/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 19:36

🇱🇧⚔️🇮🇱 Hezbollah struck an Israeli Iron Dome short-range air defense launcher along the Israeli-Lebanese border with an FPV drone.

When the IDF moved in to replace the damaged system, Hezbollah hit again, targeting the crew and the replacement launcher as it was being unloaded.

🔗 Egypt's Intel Observer (@EGYOSINT)

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 16:55

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- U.S. Central command has posted an image of the USS John Finn (DDG 113) sailing behind the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN 77), USNS Carl Brashear (T-AKE-7), and the USS Milius (DDG 69) in the Arabian Sea.

➡️ According to CENTCOM, they have 20 U.S. warships maintaining the naval blockade on Iranian ports with them redirecting 61 commercial vessels and disabling 4.

@GeoPWatch

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 16:46

🇨🇳🇪🇹⚡️ — The use of electric vehicles is rapidly expanding across Africa, led by Ethiopia and supplied by China, as soaring fuel prices and shortages linked to the Iran war push countries toward cheaper and cleaner transportation alternatives, AP reports.

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 16:33

🇺🇸🇨🇳🇦🇷🇨🇱⚡️ — The U.S. pressured the governments of Argentina and Chile to halt Chinese telescope projects in the Andean and Atacama deserts over fears they could support Chinese military and satellite-tracking operations, according to NYT.

➡️ In Argentina, the Chinese radio telescope at the Cesco Observatory — which would have been South America’s largest — was left unfinished after U.S. objections and the freezing of key components in customs. Argentine authorities cited procedural violations in the agreement, though U.S. officials had warned the telescope could potentially track American satellites.

➡️ The pressure campaign began under the Biden administration and continued under Donald Trump, who also raised concerns about a Chinese-linked port project in Ushuaia and a space station in Patagonia.

➡️ Last year, Chile stopped a Chinese astronomical observatory project in the Atacama Desert after strong urging from a U.S. ambassador. U.S. officials have also cited concerns over China’s military-linked space station in Patagonia, built in 2015 under a 50-year lease.

➡️ Chinese officials has denied the accusations, saying the projects were civilian scientific initiatives and accusing Washington of trying to suppress China’s international cooperation.

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 16:15

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — President Trump is posting clips of Mark Levin arguing that pressure on Iran should continue and suggesting another round of fighting may be unavoidable to strengthen the U.S. position ahead of negotiations.

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 14:17

🇷🇺🛢 Bloomberg reports on a record drop in oil refining in Russia as a result of drone attacks.

Let's analyze the statistics.

Because the scale of any crisis can easily be magnified by increasing the scale on the graph.

In Russia, 9.5 - 10 million barrels of oil are produced per day. Of these, 4.5 million are exported, and just over 5 million are refined.

Currently, refining has dropped to 4.7 million barrels or 10-12% due to attacks in March-April.

This is indeed the lowest level since 2009, as Bloomberg reports, but the comparison base is important - in 2008, on the eve of the global crisis, there was a peak in oil refining in Russia.

A 10-12% drop in oil refining in Russia means a loss of about 0.5 million barrels per day or $50 million in oil price equivalent.

In terms of products, it's up to $90 million per day (if refined products are calculated at the export price).

The monthly losses will amount to $1.5 billion (in oil price equivalent) to $2.7 billion (in product terms).

The Russian budget will lose about $1 billion in taxes per month, taking into account the mechanism of excise tax refund on refined fuel.

Why do we need these figures?

For example, to understand the overall economic effect.

Moreover, knowing the cost of the drone program, we can calculate, if we may say so, the "military profitability" of this operation.

I won't attempt to evaluate this - I don't have all the information.

As for the program of hitting oil refineries with drones - the most "weak point", if we assess it from our side, is their relatively quick restoration.

There's no damage to complex equipment - mainly tanks (which are just large metal "barrels") and technological columns (also large metal containers).

That is, the damage is restored in 30-60 days.

This means that the depth of accumulated damage to refining in this format will not exceed 10-20%.

The formula here is simple.

If 10% of the capacity is damaged over two months and it takes up to 60 days to restore it, then a critical strike is possible with the simultaneous damage to at least 50% of Russian oil refineries within a month.

How realistic this is, let the military experts say.

In general, oil refineries are, on the one hand, an easy target for temporary damage (due to flammability), and on the other hand, a difficult one for complete destruction (huge area and a lot of metal).

