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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹
🗓 January 10 - February 20
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
——————————————
📊 5 - Week -Performance: 10.01 - 13.02
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 131
Number of Trades Won: 115
Overall REAL Success Rate = 87.8% 🔽
Dropped from statistics: 2/2 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Jan. 9)
Added to statistics: 1/2 - 50% Success Rate (Feb. 13)
——————————————
🆕 The last 5 trading days:
✅ 14.2 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 22533.60)
✅ 14.2 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2919.89 / 2918.34 me| or 2917.50+ | overall in-profit | +re-entry)
✅ 14.2 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 8172.70)
(✅/✴️ 14.2 - XYZ/SQ 84.08 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 84.03 | break-even))
✅ 14.2 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 99.17)
✅ 14.2 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 70.78 | or 70.96+)
✅ 14.2 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 119.97)
✴️ 14.2 - COIN - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 274.89 🔄
6/7 - (1 open position; excl. XYZ)
✅ 17.2 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 96414.30)
✅ 17.2 - NZD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 86.676 me|or TP-86.583)
2/2 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
Sorry for the slightly delayed update. Of course, I watched the last TV debate before the German parliamentary elections. This election is likely to be the most significant in the last 30 years and will have a decisive influence on European politics – especially since Macron is increasingly a “lame duck”, without support in his own country and other leaders like Keir Starmer remain in weakened (and further weakening) positions.
Europe now needs a strong Germany that has the courage to make difficult and disruptive decisions and take a leading role in Europe. It urgently needs an economic turnaround: less regulation, bureaucracy and chaos – and more free market, security and (performance) incentives. Almost every political regulation of the last few years (99% of them) has failed, especially in areas that it would have been better to leave untouched / less regulated – from the housing market to energy policy. At the same time, there has been a blatant failure in essential areas such as migration, security and competitiveness. Germany has never been worse governed – although Merkel has already left the country in a desolate state. Germany has been a burden for Europe / European growth 🐌 over the past years - that needs to change.
Otherwise, not much has changed here - COIN is caught in the current rather uncertain market sentiment, despite a good performance of cryptos today. While we hold a small position - we will have to limit losses or reduce our position size. Our GBP/USD position closed out of the money at the end, so that February 13 pushed our overall statistics down a bit. Otherwise, it was actually a good day for us.
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
Recommended Entry ✅near/above 1.05000 🔄
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► With our GBP/USD closed at our SL, we unfortunately had our second negative FX trade in the last 30 days. The USD has been quite weak in recent weeks as investors preferred gold as a safe haven and also sharply reduced expectations of Trump imposing far-reaching tariffs and other measures that risk further accelerating US inflation. The decline in oil prices and the strong performance of equities, as well as the general optimism in the market, all of which was particularly evident from 14-15 January, led to a weaker USD.
► In the medium term, however, we expect that the EUR/USD pair has only limited upside potential, and we are therefore selling the EUR/USD attempt to rise above 1.05000 again. We expect in particular strong resistance towards / at 1.05350 (= 2025 highs).
► Europe will have to provide the overwhelming share of future lethal and non-lethal aid to Ukraine, U.S. Defense Secretary Hegseth said last week. This week, the pressure on Europe increased further as the U.S. increasingly takes a neutral position in Russia's war against Ukraine. Additional defense spending will be expensive and will slow growth in the coming months. It will also weigh on budgets, which will continue to weigh on the EUR, and put pressure on the ECB to cut rates further.
► Gold will remain the preferred safe haven for the time being, but we expect some USD buying towards the weekend.
position code / 100% transparency - 25022005A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
———
The EUR/USD gives us a good entry here now at even slightly above 1.05000.
Our Forex trades over the last 30 days:
✅ 21.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 23.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (overall in profit |+Re-entry)
✅ 27.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.01 - USD/CAD - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 31.01 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.02 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 07.02 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 07.02 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 11.02 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️
❌ 12.02 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 12.02 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️
❌ 13.02 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 17.02 - NZD/JPY - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.02 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️
13/15 = 86.7% Success Rate
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 138.36
TP ✅ @: 136.63
OR
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 137.05 - 137.45
We secure profits with our Nvidia position.
Very good (actually also very tough to make) trade against the market with Nvidia pointing to further gains but then joining other growth / chips stocks lower. We set an in-profit SL.
Alternatively, you can also close here already. We still like Nvidia ahead of its earnings report – but expected temporary profit-taking (which may continue a little further, though).
Congratulations – great trade!
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
———-
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 6091.60 (or already triggered 6114.80)
OR
CLOSE SOON ✅ @: below 6097
BOOM. We are now seeing exactly the moves we predicted (yesterday already). Tesla dropped very sharply after the open which trapped many traders into a bull trap.
We are now seeing significant profit taking – also in the broader market.
Our Tesla-TP ✅ @: 352.26 triggered for a big profit. The S&P 500 could have triggered for you as well. I have extended my TP here a bit – if you are still SHORT, you can close a bit below the key level of 6100 (will probably fall below this level first (towards 6085-6095) and then find temporary support (before possibly falling further).
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
🔰 VIP SIGNAL🕯
(ONLY IN VIP ❓) Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
Recommended Entry Range ✅(ONLY IN VIP ❓)
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► Our pending order was not triggered because gold prices found support during European trading at (just) over $2,930 and then reached new ATHs, with investors remaining concerned about the increasing uncertainties, particularly due to Trump changing the US position on important matters, including alliances and trade policy.
► Gold has performed strongly this year and (ONLY IN VIP ❓) – including in the short term, as Trump's tariff threats and uncertainty about the situation in Ukraine (= the US's apparent withdrawal from Ukraine) increase the attractiveness of gold.
