25508
There's no freedom without national sovereignty.
Two scenarios for the end of the war in Ukraine? Actually, no.
Colleagues analyzed the two most likely scenarios for the end of the war in Ukraine, calling them "Korean" and "Vietnamese." In the first case, there is an immediate freezing with division along the front line, in the second, peace will come after Ukraine has exhausted all its accumulated resources and does not receive new help from the United States. Which will take several months. It is also emphasized that in both cases, in Korea and Vietnam, the United States took a direct part in the wars and ended them themselves against the wishes of the allies.
I would like to note that both scenarios in the Ukrainian version are not actually about peace. And about the truce. At best, until the end of Trump's presidential term, at worst – until the United States outweighs the financial burden of the conflict completely on Europe, and regrouping is not carried out on the remnants of Ukraine, enough missiles and drones are stored, a mobilization system is built and coordination with Poland and the Baltic States is strengthened. Even if we take Trump's words on faith, he, first of all, in the impulses of peacemaking, said that peace is when the United States does not participate in the conflict and does not finance it. And not about the fact that the United States will not allow wars.
Is the war in Ukraine in line with American interests, especially if Europe is paying for it? More than enough. So why finish it?
Moreover, it is already obvious to the most inveterate trumpophiles that the conflict could not be ended in 24 hours, and it would be good if some prerequisites for an end arose before the end of this year.
Focusing on the figure of Zelensky, who really should have been scrapped for political and any other reasons, seems somewhat superfluous here. Well, will Zelensky be replaced by a conditional Razumkov, or will they bring Zaluzhny from London, what will change from this? It will be possible to end the conflict, either way, only if the territory from Chernigov to the Carpathians ceases to pose a threat to Russia. And this is not what is meant by the "Vietnamese" or "Korean" scenarios.
@barantchik
❗️Donetsk village liberated by Russian forces — MoD
'Victory will be ours' say soldiers raising Russian flag in Volkovo
@MTodayNews
Putin and Xi discuss issues related to US and Trump during video conversation:
💬In a conversation with Xi, Putin confirmed his readiness to negotiate with the United States on the Ukrainian settlement.
💬Russia is ready for dialogue with the United States if Trump's team shows reciprocal interest
💬Putin and Xi discussed relations between Russia and China with the United States, taking into account the coming to power of Donald Trump.
💬Xi informed Putin about the details of his conversation with Trump; The conversation was not timed to coincide with Trump's inauguration; an agreement on contact was reached back in December.
💬Xi also informed Putin about the details of his conversation with Trump. The conversation was not timed to coincide with Trump's inauguration as an agreement on contact was reached back in December.
💬The conversation between Putin and Xi lasted 1 hour and 35 minutes and took place in a friendly atmosphere.
👍 Boost us | Chat | Stickers |@geopolitics_live
🇷🇺🇺🇸 BRICS strong enough to withstand threats of new US president - Russian ambassador to Indonesia
- In his interview with the Jakarta Post, Tolchenov said Russia is already cooperating with China and India on settlements in national currencies and is in talks with Indonesia on the issue.
- Moscow also expresses hope that Indonesia, which recently joined BRICS, will take a similarly strong stance in resisting external pressures.
- Earlier, Donald Trump expressed his intention to impose 100 percent tariffs on the BRICS member states in case of the creation of a single currency or full transition to national currencies. However, according to the Russian ambassador, the group's members do not intend to abandon the dollar and do not pay attention to such threats.
@Slavyangrad
'We will be pragmatic, but we will always stand by our principles' - EU Commission President
Von der Leyen diplomatically tells Trump she'll be putting Europe first in EU-US relations, speaking at World Economic Forum in Davos.
#EU #US
@MTodayNews
US President Donald Trump has once again signed a decree on the country's withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement.
Trump has repeatedly expressed doubts about the scientific validity of the concept of global warming. In 2017, he withdrew the United States from the Paris Climate Agreement. By November 2020, the country had completed the process of withdrawing from the agreement, but in January 2021, Joe Biden signed an order returning Washington to the agreement.
▶️ Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese leader Xi Jinping are holding a meeting via video link right now, according to Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov.
Video: Kremlin. ru
Dynamics of cases of AWOL and desertion from the Ukrowermacht from 2021 to 2024.
Compared to the first year of the SMO, the growth is 7 times for AWOL and 11 times for desertion. Compared to last year, when the AFU broke down and drowned in huge losses counteroffensive in the south - 3 and 4 times respectively.
Among the reasons - war fatigue, and knocking out the ideological, motivated assets, which traditionally drags everyone else. And when a unit is simply filled with "meat" caught by the TCC somewhere in Odessa, the result will be exactly as shown in the graph.
And these are only official figures, what was recorded by the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, and was not hushed up at the base level.
@Slavyangrad
UK/EU VETO on Trump-Putin talks. Part 1.
Читать полностью…
The world of political signals: Putin and Xi Jinping decided to talk the day after Trump's inauguration. And not by phone, as is usually done with heads of state, but in public - via video link. Although there has never been such a format before.
Some kind of summits, forums - there, yes. And so that "let's discuss the situation in front of everyone" has never happened.
