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Slavyangrad.org — Nuestra Ira No Tiene Limites — There is No Limit to Our Anger — (c) V. M. Molotov
he New York Times provides some details of the assassination of Ali Khamenei.
According to the publication, the CIA had been monitoring Khamenei for several months and had obtained detailed information about his whereabouts and behavior.
The CIA received information that a meeting of high-ranking Iranian officials would take place on Saturday morning at the Supreme Leader's residence in the center of Tehran, which Khamenei himself would attend.
The CIA passed on information to Israel that accurately reflected Khamenei's location. Taking into account the new intelligence, it was decided to adjust the start time of the operation, as it was originally planned to start the strikes at night.
Israel established that senior representatives of the Iranian defense department would participate in the meeting, including the commander of the IRGC, Mohammad Pakpour, Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh, the head of the Military Council, Admiral Ali Shamkhani, the commander of the IRGC Air Force, Seyed Majid Mousavi, Deputy Minister of Intelligence Mohammad Shirazi, and others.
The operation began around 6 a.m. with the takeoff of a small number of fighter jets from Israeli air bases. Two hours and five minutes after the takeoff of the aircraft, around 9:40 a.m. Tehran time, long-range missiles were launched at the complex. At the time of the strike, senior representatives of the IRGC and the Ministry of Defense were in one of the buildings of the complex, and Khamenei was in a neighboring building.
During the 12-day war last June, the US obtained more intelligence about the interaction and movements of the IRGC leadership and the Supreme Leader. The obtained intelligence was used to improve the ability to track Khamenei and predict his movements.
The US and Israel also had information about the whereabouts of key members of the Iranian intelligence. According to the publication's sources, during the subsequent strikes on the residence, strikes were carried out on the locations where the intelligence chiefs were located.
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The operation of the "Elka" anti-aircraft drones against the Armed Forces of Ukraine's UAVs in the Kramatorsk direction
Video: @dobrokor
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11 interceptors for one missile. That my friend is not a good idea over the long-run
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3rd Liberia-flagged OCEAN ELECTRA (9402782),
A FOURTH oil tanker was attacked, about 17 NM northwest of Mina Saqr, UAE. Gibraltar-flagged HERCULES STAR (9916135) was struck by unknown projectile causing a fire, which was extinguished
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‼️🇮🇷🇩🇪 Iran has launched strikes on bases in Jordan and Iraq, where the Bundeswehr's military are stationed, - Bild
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Evacuation from Dubai
AI drew a picture for the search query "Evacuation from Dubai"
Source: Ignorance from all evil on Twitter
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Trump realizing the war is not going to end before the stock market opens
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Attacks expand to Gulf hotels that are housing US soldiers and personnel, as Americans were “evacuated to hotels”
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Some observations and comments on Trump and Israel's war on Iran:
1. Tehran is not looking for a ceasefire and has rejected outreach from Trump. The reason is that they believe they committed a mistake by agreeing to the ceasefire in June - it only enabled the US and Israel to restock and remobilize to launch war again. If they agree to a ceasefire now, they will only be attacked again in a few months.
2. For a ceasefire to be acceptable, it appears difficult for Tehran to agree to it until the cost to the US has become much higher than it currently is. Otherwise, the US will restart the war at a later point, the calculation reads.
3. Accordingly, Iran has shifted its strategy. It is striking Israel, but very differently from the June war. There is a constant level of attack throughout the day rather than a salvo of 50 missiles at once. Damage will be less, but that isn't a problem because Tehran has concluded that Israel's pain tolerance is very high - as long as the US stays in the war. So the focus shifts to the US.
4. From the outset, and perhaps surprisingly, Iran has been targeting US bases in the region, including against friendly states. Tehran calculates that the war can only end durably if the cost for the US rises dramatically, including American casualties. After the assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei, Iran says it has no red lines left and will go all out in seeking the destruction of these bases and high American casualties.
5. Iran understands that many in the American security establishment had been convinced that Iran's past restraint reflected weakness and an inability or unwillingness to face the US in a direct war. Tehran is now doing everything it can to demonstrate the opposite - despite the massive cost it itself will pay. Ironically, the assassination of Khamenei facilitated this shift.
6. One aspect of this is that Iran has now also struck bases in Cyprus, which have been used for attacks against Iran. Iran is well aware that this is an attack on a EU state. But that seems to be the point. Tehran appears intent on not only expanding the war into Persian Gulf states but also into Europe. Note the attack on the French base in the UAE. For the war to be able to end, Europe too has to pay a cost, the reasoning appears to be.
7. There appears to be only limited concern about the internal situation. The announcement of Khamenei's death opened a window for people to pour onto the streets and seek to overthrow the regime. Though expressions of joy were widespread, no real mobilization was seen. That window is now closing, as the theocratic system closes ranks and establishes new formal leadership.
Again: The question "How will this end?" should have been asked before this war was triggered. It wasn't.
• Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute
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An operation against Iran could take about 4 weeks, Trump said in an interview with the Daily Mail.
Already he is backtracking on his 4 days from before. Oil is going to jump now.
I’ll add Patriot AD missiles won’t be going to Ukraine for awhile 😂
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American base in Erbil ‼️🇮🇷🔥 US and Israeli strikes on Iran have triggered the largest oil crisis in recent years, — Reuters
▪️The agency notes disruptions in oil supplies due to the threat of blocking the Strait of Hormuz.