► (ONLY IN VIP ❓) gold is overbought in the short term and will experience corrections – the important $3,000 mark also has a magnetic effect – similar to perhaps the $100K mark we have seen in Bitcoin, or other important marks in gold that have been broken in recent months. It will fall – (ONLY IN VIP ❓) ...
► (ONLY IN VIP ❓) correction towards $2,930 (short-term also $2,925; with (ONLY IN VIP ❓)), (ONLY IN VIP ❓) especially before (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
► We see investors favoring (ONLY IN VIP ❓) as a safe haven (ONLY IN VIP ❓) gains for the USD during US trading and (ONLY IN VIP ❓) ...
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~0.30 - 0.40 (30% - 40%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always trade gold with caution and limit losses to a maximum of 2-4% of your account balance per trade (incl. re-entries).
position code / 100% Transparency - 25022001A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 7️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——-
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If you have any questions (or would like to request for account manager support / or change), you can also contact the SmartTrader Support:
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👉 Further SmartTrader contact options & links 🌴
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇦🇺 Unemployment Rate – 00:30 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇩🇪 PPI – 07:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims – 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index – 13:30
🔸 🇪🇺 Consumer Confidence Flash FEB – 15:00
🔸 🇺🇸 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change – 17:00
🔸 🇰🇷 Business Confidence FEB – 21:00
🔸 🇯🇵 Inflation Rate / CPI – 23:30
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
☀️ Walmart (WMT) 🇺🇸 (released: 🟢)
☀️ Alibaba (BABA) 🇨🇳
🌙 Booking (BKNG) 🇺🇸
☀️ Airbus Group (EADSY) 🇫🇷 (released: 🔴)
☀️ MercadoLibre (MELI) 🇦🇷
☀️ Southern (SO) 🇺🇸
☀️ Zurich Insurance Group (ZFSVF) 🇨🇭
☀️ NetEase (NTES) 🇨🇳 (released: 🔴)
🌙 Nu Holdings (NU) 🇧🇷
☀️ Mercedes-Benz Group (MBGAF) 🇩🇪 (released: 🔴)
🌙 Copart (CPRT) 🇺🇸
🌙 Newmont Goldcorp (NEM) 🇺🇸
☀️ Lloyds Banking (LYG) 🇬🇧
☀️ Cheniere Energy (LNG) 🇺🇸
🌙 Block (XYZ) 🇺🇸
☀️ Targa Resources (TRGP) 🇺🇸
☀️ Quanta Services (PWR) 🇺🇸
🌙 Vale (VALE) 🇧🇷 (released: 🟢)
🌙 Consolidated Edison (ED) 🇺🇸
🌙 VICI Properties (VICI) 🇺🇸
☀️ Cenovus Energy (CVE) 🇨🇦 (released: 🔴)
☀️ Naturgy Energy ADR (GASNY) 🇪🇸
☀️ Leonardo (FINMY) 🇮🇹
☀️ Grab (GRAB) 🇸🇬
---
SmartTrader™ Analyst Team & Robert Lindner
🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹
✅ 17.2 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 96414.30) 🔄📸
✅ 17.2 - NZD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 86.676 me|or TP-86.583)
2/2 = 100% 🏆 Success Rate
✅ 18.2 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP-114.89 me|or clsd 114.80+)🔄📸
✅ 18.2 - CVX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 156.39)
✴️ 18.2 - NGAS - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 3.927 🔄
✅ 18.2 - CVX - LONG ↗️ (clsd 157.63 me|or clsd 157.60+)🔄📸
✅ 18.2 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 139.93) 🔄📸
4/5 - (1 open position)
🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹
✅ 19.2 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 0.63486) 📸
✴️ 19.2 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
✴️ 19.2 - SPX500 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
✅ 19.2 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2937.13 me|or ~2937.67+-) 📸
2/4 - (2 open positions)
Bitcoin 📸 quickly rebounded to over 96K, but is now already facing significant (temporary) resistance in the 96,000 - 97,000 range – also due to more cautious trading/worsened risk sentiment.
We also have to be a little careful with our NGAS position – certainly overbought in the short term – tomorrow's performance will be important to determine when the correction will come.
We have been very successful in reducing our positioning this week – including today – while also managing our positions well again recently. Today was actually a very strong day – the negative DAX in the screenshot was from a previous position (from February 12). We have also been picking stocks very well again recently – with very good entries and exits as well. Coinbase is an exception here; Tesla will come under stronger selling pressure tomorrow/on Friday.
We made a strong AUD/USD trade 📸 (could have done better) and also saw part of the USD recovery we expected. We had very good timing with our gold LONG 📸, which would have even reached our TP at 2939.69 by now.
—-
We can open a pending order here:
🔰 OPTIONAL PENDING ORDER 🕯
PENDING ORDER🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
BUY AT 🔼 2925.63
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~0.30 - 0.40 (30% - 40%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always trade gold with caution and limit losses to a maximum of 2-4% of your account balance per trade (incl. re-entries).
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 2936.50 - 2937.90 🔄
TP ✅ @: 2937.67
We can secure profits here, as gold indicates slight profit taking at the close of trading on the NYSE. Alternatively, you can also work with a wider SL and still close near 2940 or even above. Gold remains bullish overall. We expect further gains in tomorrow's session.
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL🕯
BUY NOW 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP)
Recommended Entry Range ✅2921 - 2925
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► As usual, the FOMC meeting minutes did not reveal anything new, although the FOMC did show some concern about possible changes in trade and immigration policy, which Powell almost always refused to comment on when asked. However, this is obvious anyway and not surprising, as opinions on this are not divided – possible tariffs will have an inflationary impact.
► At the same time, the FOMC members also appeared optimistic, reflecting the general market, which was/is optimistic about less regulation and possible changes in tax policy.
