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Slavyangrad.org — Nuestra Ira No Tiene Limites — There is No Limit to Our Anger — (c) V. M. Molotov
Over 16 days, the IRGC launched at least 3,586 drones and missiles at countries in the Persian Gulf. Saudi Arabia now ranks third.
🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates: 313 missiles and 1,606 drones (53.5%)
🇰🇼 Kuwait: 243 missiles and 473 drones (20.0%)
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia: 34 missiles and 309 drones (9.6%)
🇧🇭 Bahrain: 125 missiles and 212 drones (9.4%)
🇶🇦 Qatar: 170 missiles and 81+ drones (7.1%)
🇴🇲 Oman: 18+ drones (0.5%)
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇸🤦 Trump called Iranian sea kamikaze drones a "fake".
@Slavyangrad
🇮🇷Iran struck the port of the emirate of Fujairah:
"A fire broke out at a petrochemical complex in the largest UAE port, which allows oil exports not via the Strait of Hormuz. The port temporarily suspended oil exports."
@Slavyangrad
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The former chairman of the UN Security Council, Singaporean diplomat Kishore Mahbubani — on the fact that the West should take responsibility for the endless attacks from the rest of the world.
@Slavyangrad
Soar Atlas has obtained new high-resolution satellite imagery of drone strikes at Port of Fujairah, UAE, from Mar 14th.
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇸🤡President and Commander-in-Chief of the US Armed Forces, Donald Trump, is gradually starting to backtrack and say that it's the task of other countries to unblock the Strait of Hormuz. The US "shouldn't have been there", because they supposedly have plenty of oil anyway.
@Slavyangrad
💥Footage of a fire at Dubai International Airport.
@Slavyangrad
💥An explosion occurred in Zaporozhye, after which a column of smoke began to rise.
A subscriber reports that a strong fire broke out after the arrival of the "Geraniums".
The local Administration stated that the strike hit an energy facility.
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇸⚡️ — Secretary of War Pete Hegseth cut staff in offices responsible for preventing and investigating civilian casualties from about 200 to fewer than 40 despite warnings from military leaders, POLITICO reports.
➡️ Critics say the move weakened oversight before the strike on an Iranian girls’ school in Minab that killed more than 170 students, while Hegseth viewed the offices as unnecessary and linked to “woke” policies.
- Tabz
@Slavyangrad
The Iranian national football team will be able to participate in the current World Cup despite the war if the team's matches are moved from the US to Mexico, The WSJ reports, citing the Iranian ambassador in Mexico City
According to him, the problem is that the first stage matches will be held in the United States.
Under the original plan, the championship matches were to be held in all three North American countries – Mexico, Canada, and the US
"Washington is not providing the Islamic Republic's team with the necessary logistical or administrative support to obtain visas to the US," Ambassador Abolfazl Pasandideh said, denying earlier reports that Iran might withdraw from participation. Pasandideh has appealed to FIFA, the sport's global governing body, to intervene in the matter," the WSJ reports.
The publication reports that if the matches are moved to Mexico, Iran will participate.
Shouldn't the US lose rights to World Cup and be banned from competing? Rules based order I recall.
@Slavyangrad
For some reason, the USA has switched to using B-52 bombers instead of deploying more fighter jets from aircraft carriers and sea-based cruise missiles from destroyers. The B-52s are presumably currently depleting the stockpile of JASSM cruise missiles accumulated in the USA over several years against IRGC targets in Isfahan. There is a hypothesis that this is mainly due to the need to replenish the supply of "Tomahawks", which may have been less abundant than expected.
@Slavyangrad
The G7 could tap strategic reserves for maybe 1.2 million barrels/day tops.
That covers, well... 7.5% of the hole left by the blocking of the Strait of Hormuz.
SPRs buy a few weeks; that's not a fix.
Oil prices aren’t coming down easily.
• Kobessi Letter
@Slavyangrad
🇮🇷🇺🇸⚡️ — Chinese satellite imagery shows Iran’s drone carrier IRIS Shahid Bagheri still floating in the Strait of Hormuz after earlier U.S. strikes.
➡️ The vessel appears damaged but has not sunk, with the images showing an uneven flight deck and oil spilling into the water.
