/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 13:34

NATO published a list of 12 defence critical raw materials essential for the Allied defence industry. These materials are integral to the manufacture of advanced defence systems. Western armies cannot survive for long without a secure supply of raw materials.

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_231765.htm

📎 Wachter_M

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 12:01

🇺🇸❌🇨🇳 Key revelations from the DoD's China Military Power Report:

— By CMPR’s suspense date of “early 2024,” China already had over 600 operational nuclear warheads.
— All of China’s roughly 400 ICBMs can reach the continental United States (CONUS).
— PRC has the world’s leading hypersonic missile arsenal.
— 3 new silo fields add 320 silos for solid-propellant ICBMs.
— China working to double its DF-5 liquid-propellant ICBM force to likely 50 silos.
— September 2023, China test-launched two CSS-10 Mod 3/DF-31AG ICBMs from training silos in Western China.
— China simulated “Joint Firepower Strike Operations” against Taiwan, in part by live-firing PCH191 close-range ballistic missiles in its 2022 exercises, and drilling with the missile in its 2023 exercises.
— China’s four Type 093B Shang III guided-missile nuclear attack submarines, 3 of which may be operational by 2025, may have land-attack cruise missiles.
— China now has 5 types of ASBMs: DF-21D, DF-26, DF-17, DF-27, YJ-21.
— 5,000-8,000 km-range DF-27 IRBM/ICBM: The “long-range” DF-27 ballistic missile is deployed to the PLARF and likely has a HGV payload option as well as conventional land-attack, conventional antiship, and nuclear capabilities.”
— Potential targets include Guam, Alaska, and Hawaii.
Pentagon estimates China’s actual defense budget is $330-450 billion.
— China has world’s largest military force: 2.035 million active, 510,000 reserve, and 500,000 paramilitary
— China’s navy already has over 370 ships and submarines, including more than 140 major surface combatants.
— CMPR anticipates 395 PLAN battle force ships by 2025, including 65 submarines; and 435 by 2030, including 80 submarines.
— China’s air force has 51 Y-20A heavy lift transports, whose up to 2,400 nautical mile range may be extended by 16 Y-20U tankers.
— China stations 400 Marines at its Djibouti base.

https://media.defense.gov/2024/Dec/18/2003615417/-1/-1/0/2024-CMPR-FACT-SHEET.PDF

https://media.defense.gov/2024/Dec/18/2003615520/-1/-1/0/MILITARY-AND-SECURITY-DEVELOPMENTS-INVOLVING-THE-PEOPLES-REPUBLIC-OF-CHINA-2024.PDF

📎 Andrew Erickson

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 11:08

Also note: with 400 ICBMs China now has as many as the US’s 400 deployed Minuteman III’s - a situation I could scarcely have imagined just a few years ago when China’s inventory was in the dozens, not 100s.

(Note: the US does have additional spare MMIII’s + 50 unused silos.)

📎 Tom Shugart

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 10:17

🇺🇸🪖 Simone Ledeen on X:

"America’s defense production is abysmally behind. We can’t even make enough artillery shells for Ukraine, let alone for a larger conflict. Outdated factories, slow rebuilds, and empty stockpiles. Our defense industrial base needs fixing, fast."

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/12/weapons-production-munitions-shortfall-ukraine-democracy/680867/

📎 Simone Ledeen

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 08:38

💸 Luke Gromen on X:

"Today's downside in stocks, BTC, gold & spike in 10y UST ylds is likely nothing compared to what will happen if the Department of Government Efficiency unwisely tries to cut government spending before devaluing the USD...

Today's decline in risk & spike in UST yields would look like child's play by comparison"

📎 Luke Gromen

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 07:27

📉 Dow drops 1,123 points (2.6%), making it the first 10-day losing streak since 1974

📎 BNO News

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 23:09

🙋🏻‍♂️ Call for support for Anti-poaching in South Africa

🔸By donating to us, you will be helping with small team anti-poaching operations where two or more rangers spend days in the bush tracking poachers, sweeping their snares and arresting them. Donations can be made in any currency.

🔸If you subscribe to the values and mission of our channel, or you simply love animals, we'd implore you to consider a small donation to our cause.

🔸Anything helps, it's only due to the support of our patrons that we're able to carry on this mission.

Donation here: https://www.givesendgo.com/antipoachersrangers

Any inquiries contact @seloot

This is our final call for funding for the foreseeable future.