► We can now buy gold here, after it fell slightly today and is currently still trading below 2925 - gold reached an all-time high today, by the way - so we also saw some technical profit-taking, which is typical for gold.
► We are now seeing a slightly weaker USD and yields are returning to the flat line (after earlier slight gains). This is positive for gold. Optimism about progress in the peace talks is also likely to fade as Trump plays into Putin's hands, which will tend to increase Russia's demands after any kind of peace agreement. An agreement has not really come any closer for the time being, especially since neither Ukraine nor Europe were involved in the latest talks with Moscow. What has come closer recently, however, is that Ukraine will have significantly more difficulty defending itself.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~0.30 - 0.40 (30% - 40%) when trading gold (XAU/USD) - Please always trade gold with caution and limit losses to a maximum of 2-4% of your account balance per trade (incl. re-entries).
position code / 100% Transparency - 25021904A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——-
Do whatever you want – but NEVER, NEVER, NEVER miss any of our gold trades.
✅ 14.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 24.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 27.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 29.01 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 06.02 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 07.02 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 11.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 14.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
14/14 = 100% Success Rate
We won our last 14 gold trades (!) or 31 from the last 33 // more than 91% of all our gold trades over the past 8 months.
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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
Recommended Entry ✅6130+ 🔄
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by:1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► We see the S&P 500 almost unchanged after a record close and an intra-day record (ATH) yesterday.
► European equities are now trading significantly lower as Trump's tariff threats returned earlier than expected - even though there is time for negotiations again.
► I also expect the additional tailwind we got from the Washington-Moscow talks to fade further, as Trump clearly backs Putin, while blaming (at least partly) the responsibility for the war in Ukraine on Ukraine and saying that Zelensky no longer has the support of the Ukrainian people - without showing any real data for his claims.
► The S&P 500 benefits from gains in the energy sector due to higher oil prices/significantly higher natural gas prices – although we expect some selling in natural gas (back towards $4/MMBtu) after the shock reaction to the increased Ukrainian gas purchases.
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 17 - 20 (1,700% - 2,000%) when trading the S&P500 (SPX500)
position code / 100% transparency - 25021903A
⏱️ Signal is DELAYED ⚠️ by:1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——-
You can get a good entry into the S&P 500 here.
📈📈📉📈🎯📉
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Chevron (CVX) 🇺🇸
CLOSE SOON ✅ @: 157.60 - 157.73
I just closed my CVX position in a tightened TP at 157.63.
After strong gains in energy prices - we see limited upside in energy prices in the short-term - although energy stocks have more room to rise.
You can also close your position here for a nice profit.
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 22738.70
TP ✅ @: 22533.60
Natural Gas (NGAS) 🔥
TP ✅ @: 3.927
It is quite impressive that the DAX was able to briefly reach an ATH today despite the long list of headwinds – including new US tariff threats (particularly relevant for the DAX on auto imports), higher energy prices, an increasing alienation/isolation of Europe from the US, and massively increasing defense spending.
However, the DAX has recently benefited from significantly better economic data, hopes of a “better” government in Germany and gains in the tech, financial and defense sectors, as well as exaggerated hopes for progress in peace talks.
We now see the DAX significantly lower. Currently breaking through the 22600 and thus back into the money for us (with re-entry deep in the money). We are giving a little more room. We also expect the NGAS price to stabilize again - but are tightening our TP.
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——-
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🚀 Trade of the Day 🚀
✅ 14.02 - DELL - LONG ↗️
Movement in our favor: +5.90% 📈
❗️You could have increased your capital by: +19.04% 📈❗️
Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 —> +$951.90 Profit (+19.04%🚀)
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0)
🔸 🇬🇧 Inflation Rate / CPI – 07:00 (released: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 PPI – 07:00 (released: 🟢)
🔸 🇺🇸 Building Permits – 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Housing Starts – 13:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Redbook YoY FEB/15 – 13:55
♦️ 🇺🇸 FOMC Minutes – 19:00
🔸 🇺🇸 API Crude Oil Stock Change – 21:30
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
🌙 HSBC (HSBC) 🇬🇧 (released: 🟢)
☀️ Analog Devices (ADI) 🇺🇸
🌙 Rio Tinto (RIO) 🇦🇺
🌙 Carvana (CVNA) 🇺🇸
🌙 Manulife Financial (MFC) 🇨🇦
☀️ Glencore (GLCNF) 🇬🇧 (released: 🔴)
🌙 BAE Systems (BAESY) 🇬🇧
🌙 United Overseas Bank (UOVEY) 🇸🇬 (released: 🔴)
☀️ Garmin (GRMN) 🇺🇸
🌙 Texas Pacific (TPL) 🇺🇸
🌙 ANSYS (ANSS) 🇺🇸
🌙 Nutrien (NTR) 🇨🇦
🌙 American Water Works (AWK) 🇺🇸
☀️ Koninklijke Philips (PHG) 🇳🇱 (released: 🔴)
🌙 Toast (TOST) 🇺🇸
☀️ Straumann (SAUHY) 🇨🇭
🌙 Tenaris ADR (TS) 🇱🇺
---
SmartTrader™ Analyst Team & Robert Lindner
🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹
✴️ 14.2 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 22556.60 🔄
✅ 14.2 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2919.89 / 2918.34 me| or 2917.50+ | overall in-profit | +re-entry) 🔄📸
✅ 14.2 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 8172.70)
(✅/✴️ 14.2 - XYZ/SQ 84.08 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 84.03 | break-even))
✅ 14.2 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 99.17)
✅ 14.2 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 70.78 | or 70.96+)
✅ 14.2 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 119.97) 🔄📸
✴️ 14.2 - COIN - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 277.97 🔄
5/7 - (2 open positions; excl. XYZ)
✴️ 17.2 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 96414.30 🔄
✅ 17.2 - NZD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 86.676 me|or TP-86.583)🔄📸
1/2 - (1 open position)
🔹 TODAY'S TRADES 🔹
✴️ 18.2 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
✅ 18.2 - CVX - LONG ↗️ (SL - 156.39) 📸
✴️ 18.2 - NGAS - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 3.837 (or wider) 🔄
✴️ 18.2 - CVX - LONG ↗️ (open - just-entered)
👉 TP ✅ @: 157.87
✴️ 18.2 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - just-entered)
1/5 - (4 open positions)
Sorry for the late update - there was a lot to double-check.
