99 out of 100 Signal Providers are SCAM ⚠️ SmartTrader is the ONLY 💯% transparent & proven successful trading channel. We share all trades/results end of day. t.me/SmartTraderOfficialBot 📨 VIP Check pinned 📌messages t.me/trial_smarttrader_de 🇩🇪
⚡️ RAPID TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 (ONLY IN VIP ❓) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Very Volatile; 2/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
Recommended entry range ✅ (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► We are now seeing a decline in market sentiment - a reaction that we would have initially expected given the strong NFP data. However, the market incorrectly priced in the weaker than expected hiring in January and initially viewed this positively as it was seen as support for the Fed's rate cuts.
► I like (ONLY IN VIP ❓) a lot - but after two days (including today) of (ONLY IN VIP ❓), we are likely to see some profit taking towards the close.
► We also expect the USD to strengthen somewhat in the second half of US trading after the robust labor market data. A strong USD reduces (ONLY IN VIP ❓) ...
► (ONLY IN VIP ❓) shares rose by more than (ONLY IN VIP ❓) ...
► Even though we see (ONLY IN VIP ❓) as one of the best investments (ONLY IN VIP ❓), you can sell the overbuying here in the short term.
🗣️ Tip: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
position code / 100% transparency - 25020704A
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——-
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- Email: support@smarttrader.community
⚡️ OPTIONAL TRADE 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: 2862.11
(original GOLD SHORT only in VIP)
Recommended Entry Range ✅2885 - 2889
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► The market is somewhat overpricing the weaker (than expected) new hiring in January. However, we have already seen a correction in equities - which indicates that the market is slowly realizing that the NFP data is actually more robust overall than assumed (for 2024).
► We currently see gold at ATH. Gold is likely to encounter resistance in the 2885 - 2890 range. We see significantly higher yields - and also rising further - but also due to increased demand for safe-haven assets. However, gold is also benefiting from rotation.
► It is classic mispricing - but gold can also benefit from uncertainty and is currently trading at ATH - which also provides some tailwind. The USD should be able to gain ground - which is also good for our USD LONG(s).
►As we are LONG in the USD anyway, we do not want to over-position here for the time being. You can optionally (!) SHORT 🔽 gold - in the range 2885 - 2889.
► AMD and AAPL hit SLs. HON is hovering around yesterday's closing price (we remain LONG).
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
———
You MISSED the high volatility in gold trading here - sorry for the long delay in the TRIAL channel.
Don't sell too LOW if you still want to trade gold.
You can become a VIP completely for FREE. Your personal account manager will help you every step of the way.
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
SL 🔑 @: 97223.30
TP ✅ @: 98384.40
We update our Bitcoin position. We indeed saw the support near/below 96500 that we expected after the two day slide. We work with an in-profit SL and can widen our TP slightly.
We see now signs of a rebound despite some uncertainty ahead of the important NFP report as well as slightly higher yields / stronger USD.
Once again great timing with cryptos - we haven't lost a single crypto trade over the past 8+ months (!)
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
———
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹
✅ 4.2 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 21558.90)
✅ 4.2 - CVX - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 151.68) 🔄📸
✴️ 4.2 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 0.62464 🔄
✅ 4.2 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 75.37)
✅ 4.2 - PYPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 79.39)
3/5 - (1 open position)
✴️ 5.2 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 21988.30 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 21656.70🔄
✅ 5.2 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 109.97 me|or clsd 107.97-110.90)
✅ 5.2 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 192.47 me | or TP - 191.97) 🔄📸
✅ 5.2 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 110.89) 🔄📸
3/4 - (1 open position)
🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹
✅ 6.2 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 2852.78) 📸
✴️ 6.2 - DIS - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 112.87
✴️ 6.2 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (open - slightly in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 108.84 | TP ✅ @: 111.43
✴️ 6.2 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - near break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 98287.90 🔄
1/4 - (3 open positions)
Our AUD/USD is ~20 pips out of the money - we have a tightened TP. The DAX recovery continued today (to new ATHs) - we expect a less positive session tomorrow and now have a tighter TP.
We also closed the second AMD 📸 position from yesterday with a profit today - not ideal as we initially saw a strong rise (which would have even hit our TP). This also shows us why tight SLs (although I don't think it was too tight here) are usually not good when holding overnight. We continue to be LONG in AMD.
We also closed out our CVX 📸, GOOGL 📸, and half of our AAPL 📸 (3% ‼️ move in our favor - huge for Apple!) position today for a profit. We found a good (not perfect) entry point into Disney.
We are now seeing some headwinds on Wall Street after Amazon 📉 said its sales growth (in %) could be the slowest in history (since Amazon went public in 1997). According to Amazon's forecast, the company only expects sales growth of 5% to 9% for the current quarter. At the lower end of the range, this would be the slowest growth ever.