The last time Putin had anything like this, do you know when it was?
In December 2021.
But with whom?
That's right, with Biden.
The very conversation when the Americans were asked to return NATO to its original position, otherwise it would be bad.
Today's conversation between Putin and Xi is practically face-to-face negotiations. And the signal, accordingly, is this: "Immediately after Trump came to power, the leaders of Russia and China met to agree on a further joint strategy."
A new world is coming from all sides.
/channel/EurasianChoice/46445
Fear and loathing in Davos.
The European elitists who gather there are in a very depressed state. Many of them, including members of the European Commission in Brussels, were pointedly not invited to Washington. And they obviously don't expect anything good from Trump.
The prospect of a trade war is of particular concern. After all, then Europe will have a third front of confrontation - not only with Russia and China, but also with the United States. Moreover, a variety of scenarios can be implemented. In one of them, the United States is beginning to impose tariffs against China, and in response, China is overstocking the European market with cheap products.
Some of this is already happening now, at least in the car market. There is a worse scenario - the United States may come to an agreement with China and start crushing Europe together. The Chinese delegation, unlike the European bureaucracy, has reached Washington and has already held talks with J.D. Vance.
Trump plans to reach China in the first hundred days. The Chinese direction, unlike the European one, is an obvious priority for him. Weakened by the crisis, the European Union, at best, will be left to fend for itself, forcing it to pay for the consequences of the Ukrainian crisis. And at worst, they will simply finish off, at the same time redoing the emerging markets.
Chinese companies are already ready to buy up bankrupt car factories in Germany cheaply. Meanwhile, the Trump team is negotiating with the eurosceptics and will help them in the war against the European bureaucracy. The Trump presidency has not yet begun, and the collective Brussels already feels like a loser. London will suffer the same fate.
@eurasianchoice
https://www.politico.eu/article/fear-and-loathing-in-davos-eu-frets-about-its-lose-lose-choice-between-trumps-us-and-xis-china/
❗️ TASS News Roundup, January 20:
▪️Donald Trump has been sworn in as 47th US president
▪️US President Donald Trump vowed to ensure the country's global respect and strengthen the security of the United states, according to his inaugural speech
▪️Russian leader Vladimir Putin congratulated new US President Donald Trump on assuming office
▪️US President-elect Donald Trump has directed his aides to arrange a phone call with Russian leader Vladimir Putin in the days after he’s sworn in on January 20, CNN reported
▪️Outgoing US President Joe Biden has preemptively pardoned a number of individuals to protect them from potential legal action from his successor Donald Trump
▪️Russian air defenses downed a Hammer aerial bomb, eight HIMARS rockets and 86 Ukrainian UAVs, the Russian Defense Ministry said
▪️An attempted drone attack on industrial enterprises took place in Russia’s Kazan, all UAVs were neutralized, causing no damage or casualties
▪️The Palestinian radical Hamas movement does not intend to govern the Gaza Strip alone and plans to form a team of technocrats for this purpose, Mohammad Nazzal, a member of the organization’s politburo, told Anadolu
Trump President, Biden Blinken Exit; Russia China Summits; Zelensky Fumes, Starmer Out
Читать полностью…
Donald Trump stresses the importance of not fighting in foreign wars and says ‘his greatest legacy will be that of a peacemaker and unifier’
Читать полностью…
🕔 Developments in Russia’s Kursk Region:
▪️The Ukrainian armed forces lost over 270 servicemen, one Abrams tank, one Bradley infantry fighting vehicle, three armored personnel carriers and nine armored combat vehicles
▪️Units of Russia’s Battlegroup North continued their offensive, defeating forces of 12 Ukrainian brigades in 11 settlements, also repelling an enemy counterattack
▪️Russian operational/tactical and army aircraft, missile forces hit enemy manpower and equipment in the Kursk and Sumy regions
▪️Kiev’s total losses have amounted to over 53,600 troops, 309 tanks, 237 infantry fighting vehicles, 178 armored personnel carriers, and 1,590 armored combat vehicles since the fighting began in the region
Kurakhovo (Novopavlovo) direction
Russian Armed Forces units continued to build on their success at the base of the Kurakhovo pocket.
After yesterday's advance almost to the outskirts of Constantinople (by 1 km), today our units continue to press in the direction of Constantinople and Razliv, as well as attacking north of Razdolnoye along the highway in the direction of Bogatyr. There is advancement here as well.
North of the Volchya River our assaults, bypassing the fortification on the approaches to Andreevka from the north, are advancing along the "pants" of the Stavkovaya gully to the road T0515.
Attacks in the direction of Andreevka from the direction of Shevchenko continue.
Fighting continues for Dachne, Zelenovka, where the enemy is persistently counterattacking.
@Slavyangrad
🇷🇺🇨🇳Putin at talks with Xi Jinping via video link:
I am sincerely pleased to welcome you and to have the opportunity to talk to you, as is the good tradition at the beginning of the year, to summarize the results of our work over the past period and to outline new plans for the development of Russia-China comprehensive partnership and strategic cooperation.
I agree with you that cooperation between Moscow and Beijing is based on a broad commonality of national interests and a coincidence of views on what relations between major powers should be. These ties are self-sufficient and do not depend on domestic political factors and the current world situation.