For example, during the war, the Russians launched 60 missiles and more than 200 drones at our Kremenchuk Oil Refinery, and yet it remained operational for a long time before it was completely shut down last year due to the accumulation of critical damage.

🔗 /channel/Analityka_Kush/4858

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 14:02

🛢 The Iran war is draining global oil inventories at a record pace:

Global oil stockpiles fell by ~4.8 million barrels per day between March 1 and April 25, the largest quarterly drawdown on record.

Crude makes up ~60% of this decline, with refined fuels accounting for the remaining.

Total visible oil inventories are now near the lowest level since 2018.

JPMorgan warns that total visible oil inventories could fall to operational stress levels of 7.6 billion barrels by June and further down to an operational floor of 6.8 billion barrels by September, assuming no resolution to the Strait of Hormuz closure.

This operational floor represents the bare minimum oil needed to keep global pipelines and refinery systems running, meaning the world would have zero remaining buffer against further supply shocks.

With inventories collapsing, the threat of sharper oil price surges and outright shortages is moving closer.

🔗 Global Markets Investor

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 13:42

🇰🇵- North Korea (DPRK) has amended their constitution to mandate an automatic nuclear retaliatory strike in the event of Kim Jong Un's assassination or incapacitation.

➡️ The move is reported to have been triggered by the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and several senior advisers during the opening phase of joint US/Israeli strikes on Iran.

➡️ According to South Korea's National Intelligence Service (NIS), the constitutional changes were adopted during the first session of the 15th Supreme People's Assembly, which convened in Pyongyang on March 22nd.

@GeoPWatch

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 11:45

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇶 — An E-11A Battlefield Airborne Communications Node communications gateway aircraft from Prince Sultan Air Base, Saudi Arabia is currently conducting a flight at the area of the covert IDF base used in the war against Iran. This E-11A has conducted flights in this area the past four days.

This aircraft is used for ground operations. It is likely this aircraft is assisting in communications aggregation to facilitate an evacuation effort.

@GeoPWatch

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 01:14

Situation in southern Lebanon as of May 9, 2026 - Western Sector:

The IDF has intensified their ground operations in southwestern Lebanon, making new progress in three different areas.

In the northwest, Israeli forces cleared the remaining part of Chamaa while other forces captured the two hills south of the village.

To the east, the IDF cleared the eastern outskirts of Tayr Harfa and advanced east, capturing the neighbouring village of Jebbayn, thereby linking up with forces operating in Yarine and Oum Touteh. From there, they pushed further east down the road to Chihine and the fields to the east in the direction of Salhaneh, where demolitions are now ongoing.

To the south, Israeli forces crossed the international border from Arav Al-Aramsha, capturing the southern ruins of Dhayra opposite the border, and clearing the hills in the pocket to the east.

+ ~16.67 km² in favour of the IDF.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=117K6_EiFdWYEK7LQKHjRSsjsHK7xVN8&ll=33.132269609333946%2C35.51827932442546&z=13

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

09 May 2026 23:57

🚀 🇺🇸 🛰 First full stack of Starship V3

📎 SpaceX

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

09 May 2026 22:57

✈️ 🇫🇷 ⚓️French Air Force A330 on a refueling pattern over the southern Red Sea, probably accompanying the aircraft carrier "Charles de Gaulle" which is en route to the Arabian Sea.

📎 MenchOsint

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

09 May 2026 22:14

🇬🇧🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿⚡- England's local election final results, all 136 local authorities:

Reform: 1,453,
Labour: 1,068,
Liberal Democrats: 844,
Tories: 801,
Green: 587,
Independent: 212.

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

09 May 2026 20:43

🇮🇱⚔️🇮🇶🇮🇷 Israel set up a secret military base in Iraq to support its air campaign against Iran and launched airstrikes against Iraqi troops who almost discovered it early in the war, US officials say -WSJ

Israel built the installation, which housed special forces and served as a logistical hub for the Israeli air force, just before the war started with the knowledge of the U.S., the people said.

🔗 https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-built-and-defended-a-secret-iran-war-base-in-iraq-3590851a

📎 Faytuks

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

09 May 2026 19:38

✈️ 🇺🇸 🪽 The B-21 Raider Combined Test Force, a partnership with the U.S. Air Force, cut a 180-day test plan to 73 days, securing $11.8B with half the missions.