We made a very strong gold 🔽 SHORT 📸 today - congrats!
We can tighten our TP for Bitcoin a little. We see Bitcoin seeing some dip buying near/below 96500 as expected.
We've been more focused on stocks the past few days and made some very good trades - although some other options I recommended but we may have missed (like Uber) could have led to even higher gains. Overall though, we traded the stock market extremely well (except Europe). Congratulations again! 👏
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
⚠️ HIGH volatility; Increased risk / do not trade large
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
Recommended Entry Range ✅96000 - 96400 (near/below 96500) 🔄
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣8️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► While cryptocurrencies are currently facing a less than ideal risk environment and Bitcoin keeps encountering profit-taking above the $100K key level, we continue to see dip buying below $100K and the quick jump back to the absolute key level again and again for the world's largest cryptocurrency - which is mainly due to the fact that there is general optimism and a generally consensus view that the Trump administration is very positive about cryptocurrencies.
► On February 4, David Sacks, President Trump's crypto commissioner, held a press conference on Capitol Hill to talk about the new administration's plans to regulate cryptocurrencies. Sacks highlighted the language in Trump's recent executive order on cryptocurrencies and digital assets, which states that it is the administration's policy "to support the responsible growth and use of digital assets, blockchain technology, and related technologies across all sectors of the economy." The goal of the newly formed bicameral committee, according to Sacks, is to propose a federal regulatory framework for digital assets, including stablecoins. Sacks explained that the most important issue for fintech companies is regulatory clarity.
► Today it was revealed that Trump-owned Trump Media & Technology Group has filed trademarks for six investment products whose themes closely align with President Donald Trump's priorities in office. The (money losing) social media company wants to trademark the “Truth.Fi Made in America ETF”, the “Truth.Fi U.S. Energy Independence ETF” and especiall the “Truth.Fi Bitcoin Plus ETF” along with three other financial vehicles labeled as separately managed accounts with the same theme. These will then be offered on the recently announced Truth.Fi financial platform.
► This is another clear sign of Trump's strong commitment to cryptocurrencies - also out of personal financial interest.
► We see increased support in the range 96000 - 96500 - where BTC also found support yesterday and earlier today. Although there may also be deeper dips (to 92K - 93K), Bitcoin is currently "well suited" for dip buying.
🗣️ Tip: You can multiply your trade size by ~ 0.25 - 0.40 (25% - 40%) when trading Bitcoin (BTC/USD). Always trade cryptocurrencies with caution. Strong movements (~10%) are possible in the short term.
position code / 100% transparency - 25020604A
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣8️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——-
9️⃣6️⃣🔡📈9️⃣9️⃣🔡
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⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 230.13
TP ✅ @: 233.97
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 108.84 (or wider)
TP ✅ @: 111.63
—-
Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 192.47
...
SL 🔑 @: 190.97 🔄
TP ✅ @: 192.47
Our stocks positions overall did well. CVX hit our TP 📸 - then fell actually even further with also oil prices sliding as we expected. However, we may see oil with some support from here towards NYSE closing.
We found again a great entry into AMD. We can tighten also our AAPL position in case you still hold half of your position.
GOOGL just hit TP 📸 - if you are still LONG you can close a bit better near yesterday's highs (as initially planned) - TP ✅ @: 192.47 - in this case work with an in-profit SL SL 🔑 @: 190.97
Also DIS is break-even / or slightly in profit.
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 151.55 - 151.85
OR
TP ✅ @: 151.68
We are seeing increased volatility - also in energy prices. The gains came as oil prices fell back to near the flat line (gasoline is still up 1%). The energy sector also benefited from increased volatility in tech stocks, but these are now stabilizing, leading to a shift from energy back into tech stocks.
Chevron is now trading in the red and has even slipped below $152.00 (after initially going as high as $155.00) and in profit for us. We close HERE or soon.
While we see more downside potential for Chevron (and US Energy), we can find a better entry price.
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
——-
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✉️ CONTACT US: @SmartTrader_Onboarding 🇬🇧🇪🇸🇩🇪
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2860.38
TP ✅ @: 2852.78
We secure profits with our Gold SHORT. Our TP was nearly triggered. We see a bit more downside potential with also silver now down more than 1%.
Beautiful SHORT in an overall very bullish gold momentum.
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
Recommended Entry Range ✅2865 - 2868 (resistance 2870)
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► Gold remains bullish and still has room to rise. However, I think the recent rise, which has led to new ATHs in all four previous trading days, has been a little too fast.
► Much of the strong support for gold was based on fear of trade escalation - although the risk remains, we see that the markets (particularly visible in risk assets - including equities) have already reduced the risk and therefore the risk premium.