Our task for today - the first full day of the week after the US holiday - was to reduce our positioning after being very deeply positioned. We managed that very well 👏
We had some losing trades - including significant losses with our Nasdaq 📸 (you probably closed earlier here) - that we should have closed earlier - although it remains quite surprising how strongly Wall Street performed after the hotter than expected inflation data. We expected some profit taking today - midday - and could have closed the Nasdaq 100 even better. Also TSLA 📸 hit our off-profit TP.
Most of you have already closed HON 📸 earlier.
It's amazing that we are positive overall today - given some heavy losses on earlier positions. Our Dell LONG 📸 was outstanding (perfect entry / near perfect closing) and our Gold position 📸 also closed with great profit overall, as we expected (although we could have closed even better).
We are updating our NGAS and Bitcoin position. We sold NGAS at the absolute peak. BTC just missed our TP - but then dropped again and even fell below the key level of $95K. However, BTC remains attractive for dip buying for the time being. If you haven't already gone further LONG (small re-entry), you can do so in the range of 🔼 93250 - 93750 (I made a small re-entry at 93732).
NZD/JPY 📸 hit the SL for me due to the spread - otherwise actually the TP. Incidentally, the RNBZ has just cut interest rates by 50 bps.
Robert 🌛
edit - NZD/JPY closing price (mine) corrected.
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SELL NOW 🔽 S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
Recommended Entry ✅6119 - 6127
► We are going SHORT again in the S&P 500, which has recovered from the session lows (exactly in the range we expected, 6085 - 6095). The S&P 500 outperforms the other US indices, including the more growth-sensitive Nasdaq 100, the risk-sensitive small-cap index Russell 2000 and also the Dow Jones (which is overweight in more defensive/non-growth stocks).
► A strong recovery in Nvidia, as well as a positive performance from Apple (we are currently seeing a typical Apple market with profit-taking in more risk-sensitive growth stocks) and Microsoft despite the losses in the technology sector – with Microsoft generally seen as the safest bet in AI software/cloud – which are rapidly growing markets. The energy sector also performed well again, but we are now seeing mixed energy prices. The EIA also reported larger crude inventories than expected (4.63 million barrels vs. ~3 million barrels expected), after the API released a similar report yesterday.
► We also see red markets in Europe and Asia and expect another cautious session tomorrow – with Wall Street not giving a positive handover for tomorrow's markets either. Further rising inflation in Japan could also weigh on sentiment during Asian trading tomorrow.
► We expect investors to remain cautious now and take potential gains earlier.
► Analysts remain concerned about deteriorating trade and geopolitical relations. The Chinese PBOC has signaled a focus on stability rather than stimulus – which could also lead to some selling in China, especially after a strong recent performance (albeit boosted by AI/DeepSeek optimism).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 13 - 15 (1,300% - 1,500%) when trading the S&P500 (SPX500)
position code / 100% transparency - 25022006A
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SELL NOW 🔽 CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
Recommended entry ✅8133 - 8147
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► The CAC_40 is a strong outperformer today (especially compared to other European indices, which are now trading significantly lower again after a bull trap and initial gains).
► We have now also seen the expected (and traded) profit-taking in New York.
► The French CAC is benefiting from a strong performance by STMicroelectronics after the announcement of a partnership with Amazon (for AI chips) and Schneider Electric after strong gains.
► STMicroelectronics is suddenly very attractive here, as the collaboration comes after leading US software companies plan to invest $500 billion in AI infrastructure through the Stargate venture.
► STMicroelectronics is targeting the communications market with a photonics chip, a chip that uses light instead of electricity. This new type of chip is designed to improve speed and reduce power consumption in transistors called transceivers, which are important components in advanced AI data centers and are used in hundreds of thousands of chips – a gigantic / growing market.
► However, the CAC itself will come under pressure again (French/European equities are under pressure).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trading size by ~ 9 - 11 (900% - 1,100%) trading the CAC 40 (FRA_40).
position code / 100% transparency - 25022004A
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SELL NOW 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
Recommended Entry Range ✅72.54 - 72.75 🔄
(current spot price: ~ 72.55 at 14:10 UTC+0)
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► We saw some selling in energy prices during Asian / European trading with also cautious trading rising on Trump's ongoing tariff threats with the global economic outlook dented with US imposed tariffs. The tariffs will increase prices of consumer good, thus increase inflation which will ultimately weigh on oil prices. A weaker global economy - alone the outlook of headwinds - is negative for oil demand (expectations).
► We are now seeing higher oil prices again before the start of the US trading session, with WTI up 0.5% and currently trading close to 72.50 (spot/72.65 March), also supported by reduced supply (approx. 350,000–400,000 bpd) from the Caspian Pipeline Consortium oil flows, an important route for crude oil exports from Kazakhstan after a Ukrainian drone attack on a pumping station. However, these may be offset by higher supplies from Iraq (Kurdistan region).
► U.S. crude stocks rose by 3.34 million barrels last week according to API data from yesterday. The more important EIA report will likely also show a significant built in stocks - which will weigh on oil prices.
► Oil prices were also boosted by very strong gains in natural gas prices after Ukraine increased natural gas purchases in Europe. We now see a sharp correction with natural gas currently trading more 4% lower for today (currently slightly rebounding after even sharper losses).
