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17 February 2026 07:15

Okay, so Kim Dotcom made a post online saying he has information about Palantir being compromised.

I am extremely skeptical of these claims.

My initial post escaped my core audience (as is tradition) so I am going to be a little more verbose and explain stuff.

Compromising a large institution such as Palantir is not something some random guy down the street can do. Palantir is large and has many moving parts. In other words, Palantir does not store all of it's information on one computer and in a crusty old hard drive somewhere.

Palantir (presumably) has data segregated meaning not all data is one place. Different types of data is going to be stored in different locations (in the cloud, or physically on-premise). Hence, a compromise of Palantir which would unveil ALL DATA would require two things:

- Extreme skill
- Extreme patience

This sort of compromise is not something that happens in a day. This sort of compromise is something which would take weeks, months, or maybe even years depending on the objective. Historically, when large compromises toward large institutions occur it is almost exclusively performed by state-sponsored Threat Groups (hackers funded by governments), or in some more rare scenarios, financially motivated Threat Actors (ransomware, extortionists).

If Palantir was compromised, it would be EXTREMELY unusual for a state-sponsored group or financially motivated group to make it exclusive to one individual person. Rarely do state-sponsored Threat Groups notify influencers, or journalists, ... or anyone really of their objectives. They're funded by governments. Governments do not care about clout. IF a state-sponsored group does notify someone, they typically do mass e-mails to journalists (for misinformation, disinformation, or fearmongering, some sort of strategic objective, they don't do it to look cool).

If it was performed by a financially motivated Threat Group they will almost immediately discuss it online in their domain of choice. For example, many Threat Actors who compromise places may sell access on forums such as Exploit, TierOne, or Breached (or whatever is adjacent to Breached). Alternatively, ransomware groups post about it on their personal website to try to extort or intimidate victims. However, no discussion of Palantir has appeared in any of these places.

Okay... so no signs from financially motivated Threat Actors... and it would be really unusual for a state-sponsored Threat Actor to make it exclusive to one person... is there anything else weird about this? Yes.

If Palantir was compromised it would be unusual for ANY group of Threat Actors to notify anyone immediately after a compromise. By notifying Kim Dotcom, or whoever, they're sounding the metaphorical alarm. Palantir is going to immediately order a DFIR (Digital Forensics and Incident Response) and begin an internal audit. Things are going to be locked down. If someone compromised Palantir why would they burn access so quickly? Why would they notify someone so quickly? They're leaving an audit trail.

There is a lot of speculation, little evidence, and things not really making a whole lot of sense.

Is it possible Kim Dotcom is telling the truth? Yes.
Is it likely? No.

Is it possible Kim Dotcom THINKS it's real, but it's NOT real? Yes, that is more likely to be true. It would not surprise me if he is (intentionally, or unintentionally) participating in a misinformation campaign.

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