► Lower yields and recent USD weakness also supported the gold price, as did interest rate cuts by central banks (now the Bank of England) and hopes that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue its easing policy this year, supported by Fed Chairman Powell's recent comments, which were not as aggressive as feared.
► Lower energy prices reduced fears of inflation. The latest inflation figures (from the US, Europe, Australia in China anyway rather deflationary concerns) did not confirm any significant reacceleration in inflation.
► Silver prices have also fallen significantly today (currently by 0.9 %). Gold is flat here after recovering from earlier profit-taking. We are going SHORT here and expect some headwinds as the USD also recovers some of its recent losses.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~0.35 - 0.5 (35% - 50%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always trade gold with caution and limit losses to a maximum of 2-4% of your account balance per trade (incl. re-entries).
position code / 100% transparency - 25020601A
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——-
This is our first SHORT in gold since January 10.
✅ 11.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 25.11 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 04.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 06.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 10.12 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 11.12 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
❌ 12.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 18.12 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 03.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 08.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 09.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 10.01 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (+Re-entry in profit)
✅ 14.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 24.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 29.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
26/28 = 92.9% Success Rate
🆕 06.02 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✉️ CONTACT US: @SmartTrader_Onboarding 🇬🇧🇪🇸🇩🇪
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇦🇺 Balance of Trade - 00:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇪🇺 HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇫🇷 HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇮🇹 HCOB Construction PMI - 08:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Construction PMI - 09:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇪🇺 Retail Sales - 10:00 (released: 🔴)
♦️ 🇬🇧 BoE Interest Rate Decision - 12:00 (released: 🟡)
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims - 13:30
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ Amazon. com (AMZN) 🇺🇸 ‼️
☀️ Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸 (released: 🟡)
☀️ AstraZeneca (AZN) 🇬🇧 (released: 🟢)
☀️ Linde (LIN) 🇮🇪
☀️ Philip Morris (PM) 🇺🇸 (released: 🟢)
☀️ Qualcomm (QCOM) 🇺🇸 (released: 🟡)
☀️ L’Oréal (LRLCY) 🇫🇷
☀️ Honeywell (HON) 🇺🇸 (released: 🟡)
☀️ ConocoPhillips (COP) 🇺🇸
☀️ Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) 🇺🇸 (released: 🟡)
☀️ Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) 🇺🇸
☀️ Fortinet (FTNT) 🇺🇸
☀️ Air Products (APD) 🇺🇸 (released: 🔴)
☀️ Southern Copper (SCCO) 🇺🇸
☀️ Constellation Software (CNSWF) 🇨🇦
☀️ Siemens Healthineers (SMMNY) 🇩🇪
☀️ Hilton Worldwide (HLT) 🇺🇸
☀️ Roblox (RBLX) 🇺🇸
☀️ Cloudflare (NET) 🇺🇸
☀️ Suncor Energy (SU) 🇨🇦 (released: 🟢)
---
SmartTrader™ Analyst Team & Robert Lindner
🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹
✅ 3.2 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 73.68)
✅ 3.2 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 21227.40)
✅ 3.2 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2814.93)
✅ 3.2 - UPS - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 111.16 or lower)
✅ 3.2 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2828.89 | or TP - 2824.43)
✅ 3.2 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2827.89)
✅ 3.2 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 21349.30| or clsd 21405+)
7/7 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 4.2 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 21558.90)
✴️ 4.2 - CVX - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 150.73
✴️ 4.2 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 0.62433 🔄
✅ 4.2 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 75.37) 🔄📸
✅ 4.2 - PYPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 79.39) 🔄📸
3/5 - (2 open positions)
🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹
✴️ 5.2 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 21507.60
✅ 5.2 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 109.97 me|or clsd 107.97-110.90) 📸
✴️ 5.2 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 193.23
✅(✴️) 5.2 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (open - deep/SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 110.89 | TP ✅ @: 112.47
2/4 - (3 open position)
Today's trading was dominated by our strong position in equities and in particular the sharp (in my view unwarranted) crash in AMD following an earnings report that (obviously) failed to meet sky high expectations - although I see little weakness to justify such a sharp sell-off.
We have benefited very well from the expected dip buying in AMD. Our initial entry 📸 was outstanding. Our re-entry into AMD was also very good and is still open - very deep in the money.
With Brent 📸, PYPL 📸, AXP 📸 we closed three positions from the previous days.
We expect the market to become a bit more cautious tomorrow as investors are probably also a bit concerned about a possible slowdown in Amazon's (AWS) cloud revenue data after Microsoft and Alphabet revealed a slight deceleration in the still fast-growing and highly profitable business.
We are tightening the TP on our AUD/USD position slightly - our position is ~25 pips away from profit. We are watching our DAX position tomorrow but expect resistance in the 21700 - 21800 area with some profit taking heading into Friday/weekend.