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 22:33

⚡️🇷🇺🇸🇾🇺🇸 Russian units left Raqqa. American troops entered there
#Russia #USA #Syria

Subscribe | Send content

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 21:59

JUST IN: Wisconsin reports its first human case of H5N1 bird flu, linked to poultry

📎 BNO News

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 18:07

🇸🇴 New fighting in Erigavo displaced more than 42K people. Deadly fighting occurred this past weekend between Somaliland security forces and forces said to be belonging to the Khaatumo administration- per reports

📎 HarunMaruf

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 16:41

🇪🇺 EU signs $11B deal for sovereign satellite constellation to rival Musk’s Starlink

The European Union is forging ahead with plans for a constellation of internet satellites to rival Elon Musk-owned Starlink, after signing a €10.6 billion ($11.1 billion) deal to launch nearly 300 satellites into low- and medium-Earth orbits by 2030. The bloc wants the space tech to boost its digital sovereignty by providing secure comms to governments.

Musk’s Starlink, meanwhile, already has some 6,000 satellites in orbit, recently passed 4 million subscribers, and has major deals with the likes of Royal Caribbean and United Airlines. It’s also gearing up to launch a direct-to-phone service with T-Mobile.

🔗 https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/16/eu-signs-11b-deal-for-sovereign-satellite-constellation-to-rival-musks-starlink/

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 15:23

🇪🇸❌🇮🇱 A collective of Spanish lawyers, judges, and prosecutors amassed over 1200 signatures on a petition demanding the Spanish government apply and enforce sanctions on the Israeli government, which they presented on December 17 in front of the Spanish Parliament building in Madrid

📎 TRT World

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 13:41

Lot of Russian navy movements to-from Mediterranean. Linked to or shaped by the situation in Syria (and Ukraine), but some may have been planned earlier.

Expecting major withdrawal of equipment from Tartus

📎 CovertShores

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 13:04

🇺🇸🇮🇱 Lawsuit accuses State Department of creating loopholes for Israel on military aid and human rights

WASHINGTON (AP) — The State Department has carved out exceptions for close ally Israel that block a U.S. law restricting foreign military support over human rights abuses, a lawsuit from a group of Palestinians in Gaza and American relatives asserted Tuesday.

Former State Department officials and crafters of the 1997 Leahy law were among those advising and backing the lawsuit.

The lawsuit details the barriers that it accuses the State Department of creating on Israel’s behalf to skirt enforcement and asks courts to intervene. That is after campus protests and moves by some lawmakers failed in their goal of limiting U.S. military support to Israel over civilian deaths in Gaza during the war with Hamas.

📝 The Leahy Laws or Leahy amendments are U.S. human rights laws that prohibit the U.S. Department of State and Department of Defense from providing military assistance to foreign security force units that violate human rights with impunity.

https://apnews.com/article/israel-military-aid-gaza-us-biden-leahy-law-3fe632e1ef524656b7a201bc4c1651a2

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 11:55

🌍 Africa: frequency & deadliness of political violence

@CIG_telegram

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 13:00

🇺🇸🇮🇱 US Representative Jim McGovern on X:

"I went to the House Floor with a straightforward message to President Biden: Providing U.S. arms and military aid to the Netanyahu government for use in Gaza violates U.S. law.

It’s not too late to stand up for peace and human rights!"

📎 RepMcGovern

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 11:22

🌏🇺🇸❌🇨🇳 Major US air bases in the Pacific within range of a MRBM with a 1,500mi range fired from inland China. There are approximately 35,000 active duty US military personnel serving on these bases (excluding Andersen).

📎 ripplebrain

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 11:07

🇨🇳/🇺🇸2024 China Military Power Report

The PLA Rocket Force now has 1300 MRBMs.

"Those missiles have a range that really only makes sense for hitting bases/targets in Japan (and maybe a few targets in the Philippines or India)."

📎 Tom Shugart

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 09:11

Big shift: The Fed now projects 2.5% inflation in 2025. And only 2 interest rate cuts.

It's a big signal that Fed now sees a much harder path to a complete victory over inflation (back to 2%)

Much can change in 2025. But this will be a hard scenario for Fed and Trump

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/12/18/federal-reserve-inflation-rate-cut/

📎 Heather Long

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 08:04

🇮🇱🇸🇾 Why is Israel expanding taking most of the remaining 30% of the Golan Heights and Mt Hermon?

And doubling the number of settlers?

🧵How Pres. Nixon wanted a comprehensive peace after the 1973 War & the return of the Golan:

https://fxtwitter.com/joshua_landis/status/1868866943291167126

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

19 Dec 2024 06:27

🌍 Africa: social unrest & armed violence

📎 José Luengo-Cabrera

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 22:44

🐓 Last year, 22M poultry birds were killed to stop the spread of bird flu. 15.8M have been killed in just the last 30 days. An incredible and, when you know how they're killed, heart wrenching statistic.

