Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

03 February 2026 09:41

PG ELECTROPLAST MAINTAIN GUIDANCE

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

03 February 2026 06:37

TRANSFORMERS & RECTIFIERS Says

Deal With The EU Was Very Positive & Now The US Deal Is Also Encouraging

US Exports Currently Stand At Around ₹150 Cr. While Enquiries Are Around ₹1,000 Cr

Thare Are Over 150 m Enquiries From The US, Which Will Be Worked On To Convert into Order

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

03 February 2026 03:37

Keep an eye on these Today

Himatsingka Seide
Gokaldas Exports
Indo Count Industries
Welspun Living
Pokarna
Garware Hi Tech Films
Goldiam International
Kitex Garments
Trident
PDS Ltd
LT Foods
Avanti Feeds
Apex Frozen Foods
Bharat Forge
Sona BLW
Ramkrishna Forgings
Aarti Industries
Atul Ltd


Not a buy sell recommendation.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

02 February 2026 09:35

Sage one Says!!!

@Stockupdate9

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

02 February 2026 07:08

LIC HOUSING Says Growth Will Improve In Q4

Rate Cuts Led To A Lot Of Pressure On Margins

Will Focus On Protecting Margins

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

02 February 2026 05:46

V. Where India Fits Today

• India currently operates between Tier-3 and Tier-2
• Most firms started as make-to-print vendors
• Now moving toward design-led, IP-driven work

Current global share: ~2%
Target share: ~10%

That jump =
• Higher margins
• Better visibility
• Pricing power

VI. Who Makes Money Where (Margin Reality)

Margins rise with complexity and IP ownership.

Approximate EBITDA ladder:
• Tier-4: 8–12%
• Tier-3: 12–18%
• Tier-2: 20–35%
• Tier-1: 25–40%
• OEMs: Often lower due to R&D and working capital

Tier-2 and Tier-3 is India’s sweet spot.

VII. Risks & Challenges (The Other Side of the Runway)

Certification Barrier

• 3–5 years from RFQ to stable revenue
• One deviation can reset approvals

Capital Intensity

• ₹50–100 crore+ per certified facility
• 90–120 day receivable cycles

Global Cyclicality

• Aviation demand is cyclical
• Geopolitics and sanctions matter

Talent Gap

• 2–3 years to train aerospace-grade machinists
• Attrition is costly

Import Dependence

• Titanium, alloys, coatings still largely imported

VIII. How to Think Rationally as an Investor

• This is not a theme trade
• Few players = strong moats
• Long gestation = sticky revenue
• High P/E reflects rarity, not hype
• Promoter mindset matters more than order size

Aerospace rewards:
• Patience
• Process discipline
• Execution consistency

Final Takeaway

This is not a flashy sector.
It’s a quiet compounding story built on trust, certification, and precision.

Short-term traders will lose interest.
Long-term investors will see value compound.

The loud chase headlines.
The real ones chase tolerances.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

02 February 2026 03:41

Budget Day Sector Impact – Quick Read

Data Centers – Biggest Winners
Stocks: Anant Raj, Adani Data, E2E, Black Box, Netweb
Clear policy tailwinds with strong capex visibility driving sustained growth momentum.

Defence & Shipping – Disappointed
Stocks: HAL, BEL, Mazagon Dock, GRSE
Allocations rose ~20% but fell short of expectations; most stocks corrected >5%.

Brokerages / Capital Markets – Very Unhappy
Stocks: Angel One, BSE, Groww
STT hike on F&O expected to dampen trading volumes, velocity, and profitability.

PSU Banks – Under Pressure
Stocks: SBI, Bank of Baroda, PNB, Canara Bank
Govt borrowing at ~₹17.2T (above street estimates) pushing bond yields higher → potential MTM losses.
Q3 core operating income was soft; treasury income now faces risk.

CDMO & Pharma – Positive
Stocks: Vimta Labs, Sai Life
₹10,000 Cr allocation under *Bio-Pharma Shakti* to boost biologics and biosimilar R&D.