Congrats 🎆 again to us for our outstanding trading/timing with AMD today - spectacular trading 👏
addition:
Correlation is even a term that needs to be used with caution here - a lot of what appears to be correlated in trading may be positively or negatively correlated but not causally correlated but correlated for other (perhaps coincidental) "reasons" rather than actual fundamental market dynamics. A deep understanding of market structure, liquidity flows, and macroeconomic influences is essential to assess whether a correlation holds any real significance.
Moreover, the notion that one can predict future price movements by simply drawing trend lines on a chart is a misleading narrative often propagated by unqualified market participants. While technical analysis has its place, simplistic approaches that rely solely on visual pattern recognition without statistical validation are ineffective and also often used by SCAMMERS
That said, trading short-term micro-movements, order flow, and volume imbalances can be a viable strategy (yes it works - I did that myself and worked on Algos even back in the early 2000s), but it requires institutional-grade infrastructure. Execution at the microsecond level demands highly specialized tools, co-located servers, and direct market access (DMA). Additionally, an accurate and reliable price feed - such as those used by institutional traders - is crucial. Retail brokers (like the brokers we use) with not extremely tight spreads, some latency, and order execution delays are simply NOT suitable for this type of trading.
I realized that this update was missing.
We expected AMD to correct back to 109.50 - 110.00 after the first push to 111.60. This in combination with our perfect NYSE opening prediction and entry range shows how scary perfect we traded the "untradeable" today (again). Congratulations.
Many of you made profits with AMD today - that would be enough to buy a nice trading setup. As always, share some of your profits with people in need. Please also understand - that many fake experts claim - but 99.99% what you find online is SCAM. SmartTrader is the ONLY (!) 100% trustworthy and transparent trading community. Please don't fall for scammers. Please don't fall for signal providers that don't use proper analysis and work with fake success rate optimization tricks such as very tight TPs (often disguised as TP1, TP2, TP3):
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 🇺🇸
Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸
Our three “A” stocks are deep in profit overall.
We did the impossible and traded the chaotic and heavily influenced by institutional / algo trading AMD stock better than even the institutions today. Exceptional trading of a very volatile stock. Given that AMD and many other tech stocks (including Big Tech) closed at highs, this is quite surprising though. I didn't expect the markets overall to be so bullish (today) - but the sharp and unwarranted losses were helpful and encouraged dip buying, which then led to a general rebound.
I like our TPs here - even if they are broken tomorrow on strong openings. If you haven't updated SL / TP yet - no problem, we will then trade the markets tomorrow.
If you've already closed AAPL in profit - congrats!
Besides these stocks, CVX hovered (for another day) around 153.00 as expected. We were able to close PYPL and AXP in profit. The gains in New York also helped European stocks - our DAX is out of the money - we are tightening our TP significantly: TP ✅ @: 21507.60.
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
GBP/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.24187
TP ✅ @: 1.23816
AUD/USD
TP ✅ @: 0.62468
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 21863.30
TP ✅ @: 21702.60
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇 (optional)
TP triggered ✅ @: 2862.11
We saw a bit of mispricing today (but at least correctly identified it) - triggered by financial platforms like Yahoo, CNBC, Bloomberg - but in the case of the labor market data also by other less financial / economic oriented news reporting on unemployment numbers.
The problem was that the NFP report was really confusing if you don't understand the underlying data, because you could say that the January numbers were weak, while the actual report points more to robustness in the US labor market.
Our gold position may now have reached the TP. Our GBP/USD is well in profit. We are working still with a tight TP for our AUD/USD.
We are also updating our DAX position.
Congratulations!
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ LIVE TRADING SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 GBP/USD
Recommended Entry Range ✅1.24450 - 1.24540 🔄
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚠️ LIVE TRADING / UPDATES ONLY IN VIP
► We see a very moderate reaction in the markets (including the USD) as investors/analysts are still trying to assess the NFP report - with the January NFP report generally seen as particularly important due to the revisions over the last 12 months.
► The NFP report for January was cooler than expected. However, new hires were revised to show that there were more new hires in November-December. The annual revisions show that job growth averaged 166,000 per month last year. That's a slowdown from the 186,000 jobs originally reported, but a smaller downward revision than expected and the preliminary August data suggested.
► The report is confusing for the markets.
►Also positive for the USD: average hourly wage growth of 0.5% was well above estimates (median: 0.3%). The highest forecast of all major analysts was 0.4%. The lower unemployment rate and higher labor force participation rate are also a sign of a strong labor market.
► For me, this is a strong report. We also see higher yields for US Treasuries (4-5 basis points). We SHORT the GBP/USD here as expectations for further Bank of England rate cuts have risen after two committee members even voted for a 50bp rate cut, showing growing concern within the BoE that the UK economy needs more monetary policy support.
position code / 100% transparency - 25020701A
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The USD initially saw some losses on reports of a weak January job report.
