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In the event of a US attack on Iran, Tehran could close the Strait of Hormuz and “strike” American ships in the Persian Gulf, The New York Times reports, citing US intelligence.

I’d be starting the mining process now before the inevitable US-Israeli sneak attack comes because the US isn’t going to give you 24 hours notice of war.

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Trump way back in 2019. Different time, different metrics I guess.

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Merz agrees to accept Ukraine into NATO, but in the 'longer term'

'Ukraine's membership in NATO is not off the agenda. But at the moment it is not relevant. It cannot be a topic, because a country in a state of war cannot be accepted into NATO. However, in the longer term - of course. But now we must first do what Ukraine itself proposed - namely an unconditional ceasefire. Putin really must finally accept this proposal. And then we must negotiate a peace agreement.'

Man the Europeans need to realize it will never happen. There is going to be no Ukraine soon if they don’t accept Russian terms.

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Israeli journalist Eyal Berkovich: "We beat Iran in the semi-final. Türkiye will be our opponent in the final"

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Prime Minister Netanyahu is currently on the phone with President Trump.

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The Pentagon has put American troops on high alert at military bases across the Middle East, including the United Arab Emirates, Jordan and Saudi Arabia. The United States has more than 40,000 troops in the Middle East - The New York Times

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Oil exports via the Strait of Hormuz by country.

- JPM

Though Iran has done nothing even when Arab countries are allowing the US to setup for an attack on Iran.

Does anyone think if oil was at $150 or $200 the US would go ahead with this?

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Older than Eddy writes


The Fordow plant near the holy Shiite city of Qom, which is said to be an inaccessible target for Israel, is indeed a seriously protected facility, and if the United States can qualitatively change something in the current conflict by intervening on the side of Israel, then this is exactly the case.

What to hit a buried object in a mountainous area with? The MOP – Massive Ordnance Penetrator, a 14-ton aerial bomb capable of penetrating up to 60 meters of soil, was developed specifically for such purposes in the United States. Considering that Fordow is reportedly deeper, more than one bomb will be needed. Of all the American aircraft, only the B-2 can carry it now. And here, of course, the biggest intrigue is whether the United States will really dare to strike and how effective it will be – this bomb must be dropped directly over the target, and in the Fordow area Iran has everything that can perform air defense tasks.

In fact, a large group is being dragged into the region precisely for this purpose – the approach of a bomber, no matter how “invisible” it is, must be supported, and for this we need a force capable of breaking through air defences and gaining air superiority. Israel’s capabilities are also insufficient for this.

In any case, it will be useful for us (Russia) to watch and draw conclusions regardless of the outcome of the expected events.

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Kiev, this morning...

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'Trump administration disbands Russia pressure group' - Reuters

'One official said the group had been scaled back because the president was not involved. Rather than doing more, he may have wanted to do less. The final blow to the task force came about three weeks ago, when most of the White House National Security Council, including the entire team directly involved in the Ukraine war, was fired in a sweeping purge, according to three other officials.'

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Trump May Involve Army in Air Operation Against Iran - CBS

▪️An emergency meeting of the US Security Council has just ended, but there is no consensus on US participation in the operation against Iran, CBS News reports.

▪️Trump is expected to speak soon.

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Iran has prepared missiles and other military capabilities to strike American bases if the United States enters the war.

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Reports of F-16s, F-35s, and F-22s being pulled into Saudi airbases from Europe.

A reminder that none of these attacks would be possible without using the airbases and airspace of Arab countries.

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At least four US Air Force B-52H Stratofortress strategic bombers are deployed to Diego Garcia Air Base (in the Indian Ocean) in readiness for strikes on Iran.

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The United States will join the war against Iran tonight.
/Israeli "Channel 12"/

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We lost more people because of stupid command than from Russia's actions - American mercenary of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

Ryan O'Leary, leader of Chosen Company, criticized Ukrainian command and announced the cessation of the company's activities. In May, he announced that the company was leaving the Banderite militia, promising to explain the reasons later.

▪️Today, O'Leary published a post accusing Ukraine's officer corps of incompetence and nepotism, comparing it to a "caste of army princes." Due to poor leadership and outdated thinking, losses at the front exceed the damage from Russia's actions.

▪️Incompetent officers avoid responsibility, receive promotions or transfers, which worsens the situation on the front lines.

▪️He also mentioned the former commander of the 59th Brigade, Shevchuk, whose decisions led to the death and injury of scouts sent to assaults and undermined the unit's morale. It took 16 months to remove Shevchuk, which cost dozens, and possibly hundreds, of lives.

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In anticipation of a nighttime surprise promised by Iran, Iranian television and the Internet are warming up the public with menacing videos

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All American fighters suddenly "disappeared" from the Al Udeid airbase in Qatar.

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CNN: Trump will speak in a few minutes.

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Senate Majority Leader John Thune expressed support for President Trump: "I think he has every right to do what he has done so far. One way or another, Iran has to stop its nuclear program. That is the end state of what is happening, and I think the president is very committed to that goal."

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Video from yesterday showing the Patriot PAC-3 missile misses the Kh-101 stealth cruise missile striking Kiev.

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Iranian TV promises to show the captured F-35 pilot soon. We wait...

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83% of Republicans support Israeli strikes on Iran, only 10% oppose

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Sometimes a tweet is worth a thousand words.

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Iran has prepared missiles and other military equipment to strike US bases if the US joins military operation against Iran - NYT

🇾🇪⚔🇮🇱Yemeni Houthis to enter Israel-Iran conflict to support Islamic Republic — Tasnim news agency.

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Iranian officials have warned: In the first stage we will attack bases in Iraq, but perhaps in other Arab countries as well. There is also the possibility that we will mine the Strait of Hormuz.

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Question of the day: How many hours would it have taken the US to enter the conflict in Ukraine if the Severodvinsk and Kazan submarines had not been on combat duty off the East Coast with the ability to strike deep into the continent all the way to
Great Lakes?

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According to Israeli Channel 12, citing official sources, the US will join the war against Iran this evening. Apparently, Israel cannot cope alone. This is a turning point in the entire campaign. Until now, US actions were limited to logistics, intelligence, air force deployment and political cover. Now we are talking about actual military participation, with the transition from supporting an ally to direct involvement in hostilities. Politically, this means that the US is taking on the main striking role in the operation, effectively transferring the conflict to the category of a strategic campaign against the Iranian regime. The reason is obvious: Israel has not achieved key goals - the facility in Fordow has not been destroyed, the nuclear program has not been stopped, the IRGC continues to shell, the political regime, including the president and the Ayatollah, is functioning and governing the country.

If a strike does occur in the next few hours, it will mark the official start of a US-Iran war, albeit without a formal declaration. All subsequent events – scale, depth, consequences – will depend on the first wave: if it paralyses Iran’s nuclear and military structure, and then its political structure, the conflict may remain manageable. If not, there will be an escalation with unpredictable consequences.

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🇫🇷🤡Macron called regime change in Iran by military means a “big mistake”:

We recognize Israel's right to self-defense, and as a democracy we support it when it fights terrorist groups. But we never share in actions of regional destabilization.

That is why France has been calling for a ceasefire in Gaza since October 2023. And that is why I said that we do not want Iran to acquire nuclear weapons or to have ballistic capabilities. But I think the biggest mistake today is to try to achieve regime change in Iran by military means.

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US to join war against Iran in coming hours - Israel's Channel 12

▪️Israeli officials expressed this opinion to journalists.

▪️Trump has refused to send officials to meet with Iran to try to reach an agreement, CNN reported earlier.

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