IT Services – Negative
Stocks: Large-cap IT
Buyback tax tweak reduces efficiency of shareholder cash return programs.

EMS / Electronics – Positive
Stocks: Amber, Dixon
₹40,000 Cr allocation reinforces domestic manufacturing ecosystem; strong structural tailwind.

FMCG – Neutral
Stocks: Large FMCG names
Rural emphasis maintained, but no major consumption catalyst in near term.

Key Takeaway:
Budget 2026–27 played favourites — strong push for Data Centers and Electronics, while Financials and IT faced clear headwinds.

Live Stocks updates👇
@Stockupdate9

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

02 February 2026 02:45

Good morning friends

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

31 January 2026 13:20

IDFC First Bank

While Others banks reported CASA deposits growth between 12-16%

IDFC First reported 33% growth😮

Live Stocks updates👇
@Stockupdate9

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

31 January 2026 07:03

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

31 January 2026 04:48

Wellness is a journey, not a destination.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

30 January 2026 08:59

MTARTech is the only Indian listed AI proxy play

The Bloom Energy impact is evident in this qtrs financials

Operating Leverage should play out from here with EBITDA margins expanding back to 30%+ range

FY28 Rev should be 2200-3000cr

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

30 January 2026 04:57

Capri Global Capital

Guidance raised
AUM 55,000 Cr by FY28 (vs 50,000 Cr Earlier)

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

30 January 2026 04:20

Swiggy Q3 FY26 – Growth & Margin Beat

Operational Highlights:
- B2C GOV jumped 49% YoY, ahead of ~48–50% expectations.
- Food delivery GOV up 20.5% YoY vs expected 18–20%; adjusted margin rose to 3% (vs 2.5% YoY).
- Instamart GOV surged 103% YoY, surpassing >100% growth estimates.
- Quick-commerce contribution margin improved to -2.5% (from -4.6%), showing operating leverage.
- Quick-commerce AOV up 40% YoY to ₹746, driving stronger unit economics.

Management Commentary:
- Swiggy continues to avoid deep-discount, volume-only growth strategies.
- Quick-commerce contribution breakeven guided for Q1 FY27.
- Non-grocery share in Instamart rose to 32.2% (vs 15.6% in Q4 FY25) – healthy category mix shift.
- Bolt and 99-store formats now contribute 20%+ of food delivery volumes.
- Reiterates 18–20% YoY growth outlook for food delivery GOV and 4.5–5% EBITDA margin guidance.

Impact: Positive – Broad-based topline momentum with improving margins and clear path to profitability.

Must JOIN 👇
@Concalls3

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

29 January 2026 12:42

LIVE QUATERLY RESULT FOR Q3FY26 AND ALL LATEST UPDATE 👇🏻

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

03 February 2026 08:30

Kitex Garments Update: 30-35% FY26 Turnover Hit from US Duties | Digital Push Ahead

FY26 Headwinds
- Estimates 30–35% turnover decline due to 50% US import duties

Industry Tailwinds
- Textile sector poised for “golden era” with enhanced competitiveness
- Strong export demand outlook expected

Strategic Moves
- Launched products on e-commerce platforms to expand consumer reach

Key Takeaway:
US duties pose significant FY26 challenge for Kitex, offset by textile sector boom and digital diversification efforts.

Dont Miss to JOIN 👇🏻
@Stockupdate9

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

03 February 2026 04:18

Krishana Phoschem: Explosive Q3 Growth at ₹469

Stock Snapshot
- Price ₹469 (+131% 1Y, -24% from ₹619 high)
- PE 21.9x, PEG 0.51, MCap ₹2,837 Cr, D/E 0.93
- ROCE 21.7%, ROE 25.3%, BV ₹73.4, P/BV 6.39x
- 52W H/L ₹619/₹175; 5Y Sales/Profit CAGR 53%/44%

Company Edge
- Founded 2004, Ostwal Group; only private integrated low-grade to high-grade rock phosphate converter
- India's #2 SSP, #4 phosphatic fertilizer producer
- 16% Chhattisgarh, 6% MP market share
- Brands: Annadata (SSP), Bharat (NPK/DAP)