We believe that the market will come now to realization that the NFP report is actually robust / strong.
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🚨 NFP data in 3 minutes
LIVE TRADING SESSION
Ahead of the US jobs report, Wall Street is in a wait-and-see mode after recovering strongly last week from Monday's losses caused by Trump's tariff threats and fears of worsening global trade relations.
Initial jobless claims are likely to paint a picture of a slight / healthy slowdown overall - which would be positive as it supports hopes for Fed rate cuts later this year (possibly as early as May). In addition to Friday's labor market data, Wall Street will be closely watching the revision of job growth. In fact, some analysts are expecting the biggest revision since 2009 (in part due to preliminary data released in August that pointed to a revision of more than 800,000 jobs over the past 12 months).
I think the revision will be somewhat more moderate. The overall report is likely to be viewed rather positively and I think the market can live with both a slight slowdown and a robust outlook - although the first reaction would be best if the labor market data shows a slight slowdown. Very strong labor market data or a sharp slowdown would be seen as negative.
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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Friday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Friday, February 7
❗️ Steady global markets ahead of key US labor market report; Oil prices, gold & Bitcoin rise
► European markets held steady on Friday as investors braced for the highly anticipated US nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to provide crucial insight into the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory. The Stoxx 600 remained flat, having hit a record high on Thursday. Germany’s DAX traded flat, as trade data showed an improved surplus of €20.7B in December. France’s CAC 40 edged 0.15% down weighed down L'Oréal dropping 2.6% following yesterday’s weaker-than-expected earnings report. France recorded a €3.9B trade deficit for the month, which was better than expected. Meanwhile, the UK’s FTSE 100 declined slightly (- 0.2%), as investors awaited the impact of the Bank of England’s latest policy stance. In corporate news, Henkel announced the sale of its North American retail brand business.
► US stock futures are in wait-and-see, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures trading near flat, following Amazon’s disappointing after-hours earnings report, which showed weaker-than-expected profit guidance for Q1. Investors are cautious ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report, expected to show 175,000 jobs added in January, down from December’s 256,000. The report will be closely scrutinized for signs of labor market cooling, which could impact Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. The 10-year yield remained near its lowest level of 2025. Separately, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reaffirmed the administration’s commitment to a “strong USD” policy, dismissing any potential adjustments to debt issuance strategies.
► Asia-Pacific markets ended mixed, with China leading gains as optimism around AI stocks and easing trade war concerns lifted sentiment. The Shanghai Composite surged 1.01%, while the Shenzhen Component gained 1.76%, both reaching their highest levels in over a month. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 1.16%, marking a two-month high, driven by enthusiasm surrounding Chinese AI startup DeepSeek. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.6%, snapping a three-day winning streak, as the JPY strengthened past 152/USD, reaching a two-month high amid growing expectations of Bank of Japan rate hikes.
► Commodities saw a mixed trading so far and ahead of key economic data. Oil prices rose after the US imposed sanctions on entities shipping Iranian crude to China. WTI rose to about $71/barrel. However, higher US production and sluggish demand could keep crude under pressure in the coming weeks. Gold remained strong, trading near $2,870/oz, as investors hedged against market uncertainty. Bitcoin remained volatile, hovering around $97,000, as traders awaited the US payrolls report. Meanwhile, Trump Media and Technology Group filed for Bitcoin-related ETFs, further fueling speculation about crypto’s mainstream adoption.
---
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(Times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇩🇪 Balance of Trade - 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇩🇪 Industrial Production - 07:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇫🇷 Balance of Trade - 07:45 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate - 13:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls - 13:30 ‼️
🔸 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate - 13:30
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ Fortive (FTV) 🇺🇸
☀️ Danske Bank (DNKEY) 🇩🇰
☀️ Ubiquiti (UI) 🇺🇸
☀️ Banco Bradesco (BBD) 🇧🇷
☀️ Cboe Global (CBOE) 🇺🇸
---
SmartTrader™ Analyst Team & Robert Lindner
🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹
🗓 December 18 - February 6
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
——————————————
📊 5 - Week -Performance: 18.12 - 30.01
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 135
Number of Trades Won: 119
Overall REAL Success Rate = 88.1%
Dropped from statistics: 6/6 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Dec. 17)
Added to statistics: 6/6 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Jan. 30)
——————————————
🆕 The last 5 trading days:
✅ 31.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.03776)
✅ 31.1 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (TP - 238.79)
✅ 31.1 - AXP - LONG ↗️ (TP - 317.93 | or 317.97)
✅ 31.1 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 71.87 me | or 71.77+)
✅ 31.1 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️(TP-21522.40|overall in profit +re-entry)
✅ (✴️) 31.1 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (open - overall in profit| +re-entry clsd in profit TP - 232.97) 🔄
👉 SL 🔑 @: 230.13 🔄 | TP-B ✅ @: 233.97 🔄
*(✅/❌ 31.1 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 21227.40) | optional trade | w/ re-entry overall in profit))
✅ 31.1 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 72.91 - 73.14)
7/7 - (half position open)
*w/o optional trade as NAS100 trade otherwise double counted (Feb 3)
✅ 3.2 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 73.68)
✅ 3.2 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 21227.40)
✅ 3.2 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2814.93)
✅ 3.2 - UPS - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 111.16 or lower)
✅ 3.2 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2828.89 | or TP - 2824.43)
✅ 3.2 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2827.89)
✅ 3.2 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 21349.30| or clsd 21405+)
7/7 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
Our success rate (25-day statistics) has remained the same despite now four 100% 🏆 days in a row. Last Thursday we won all 6 trades, but we also won 6 out of 6 trades on December 17.