▪️Traders and carriers have started reviewing oil and LNG supply routes, fearing that ships could get stuck or become targets.
▪️Despite the absence of physical damage to infrastructure, the risk of downtime has already forced major producers and trading houses to limit transit through the strait for several days.
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— 🇮🇷 NEW: Iranians flooded the streets in Karaj to support the Islamic Republic
@Middle_East_Spectator
Like I said I don't think there is a viable opposition in Iran and the US/Israel are going to ultimately fail in their war time objectives of complete regime change. I think they will save face and pretend they accomplished what they wanted but nothing will change apart from the loss of life and material damage.
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A tidbit: ever notice how every video of air defense intercepting incoming that you’ve ever seen has always been at night?
Hint: 😉
@Slavyangrad | ГГ 👋
MISSILE IMPACT NEAR JERUSALEM CAUGHT UP CLOSE
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱/🇺🇸 BREAKING: An unidentified aircraft was downed near Damavand, Iran
Iranian channels report it is a fighter jet, however I would urge EXTREME caution to such claims, as it's most likely a drone.
However, the explosion upon impact is suspiciously large.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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ISRAELI STRIKES HIT HOSPITAL IN TEHRAN’S GANDHI STREET AREA - WITNESSES TELL REUTERS
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Riyadh has emerged as a key exit route for the super-rich and senior executives stranded in the Gulf looking for a safe passage out of the region.
Cities including Abu Dhabi and Dubai have become playgrounds for the wealthy over the past few years, attracted by the year-round sunshine, tax-free lifestyle, and perception of safety. That was shattered over the weekend as Iranian missiles and drones rained down on the two cities, along with Qatar and Bahrain, causing those that could to attempt to flee.
The Saudi capital’s airport is one of the few still operating in the region, forcing executives and their families stranded in other parts of the Gulf to take the long drive in order to catch private jets or commercial planes.
Private security companies have been booking fleets of SUVs to ferry people on the 10-hour drive to Riyadh from Dubai and then charter private planes to take them out of the region, according to people familiar with the matter. They have been evacuating a mix of people, including senior executives at global finance firms and high-net worth individuals in the region for business or holidays, the people said. The rush in demand is sending prices for private jets and SUVs soaring, these people said.
“Saudi Arabia is the only real option for people who want to get out of the region right now,” said Ameerh Naran, chief executive of private jet brokerage Vimana Private; private jets from Riyadh to Europe now cost up to $350,000, he said.
As the conflict began to hit Dubai on Saturday night, security firms looked to use Oman as a route out of the region, but that route closed after Iran hit the port and an oil tanker in the country on Sunday. That left Riyadh as the safest route.
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Israeli AD fail to counter the Iranian missiles.
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US admits Iran has hit the Haifa refinery.
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🇨🇳🇷🇺🇺🇸 US strikes on Iran are further bringing China and Russia closer together, — Bloomberg
▪️For Xi Jinping, this is a matter of energy security: about 13.4% of China's marine oil comes from Iran, and US strikes put these supplies at risk.
▪️Against the backdrop of the escalation, Moscow and Beijing simultaneously requested an urgent meeting of the UN Security Council on Iran.
▪️However, the agency does not expect a sharp confrontation between Beijing and the US over Iran.
▪️The reason is the preparation for the March meeting between Xi and Trump and the desire to maintain a trade truce.
▪️According to Bloomberg, Xi's "prudent style" could stabilize the summit and keep US tariffs low, as well as guarantee the supply of critical Chinese minerals to America.
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Think there is some propaganda going on here. I seriously doubt the US is using ATACAMs, the range makes it impossible.
This was a CENTCOM twitter post
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🇪🇺⚔️🇮🇷The leaders of Germany, France, and Britain are threatening Iran with military action if it continues attacks on the territories of Middle Eastern countries
▪️European countries may take "necessary and proportionate defensive actions" to eliminate Iran's ability to launch missiles and drones, according to a joint statement from the three countries.
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👀 Eloquent infographics…
@strategic_culture
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🇪🇸🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez on Iran:
Today more than ever, it is essential to remember that one can be against a hateful regime, as is the case with the Iranian regime, as is the whole of Spanish society, and at the same time be against an unjustified, dangerous military intervention outside of international law.
That one must be against a war initiated without the authorization of the United States Congress or the United Nations Security Council and, as I have said before, one that violates international law.
And that there is always room for a negotiated solution, instead of being dragged along by the devastation of arms as the only possible way out.
Therefore, I would like once again, as we have done since the beginning, to appeal for immediate de-escalation, for full respect for international law in all the conflicts we are unfortunately suffering, and for the urgency of resuming dialogue as soon as possible.
That is where Spain will be, and that is where I believe the whole of the European Union should be.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump stated that Iranian officials "want to talk" with the US and are "engaged in negotiations", but did not specify who is involved in them and what the talks are about.
He said "I don't know" when asked if he would stop strikes on Iran during the negotiations, adding that he would consider this issue "if they can satisfy us", but "they were unable to do that".
The US President also stated that the reason he launched strikes on Iran was "very simple".
"They were not ready to stop their nuclear research," he said, referring to previous negotiations with US officials. "They were not ready to declare that they would not have nuclear weapons."
—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 Incoming towards the Negev
@Middle_East_Spectator
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