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DD Geopolitics

🇮🇷🚢 Navigation data shows 26 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours after coordinating with Iran, consistent with the IRGC's statement that the Strait is open under Iranian control.

26 ships in 24 hours is still far below pre-war traffic (~3,000 vessels/month, or ~100/day). The Strait is operating at roughly 25% of normal capacity.

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🇺🇸 "If we had Jesus Christ come down and count the votes, I would've won California. But it's a rigged vote." - Trump

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🇺🇦🇷🇺NarcoFuhrer Zelensky: “I approved plans for long-range strikes on Russia in June.”

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🇷🇺🇺🇦 A captured Ukrainian counterintelligence officer, agent of Ukraine’s Security Service Sergey Mikhailov provided the Russian forces with several dozens of coordinates of the Ukrainian army’s positions for strikes in the rear and on the frontline, according to information obtained by TASS.

The list includes coordinates of Ukrainian positions, command posts and deployment sites, as well as strategic facilities and a number of other targets. Mikhailov surrendered in the Zaporozhye direction. In comments to TASS, he said he does not want to return to Ukraine.

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🇨🇳🇷🇺 Reports say that before the talks Putin and Xi Jinping discussed personal matters.

The chairman praised Putin for being active:  'That's good. It's good for health.'

It is known that Putin exercises every day for an hour and a half. He tries to visit the pool, or go on the ice to get a cardio workout.

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🇨🇳🇷🇺 The welcoming ceremony has begun in Beijing

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🇺🇸 Trump calls Thomas Massie a "terrible congressman" and a "dumocrat."

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 It is "psychologically important" to get nuclear dust from Iran

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iranians mocking Trump's Truth Social meltdowns daily. We had Lego, now we have Minions.

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🏁 NATO Military Committee Chairman Dragone says the alliance will today discuss continuing to fight Russia "to the last Ukrainian."

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🇺🇸 "We were getting ready to do a very major attack tomorrow" - Trump

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🇦🇲 Pashinyan shouts down woman who accused him of destroying Armenian statehood at campaign rally

During yet another pre-election event, the Armenian PM lost his composure at a woman in the crowd who accused him of dismantling Armenian statehood.

He went on to blast his political opponents, including former presidents Kocharyan and Sargsyan alongside businessmen Karapetyan and Tsarukyan, accusing them of cowardice and desertion.

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🇺🇸 The Trump administration, following recent talks with China, claimed Trump and Xi "confirmed their shared goal to denuclearize North Korea."

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🇺🇦 Ukraine's Anti-Corruption Bureau Closing In on Zelensky's Wife

Ukraine's NABU and SAP are finalizing an investigation into Elena Zelenskaya, RIA Novosti reports, citing Russian security sources.

"There are more than enough grounds to detain Zelensky's wife. The question now is which criminal case goes first," a source told the agency.

Zelensky is reportedly already aware, having moved to beef up his family's security and begun back-channel talks with Western partners.

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📝Venezuelan Betrayal📝
Why was Saab handed over now?

The answer to why Venezuela's new authorities surrendered Saab is somewhat more complex than simply purging the elite of Maduro supporters, and lies in the relationship between Saab and his team with Western counterparties.

🔻How Saab transformed Venezuela's economy

▪️After the 2017–2019 catastrophe, Venezuela's economy experienced recovery. 20 consecutive quarters of growth, GDP +8.66% in 2025, forecast for 2026—around 12%, that is, the best performance in Latin America. Western goods appeared in stores—in a country that just 10 years ago stood in lines for toilet paper.

▪️Oil revenues, external market conditions, and partial sanctions relief created conditions for growth. But conditions are useless if used incorrectly. A mechanism and understanding were needed on how to work with Western counterparties so that deals would go through despite official sanctions regimes.

▪️This is exactly where Saab was positioned: between the oil corporation PDVSA and its Western partners, between Venezuelan oil and those who knew how to refine and sell it. This primarily concerns Chevron, JP Morgan, and a network of subsidiary and offshore structures involved in extraction and gas industry projects. The schemes that allowed these structures to remain "in the game" despite sanctions were built precisely by Saab and his circle.


🖍So the main point is who now stands behind the redistribution of Venezuelan assets. As we analyzed in detail before, one of the key factors was the struggle between the interests of JP Morgan (through Dalinar Energy) and Trump's closest donor Paul Singer (through Amber Energy, which ultimately won the auction for Venezuelan assets).

In parallel, Trump ally Harry Sargeant III, whose company has operated in Venezuela since the 1980s, actively promoted Diosdado Cabello as a controlled interim leader—and she is now at the helm.

