Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

12 Mar 2025 20:05

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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

12 Mar 2025 05:43

👉KEC International

⚡️Comprehensive Solutions:
KEC provides end-to-end solutions for building transmission lines, including design, manufacturing, testing, supply, and erection.

👉Recent Transmission Towers Project

KEC International has secured substantial new orders in its T&D business, including projects from Power Grid Corporation of India Limited (PGCIL)

👉 Financial

⭐️ Revenue (in cr)

⚡️Jun 2024: 4,512
⚡️Sep 2024: 5,113
⚡️Dec 2024: 5,349

⭐️PAT(in cr)

⚡️Jun 2024: 88
⚡️Sep 2024: 85
⚡️Dec 2024: 130

👉Key metrics

⚡️Market Cap: ₹ 19,246 Cr.
⚡️Current Price: ₹ 723
⚡️Stock P/E: 42.4
⚡️ROCE: 16.0 %
⚡️ROE: 8.80 %
⚡️Debt to equity: 0.85
⚡️Profit Var 3Yrs: -14.2 %
⚡️Sales growth 3Years: 14.9 %

👉Shareholder Pattern

⚡️Promoter holding: 50.1 %
⚡️Change in Prom Hold: 0.00 %
⚡️FII holding: 15.2 %
⚡️Chg in FII Hold: 1.60 %
⚡️DII holding: 24.9 %
⚡️Chg in DII Hold: -1.42 %
⚡️Public holding: 9.79 %

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

11 Mar 2025 09:34

J KUMAR INFRA Management Says Bid Pipeline at 25000 Cr, hopeful of winning 10000 Cr worth orders over the next 12-15 months

FY27 Revenue target above 7000 Cr - CNBCTV18

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

11 Mar 2025 08:11

GODREJ CONSUMER Says Expect ₹1500 to ₹2000 cr revenues coming from Tamil Nadu facility- ETNOW

Hopeful urban markets will pick up in this quarter

Both urban and rural market will do better going ahead

High food price inflation has come down in last two months

State and welfare schemes are positive for FMCG sector

Confident on pricing

We did see a pretty K-shape recovery in the market

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

11 Mar 2025 06:14

KAYNES TECH Says Fund Raise Got Deferred By A Couple Of Months

Hopeful Of 50% CAGR Over The Next 3-4 Years - CNBCTV18

KAYNES TECH Says Semiconductor PCBA Will Start Contributing Meaningfully In Next Few Years

Order Inflow Is Increasing By 25-30% Every Quarter

Smart Meters Biz Has Seen Good Acceleration In Q4

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:14

🙏🏻 END 🙏🏻

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:13

Key Risks & Challenges

⚠️ Steel Price Volatility – Fluctuations in raw material costs could impact project profitability
⚠️ Competitive Industry – Presence of multiple organized & unorganized players in the EPC & T&D space
⚠️ Execution Risks – Large-scale projects require timely execution; potential delays due to monsoon, ROW issues & funding delays
⚠️ Economic Downturns – Infrastructure project inflows could slow down during macroeconomic uncertainties

📌 Transrail mitigates risks through strong supplier relationships, backward integration, and a diversified global order book.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:12

Valuation & Key Metrics

📌 Does It Pass Fundamental Investment Screening?

Refer Below Image

✅ Passes 6/9 Key Investment Filters
❌ Fails in P/E,D/E, & PB ratio (But justified by High ROE & ROCE)

NO Buy/Sell reco. Do your own research before buying/selling.

📊 Positives:
✅ Strong ROE (24.1%) & ROCE (35.0%) – High capital efficiency
✅ Growing Order Book – ₹15,643 Cr with 51% international share
✅ Expansion Plans – New tower manufacturing plant & brownfield expansion
✅ High Promoter Holding (71.1%) & No Pledging (0.00%)

⚠️ Concerns:
❌ Higher Debt-to-Equity (0.55) – Slightly leveraged but manageable
❌ Expensive Valuation – P/B ratio of 5.61

NO Buy/Sell reco. Do your own research before buying/selling.

📌 Transrail has strong financials, solid growth potential, but valuations remain high. Margin expansion & debt reduction will be key triggers

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:11

Management Guidance & Future Plans

📌 Order Book:
🔹Current Order Book: ₹15,643 Cr (49% Domestic, 51% International)
🔹L1 Pipeline: ₹4,144 Cr (as per Q3FY25 concall)

💰 Capital Allocation from ₹400 Cr IPO Fundraise:
🔹₹250 Cr → Working Capital
🔹₹90 Cr → CapEx Expansion
🔹₹60 Cr → Debt Reduction

💹 Revenue Growth & EBITDA Outlook:
🔹FY25 Revenue Target: ₹5,200 Cr (+30% YoY)
🔹FY26 Target Revenue: ₹6,500 Cr (+25% YoY)

