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🔮 Standard Chartered Bank has again lowered its forecast for the first half of 2026, allowing for a drop in BTC to $50,000 before a possible recovery — for Ethereum, a decline to $1,400 is expected.
Among the key risks, analysts cite outflows from spot ETFs: their total assets have decreased by almost 100,000 BTC from the October peak, and the average entry price for investors is estimated at around $90,000. The bank believes that ETF holders are more likely to lock in losses than to increase positions on a decline.
Previously expected levels of $150,000 for BTC and $7,500 for ETH by the end of 2026 have been revised to $100,000 and $4,000 respectively.
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☠️ Some hackers have learned to withdraw stolen cryptocurrency within 2 seconds — in 76% of cases, the first transaction is made before the incident is publicly disclosed.
Almost 50% of funds pass through cross-chain bridges, while direct withdrawals to exchanges have decreased, and about 49% of assets remain untouched to reduce the risk of tracking.
Despite the instantaneous start, the full money laundering cycle has slowed down and now takes an average of more than 10 days.
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🇷🇺 The Central Bank of the Russian Federation, together with the government, expect that the law on cryptocurrency regulation will be adopted already in the State Duma's spring session.
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👻 The Fear & Greed Index in the crypto market fell to a record low of 5 out of 100 — this is a level of "extreme fear", lower than it was even after the Terra crash in 2022.
Scary? 🚬
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🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan's crypto market **has become** one of the fastest-growing in the country's economy — in 2025, the volume of transactions exceeded $20.5 billion, which brought in $22.8 million in taxes.
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🪒 CEO of Strategy said, that the company will issue even more perpetual preferred shares.
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💸 Elon Musk stated that a limited beta version of the X Money payment system will launch in 1–2 months — according to him, it will be a service for storing money and conducting all payments in one place.
The billionaire called the project "revolutionary".
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⛽️ User paid 64 ETH ($126 000) as a fee for a single transaction.
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🏦 The Government of the Russian Federation approved the Concept for the Tokenization of Real Sector Assets (RWA), prepared by the Ministry of Finance jointly with the Central Bank, and is moving to its practical implementation.
The document provides for the transfer of ownership rights, securities, and intellectual property rights into digital form based on blockchain to increase liquidity, transparency, and reduce costs.
The first stage includes pilot projects for the tokenization of property, shares in LLCs, and other assets.
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🪙 Last year Binance and Franklin Templeton announced a strategic partnership to develop digital investment products at the intersection of traditional finance and blockchain.
Now the companies are launching an institutional collateral program, which will allow clients to use Franklin Templeton tokenized shares as off-exchange collateral when trading on Binance.
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🪙 Company Bitmine brought the volume of staked coins to ~3 000 000 ETH.
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😂 Bank representatives refused to discuss the stablecoin yield bill at the White House.
Instead, they brought a document with "principles" and proposed a complete ban on stablecoin yield.
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🔮 Polymarket announced a partnership with Kaito AI and the launch of "attention markets" — users will be able to bet on public sentiment around trends, brands, and public figures based on data from social networks.
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🇪🇺 The European Union plans to impose sanctions against two banks from Kyrgyzstan for cryptocurrency operations, which, according to its version, were used to work with Russian clients.
If approved, they will be prohibited from any operations with EU companies and citizens, similar measures may affect banks in Laos and Tajikistan.
Also, the sanctions package expands restrictions against Russian banks and crypto platforms.
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⚡️ Russian authorities have decided to start work on slowing down the operation of the Telegram messenger in Russia.
Connect VPN, to stay connected.
🚬 Moscow Exchange "is ready to compete with the grey part of the cryptocurrency market" and is ready to service crypto trading as soon as it becomes possible.
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🏦 The Central Bank of the Russian Federation reported that cryptocurrency turnover in Russia reaches ₽50 billion per day — in annual terms, the turnover exceeds ₽10 trillion.
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☘️ Yesterday, an anonymous miner solo mined Bitcoin block #936100 and received a reward of approximately $213 000 (3.153 BTC).
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🪙 Tether is creating a global map of USDT merchants — if you accept USDT for payment, you can add your point to the map.
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🪙 Binance completed the implementation of the plan to buy BTC for $1,000,000,000 — the SAFU fund today acquired 4545 BTC, bringing the total number of coins to 15,000 BTC.
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💸 Coinbase began releasing cryptocurrency wallets, designed specifically for AI agents, which will be able to independently conduct transactions without human involvement.
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⚖️ In Russia, fines have begun for paying for cars imported from abroad with cryptocurrency — Media.
Tax authorities qualify such operations as a violation of currency legislation and impose a fine of 20% to 40% of the transaction amount.
If there is no response to the notification, the limitation on the maximum fine amount does not apply.
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🦄 BlackRock launched trading of its tokenized bond fund BUIDL via DeFi Uniswap.
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🇷🇺 RACIB began an audit of the activities of miner manufacturer Bitmain in Russia after complaints about the supply of faulty equipment and warranty issues.
The association also identified the absence of active authorized service centers of the company in the Russian Federation and a "dubious operating model in the market."
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❌ Arkham plans to close its own exchange due to low popularity.
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🐳 Financial giant Goldman Sachs disclosed its positions in crypto: around $1.1 billion in BTC, $1 billion in ETH, $153 million in XRP, and $108 million in Solana — all through spot ETFs.
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🚓 Former CEO SafeMoon received 8-year prison sentence for defrauding investors of $9 000 000.
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❌ The European Union proposes to introduce a complete ban on all cryptocurrency operations in crypto related to Russia
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🇷🇺 In Russia, rules for the arrest and seizure of cryptocurrency in criminal cases have been approved — it has been officially recognized as property.
During seizure, the type of asset, quantity, and addresses will be recorded, and access credentials and devices will be stored sealed; if possible, the crypto can be transferred to a special state address.
The law will come into force 10 days after publication.
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🇮🇱 Israel's crypto industry seeks regulatory easing, stating that reforms could bring up to $38 billion to the economy and create around 70 000 jobs by 2035.
Industry representatives note high public demand for the liberalization of rules for stablecoins, tokenization, and tax accounting, but point to bank resistance and tax barriers as a key problem.
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