The B-21 Raider is the U.S. Air Force’s next-generation penetrating strike stealth bomber, designed to deliver both conventional and nuclear munitions and serve as the air leg of America’s nuclear triad for decades to come. The Air Force has been developing the aircraft as a central component of its long-range strike architecture, planning to procure a minimum of 100 aircraft. The program received $6.1 billion in its most recent budget allocation and has been consistently described by Air Force leadership as a top departmental priority.

https://defence-blog.com/northrop-grumman-reports-b-21-test-milestone-as-program-accelerates

📎 Northrop Grumman

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 19:14

🪂 🇬🇧 🇸🇭 British Army paratroopers and medics have been parachuted onto Tristan da Cunha — the world’s most remote inhabited island, after a British resident was suspected of contracting hantavirus.

The emergency operation marks the first time UK medical personnel have parachuted in to deliver humanitarian aid.

Oxygen tanks and medical supplies were air-dropped onto the island, which is normally only reachable by sea.

The suspected case is linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, where eight hantavirus cases and three deaths have been recorded.

📎 Europa

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 16:51

🔋 🇺🇸 🛢 How the oilman’s president boosted a green transition

Donald Trump’s Iran war has made fossil fuels expensive and unreliable


France has some of the greenest energy on Earth – all thanks to its decision, after the oil shock of 1973, to stop relying on expensive fossil fuels from the unreliable Gulf. Now, others could follow.

Now, especially if the current energy crisis lengthens, many other countries could follow France in turning away from fossil fuels. Even if the crisis ends now, the memory of the turmoil of recent weeks will surely hasten the green transition.

But with long-term supplies of oil and gas increasingly unpredictable, they may have to. About 80 per cent of the world’s population lives in countries that are net importers of fossil fuels. Those prices have jumped while renewables keep getting cheaper. Last year, they accounted for 85.6 per cent of all new capacity in global power plants. The green transition has already begun. This crisis will accelerate it.

Europe and the Asia-Pacific need a reliable energy base. That now requires abandoning fossil fuels, and electrifying their economies. They will gladly pay premiums to predictable suppliers like Canada, Norway and Australia, which aren’t about to invade anyone or renege on trade deals because their leader is upset. The biggest winner will be China, chief global supplier of electric vehicles, batteries, solar panels and most other components of the green economy. Cannily, it has remained a reliable trade partner. True, going green will make us more dependent on Beijing. But buying panels or EVs is a softer dependency than needing daily Gulf oil.

The longer the crisis lasts, the stronger government action will become. After all, France only announced its nuclear plan five months after the 1973 shock. But consumers today are already leaping. Desperate for cheap energy, they are switching to solar panels and electric cars. Cutting emissions isn’t the aim, just an accidental byproduct.

A fast green transition seemed an impossible dream. Trump may have found the way to achieve it.

📎 Financial Times

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 16:34

🤖 🇺🇸 🚱 A large data center in Fayetteville, Georgia, used more than 29 million gallons of water over many months while the local water company was unaware and did not send a bill at first.

Residents in the Annelise Park neighborhood complained about low water pressure, which revealed the issue.

The QTS data center sits on 615 acres with two large water pipes that were improperly installed, as one was added without notifying the water company. Most water was used during construction for pouring concrete and controlling dust.

After the error was discovered, QTS received a bill for about $150,000
The company says that once fully operational, it will use a closed-loop cooling system requiring very little water each month.

As a result, the Fayetteville City Council voted to ban all new data centers in the city.

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/05/08/georgia-data-centers-water-00909988

📎 Pirat Nation

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 16:16

— 🇮🇱 It’s now 2026, a reality check for Israel after 3 years of war:

🇵🇸 Gaza front:

– Hamas has not been disarmed after almost three years of war.

– Tunnel infrastructure in Gaza is intact, rocket arrays being slowly rebuilt.

– Al-Qassam has approximately 25,000 fighters, the same amount as before Oct 7th.

– No sign of an interim government, Hamas is still politically in control of Gaza.

🇱🇧 Lebanon front:

– Hezbollah has not been disarmed, neither North nor South of the Litani.

– Hezbollah’s leadership has successfully reorganized and decentralized, and is now more resistant to assassination strikes than before.

– Hezbollah retains the capability to launch long-range and medium-range rockets, drones and missiles into Israel.

– The increasing use of FPV drones has rendered northern Israeli settlements into ghost towns, and significantly degraded the IDF’s freedom of movement in southern Lebanon.

🇮🇷 Iran front:

– The Islamic Republic is still firmly in power, and perhaps even more entrenched than before.