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 5.5 - 7.0 (550% - 700%) trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - if contract size 10
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~ 0.55 - 0.70 (55% - 70%) trading WTI (USOIL) / CRUDOIL - if contract size 100
🗣️ Tip: The March 25'-March Contract is currently $0.15 ‼️ above the spot price.
position code / 100% Transparency - 25022002A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 9️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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NEVER miss an oil trade. We have won more than 95% our oil trades over the past ~16 weeks.
✅ 07.01 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 17.01 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 21.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 23.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 28.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 31.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 31.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.02 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 04.02 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 14.02 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
We won the last 11 oil trades (or 24 from 25 since November 1st).
🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
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SELL AFTER NYSE OPENED 🔽 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 2/3 trading size
Recommended Entry Range ✅ 140.00 - 140.70
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
Markets are mixed – with a similar cautious sentiment as yesterday. Yesterday, Europe saw heavy losses and Asia mixed/positive markets. Today it is the other way around – but in general, we see cautious investors, which rather indicates upcoming profit taking.
🔹 The S&P 500 (-0.2%) is down slightly today after slight gains yesterday. We are raising our TP ✅ @: 6114.80 (⚠️ adjusted already to 6091.60 / close below 6097).
🔹 Coinbase (+1.7%) with a strong recovery. Coinbase has much more upside potential but is under pressure from a generally deteriorating risk sentiment – even if cryptocurrencies are currently recovering. We work with a narrower (still wide) TP ✅ @: 274.89
🔹 Tesla (+0.3%) opened slightly higher, recovering from significant pre-IPO losses. Tesla continues to benefit from the hype and media presence of its CEO Elon Musk. However, as soon as profit-taking sets in, a stronger correction could follow. Tesla also benefits from Wedbush reiterating its “outperform” rating for Tesla and being optimistic about self-driving cars and Tesla's ambitions in the field of robotics. TP ✅ @: 352.26 (already triggered ⚠️)
► While we are generally optimistic about Nvidia (also for the rest of Q1 and ahead of next week's earnings report), we are taking advantage of Nvidia's strong opening. We expect slight but broad profit-taking that will also and especially affect the risk-sensitive growth/chip sector. The increasing concerns about further tariffs (which are also planned to be imposed on chips) are raising concerns about Chinese countermeasures and are generally putting pressure on China to (even more) boost its own chip industry and even consider further steps ... with a strong chip industry in Taiwan.
position code / 100% Transparency - 25022003A
🗣️ Tip: Multiply your usual trade size by ~200 - 220 (20,000%- 22,000%) when trading Nvidia (NVDA) - 2/3 trade size
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Current Success Rates 🔹
📊 Indices - 33/37 = 89.2% success rate
(Jan 09 - Feb 19)
📊 Last 5 indices trades
❌ 12.02 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
❌ 12.02 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✴️ 14.02 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 14.02 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️
✴️ 19.02 - SPX500 - SHORT ↘️
🛢 Oil - 10/10 = 100% success rate 🏆
(Jan 17 - Feb 18)
🛢 Last 5 Oil trades
✅ 31.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.02 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 04.02 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 14.02 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✴️ 18.02 - NGAS - SHORT ↘️
🥇 Gold - 17/18 = 94.4% success rate
(Jan 09 - Feb 19)
🥇 Last 5 Gold trades
✅(❌*) 07.02 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 11.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 19.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
💱 Forex - 15/18 = 83.3% success rate
(Jan 14 - Feb 18)
💱 Last 5 Forex trades
❌ 12.02 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅(✴️) 12.02 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️
✴️ 13.02 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 17.02 - NZD/JPY - SHORT ↘️
✅ 19.02 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️
📊 Stocks - 53/60 = 88.1% success rate
(Jan 10 - Feb 19)
📊 Last 5 Stocks trades
✅ 18.02 - AMD - LONG ↗️
✅ 18.02 - CVX - LONG ↗️
✅ 18.02 - CVX - LONG ↗️
✅ 18.02 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
✴️ 19.02 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️
Contact us to get started!
💬 Chat with us
📊 SmartTrader Insights: Thursday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Thursday, February 20
❗️ Global markets remain mixed with tariff & geopolitical uncertainties
► European markets recover from some of Wednesday's sharp losses which was the biggest decline in two months. The Stoxx 600 trades more than 0.5% higher, driven by gains in industrial goods and services, while UK’s FTSE lagged (-0.2%) as major companies, including BP and AstraZeneca, traded ex-dividend. Defensive stocks took a breather, with defense stocks slipping 1.2% after surging 18% year-to-date on expectations of increased military spending. US-exposed European defense firms like BAE Systems (-2.4%) and Qinetiq Group (-1.2%) were pressured by Trump’s plans to cut military spending. Corporate earnings were mixed. Schneider Electric (+5.8%) surged after posting record annual sales and profits, while Renault (-1.0%) delivered a record operating profit but lost initial gains. Meanwhile, Airbus (-1.1%) disappointed, reporting an 8% drop in adjusted operating profit despite a 6% revenue increase.
► The S&P 500 closed slightly higher yesterday after initial losses - still a record closing at 6,144.15. However, futures remain muted, as investors weighed the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on inflation and Trump’s latest tariff threats. The Fed minutes signaled concerns over inflation, warning that Trump’s tariffs could push prices higher. Policymakers reaffirmed that interest rate cuts will not come until inflation shows further progress, prompting Treasury yields to decline. Trump’s escalating trade war risks weighed on sentiment, with potential new 25% tariffs on lumber, autos, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals. The USD fell, as markets reassessed the impact of tariffs on global trade. Tesla is under pressure but recovered from sharp losses in pre-market trading, as China demand concerns resurfaced amid weak earnings from Chinese automakers.
