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Slavyangrad.org — Nuestra Ira No Tiene Limites — There is No Limit to Our Anger — (c) V. M. Molotov
Scenes from the operation that targeted American bases in Erbil province.
@Slavyangrad
A point has to be made—every comment (public and private) from Russian military men that I’ve seen regarding the Shahed drones points out that they are grievously behind the Russian development of their Geran offspring.
What is unfortunate is that the US got involved in the fight before the anti-US entente solidified in earnest.
That’s ok—there is still time to react, but Russia and China need to find a way to do so, faster.
Let me repost:
This morning I was asked on Boston radio about the US–Israel strikes on Iran.
Here is the strategic reality most people are missing:
Airpower alone has never produced positive regime change.
I don’t mean rarely.
I mean NEVER.
Iran will not fall. If it does, it will be atrocious for Russia. You and Yiyun can fly a kite.
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As for the US carriers, Iran simply does not have the range. Iran’s anti-ship missiles (with active guidance) are generally limited to a 300km range.
Ballistic missiles, with a significantly greater range, do not have active guidance and would need a miracle to hit a mobile target, such as an aircraft carrier.
The US keeps their juicy targets about 700km away from Iran’s shores.
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇰🇼/🇨🇳 NEW: Satellite imagery released by China shows at least 4 impacts at Ali Al-Salem Airbase in Kuwait as a result of Iranian ballistic missile strikes
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Slavyangrad
Allegedly, IRIB Iranian state media has confirmed Khamenei’s death (pbuh).
We will confirm and advise.
There seems to be a misunderstanding—Russia can’t do anything more to help Iran (beyond the significant help it has already sent and provided by way of expertise—very few of you seem to realize how much more effective the Iranian strikes are this time around… ask yourself why, and who ensured this outcome).
I am talking about China—with great power comes responsibility (a great quotation that emerged from the American pop culture, though whether anyone of significance there follows it is a separate question)—and whither China?
North Korea—got it. Impeccable. Iran—not bad, very solid effort. Even Vietnam (believe it or not) has put in a contribution (and Cuba’s legend is an unsurpassable feat in and of itself).
But where is China in proportion to its heft and significance?
Time to get up and pull the roots out.
The final number of dead at the Shajareh Tayyebeh girls’ school in Minab, southern Iran, is 108 school girls, a spokesperson for the Iranian Red Crescent Society said — more than half of the roughly 170 students who attend the school.
It remains unclear whether the strike was carried out by the U.S. or Israel. A CENTCOM spokesperson said they were “looking into” the reports.
@Slavyangrad
I think I heard the mighty China whisper a condemnation in support of their Iranian allies. Well done.
Still waiting by the bank of a river, I see. Be careful not to put down roots and in lignum mutari.
Additional scenes from Bahrain, amid Iranian missile attacks.
@Slavyangrad
An Iranian rocket fell between Sinaria and Kafr Thulth, east of Qalqilya in the northern West Bank.
@Slavyangrad
—❗️🇮🇷/🇦🇪 Iranian missiles above Dubai
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Slavyangrad
Explosions resulting from direct hits in Haifa.
@Slavyangrad
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: President Trump is furious with how events have unfolded over the past hours, and did not want to get involved in a prolonged conflict with Iran – Sources
MES
I'm not sure how accurate this one is. We will hear these types of reports over the coming days. Grain of salt IMO but posting for info.
However I will add it looks like Iran is targeting logistics and infrastructure that can be used by (primarily) the US in the region. My opinion is this will make life very difficult for the US to sustain long operations, or at the very least, slow them down somewhat. Not a bad tactic knowing the weakness the US has so far from home.
@Slavyangrad
To be clear: the US has no capability in the region, at present, to do any serious harm to Iran.
Neither does Iran vis-á-vis the US assets.
Without US ground troops, this is, at best, a stalemate.
Even with US ground troops, Iran is very unlikely to fall, but a lot of blood would then have been spilled.
Israel is largely irrelevant in this equation.
If Iran wants to be left alone, it should learn the Juche path of the North Koreans and split the nucleus.
That’s about it. If, as I expect, this war is over in 1-2 weeks (possibly sooner), then the cycle will just repeat itself, eventually.
Eventually, the US will come with a land force. That war will either be the ruin of the US or it will be the ruin of Iran (and with it, much of the rest of the region).
Standing together, the anti-American entente will lose immediate profits, but gain a long-term future.
Time to pick a goal.
⭐️ They targeted the American presence in Erbil with drones and ballistic missiles.
US base in Erbil continues to be hit but its obviously the easiest and closest base.
@Slavyangrad
Anyone else who wants to doubt the veracities of @Slavyangrad are welcome to announce themselves. Kind thanks.
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If Iran had the capability of sinking the US fleet, it would already have been done. Dixi.
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Well, the leader is dead.
Khamenei’s death is unlikely to be to Iran’s detriment. Nonetheless, it showcases the significant gap in deterrence and defence capability between the great and the rising/acolyte powers of the crystallizing world order.
The great powers can protect the members of the executive branch. Those below them in stature cannot easily resist the threat, even with advance warning.
The answer, unfortunately, is nuclear deterrence. The next 10-15 years will see a swathe of up-and-comers claim nuclear status. Among the first will be Iran, and the Middle East will finally fall into peace.
IRIB—/channel/iribnews/317386
“To God we belong, and to Him we shall return.
The Leader of the Ummah, the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution of Iran, His Eminence Ayatollah Khamenei, has been martyred.
@iribnews”
It seems the bulk of Iranian attacks are concentrated on US bases in the Gulf countries, Israel has been a secondary target so far.
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇸🏴☠⚔🇮🇷 The US sends worldwide caution now.
State the obvious.
@Slavyangrad
🇮🇷 | An Iranian drone impacts the Burj Al-Arab in Dubai, targeting one of the city’s most prominent structures.
@Slavyangrad
‼️🇪🇺🇮🇷Britain, France, and Germany have denied US and Israeli aggression against Iran.
▪️The three countries stated that they were not participating in the strikes on Iran and called for a resumption of negotiations.
➖"We were not involved in these strikes, but we are in close contact with our international partners, including the US, Israel, and partners in the region. We reaffirm our commitment to regional stability and the protection of civilians," the statement read.
▪️"We call for a resumption of negotiations and urge the Iranian leadership to seek a negotiated solution," Starmer, Merz, and Macron said.
▪️They also condemned Iranian strikes on countries hosting US bases (without mentioning the presence of these bases, or the fact that the strikes on them began after the US and Israeli attack on Iran).
▪️"We condemn in the strongest possible terms Iranian attacks on countries in the region. Iran must refrain from indiscriminate military strikes," the statement reads.
@Slavyangrad
Bombing hits the American section of Bahrain International Airport.
@Slavyangrad
Iranian missiles, while crossing the skies of Tulkarem towards the occupied territories, directly hit their targets.
@Slavyangrad
Iranian missiles in the skies over the city of Nablus as they head towards the occupied territories of Palestine.
@Slavyangrad