Q3FY26 Results
- Revenue ₹659 Cr (+117% YoY vs ₹304 Cr); 9M ₹1,663 Cr (+86% YoY > FY25 ₹1,355 Cr)
- EBITDA ₹70.1 Cr (+58% YoY), margin 11% (vs 15% Q3FY25)
- PAT ₹33.3 Cr (+62% YoY vs ₹20.5 Cr), EPS ₹5.50
- 9M PAT ₹97 Cr (+119% YoY); FY25 PAT ₹87 Cr; TTM PAT ₹130 Cr, EPS ₹21.46

Financial Health
- EV/EBITDA 11.4x (peers: Coromandel 18.3x, Paradeep 9.1x, median 8.25x)
- OCF FY25 ₹154 Cr (vs FY24 -₹83 Cr); capex ₹32 Cr
- Promoter holding 72.26% (up from 64.8% Mar'23, zero pledge); FII 0.20%, DII 0%
- WC cycle 95 days (vs 263 FY23); inventory 60 days (vs 194); debtor days 102
- Interest coverage 7.46x; dividend ₹0.50 DPS FY25 (4% payout)

Growth Catalysts
- Meghnagar plant commissioning Mar 2026 (phosphatic capacity expansion)
- 3Y sales CAGR 62%, TTM 86%; 3Y profit CAGR 43%, TTM 119%

Risks
- High P/BV 6.39x vs peers 2-3x
- Fertilizer subsidy dependency
- Chinese dumping risk
- Margin compression: 16% FY23 → 14% FY25 → 12% TTM

Key Takeaway: Integrated cost edge + hypergrowth at PEG 0.51 post-24% correction positions Krishana for re-rating with Mar'26 capacity inflection.

Dont Miss to JOIN 👇🏻
@Stockupdate9

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

02 February 2026 14:12

PG Electroplast

Guidance Maintained

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

02 February 2026 07:08

LIC Housing Says Witnessed ₹4,000 Cr Worth Of Outflows In Q3

Have Revised Re-Writing Rates

Loan Book To Grow Better In Q4; More Than 5%

Not Sure Of Double-Digit Loan Book Growth For FY26

BT-Out Run Rate Not Back To Historical Levels

Back To Normal Re-Writing Levels Of ₹1,000 Cr/Month

Aggressive In Negotiating Borrowing Costs

Fixed-To-Floating Rate Of Borrowing At 50-50

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

02 February 2026 07:08

GAIL Says Plan To Add Around 85 CNG Stations In The Next 2 Years- Informist

Hope To Achieve Gas Transmission Guidance Of 124-125 Mscmd For FY26

Expect 134-135 Mscmd Of Gas Transmission Volume In FY27

See Prices Softening On Abundant Global Gas Supply From FY27

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

02 February 2026 05:46

Decoding the Aerospace Value Chain:

How India Is Quietly Moving Up the Global Flight Plan

Why This Matters for Investors

The aerospace sector isn’t flying high because of one big order or one defence headline.
It’s taking off because the entire global manufacturing model has been rewired — and India is finally sitting in the cockpit, not just the passenger seat.

This is a structural, multi-decade story, not a short-term cycle.

I. The Global Turbulence That Rewired Aerospace

This boom didn’t appear overnight. It came out of chaos. Three clear phases explain why.

1. The COVID Shock (2020–21): When the Engines Stalled

• Global flights dropped ~65%
• OEMs cut aircraft production by 40–50%
• Thousands of Tier-2 and Tier-3 suppliers shut down permanently
• Skilled labour exited; certifications like AS9100 and NADCAP expired

Aerospace isn’t plug-and-play manufacturing.
When certified people left, capability left with them.

Restarting later meant rebuilding skills, processes, and trust from scratch — something many Western suppliers couldn’t afford.

2. The Recovery Rush (2022–23): Demand Returned, Supply Didn’t

• Revenge travel surged faster than expected
• Labour shortages, 3× freight costs, tight liquidity
• Even Tier-1 suppliers struggled to deliver
• OEMs launched supplier recovery programs and prepayments

The result:
Engines delayed planes → planes delayed deliveries → cash flows got stuck.