► Asian markets struggled, tracking Wall Street’s cautious tone as Trump’s new tariffs rattled investors. Japan’s Nikkei plunged 1.29%, dragged lower by SoftBank (-3.2%) and Tokyo Electron (-2.7%), as the US targets semiconductor imports. China’s markets slipped, with the Shanghai Composite trading flat, retreating from previous gains. Investors digested China’s central bank decision to hold key lending rates steady, prioritizing financial stability over stimulus. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 1.6%, marking its second consecutive session of losses, with tech stocks under pressure following Alibaba’s (-2.8%) earnings miss. Meituan (-6.9%) tumbled after announcing expanded worker benefits, raising cost concerns. Australia’s ASX 200 declined 1.27%, as unemployment unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, signaling potential economic slowdown. New Zealand stocks also extended losses, as traders reacted to continued corporate earnings disappointments.
► Commodities were mixed, as gold soared above $2,950/oz, hitting a new record high, as investors flocked to safe-haven assets amid rising US-EU trade tensions. The Fed’s inflation warnings and Trump’s tariffs fueled concerns of higher consumer prices, strengthening gold’s appeal. Oil prices are little changed, with WTI crude trading at around $72.2/barrel, as traders weighed the impact of potential tariffs on global demand. Natural gas (-4%) fell sharply after two days of very strong gains and trading still 16% higher for the week. US crude inventories rose by 3.34 million barrels, further pressuring prices. Bitcoin rebounded back above $97,000, as Trump says he end Biden’s "war on crypto". The President signed an executive order reversing SEC regulations on crypto firms, sending bullish signals to investors and industry leaders. However, Bitcoin has faced resistance in the $98K-$100K range lately, as regulatory uncertainty lingers.
🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹
🗓 January 9 - February 19
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
——————————————
📊 5 - Week -Performance: 09.01 - 12.02
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 131
Number of Trades Won: 116
Overall REAL Success Rate = 88.5% 🔽
Dropped from statistics: 5/6 - 83.3% Success Rate (Jan. 8)
Added to statistics: 3/7 - 42.9% Success Rate (Feb. 12)
——————————————
🆕 The last 5 trading days:
✴️ 13.2 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit | + Re-Entry)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 1.25923 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 1.25521 🔄 | TP-B ✅ @: 1.25234 (optional) 🔄
✅ 13.2 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 95896.70|or clsd 95825+)
1/2 - (1 open position)
✅ 14.2 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 22533.60) 🔄
✅ 14.2 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2919.89 / 2918.34 me| or 2917.50+ | overall in-profit | +re-entry)
✅ 14.2 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 8172.70)
(✅/✴️ 14.2 - XYZ/SQ 84.08 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 84.03 | break-even))
✅ 14.2 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 99.17)
✅ 14.2 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 70.78 | or 70.96+)
✅ 14.2 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 119.97)
✴️ 14.2 - COIN - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 275.57 🔄
6/7 - (1 open position; excl. XYZ)
Our success rate drops to 88.5% – which, of course, in all modesty (which is important to me), is still in a range that even the very best 0.1% of traders in over 25 trading days and more than 100 trades (especially in short-term/intraday trading) will likely never achieve.
But it will probably take a while before we reach the magic 90% again. For that, it would be good if we closed our GBP/USD successfully. However, our goal is not to maximize our success rate (rather a secondary goal), but to maximize ROI 📈.
Nevertheless, we are updating our GBP/USD position here slightly because we have increased spreads in after-hours trading.
Besides, our DAX (from Friday) closed well today. We have to be a bit careful with COIN – the crypto exchange is underperforming despite a very strong earnings report last week. However, Coinbase is very risk-sensitive and we are currently seeing risk sentiment come under pressure after markets have been overly optimistic recently, digesting even bad data or rising uncertainty (too) easily.
⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
SL 🔑 @: 2932.34
TP ✅ @: 2939.69
We secure our 15th consecutive successful gold trade (and this time we didn't even need a re-entry 😜).
Beautiful entry. We set a tight SL, secure nice profits and close (near) 2940.
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 6️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
GBP/USD
SL 🔑 @: 1.25923
TP ✅ @: 1.25521
TP-B ✅ @: 1.25234 (optional)
AUD/USD
SL 🔑 @: 0.63486
TP ✅ @: 0.63263
We secure profits with the AUD/USD. We see the re-strengthening of the USD today (as we expected). We update our positions ahead of the release of the FOMC meeting minutes (in ~35 minutes).
We see generally also the deteriorating risk sentiment after much of the positives turned out to be not much more than hot air (including the ongoing Ukraine "peace" talks between Washington and Moscow).
We keep the TP of our AUD/USD.
We can widen the TP on our GBP/USD position a bit. You can also (optionally) work with a TP-B. We generally see more scope for a correction in the GBP/USD pair. We have already seen a stronger correction in the EUR/USD, which briefly reached 1.05000 and then (as we expected) met resistance.
PS: Most of you have a significantly better initial entry in the GBP/USD (20 - 30 pips higher).
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 1️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 114.89 (me) | or closed 114.80+
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
TP triggered ✅ @: 139.93
I am very satisfied with our double profit-taking here. Very good closing prices for both our chip stocks. Above all, we found excellent entry prices for both stocks.
We see increasing risks for profit taking.
Our DAX position also triggered our TP.
Tesla is making some gains for now – with Tesla benefiting from Musk's strong presence alongside Trump. Tesla remains a hype stock. We remain SHORT and expect profit taking to set in soon (with resistance at/above 365).
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 8️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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This post is 8️⃣0️⃣+ minutes delayed.
Tesla indeed hit resistance increasing resistance at/above 365.00.
