DON'T MISS OUT ⚠️

FÜR SCHNELLEN VIP ZUGANG: @SmartTrader_Onboarding 🇩🇪

[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 16:58

Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸
SL triggered 🔑 @: 20794.30

Unfortunately, this is where our SL was triggered. Investors / traders are still too worried about prolonged high interest rates and the impact on smaller companies/growth stocks and consumer (spending).

There are of course much worse things in the world than a very strong jobs report. We are seeing heavy losses in software and chip stocks as well as other interest rate sensitive sectors/stocks.

We are now watching how deep the profit-taking goes and looking for good entry opportunities.

We expect a rebound - but the market is sentiment driven at the moment.


——


⚡️ RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 (ONLY IN VIP) 🇺🇸

Recommended Entry Range ✅(ONLY IN VIP)

► We are moving back into defensive stocks and buying (ONLY IN VIP) after the (ONLY IN VIP) fell by almost 1%.

► We buy a small LONG position as we shift a little into more defensive stocks. Our Coca-Cola position has already been closed in our SL (in profit).

🗣️ Tip: (ONLY IN VIP)

position code / 100% transparency - 25011004A



⏱️ Signal/Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 15:43

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW / DURING NYSE OPENING VOLA🔼 Nasdaq (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal/Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended entry ✅ 20890 - 20940

► The blowout labor market data put pressure on the stock markets, as the market now expects significantly fewer interest rate cuts. In reality, however, the data primarily shows a very robust US economy, with only manufacturing showing a slight weakness.

► New employees are being hired in all sectors, including substantially in government jobs:
- Government jobs +33,000
- Leisure and hospitality +43,000
- Private education and health services +80,000
- Professional and business services +28,000
- Retail trade +43,000
- Manufacturing -13,000.
- Construction +8,000

► The cyclically sensitive sectors are performing well (even construction), but so are the more defensive sectors. In short - a really strong labor market report that will now shift the focus back to inflation.

► Even if this will of course lead to profit-taking in the short term (and also repeatedly cause waves because fears are now high that the Fed may not cut interest rates until Q4/2025 or not at all in 2025 - the US economy does not need interest rate cuts and is “booming”.

► If your Nasdaq 100 SL has been triggered - we can now re-enter at a lower price and near the dips in December. Higher yields will weigh on stocks today, but the strength of the US economy will continue to divert capital to the US (from elsewhere).

► We are buying the 1% dip here and expect dip buying. We are working with an SL - slightly below the December lows. You can also wait a bit - as the Nasdaq will remain volatile.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~4-5 (400%-500%) when trading the Nasdaq (NAS100).

position code / 100% transparency - 25011002A

⏱️ Signal/Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


———

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 15:14

⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: (VIP ONLY)
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⚠️ LIVE TRADING ONLY IN VIP CHANNEL

⏱️ Update/Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅2685+ 🔄

► Very strong NFPs - with the unemployment rate even falling. We are going SHORT into gold here in the short term, as yields will now rise even further.

► The US economy created 256,000 new jobs in December 2024, after 212,000 in November, which was revised downwards, once again significantly exceeding market forecasts of 160,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in December 2024, down from 4.2% in the previous month and below market expectations of 4.2%. The number of unemployed people in the US fell by 235,000 to 6.886 million.

► Yields have now risen sharply - which is also putting pressure on equities in the short term. However, the labor market data actually shows a very strong / resilient US economy. Yields on the important 10Y Treasury bond have currently risen by around 10 (!) basis points.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~0.35 - 0.5 (35% - 50%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always trade gold with caution and limit losses to a maximum of 2-4% of your account balance per trade.

⏱️ Update/Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel

position code / 100% transparency - 25011001A


——-

We see gold now back at session highs - in the range 2686 - 2690. We expect resistance in this range.

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 11:48

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
SL 🔑 @: 8313.60
TP ✅ @: 8301.60
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: near 8305

The FTSE 100 - which has a very global orientation - is quite detached from the very serious problems facing the UK economy and government. Government bond yields continue to rise, making borrowing even more expensive. UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel b came into government with promises of a growth miracle, economic security and stable public finances, but is now seeing the financial markets begin to lose confidence.

We are on the brink of the beginning of a fiscal disaster loop. At this point, the UK government has lost control of the budget situation and is actually already being forced to act very quickly, which would mean announcing spending cuts or tax increases.

Our bet here is on an in-profit SL with strong mining and energy companies still helping the FTSE to stay afloat. We see the more domestically oriented FTSE 250 significantly lower.

If our tight SL is reached, we will go SHORT again at a higher price. The FTSE 100 is also benefiting from otherwise relatively stable markets in Europe and the US.

We close here or soon. Alternatively, you can go with a wider SL as we expect losses in the second half of US trading - but I prefer a re-entry at a potentially higher price.

- Congratulations, we have found the perfect entry price here after significant gains recently - also in gold, by the way


⏱️ Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel

——-

Perfect Entry 🇬🇧📈🎯📉

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[TRIAL] 🇬🇧 SmartTrader™ - Fundamental Trading Signals; Consistently Profitable & 100% Transparent

10 Jan 2025 00:36

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2648.97
TP ✅ @: 2675.73 (or wider)

FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
TP ✅ @: 8291.20

Today we found very good entries in both the FTSE 100 and gold. We sold the FTSE 100 at the absolute highs of the session / or 2025. You can keep the original TP or update them slightly. I have tightened the TP for gold slightly.

We also traded the GBP/CAD well - although our original position out of the money. Our re-entry was absolutely perfect and we closed very well. Other than that, it was a bit of the calm before the storm, which will continue for a bit and change dramatically after tomorrow's (or “today's”) NFP data.