3. The Structural Shift (2024 Onwards): The Real Tailwind

This is the real inflection point.

• OEMs moved from *Just-in-Time* to *Just-in-Case*
• Dual sourcing became mandatory
• Supply chains were diversified geographically
• “Friend-shoring” replaced pure cost arbitrage

India emerged as a trust arbitrage, not a cost play.

Why India stood out:
• Skilled engineering workforce
• Manufacturing at scale
• Strong IP protection
• Geopolitical neutrality

This is not a rebound.
It’s a global reshuffle of trust.

II. How Big Is the Aerospace Opportunity Really?

Global Market Reality

• Aerospace manufacturing today: ~USD 430 billion
• Expected by 2028: ~USD 530 billion
• CAGR: ~3.6%
• Airbus and Boeing order backlogs: 10–12 years

Even if new orders stopped today, suppliers stay busy for a decade.

India’s True Addressable Opportunity

India is small today — but the runway is massive.

Key drivers:
• India is the world’s 3rd-largest civil aviation market
• Air India + IndiGo have 1,000+ aircraft on order
• 90%+ MRO work is currently outsourced abroad

Even 25% MRO localisation creates a multi-billion-dollar annual market.

Combined opportunity across:
• Aerostructures
• Engines
• MRO tooling

👉 USD 10–12 billion annually over the next 10–12 years.

III. Policy and Ecosystem Tailwinds

This isn’t happening in isolation.

• Defence corridors in Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh
• PLI schemes for advanced manufacturing
• Offset policies pushing global sourcing
• Airbus, Boeing, Safran, GE, Collins, Honeywell expanding India partnerships
• Certification ecosystem maturing rapidly

Put simply:
• Demand visibility: ✅
• Global diversification: ✅
• Policy support: ✅
• Indian capability: ✅

IV. The Aerospace Value Chain: Who Does What

Think of aerospace like building a skyscraper.

OEMs – The Master Builders

• Design the aircraft
• Integrate all systems
• Deliver the final plane

They define specifications but don’t build everything themselves.

Tier-1 – System Integrators

• Engines, landing gear, avionics, wings
• Deep IP, long contracts
• Highest control over sub-suppliers

They manage the entire downstream supply chain.

Tier-2 – Sub-Assembly Specialists

• Turbine blades
• Casings
• Aerostructures
• Precision assemblies

This is India’s fastest-growing layer.

It requires precision, discipline, and scale — not cheap labour.

Tier-3 – Component Makers

• Brackets
• Rings
• Housings
• Fasteners

Margins are lower, but once certified, vendor switching is rare.

Tier-4 – Material and Process Backbone

• Forgings
• Alloys
• Coatings
• Heat treatment

Invisible, but foundational.

India is improving here, but still import-dependent.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

02 February 2026 03:38

Union Budget: From Basics to Breakthroughs — A 12-Year Policy Evolution

Phase 1: The Saturation of Basics (2014–2019)
Focused on building the foundation — fixing India’s delivery pipeline.
- 2014–15: Swachh Bharat – Sanitation infrastructure rollout.
- 2015–16: JAM Trinity – Financial inclusion for every household.
- 2018–19: Ayushman Bharat – Health assurance for millions.
Strategic Logic: You can’t build a superpower on a weak base. These years secured the bottom of the pyramid.

Phase 2: The Infrastructure Pivot (2020–2023)
Post-COVID reset — shifting from welfare to asset creation.
- 2020–21: National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP) launched.
- 2022–23: PM GatiShakti, 35% jump in capital expenditure.
Strategic Logic: Public capex used as a growth engine to cut logistics costs and revive the economy.

Phase 3: The Human Capital & Consumption Push (2024–2026)
Reorienting toward growth through workforce and wallets.
- 2024–25: Jobs Focus – 5-scheme youth employment package targeting 4.1 Cr beneficiaries.
- 2025–26: Middle Class Relief – No tax up to ₹12 Lakh/year under the new regime.
Strategic Logic: Empowering the demographic dividend to spark consumption-led expansion.