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🔰 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🕯
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔽 (ONLY IN VIP ❓) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Increased Volatility (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
Recommended Entry Range ✅ (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
We see profit taking – especially in Europe. Wall Street opens little changed and could benefit from a rotation out of European stocks after their recent outperformance. However, we also see expensive valuations as the S&P 500 hit a record yesterday. The risk of profit taking is increasing, so we are trading with more caution.
🔹 AMD (+0.6%) opens higher, outperforming other chip stocks in pre-market trading. I prefer to close AMD after the open – in the ✅ 114.80 – 115.30 area for a nice profit.
🔹 Coinbase (+1%) opened higher after further selling yesterday, with cryptocurrencies remaining under pressure. However, we saw a significant recovery - which also pushed our Bitcoin position into the TP. We move our TP to ✅ @: 275.57
🔹 Nvidia (+0.3%) opens slightly higher. We bought near session lows yesterday. We are working with a relatively tight TP here as we are concerned about profit-taking in growth stocks – TP ✅ @: 139.93 (already triggered ⚠️). We may also see immediate profits for Nvidia, allowing us to close above 140.00. As we predicted, analysts remain optimistic ahead of Nvidia's earnings announcement (next week, February 26). UBS recommends “BUYING” NVDA. Due to NVDA's volatility, our TP will likely be triggered.
🔹 Chevron (+0.3%) is opening slightly higher and does not appear to be underperforming today. We see generally cautious trading in New York. Given significantly higher energy prices (oil, fuel, heating oil, natural gas), we should see further gains. We can maintain the current TP for now ✅ @: 157.87 or expand it slightly (up to 158.50).
► We (ONLY IN VIP ❓) SHORT (ONLY IN VIP ❓) yesterday – although not really, since we can go SHORT (ONLY IN VIP ❓) at a higher price than (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
► We see (ONLY IN VIP ❓) opening above (ONLY IN VIP ❓) and expect slightly more sales after potentially slight initial gains. (ONLY IN VIP ❓) appears increasingly at (ONLY IN VIP ❓), showing how closely (ONLY IN VIP ❓). However, this additional tailwind is heavily priced in, including expectations of a favorable (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
► However, (ONLY IN VIP ❓) in Europe and the key market of China looks less favorable, with increasing competition and concerns that Europe and China could (ONLY IN VIP ❓) ...
► (ONLY IN VIP ❓) weak cash flow and only moderate “growth”(ONLY IN VIP ❓) The optimistic growth forecasts do indeed seem optimistic. The changes (ONLY IN VIP ❓) under President Trump, the halt (ONLY IN VIP ❓), and the fact that China is apparently (ONLY IN VIP ❓), pose risks.
► (ONLY IN VIP ❓) DeepSeek and the fact that (ONLY IN VIP ❓) remains volatile.
🗣️ Tip: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
position code / 100% transparency - 25021902A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
———
Excellent entry now into this stock after initial gains.
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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SELL NOW 🔽 AUD/USD
TP ✅ @: (ONLY IN VIP ❓)
Recommended Entry Range ✅0.63550 - 0.63600
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
► We currently see a flat AUD/USD for today (at 0.63555 / +0.05 %) – with AUD outperforming European currencies as the ongoing talks between Washington and Moscow are expected to increasingly isolate Europe. We have already seen strong gains in European defense stocks – which, while positive for European markets in the short term, reduce the budget for other areas of investment. Trump's turning away from Europe as his closest ally also increases concerns that Europe will become increasingly isolated from an economic point of view.
► The AUD has also performed well due to the recent strong performance of commodities – especially energy prices – but also industrial and precious metals. Ultimately, the USD will benefit more from the current rise in energy prices, which could also lead to a deterioration in risk sentiment. We have also seen a positive development in Asian markets in recent sessions, driven by Chinese AI stocks. In addition, we saw a first RBA rate cut (in more than 4 years) yesterday, followed by a second 50bp rate cut in a row by the RNBZ today.
► We are seeing signs of a deterioration in risk sentiment – particularly due to new tariff threats from Trump. Optimism about the ongoing US-Russia “peace talks”, with a possible Trump-Putin meeting in late February, has also improved risk sentiment. However, markets are overly optimistic here – Putin only sees his position improved because the US is back at the negotiating table with Moscow. US President Donald Trump even accused Ukraine of starting the conflict that has devastated the country and killed thousands – the next blow for Ukraine and another boost for Putin.
► The USD has room to recover after the recent weakness and could also get a tailwind from the Fed's meeting minutes, which further raise expectations that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates.
🗣️ Tip: You can multiply your usual trade/lot size by ~ 1.15- 1.25 (115% - 125%) when trading AUD/USD.
position code / 100% transparency - 25021901A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by: 3️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——-
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If you have any questions (or would like to request for account manager support / or change), you can also contact the SmartTrader Support:
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Current Success Rates 🔹
📊 Indices - 32/36 = 88.9% success rate
(Jan 09 - Feb 14)
📊 Last 5 indices trades
✅ 12.02 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
❌ 12.02 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
❌ 12.02 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✴️ 14.02 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 14.02 - FRA_40 - SHORT ↘️
🛢 Oil - 10/10 = 100% success rate 🏆
(Jan 17 - Feb 18)
🛢 Last 5 Oil trades
✅ 31.01 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 03.02 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✅ 04.02 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️
✅ 14.02 - USOIL - LONG ↗️
✴️ 18.02 - NGAS - SHORT ↘️
🥇 Gold - 15/16 = 93.8% success rate
(Jan 08 - Feb 14)
🥇 Last 5 Gold trades
✅ 06.02 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅(❌*) 07.02 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 11.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✴️ 14.02 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
💱 Forex - 17/20 = 85.0% success rate
(Jan 08 - Feb 17)
💱 Last 5 Forex trades
✅ 11.02 - AUD/USD - SHORT ↘️
❌ 12.02 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅(✴️) 12.02 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️
✴️ 13.02 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 17.02 - NZD/JPY - SHORT ↘️
📊 Stocks - 52/59 = 88.1% success rate
(Jan 08 - Feb 18)
📊 Last 5 Stocks trades
✴️ 14.02 - COIN - LONG ↗️
✴️ 18.02 - AMD - LONG ↗️
✅ 18.02 - CVX - LONG ↗️
✴️ 18.02 - CVX - LONG ↗️
✴️ 18.02 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
Contact us to get started!