- Tabz
@Slavyangrad
Yanis Varoufakis drops a bombshell theory: Israel and Netanyahu have blackmail on Trump 2.0. There is no other rational explanation.
@Slavyangrad
🇮🇱Israel may approve the mobilization of up to 450,000 reservists in preparation for a possible ground operation in Lebanon, according to Kan News.
The request came from the IDF and the defense department and will soon be reviewed by the government and the Knesset Committee on Foreign Affairs and Defense.
Currently, the limit for calling up reservists is 260,000 people, set in January to support military operations.
@Slavyangrad
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi - on the fact that the Strait of Hormuz is closed only for enemies.
@Slavyangrad
One of the most controversial parameters discussed in the context of an attack on Iran remains the reduction in the number of ballistic missile and drone launches.
📢 Even major and well-known analysts, observing a decrease in the number of launches, conclude that Iran is supposedly running out of missiles. However, in such conflicts, a reduction in the volume of strikes often means a change in tactics, not an exhaustion of resources. Supplies do not disappear overnight. The scheme of attacks changes.
📡 This may indicate a transition from demonstrative and intensive strikes to a more selective use of strike means. At the first stage of the conflict, missiles and drones are often used to overload air defense systems and test the enemy's reaction. When the main parameters of defense become clear, strikes may become less frequent, but more accurate and targeted. Satellite data, which Iran, obviously, receives from somewhere, also play a significant role in this.
📍In addition, another possibility cannot be ruled out. Iran may deliberately accumulate strike means for a more large-scale phase of the campaign or to synchronize strikes with the actions of allied formations in the region. In this case, pauses between waves of attacks become part of the planning, not a sign of weakening.
Moreover, Iran's opponents, primarily the USA, have a limited number of modern interception systems in the region. Each interceptor missile costs orders of magnitude more than the launched drones and missiles. Therefore, less frequent but combined strikes may be more economically and tactically advantageous than constant mass launches.
📝 In other words, a reduction in the number of launches in itself says almost nothing about the real state of the arsenals. It is much more important to observe the change in the structure of strikes, the choice of targets, and how these attacks fit into the overall strategy of the conflict. In such wars, it is often the evolution of tactics that is more indicative than the statistics of launches.
@Slavyangrad
Why is so much attention being paid to the conflict over Iran and why is almost nothing being said about the situation in Ukraine?
📢 Regarding the latter, everything is quite simple: in recent weeks, the situation on the frontline has been changing very slowly. Both sides are actually in the phase of preparing for the spring campaign and the expected offensive from Russia, so there is no significant dynamics on the battlefield yet.
💡The situation with the Iranian conflict is more complicated. Firstly, for the first time in recent history, a potential, and in fact already actual military and economic (despite the fact that Russia's economy is much smaller than that of the United States) opponent of Russia - the United States of America - is using almost the entire set of conventional (i.e., non-nuclear) means of destruction. The US is using this weapon against an opponent whose territory and capabilities, although inferior to those of Russia, nevertheless reveal the approximate volume of US military influence that Russia could potentially face in the future.
Secondly, the volume of retaliatory measures being taken by Iran is of great practical interest both in terms of tactics and in terms of consequences and the damage inflicted on the US.
A telling example is the destruction of Iranian strikes on the US missile warning systems (AN/FPS-132 and AN/TPY-2) in the Middle East. After these strikes, there is actually only one operational AN/TPY-2 station left in the region, in Turkey.
If it is also destroyed, the US missile defense system in the Middle East will be largely neutralized, which is also beneficial for Russia, as it breaks the lever of countering Russia's nuclear deterrence forces.
❓ What does all this mean?
This clearly demonstrates that even with huge budgets, the American military system simultaneously employs both highly qualified specialists and people who clearly cannot cope with the tasks of risk assessment.
Thirdly, for Russia, the Middle Eastern theater of military operations now looks like a convenient platform for observing and testing methods of proxy conflict. The same as the US implemented in Ukraine.
Paying the United States of America back in the same coin is too little a punishment for what they have done in Ukraine and how much blood is on their hands. But it is necessary to try anyway.