We closed half of our AAPL position deep in profit (TP - 232.97) today (if you didn't close all the way).
All other trades from January 30 through February 3 were already closed (all in profit 💯), so no further update here.
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Walt Disney (DIS) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 112.87
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 108.84 (or wider)
TP ✅ @: 111.43
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 21988.30
TP ✅ @: 21656.70
AUD/USD
TP ✅ @: 0.62464
We are updating some of our open positions. Disney has seen an impressive rebound after some profit taking. We now see Disney up almost 1.4% for the day and clearly in the money for us. I see further upside potential and Disney should also fully recover yesterday's losses in the coming sessions. We are not working with a too wide a TP for now.
AMD continues to hover around $110.00. We remain LONG, but are updating slightly.
Our DAX position is deep in the red (if you are SHORT) with the European indices trading at record levels and the Bank of England having cut its prime rate. The voting behavior points to further rate cuts. German stocks have outperformed - especially BASF but also tech stocks. We expect some profit-taking tomorrow as investors are concerned about Trump's tough words over the weekend. However, Amazon's earnings report and tomorrow's NFP report will also be very important. If you want, you can make a small re-entry near / at the record highs 🔽 21915 - 21935. We are tightening our TP There will be resistance in the 21955 - 22005 range.
We also update our AUD/USD, which remains about 25 pips away from profit. We close on the next dip. The AUD is currently still benefiting from a generally positive risk sentiment. However, the USD has room to “rally”, especially if tomorrow's NFP data indicates little weakness (or strength) in the US labor market.
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BUY NOW 🔼 Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 2/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
Recommended Entry ✅ near 109.60
⏱️ Update / Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► We experienced a rather volatile opening. AMD closed in our SL, but overall well in profit (possibly for some of you already at “open”). The price then recovered to a level above yesterday's highs and has now fallen again by more than 1.5% to below 110.00. We are getting back in here / soon.
► We generally see increased volatility in the chip sector - also due to Qualcomm's 6% slide and the volatile trading of chip mega-caps Nvidia and Broadcom (both of which saw profit-taking after the opening).
► Apple hit our TP ✅ 332.97 (TP-B if not already set) for a very nice profit.
► We realize that AMD continues to be volatile (!), but we also find an entry here similar to our second entry in AMD yesterday. We continue to trade AMD with a reduced trade size.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 350 - 380 (35,000% - 38,000%) trading AMD (AMD) - 2/3 trade size
position code / 100% transparency - 25020603A
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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY AFTER* NYSE OPENED 🔼 (ONLY IN VIP ❓) 🇺🇸
Recommended Entry Range ✅ (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
After some mixed earnings reports - including from Qualcomm and Ford - we see a near flat opening. On a positive note, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has stated that the Trump administration is focused on lowering the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds, which would ultimately lead to lower borrowing costs.
🔹 Alphabet (- 0.5%) remains in sideways movement after yesterday's sharp losses and amid fears that Amazon could also reveal a general slowdown in cloud sales growth. GOOGL opens slightly above 190.00 and thus remains around break-even for us. We pull the TP to ✅ @: 191.97, as Alphabet also receives no additional buy recommendations from important investment banks/companies.
🔹 AMD (- 0.6%) is somewhat pressured by mixed sentiment in the chip sector - including Qualcomm's Q4 report, which points to slowing demand for smartphone chips - although the connection with AMD here is very limited (in reality). Our position remains deep in profit - We may tighten our SL slightly 🔑 @: 110.97 but raise our TP ✅ @: 111.89. We see AMD probably still in recovery mode but also AMD has received little love from investment banks / companies. So the goal here is to close well and better get back in.