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09 Jan 2025 19:25

Very weak from Alice Weidel. Maybe because it's in English? She is completely off her game and seems unprepared. The whole conversation is slow and confusing. No organization, no plan of what she wants to talk about - where the conversation should go - just badmouthing everything. Very destructive conversation

Didn't they exchange some kind of plan / structure beforehand - yikes ... I definitely expected more from Elon Musk too 😵‍💫 Not a very productive / efficient conversation at all.

SELL NOW 👎

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09 Jan 2025 18:51

🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
TP ✅ @: (VIP ONLY)

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅near 8333

► Wall Street remained closed today due to the national day of mourning for the death of former President Jimmy Carter, which also means that the world's most important stock market (by far) provided little impetus for the markets in Europe as well. We therefore see a lack of momentum with less volatility. We mainly saw recurring tariff concerns yesterday, with Trump playing the “pressure card” on all fronts - although much of this is rhetoric - Trump is also a typical businessman who starts every “negotiation” with the maximum demand and then allows himself to be negotiated down to a still positive outcome (for him). However, his topic, be it Greenland, his comments about Canada or the Panama Canal - to me they point to the beginning of a new era in the world where colonialism is returning. We see that other powers - be it China, Russia, India or even Indonesia - are already adapting. Europe allows itself to be left behind - even though it is particularly dependent in this world full of dependencies.

► The FTSE 100 is very international and is now benefiting from gains in the mining and energy sectors - with Shell also benefiting from a positive analyst call from UBS. Companies that are less domestically focused shone. Mining companies such as Antofagasta, Anglo American and Rio Tinto rose strongly (4.4 %, 4.0 % and 2.5 % respectively), although data from China was again rather unconvincing.

► We are seeing a general run on commodities, which is also being fueled by inflation fears and the general expectation that other assets are somewhat overvalued. In addition, it is often overlooked that the massive AI boom also means higher demand for commodities/energy.

► The FTSE 100 is outperforming other indices today and also the more domestically oriented FTSE 250, which has had a bad week following major concerns over the UK's financial stability. Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves may be forced into further tax hikes or spending cuts to comply with UK budget rules after the government's borrowing costs soared.

► Although I still see it as a knee-jerk reaction at the moment - borrowing costs are at a 16-year high, while the GBP has fallen to a 1-year low today. That is anything but “healthy”.

► The focus will turn to the NFP data tomorrow - we are likely to see some initial cautious trading.

► We go SHORT in the FTSE 100 at 2025 highs - the FTSE 100 rose more than 0.8% for today (~ at currently 8330), benefiting from demand for commodities, a fall in GBP and now stabilizing yields after all.

🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 7 - 9 (700% - 900%) trading the FTSE 100 (GBR_100).

position code / 100% Transparency - 25010901A

⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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09 Jan 2025 13:23

📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒

📆 Thursday, January 9

❗️ Stocks little changed as volatility reduces; GBP hits 2023 lows; US Markets remain closed

► European equity markets are little changed (slightly higher), the Stoxx 600 is up 0.15%. GBP fell to its lowest level since October 2023, slipping below $1.23/GBP. Investors remain concerned about the UK's economic outlook and fiscal stability as inflationary pressures and government spending plans weigh heavily on sentiment. The market is on the verge of losing confidence in the country's financial stability as the budget appears to be insufficient with current plans and economic developments. The yield on UK government bonds remains at a multi-decade high, while UK equities remain under selling pressure, exacerbating the general anti-risk sentiment. In other economic news: Germany posted a massive trade surplus of €19.7 billion in November, the highest since August, as exports rose by 2.1% while imports fell by 3.3%. Industrial production in Germany grew by 1.5% MoM, European retail sales fell short of expectations at +0.1% MoM (+0.4% expected).

► US futures are little changed after edging lower on Wednesday. Tech giant Nvidia slipped in post-market trading as reports of further export restrictions on AI chips emerged. Yesterday’s labor data showed a 10K drop in jobless claims to 201K, reflecting continued resilience in the labor market especially following a report that showed much higher than expected job opening (on Tuesday). The US stock markets are closed today for the national day of mourning for former President Jimmy Carter. Bond markets will close at 20:00 CET (14:00 ET) and normal trading will resume on Friday. After a four-day sell-off, bonds rebounded, signaling a return of demand for global bonds and a possible slight improvement in risk sentiment. This followed strong auctions for 30-year US Treasuries on Wednesday and Japanese government bonds on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield fell to a (still high) 4.70%, reflecting renewed investor appetite as yields remain attractive to income-seeking investors.

► Asian shares fell for the second straight day, led by Japanese and Indian markets, with the Nikkei 225 down 0.87%. Chinese equities were mixed as consumer prices rose only 0.1% YoY in December, marking the lowest level since March. Producer prices fell 2.3% YoY, signaling persistent deflationary pressures and weak domestic demand despite Beijing's economic stimulus measures. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) bolstered the CNY by issuing a record CNY 60 billion in bills in Hong Kong to stabilize the currency and curb excessive deflation. In Australia, retail sales rose by 0.8% in November, driven by Black Friday promotions, while the trade surplus widened to A$7.08 billion, exceeding expectations.

► WTI crude oil traded lower at $73/barrel as global production adjustments loom amid reduced OPEC+ influence. Gold rose to $2,670/oz, supported by safe-haven demand driven by geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures, despite high yields and a strong USD - although we have seen slightly lower yields today also helping the current bullish momentum. According to SmartTrader Chief Analyst Robert Lindner the Trump administration's anticipated policy shifts could intensify short-term capital inflows to the US, potentially driving asset inflation which results in an ongoing outperformance of Wall Street, but also elevating commodity attractiveness.