For a variety of reasons, the Iranian conflict is currently potentially beneficial for Russia as much as no conflict in modern history has been, and its consequences - the defeat or victory of Iran - will directly affect how soon the US will attack Russia and how it will do it - directly or indirectly.
📝In a certain sense, if Russia in any way helps Iran (and there are good reasons to believe that it does), then it is actually a contribution to delaying the Third World War or any conflict involving Russia. The more the US gets bogged down in Iran and suffers greater losses, the more beneficial it will be for Russia and its closest partners.
At the same time, what is happening serves as a kind of signal to China: its interests, despite its friendship with America and even the presence of Bank of China offices in New York and Chicago, including energy ones, can be suppressed just as easily as Russia's.
@Slavyangrad
Oil prices opened higher in morning trading.
The most popular grade, Brent, is approaching $105 per barrel.
As a reminder, the US eased sanctions on Russian oil yesterday. However, as we can see, this has failed to bring down prices, which are rising due to Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
@Slavyangrad
Canadian Prime Minister Carney disavowed statements about the desire for nuclear weapons:
Canada does not seek to possess nuclear weapons - there are no changes in this policy. Like other countries, we benefit from membership in NATO - an alliance, the basis of which, as is well known, is nuclear deterrence.
I would like to note the initiative of French President Emmanuel Macron to create an additional, multi-level element of the deterrence system. The specific mechanisms and scale of this initiative have yet to be determined, but we welcome it both from the perspective of NATO and from the point of view of European security.
@Slavyangrad
Trump’s Coalition to open up da Strait of Hummus
• Japan - No
• Australia - No mate, I barely have 2 weeks of fuel
• Britain - No, I don’t have much of a navy anymore but I like to pretend I do
Checkmate
@Slavyangrad
An Italian MQ-9A Predator surveillance drone worth about $30–35 million was destroyed after a drone struck the protective aircraft shelter where it was parked at Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait, according to Italian media.
➡️ The drone was operated by Italy’s Task Force Air and was being used for intelligence and surveillance missions in support of the coalition fighting ISIS.
- Tabz
Mamma mia
Apparently there was a lot of ISIS in Kuwait...
@Slavyangrad
U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright on Iran:
I think that this conflict will certainly come to the end in the next few weeks; it could be sooner than that, but the conflict will come to the end in the next few weeks.
We were very aware that we would cause a little bit of increased gas prices for Americans.
Prices today are still far below what they were in the Biden administration, where they were begging, bartering, and bribing Iran to behave better.
- Tabz
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇦 The Language Ombudswoman of Ukraine, Ivanovskaya:
“The Russian language is equal to arrogance, such arrogance. Neurolinguists should study the very structure, the specifics of this language. Because, have you noticed, for example, such a pattern that we really easily assimilate Russian. (Russian-speaking children - Rare.) They move to Lvov, and already the children of Lvov start speaking Russian, not the other way around”
“Usually, when these Russian-speaking people appear in our children's environment, they position themselves with arrogance and the language of power. And when there is a language of power, everyone else submits. The Russian language has a vertical structure. The Ukrainian language has a horizontal structure”
🤡🤡🤡
@Slavyangrad
B-2 Spirit bombers, in turn, flew to Iran again at night to strike with GBU-57/B Massive Ordnance Penetrator bombs at a certain missile base, the location of which is not specified. It's unclear why all available weapons are being used again and again, if Trump has already declared that Iran has been destroyed, trampled, annihilated, and defeated.
@Slavyangrad
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🇺🇸🤡White House Press Secretary Levitt - about the fact that the war in the Middle East will not end until all Trump's goals are achieved.
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇦🇺🇸❗️“Zelensky is the last person we need help from” — Trump
“I'm surprised that he doesn't want to make a deal. Tell Zelensky to agree, because Putin is ready to negotiate. It's much more difficult with Zelensky.”
Ooooofff, meanwhile British journalists are pretending that Ukraine has a lot to contribute..... even though they can't defend their own country lol
@Slavyangrad
The Russian Duma is about to adopt a law permitting the extraterritorial engagement of the armed forces to free Russian citizens arrested or detained by foreign courts. The government commission on legislation has just approved the respective draft legislation.