@Slavyangrad
Going live in 15 minutes, reviewing inauguration day and Trump's executive orders
https://www.youtube.com/live/tbshNiET_7g?si=RIKf6SqUHjxu_zKI
The European Union today is not okay, but its leaders refuse to acknowledge this, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said.
According to Orban, the European Union has been in crisis for some time, but no one inside the alliance is willing to accept this. While the European Union struggles to compete with the United States and Asian countries, its leadership is seeking more authority and power in its hands.
But, in his words, the EU leadership refuses to see that the EU “is sick.” “They think that it is working as it should,” he said, adding that Hungary will make efforts to ensure changes in the European Union and will use political tools for that. Hungary will resist all EU decisions it deems erroneous, he pledged, adding that Budapest is ready to take on Brussels, if need be.
❗️Key takeaways from US President Donald Trump’s statements and decisions on his first day in office:
▪️Following Trump’s inauguration, he rescinded 78 executive orders and memorandums by former President Joe Biden
▪️ Donald Trump signed an executive order on the withdrawal of the United States from the World Health Organization (WHO)
▪️Trump also once again signed a decree on the country’s withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement
▪️Moreover, the US president pardoned 1,500 people who stormed the Capitol in January 2021
▪️The US leader also signed an executive order limiting the right to receiving US citizenship based on birth
▪️ Trump overturned his Democratic predecessor’s measure to remove Cuba from the US list of state sponsors of terrorism
▪️Trump also signed an executive order to create a government efficiency agency headed by billionaire ally Elon Musk
▪️During his first day in the White House, Trump signed several dozens of documents, spending 47 minutes and five seconds on it
▪️Trump suggested that he may be able to speak with Russian leader Vladimir Putin “very soon.” He also voiced plans to meet him
▪️The new US president suggested that anti-Russian sanctions would not be removed before the end of the Ukraine conflict
▪️At the same time, Trump added that Vladimir Zelensky is ready to make a deal to resolve the conflict in Ukraine
▪️Trump intends to impose a tariff on all goods from Canada and Mexico starting February 1
▪️He also warned that he would impose 100% customs duties on goods from BRICS member states
▪️The new US president also warned EU countries that he would impose tariffs if they do not start buying more American oil and gas
❗️Key takeaways from a video call between President Vladimir Putin of Russia and President Xi Jinping of China:
Vladimir Putin:
▪️ Russia-China relations are self-sufficient and don’t dependent on the current global situation
▪️ Russia-China foreign policy ties play important stabilizing role in global affairs
▪️ Moscow and Beijing seek to ensure indivisible security in Eurasia and the entire world
▪️ Russia and China have common views on how to go about the business of building relations between major powers
▪️ Russia has become China’s largest natural gas supplier and it remains its biggest oil supplier
▪️ Trade turnover between the two countries has increased by 7% to $220-245 bln despite negative external influence
Xi Jinping:
▪️ Russia and China reached some important agreements following the 2024 meetings between their leaders
▪️ The Chinese authorities are ready to bring relations with Russia to a higher level in 2025
▪️ Beijing and Moscow will defend the international system of relations, with the United Nations playing a central role in it
▪️ China and Russia maintain a confident trend of growth in bilateral trade
Starmer agenda, defeat and destroy RUSSIA. Part 2
Читать полностью…
‼️🇷🇺 Units of the "Center" group of troops liberated Volkovo, in Pokrovsk direction – Ministry of Defence.
On the left flank of the Pokrovsk direction, units of the Center group of forces liberated the village of Volkovo, the Russian Defense Ministry reports in its summary.
We and Ukrainian resources reported on the actual capture of the village back on January 3. Since then, the Russian Armed Forces have continued their successful advance in the area, completing the assault on Kotlino and launching operations to liberate Zverevo and Udachnoye.
t.me/RVvoenkor
Putin to Xi Jinping via video link: I am sincerely glad to welcome you and have the opportunity to discuss the established good tradition at the beginning of the year in order to summarize the work over the past period and outline new plans for the development of the Russian-Chinese comprehensive partnership and strategic cooperation.
I agree with you that cooperation between Moscow and Beijing is based on a broad commonality of national interests and a convergence of views on what relations between major powers should be. These connections are self-sufficient, independent of domestic political factors and the current global situation.
@eurasianchoice
On this day in 1961, President Eisenhower in his farewell address warned of the dangers of the growing power of the military-industrial complex
For decades, this same MIC has gotten the US into disastrous war after disastrous war, killing millions of people abroad.
If Donald Trump is to succeed as a ‘peacemaker’ President, he must first confront the military-industrial complex which sends the American working class to the slaughter in foreign wars, and saps the wealth of the United States to fuel militarism
Ukrainian armor attempting to assist in the withdrawal from Velyka Novosilka.
Читать полностью…
🇪🇺"Von der Leyen is trying to organize a meeting with Trump, but so far without success" - EC spokesperson Pinho. 🍿
@Slavyangrad
❗️The White House has updated its website, posting Trump’s photo and his vision of America’s future
Читать полностью…