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📊 SmartTrader Insights: Wednesday Markets Wrap 🗒
📆 Wednesday, February 19
❗️ Markets remain muted due to Trump's tariff threats & geopolitical concerns; Global stocks near record highs ahead of FOMC minutes
► European markets were muted, as Trump’s new tariff threats and geopolitical concerns weighed on sentiment. The Stoxx 600 is little changed (- 0.1%), however we see the index up 10% year-to-date. In corporate news, Glencore (-6.7%) fell sharply on weaker earnings, while HSBC (+0.6%) saw gains on a profit beat but trimmed most of them. Dutch multinational conglomerate Koninklijke Philips (-11%) fell sharply following disappointing earnings. Trump proposed a 25% tariff on automobile, semiconductor, and pharmaceutical imports, adding to market uncertainty. German elections on Sunday and the exclusion of European officials from U.S.-Russia "peace" talks created further unease. UK inflation rose to 3% in January, above expectations, briefly boosting the pound before it pared gains. Bond yields edged higher, with Germany’s 10-year yield higher sitting at 2.53% (+ 3 bps), while the UK’s 10-year yield at 4.61% (+ 5 bps).
► U.S. markets steadied after hitting a record high on Tuesday, before turning cautious ahead of the FOMC minutes release today. The S&P 500 hit an all-time high, crossing $51 trillion in total market cap, with utilities, financials, and in particular energy stocks leading gains. Nasdaq posted modest increases, as investors brushed off Trump’s new tariff threats and focused on earnings and AI-driven optimism. Trump’s tariff plans added uncertainty, as he proposed a 25% levy (on automobile, semiconductor & pharmaceutical imports), set to take effect as soon as April 2. The potential impact on inflation and trade relations has made investors more cautious, especially ahead of the Fed’s January meeting minutes release later today. Treasury yields are slightly up, with the 10-year yield at 4.56% (+ 2 bps), while the USD held firm. Fed Governor Christopher Waller reinforced a "wait-and-see" stance on rate cuts, emphasizing that inflation progress is still needed before monetary easing.
► Asian markets were mixed, with China rebounding but Japan struggling on weak economic data. Shanghai’s Composite rose 0.81%, lifted still by the DeepSeek AI enthusiasm and tech optimism after President Xi met with Alibaba’s Jack Ma. However, Baidu (-7.3%) fell after a revenue decline, pressuring Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index (-0.14%). Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.34% as machinery orders unexpectedly declined and a trade deficit widened. New Zealand’s central bank cut rates by 50 bps to 3.75%, sending the NZD lower.
► Gold trades near record highs with prices currently near $2,945/oz, with safe-haven demand rising amid tariff fears and geopolitical tensions. Oil prices climbed, with WTI at $72.3/barrel, as OPEC+ hinted at delaying output increases and Ukraine drone strikes disrupted Russian crude supply. Bitcoin recovered rising back above $96K (triggering also our ✅ TP), as traders assessed Fed rate expectations and upcoming U.S. crypto legislation. Ethereum (ETH) continues to outperform, signaling renewed risk-on sentiment in crypto.
🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹
🗓 January 8 - February 18
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
——————————————
📊 5 - Week -Performance: 08.01 - 11.02
(= 25 "full" trading days)
Number of Trades/Signals: 130
Number of Trades Won: 118
Overall REAL Success Rate = 90.8% ‼️‼️‼️ 🔼
Dropped from statistics: 4/6 - 66.7% Success Rate (Jan. 7)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100% 🏆 Success Rate (Feb. 11)
——————————————
🆕 The last 5 trading days:
✅ 12.2 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 22036.60)
❌ 12.2 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.04136 | overall off-profit | +re-entry slightly in-profit)
❌ 12.2 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 22100.30 me| or TP-22141.60 | +re-entry) 🔄
❌(✴️*) 12.2 - GER_40 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 22607.60)
(👉 TP ✅ @: 22556.60) 🔄
❌ 12.2 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 350.22)
✅ 12.2 - EUR/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 160.581)
✅ 12.2 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 108.14)
3/7 - 42.9% Success Rate
*my initial position still open
✴️ 13.2 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit | + Re-Entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.25616 🔄
✅ 13.2 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 95896.70|or clsd 95825+)
1/2 - (1 open position)
Unexpectedly, we once again return to a success rate of over 90% (even nearly 91%) ‼️ before our success rate will drop significantly in the coming days, as we had a really mixed previous week and our first negative trading day since January 20 on February 12 (the second negative day of the year).
We have currently only lost 12 out of 130 trades in our 25 trading days statistics, but four trades last Wednesday alone - which last happened on July 18, 2024 - It is important to me to also talk about our (few) bad days and to always be 100% transparent - it's part of trading. Unfortunately, it was also due to the fact that I was unable to manage our positions better last Thursday - for good reason (funeral) - but sorry for that // no excuses!
✅ SmartTrader is the ONLY 100% transparent trading community in the world (to the best of our knowledge).
We closed both TSLA and the Nasdaq 100 in our off-profit TPs. Although we see a cautious trade and probably some profits at the end of the week, it is the right decision to reduce our positions. We update the TPs of our DAX and GBP/USD position(s).