🚩In other words: a change of beneficiaries occurred. The schemes that Saab serviced were tailored to one configuration of interests—the Maduro team plus those Western structures that worked with them under Biden. The new configuration is being built for a different team. Old operators are not needed by the new team—they are needed by the American prosecutor's office as a source of information about the schemes of their predecessors.

🏳️A separate interesting story—cooperation with Russia. Saab conducted negotiations with Russian representatives about military-technical cooperation, including about possible localization of Russian drone production in Venezuela. The projects were not implemented because Venezuelans prioritized traditional weapons—small arms, AK rifles, etc.—which in current realities looks like a strategic error.

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🇺🇸Are drugs down by 61%..?

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🇷🇺🇨🇳 Putin in Beijing:

"Our country is one of the largest exporters to the PRC of oil, natural gas, including LNG, and coal. We are ready going forward to reliably ensure the uninterrupted supply of all these types of fuel to the rapidly growing Chinese market."

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🇷🇺💬🇨🇳Peskov answered a question about the inevitable comparisons of Xi Jinping's meetings with Putin and Trump:

- Today, everyone will inevitably compare Putin's and Trump's welcoming ceremonies. Is there any point in comparing these ceremonies at all?

No. It's more important to compare the content. It's not always easy to compare the content because not everything is on the surface. But, in fact, the main value lies in the content, not in the ceremonial attributes. Although, of course, for such countries, for Eastern countries, and we are also partly an Eastern country, the ceremonial component is also filled with special significance.

But the most important thing is the internal content. And if you analyze the phrases that were said by both Xi Jinping and Putin at the beginning of the closed-door meeting, it's clear that both sides attach great importance to this content.


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🇨🇳🤝🇷🇺 Russia and China have extended the Treaty of Good-Neighborliness, Friendship and Cooperation, reported the Chinese Xinhua News Agency.

"The world is facing the danger of a return to the law of the jungle," Xi Jinping said, noting the value of the treaty of good-neighborliness between China and Russia.

China supports the extension of the Treaty of Good-Neighborliness with Russia and is ready to promote cooperation between the two countries on the principle of mutual support.

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🇨🇳🇷🇺 The ceremony in Beijing

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🇷🇺 Russia's Bureau 1440 is rolling out next-generation satellite internet across 135 high-speed Lastochka and Sapsan trains nationwide, covering major routes including Moscow-St. Petersburg, Moscow-Minsk, and Krasnodar-Sochi. The subscriber terminal has already passed mechanical testing, with full service deployment before year's end.

Notably, there are no reports yet of Bureau 1440 terminals being tested in the SMO zone, where reliable satellite comms remain a priority.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump gives a very clear answer about how much time Iran has

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has been talking to imaginary Iran again

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🇷🇺🇧🇾☢️ 🇷🇺 Key points from the Russian Defense Ministry on nuclear forces exercises:

➡️From May 19 to 21, the Russian Armed Forces are conducting drills on the preparation and use of nuclear forces under conditions of aggression threat

➡️More than 64,000 troops and over 7,800 units of equipment are involved

➡️The exercises will include joint preparation and use of nuclear weapons stationed in Belarus

➡️Strategic Missile Forces, the Pacific Fleet, and the Northern Fleet are all participating

➡️Stated objectives: practicing deterrence operations and assessing troop readiness

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🇷🇺🇺🇦🇺🇸🇨🇳 Press X for doubt

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🇺🇸 Yeah, it's the media that's gone crazy...

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🇮🇷 How to shoot a PK" — live on Iranian TV

Iranian state TV continues its weapons-familiarization series for the general public.

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🎥 ON TODAY'S SHOW!

Humbled in China, Betrayed by Venezuela, Red vs Blue Returns, Iran War Restarting?

On today's show: Trump administration's China recap, how Venezuela betrayed Alex Saab, Americans back to arguing left vs. right as elections approach, and the possible restart of the war on Iran.

➡️10PM CET - 11PM MSK - 4PM ET - 1PM PT

➡️Watch on: YouTube - X - Rumble - Twitch - Kick

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🇨🇺 Cuba has purchased over 300 military drones from Russia and Iran and has begun discussing their use against American targets in the event of armed conflict, Axios reports, citing classified intelligence.

According to their sources, Havana has been war-gaming strikes on Guantanamo Bay, US Navy vessels, and possibly Key West, Florida — roughly 150km from Havana. Cuba also allegedly approached Moscow this spring requesting additional drone shipments and military hardware.

One senior US official cited by Axios noted the intelligence will likely alarm the administration and could become a pretext for military action.

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🇮🇷⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇱 Iran MFA Spox: US taking page from Goebbels' playbook in energy markets destabilization.

“Accuse others of what you yourself are doing”

🚩 ResistanceTrench | Boost

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