– Iran’s ballistic missile program, drone force, and conventional capabilities are almost entirely intact and capable of threatening Israel.

– Iran still possesses a large stockpile of highly-enriched uranium, nuclear breakout time is still at ~6 months to a year.

– The Strait of Hormuz is now under Iranian control.

– Most U.S. bases in the region have been rendered unusable and Israel’s Gulf allies are in the weakest position they’ve ever found themselves.

🇾🇪 Yemen front:

– Ansarallah (Houthis) still control the majority of Yemen.

– Houthis still possess hundreds of ballistic missiles and thousands of drones, capable of targeting Israel.

– The Bab Al-Mandab can be closed at any moment.

@Middle_East_Spectator

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 14:45

🇮🇱⚔️🇱🇧🇱🇧 Israel’s military is using an AI-powered targeting system to track and kill individuals in Lebanon, in a system that experts say cannot reliably discern between fighters and civilians, the Los Angeles Times reported this week.

The system pulls from phone metadata, facial recognition, drone surveillance, SIM card tracking, and social media, processed through platforms including Palantir’s Maven.

A senior Israeli military AI official told the Times the system generates target profiles in seconds, work that once took hundreds of analysts weeks.

Experts raised two distinct concerns:

🔹The first is false positives: the system identifies threats through behavioral patterns rather than direct evidence of combatant activity, meaning relatives, financiers, and administrators are routinely flagged because their communication patterns look similar to fighters.

🔹The second is that the system cannot reason, it only pattern-matches. If the data feeding it is flawed, it repeats the same lethal mistakes at scale, with no human stopping to question the output.

🔗 DropSite

📎 https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2026-05-04/inside-israels-ai-targeting-system-how-data-from-phone-become-death-sentence

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 14:12

🇮🇷🇶🇦🇵🇰 Qatar appears to have secured the first gas export out of the region since the Iran war began.

Marshall Islands-flagged LNG tanker AL KHARAITIYAT (IMO 9397327), loaded at Ras Laffan export plant in Qatar, was seen transiting the Strait of Hormuz en route to Port Qasim, Pakistan.

🔗 EGYOSINT

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 13:42

🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇮🇱🇸🇦- According to Fars News, the commander of the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, Major General Ali Abdollahi Aliabadi, met with Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei, briefing him on the readiness of the country's armed forces.

➡️ Abdullahi declared that all branches of the Iranian military are fully prepared, both defensively and offensively, to confront any US/Israeli attacks, pledging to defend Iran's sovereignty and the ideals of the Islamic Revolution.

➡️ Khamenei praised the armed forces and announced new measures to continue confronting Iran's enemies, following what he described as victories achieved during the Ramadan War.

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 12:51

🇦🇪❌🇮🇷 — UAE Defense:
Air defenses intercepted two incoming drones from Iran.

@GeoPWatch

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 11:44

🇺🇸🇮🇱❌🇮🇷🇮🇶- According to satellite imagery, there was makeshift runway built in western Iraq similar to the one made in Isfahan, this was the runway for the Israeli military position as it was directly next to it.

➡️ The runway spans around 1.9km in length and is at the bottom of a dried up lake approximately 44km south of Al-Nukhib. Satellite imagery shows no signs of a runway built prior to February 23rd. It is unknown the exact date it was set up.

📍 Coordinates:

31°40'11.7"N 42°26'59.2"E

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

10 May 2026 01:06

⚡️ ☀️ 📈 Solar is the fastest growing source of electricity in history.

It's now the 4th largest, having passed nuclear and wind.

📎 Jesse Peltan

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

09 May 2026 23:10

🇮🇶🇮🇱 - Israeli military sources report that the forward operating base in the Najaf desert, Iraq, was established before the war with Iran even began, and with US knowledge.

The sources report that the entire operation nearly collapsed when an Iraqi shepherd noticed unusual military activity in early March, at the height of the war. The activity was reported to the Iraqi military which dispatched Iraq's Karbala Ops unit to investigate. Israel, to keep the base a secret, engaged with airstrikes and struck the convoy, killing one, and injuring multiple others, including the regiment commander Haider al-Khazai (who's still recovering from his injuries at Karbala al-Kafeel Hospital).

The Iraqi counter terrorism unit however did identify a foreign military base operating in the desert. Local Iraqis reported unidentified military activity during the war at 31.6673207, 42.4396675 (shown in the media).