🔹 Apple (- 0.4%) loses some of yesterday's very strong recovery gains. We assume that Apple will stabilize and try to return to Tuesday's closing price (232.50 - 233.50). The Japanese investment bank Daiwa recommends to “BUY” Apple.
🔹 Chevron (+0.5%) can move a little away from the $153.00 mark. We are now tightening our TP ✅ @: 151.86. CVX is benefiting from a rebound in oil and gasoline prices - we expect the gains to be rather short-lived. The energy sector is also benefiting from some uncertainty in the technology sector after recent mixed results and ahead of Amazon's earnings report.
► We still see many attractive entry opportunities - I also mentioned PayPal and Uber yesterday, but also Microsoft after the heavy losses a week ago. Qualcomm today - seems oversold and opened almost 6% lower after the earnings report. We are LONG in AMD and Alphabet so don't want to get too deep into growth/tech stocks that are “recovering”.
► I also still see upside potential in (ONLY IN VIP ❓) after the high volatility that led to losses yesterday following (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
► (ONLY IN VIP ❓) financial metrics are still remarkable and although (ONLY IN VIP ❓) showed less growth than expected( ONLY IN VIP ❓) plenty of growth potential and (ONLY IN VIP ❓) further increase cash flow, profitability and margins. (ONLY IN VIP ❓) ...
🗣️ Tip: (ONLY IN VIP ❓) ...
position code / 100% transparency - 25020602A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Current Success Rates 🔹
📊 Indices - 42/46 = 91.3% success rate
(Dec 17 - Feb 05)
📊 Last 5 indices trades
✅ 31.01 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 04.02 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✴️ 05.02 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
🛢 Oil - 12/13 = 92.3% success rate
(Dec 17 - Feb 05)
🛢 Last 5 Oil trades
✅ 29.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 31.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 31.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.02 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 04.02 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️
🥇 Gold - 14/15 = 93.3% success rate
(Dec 18 - Feb 03)
🥇 Last 5 Gold trades
✅ 27.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 29.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
💱 Forex - 18/20 = 90.0% success rate
(Dec 18 - Feb 04)
💱 Last 5 Forex trades
✅ 27.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.01 - USD/CAD - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 31.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✴️ 04.02 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️
📊 Stocks - 51/58 = 87.9% success rate
(Dec 17 - Feb 05)
📊 Last 5 Stocks trades
✴️ 31.01 - AXP - LONG ↗️
✴️ 31.01 - AAPL - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - UPS - SHORT ↘️
✴️ 04.02 - CVX - SHORT ↘️
✴️ 04.02 - PYPL - LONG ↗️
Contact us to get started!
💬 Chat with us
🚀 Trade of the Day 🚀
✅ 05.02 - AMD - LONG ↗️
Movement in our favor: +3.16% 📈
❗️You could have increased your capital by: +9.23% 📈❗️
Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 —> $461.27 Profit (+9.23%🚀)
📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Thursday, February 6
❗️ Mixed global stocks following earnings reports; Investors await BOE decision and Amazon’s earnings
► European markets climbed higher on Thursday as investors digested corporate earnings from European companies that were positive and looked ahead to the Bank of England’s rate decision. The Stoxx 600 rose 0.65%, marking its third consecutive session of gains, driven by strength in financials and healthcare stocks. Germany’s DAX gained 0.6%, bolstered by a surprise rebound in factory orders, while France’s CAC 40 rose 0.6% even as investors remained cautious amid mixed industrial data. UK’s FTSE 100 outperformed, rising 1.1%, as expectations of a BOE rate cut weighed on the GBP. AstraZeneca climbed 4.5% on a 23.9% YoY revenue increase and upbeat 2025 guidance.
► US stock futures are little changed, after Wednesday’s gains. Initial earnings optimism saw some headwinds after disappointing earnings from Qualcomm, Ford and Skyworks Solutions. S&P 500 futures is still up 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures are slightly down (-0.15%) but remain supported by declining Treasury yields near one-month lows. The focus now turns to Amazon’s Q4 results, set to report after the closing bell, as investors look for cloud revenue growth guidance following rather disappointing earnings from Microsoft and Alphabet. Eli Lilly reported earnings in-line with expectations and trades little changed (- 0.3%). On the economic front, traders are watching weekly jobless claims and Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report, which could influence the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook.
► Asian markets rose, tracking Wall Street’s gains and easing US-China trade tensions. Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 0.63%, surpassing 39,000. China’s Shanghai Composite added 1.27%, led by AI and tech stocks as DeepSeek’s advancements fueled optimism. The offshore CNY stabilized at 7.28/USD, as Beijing sought WTO intervention over new US tariffs. Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 1.43%, recovering from earlier losses.