📎 Kenny Torrella

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 22:14

Human cases of H5N1 bird flu

On this page you’ll find detailed information about each human case of H5N1 bird flu since 2020, when a new variant (clade 2.3.4.4b) emerged in birds and spread around the world, eventually reaching every continent except Oceania. This page is updated regularly and as soon as possible when a human case is reported.

The current variant of concern has affected a growing number of mammals since it was first discovered. The first human case with clade 2.3.4.4b was reported in the UK in January 2022. Older variants are also capable of causing human cases, including clade 2.3.2.1c, which is endemic in Cambodia.

https://bnonews.com/index.php/human-cases-of-h5n1-bird-flu/

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 21:25

California Governor Gavin Newsom declares a state of emergency due to the H5N1 bird flu.

📎 AF Post

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 17:16

📚 How well did different states do on the NAEP after adjusting for demographics?

Mississippi and Florida tied for the #2 spot, not far behind Massachusetts.

These are test score rankings adjusted for gender, age, race/ethnicity, receipt of free and reduced-price school lunch, special education status, and English language learner status

They suggest a very different picture than the one we usually get, where the northeast dominates

https://www.urban.org/research/publication/states-demographically-adjusted-performance-2022-nations-report-card

📎 Crémieux

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 15:54

Houthis call for conference to discuss Red Sea navigation.

The Houthi rebel group, responsible for launching dozens of attacks on commercial vessels and the deaths of four seafarers in the last year, is planning a seminar and webinar on “security of navigation in the Red Sea” – and it wants some ideas.

In an email to TradeWinds, the group has asked for topics for its agenda and insights to “enrich the discussion” at an unspecified venue and date.

The email was sent by an events manager for the Humanitarian Operations Coordination Center (Hocc), the body that has sent emails to shipping companies threatening attacks.

https://archive.is/PeW4F

https://www.tradewindsnews.com/insurance/after-a-year-of-attacks-houthis-plan-shipping-security-seminar

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 15:01

🇲🇽 Regional expansion of Mexico's cartels, as well as their affiliates.

@CIG_telegram

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 13:40

🇷🇺🇸🇾 New imagery of Tartus, via Maxar:

New Maxar satellite imagery collected over the past 48 hours (December 15-17th) in Syria reveal that Russian military vehicles and equipment continue to be withdrawn from the Khmeimim airbase near Latakia and likely arrived at the nearby port of Tartus.

On December 15th, a group of military trucks, armored personnel carriers (APC) and personnel were seen assembled on the tarmac at the Khmeimim airbase. An Il-76 transport aircraft was parked nearby the equipment and several additional transport aircraft were also seen at the airbase.

In likely related activity, on this morning’s imagery (December 17th) a group of military trucks and APC had arrived and were positioned in the military section of the Tartus port facilities. No military or transport-associated ships were seen at the port that would probably be used for loading the vehicles/equipment

📎 ISW

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 12:22

🇨🇳 China Executes Former Official in $412 Million Corruption Case

China executed a former official from Inner Mongolia over corruption charges totaling about 3 billion yuan ($412 million), a rare use of the death penalty for graft that comes with President Xi Jinping’s sweeping campaign to cleanse the Communist Party intensifying.

It is rare for Chinese officials to receive the death penalty for corruption charges. More frequently they get a two-year reprieve from execution, with their sentence commuted to life imprisonment for good behavior.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-17/china-executes-former-official-in-412-million-corruption-case

https://archive.ph/lv0Hr

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

18 Dec 2024 11:22

✝️👶 Why Have Birthrates Crashed in Majority Catholic Countries?

With 2024 nearly complete, we have fertility numbers for the first three quarters of the year, and for majority-Catholic countries, the numbers are bad. The total fertility rate for Poland was 1.11 births per woman, for Spain it was 1.12, and for Italy it was 1.18. In Chile, fertility crashed to just 0.88 births per woman, a 22% drop in a year. In the historically fecund Philippines, fertility fell 23% in one year to 1.40. For reference, replacement level is 2.1.

I've been reluctant to write about this. I am close with a number of Catholic families, and I have Catholic roots on my mother's side. But these numbers are awful, and we need to understand why. Catholics are 18% of the world population, and the story of global birthrate collapse runs through Catholic countries.

Full article on X: https://x.com/MoreBirths/status/1869200904148181486