Interestingly, the Israeli Air Force Commander Tomer Bar, in a letter dated to the 4th of March - the exact same date as the incident involving Iraq's Karbala Ops, wrote the following: "The fighters of the Air Force's special units are currently carrying out extraordinary missions that can ignite the imagination."

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

09 May 2026 22:14

☄️ 🇺🇸 🚀 NASA’s Psyche Mission to Fly by Mars for Gravity Assist

NASA’s Psyche spacecraft will get a boost from Mars on Friday, May 15, passing just 2,800 miles (4,500 kilometers) from the planet’s surface at some 12,333 mph (19,848 kph). The spacecraft will harness the planet’s gravitational pull to speed up and adjust its trajectory toward the metal-rich asteroid Psyche, one of the more unusual objects in our solar system.

Launched on Oct. 13, 2023, the Psyche spacecraft relies on a solar-electric propulsion system and the inert gas xenon for propellant, gradually gaining speed over the course of its long journey. Psyche’s mission planners are using the Mars flyby to save propellant, letting the planet’s gravity do some of the work instead of the propulsion system alone. But gravity assists like these also offer opportunities for missions to practice and to calibrate their science instruments.

Psyche’s operations team plans to use the spacecraft’s multispectral imager to capture thousands of observations of Mars. The images will provide valuable data and help the team hone techniques they will need when the spacecraft approaches and begins orbiting the asteroid Psyche in late 2029.

Mars won’t initially look like the illuminated reddish disk seen in so many photos of the planet. “We are approaching Mars at a very high phase angle, which means we are catching up with the planet from its night side with only a sliver of sunlight creating a thin crescent,” said Jim Bell, the Psyche imager instrument lead at Arizona State University in Tempe. “The thin crescent on approach and the nearly ‘full Mars’ view after we fly past create opportunities for the imaging team for both great calibration observations as well as just plain beautiful photos.”

It’s possible that Mars may possess a faint dusty ring, or torus — the result of micrometeorites striking the surfaces of the planet’s two moons, Phobos and Deimos, and ejecting dust particles into space. The Sun’s alignment with Psyche and Mars may cause dusty material to scatter sunlight, making it visible in the processed observations.

📎 NASA

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

09 May 2026 22:05

—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇷 NEW: The IRGC Navy announces that from now on, any attack against Iranian oil tankers or commercial vessels will be met with a response against U.S. bases / proxies in the region and ships

@Middle_East_Spectator

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

09 May 2026 19:57

🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Mediazona and Meduza, two Western-funded Russian news outlets, estimate that Russia suffered 352k troops killed in action from February 22nd 2022 to January 1st 2026, based on the Probate Registry.

The Probate Registry includes every deceased citizen who left significant assets to be inherited.

Of the 352,000, some 261,000 are “regular” fatalities, calculated by the same method as in our previous estimates. The remaining 90,000 or so are men declared dead or missing by court order, or whose deaths were registered with a delay of at least 180 days for other reasons: body exchanges, say, or late identification.

We can speak about “regular” and “late” fatalities with differing degrees of precision. We know more about the first group, which lends itself more readily to analysis. We know less about the social composition of the second. Most importantly, the figure of 90,000 “late” fatalities is an estimate as of mid-2025: more recent late fatalities are simply not yet visible due to the same delay. For at least 180 days after their actual death, these soldiers do not appear either in the courts or in the Probate Registry, so more time will need to pass before we can estimate the late category through to the end of 2025.

There has been a noticeable decline in the amount of Russian KIA after October 2024, by the time which Russian troops controlled most of the Toretsk-Niu-York-Zaliznoe-Pivnichnoe urban agglomeration. The Battle of Kurakhovo was in full swing and the offensive to capture the town of Velikaya Novosyolka had just begun.

The decline of Russian KIA remained steady all throughout 2025 even in the face of major battles like the Pokrovsk-Myrnograd offensive, the battle of Konstantinovka and the battle for Gulyaipole.

@CIG_telegram

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

09 May 2026 18:37

🇬🇧🇵🇱 Polish presidential candidate Sławomir Mentzen was detained for more than three hours at a London airport after arriving with his wife and children for a weekend trip.

Border officers questioned Mentzen about possible political events and speeches, despite him insisting he had no such plans. Officials informed him that an unspecified organisation had flagged him for additional checks.

During his presidential campaign, Mentzen drew attention to high rape figures in Britain following mass immigration.

He was later released without explanation and allowed to enter the country.

🔗 Europa