► Commodities traded mixed amid shifting market sentiment. Oil prices edged higher (+0.5%), with Brent crude up at $74.9/barrel and WTI crude up at $71.2/barrel, supported by Saudi Arabia’s oil price hikes and reduced trade war fears. However, analysts anticipate Brent crude could drop to $60-$65 by 2H 2025, due to non-OPEC supply growth outpacing demand. Gold pulled back from record highs, slipping to $2,850/oz but recovering back to (currently) $2,865/oz, as investors booked profits after recent gains. However, analysts including SmartTrader chief analyst Robert Lindner continue to see gold bullish due to robust central bank demand and geopolitical risks. Bitcoin steadied, trading around $99,000, as traders turned cautious ahead of Friday’s US jobs report, which could trigger sharp volatility in crypto markets.
🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹
🗓 December 17 - February 5
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
——————————————
📊 5 - Week -Performance: 17.12 - 29.01
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 135
Number of Trades Won: 119
Overall REAL Success Rate = 88.1% 🔽
Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Dec. 16)
Added to statistics: 4/4 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Jan. 29)
——————————————
🆕 The last 5 trading days:
✅ 30.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP-1.03936 m|or 1.03875+)
✅ 30.1 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 6087.90)
✅ 30.1 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (SL - 418.87)
✅ 30.1 - GM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 50.62 me | or TP - 50.61)
✅ 30.1 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 21583.30)
✅ 30.1 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 123.23)
6/6 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 31.1 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.03776)
✅ 31.1 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (TP - 238.79)
✅ 31.1 - AXP - LONG ↗️ (TP - 317.93 | or 317.97) 🔄
✅ 31.1 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 71.87 me | or 71.77+)
✅ 31.1 - GER_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP ✅ @: 21522.40 | overall deep in profit | +re-entry)
✴️ 31.1 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (open - overall in profit| +re-entry)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 229.87 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 232.97 🔄 | TP-B ✅ @: 234.30 🔄
*(✅/❌ 31.1 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 21227.40) | optional trade | w/ re-entry overall in profit))
✅ 31.1 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 72.91 - 73.14)
6/7 - (1 open position)
*w/o optional trade as NAS100 trade otherwise double counted (Feb 3)
Sorry for the late update. I have a lot of documents and data to prepare, collect and compile for tomorrow (work continues after this update).
Our success rate dropped by 0.1 percentage points, even as a flawless 4-out-of-4 100%🏆 day entered our 25-day statistic, as it replaced a 5-out-of-5 🏆 100% day (Dec. 16). Once again, this shows how difficult it is to even maintain these performance metrics.
Also, our AXP position was closed today (with a small profit); our Apple position is overall well in profit (similar to yesterday) - despite Apple's weak opening today.
Here is an example of what this could look like.
In this example, TP1, TP2 and TP3 are all within absolute micro-movements. TP1 is not even 0.1% away from the “entry price”. These types of movements - especially in cryptocurrencies - happen within seconds. That's below second volatility even in a relatively calm crypto market.
We see a much wider SL.
The reason for this is that the scammer wants to pretend that he is “winning” most of his trades. But in reality, it's not trading - it's pure fraud. A single losing trade would mean that he would probably have to win 50 trades to recoup the losses. This is the STANDARD of what you find on Telegram / Social Media.
Some claim to have a success rate of over 80%. I know the very best traders, including experts in algo trading. Almost no one has a success rate like that (yes, we do - even higher - but we trade with the 0.01% of the very best traders in the world). You have to have been trading for years and have above-average intelligence and be able to understand difficult correlations if you want to trade at such a level. If the person behind it can't even get a straight sentence out - then that is also an indication that you can pay attention to - or, for example, if the focus is not on analysis, but on showing off alleged other members who earn money or showing off expensive items (cars, watches, first class flights etc.).
⚠️ Please ALWAYS be vigilant, ALWAYS be skeptical.
Screenshot just before my TP (AMD) was triggered.
AMD is now above 111.00. I expect soon a slight correction back into the 109.50 - 110.00 range.
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⚡️ LIGHTNING RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 229.17 🔄
TP ✅ @: 232.79
Apple already moved higher (higher than on the screenshot) - we can tighten our SL further. We keep our TP for now.
Sorry again for the delay - I am still bugged for documents etc. as everything for tomorrow morning. We traded today and especially AMD exceptionally today, I am just a bit under water here.
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Adv. Micro Devices (AMD) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 110.89
TP ✅ @: 112.47
Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 193.23
Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 229.87
TP ✅ @: 232.97
TP-B ✅ @: 234.30
OR
CLOSE ✅ @: near 232.40
Our stock positions are pushing higher before NYSE closing - impressive 🚀
I am now working here with two TPs for AAPL (the first entry gets a wider TP - TP-B). We are also expanding our other TP / tightening our SL (also for AMD).
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️