The Structural Progression:
India’s budgets have evolved from repairing the past to building the future — from toilets and bank accounts to semiconductors and AI.

Key Takeaway:
The 2026–27 roadmap is expected to extend the arc of reform — balancing Fiscal Consolidation with Next-Gen Growth Priorities.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

01 February 2026 03:31

Good Morning friends

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

31 January 2026 08:50

INVESTING IS SIMPLE, BUT NOT EASY

Contents from Bharat Shah Book.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

31 January 2026 04:53

Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd – Global Instant Coffee Exporter on a Strong Growth Brew

Aggressive Expansion | Rising Institutional Interest | 13 Quarters of Profit Growth

- Valuation: Trades at ~30–35x PE, supported by sustained multi-year expansion and premiumization roadmap.
- Leadership: CMD *Balakrishna Tati*, an industry veteran, commissioned the instant coffee facility in a record ~14 months and now steering the move toward higher-margin premium products.
- Institutional Traction: Growing institutional shareholding (~15%) with participation from *Bandhan Small Cap Fund (~0.5% AUM)*, *Astorne Capital*, and *Venus Investments*.
- Q3 FY26 Performance: Revenue up ~71% YoY to ₹150.52 crore; Net profit surged ~53% YoY to ₹19.11 crore – 13th straight quarter of earnings growth.
- Product Focus: Core portfolio includes spray-dried, agglomerated, and chicory-blended instant coffee under *VELOX* and *FILCO* brands.
- Capacity Scale-Up: Additional ~4,500 MTPA to go live by March 2026, expanding total capacity by ~69% to ~11,000 MTPA.
- Export Footprint: Serves 25+ countries including Russia, CIS, Europe, West Africa, and Southeast Asia.
- Premium Push: New ~5,500 MTPA freeze-dried coffee facility coming up in Telangana with phased ~₹1,100 crore investment for global premium markets.
- Efficiency Metrics: Modern automated setup driving ROE ~11.4% and ROCE ~8.3%; growth-adjusted valuation attractive (PEG ~0.23).
- Diversification: Expanding beyond B2B exports into retail and D2C offerings via Hosur unit.
- Balance Sheet Strength: Promoter unpledged ~50 lakh shares in Jan 2026, reflecting improved financial flexibility.

Key Takeaway: Vintage Coffee is emerging as a fast-scaling, export-led coffee manufacturer with a clear roadmap toward premiumization and sustainable earnings growth.

Must JOIN 👇
@Stockupdate9

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

30 January 2026 09:14

MTAR TECH Says Expect 50% Revenue Growth In FY27

Will Achieve Growth Guidance Of 30-35% In FY26

Expect Margin To Hover In SA The Range Of 24-25%

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

30 January 2026 05:55

CONCOR

EXIM revenue to cross ₹6,000 cr this year. Will meet guidance of 13%, overall volume growth given at the start of the year, says SanjaySwarup of CONCOR

Must JOIN 👇
@Concalls3

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

30 January 2026 04:55

Vedanta Q3 Commentary: Ramp-up & Deleveraging Focus

Cairn Oil Ramp-up:
- Targets 90,000 bbl/day to 1.2 lakh bbl/day within 6 months.
- Priorities: Volume growth, cost cuts, cash conversion.

Financial Strategy:
- Cash flows allocated to growth capex, dividends, deleveraging.
- Aim: Reduce net debt/EBITDA to 1x from current 1.23x.

Aluminium Outlook:
- COP to drop $150/t in Q4 FY26.
- Strong demand drives aluminium deficit and prices.

Demerger Update:
- All 5 Vedanta entities to list between April 1 - May 15, 2026.

Key Takeaway:
Cairn volumes + aluminium cost relief fuel deleveraging to 1x – demerger unlock ahead.

Must JOIN 👇
@Concalls3

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

30 January 2026 03:08

The right time is Anytime. The best time is now.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

29 January 2026 11:18

P/Es are meaningless

Unless you understand ROIC-WACC and Earnings Growth