📊 EBITDA Margin:
🔹Currently: ~13%
🔹Expected by FY26: 14-15%
🔹Long-term Goal: 16-18%

📊 PAT Guidance:
🔹FY25 PAT Growth: Expected at +91.89% YoY
🔹PAT Margin (FY25 & FY26): 5.9 - 6%

📊 Execution Timeline & H1 vs. H2 Split:
📌 H1 Execution: 40% of Annual Revenue
📌 H2 Execution: 60% of Annual Revenue
🔹 Reason: Monsoon season affects execution in H1, while H2 has faster project completion

🔍 Working Capital:
🔹Working Capital Cycle: 96 days, expected to reduce to 64 days post IPO funds usage

🏭 Expansion Plans & Facility Updates:
🔹Solar EPC Expansion – First 80 MW project secured
🔹Railway Electrification Orders – Increasing execution pipeline

🌍 International Business & Market Diversification:
🔹Current International Share: 51% of Order Book
🎯 FY26 Target: Maintain 50-55% mix with new markets

- Key Markets: Africa, SAARC, Southeast Asia
- Bangladesh Exposure:
🔹 Currently: 20% of Order Book
🎯 Reducing to 10% by FY26

📌 Strategic Priorities for FY25-FY26:
🔹Increase Manufacturing Contribution → Margin expansion
🔹Expand Order Book → Targeting higher international orders
🔹Maintain Strong Execution → Completing projects ahead of schedule

📌 With a strong order book, strategic capital allocation, and clear growth guidance, Transrail is poised for sustained expansion.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:10

Competitive Landscape & Market Positioning

📊 Market Position:
🔹One of the leading EPC players in Power Transmission & Distribution in India
🔹Backward-integrated with in-house manufacturing of towers, conductors & poles is a key differentiator from competitors

⚔️ Top Competitors:
🔹KEC International – Largest player in India with diversified EPC operations
🔹Kalpataru Power Transmission Ltd – Strong in Power T&D & Infrastructure
🔹Sterlite Power & Adani Transmission – Private T&D infrastructure players

📈 Order Pipeline & Growth:
🔹Unexecuted Order Book: ₹15,643 Cr (as of Dec 2024) – 49% domestic, 51% international
🔹Order Inflow Growth: ₹4,715 Cr in 9MFY25 – 50% YoY growth

🌍 Export Market Expansion:
🔹Key International Markets: Africa, SAARC, Southeast Asia
🔹50% of L1 orders are from international projects

💰 Financial Strength:
🔹Working Capital Cycle: 64 days (excluding IPO funds), 96 days (including IPO funds)
🔹EBITDA Margins: 12.5%+ sustainable, supported by backward integration

📌With a strong market position, international expansion, and financial resilience, Transrail is well-positioned for future growth

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:09

Expansion & Growth Strategy

🏭 Current Manufacturing Facilities:

🔹Deoli Plant (Maharashtra) – 50,000 MTPA | High utilization (~98%) | CNC & plasma-cutting equipped
🔹Vadodara Plant (Gujarat) – 30,000 MTPA | High-quality tower manufacturing | Strong utilization
🔹Silvassa Plant – Conductors (DNH) – 50,000 MTPA | Produces AAAC, ACSR & ACAR conductors
🔹Silvassa Plant – Poles (DNH) – 12,000 MTPA | Manufactures high-mast, streetlight, and stadium poles

🚀 Planned Expansion:

🔹Brownfield Expansion (Ongoing, FY25-26) – 25% capacity increase in towers & conductors
🔹New Tower Manufacturing Unit – ₹120 Cr capex | Completion in 12-18 months

📊 Total Installed Capacity (Current): 1,42,000 MTPA
📊 Total Installed Capacity (Post Expansion): Estimated ~1,62,000+ MTPA

📌With strategic capacity expansion and advanced manufacturing, Transrail is set to meet rising infrastructure demand

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:08

Business Model - How Does Transrail Make Money?

EPC Projects (Engineering, Procurement & Construction)

🔹Builds power transmission lines, substations, and monopoles

🔹Executes railway electrification (OHE, signaling, telecom)

🔹Undertakes civil infrastructure projects like bridges, roads & tunnels

🔹Supplies high-mast lighting, streetlights, and utility poles

Manufacturing & Sales (as a part of its EPC key contracts)

🔹Produces transmission towers (steel lattice structures)
🔹Manufactures conductors for power transmission

🔹Supplies steel poles for streetlights & smart city projects

Segments Served:

✅ Power Utilities & Transmission Operators - Power Grid, State DISCOMs, Private T&D players

✅ Railways & Metro Projects - Electrification & signaling infrastructure

✅ Smart Cities & Urban Infrastructure - Street lighting, poles & smart infrastructure

📌 With integrated manufacturing, strong execution, and a global presence, Transrail is a leader in infrastructure solutions.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:05

- Transrail is a leading EPC player specializing in power transmission & distribution, civil infrastructure, poles & lighting, and railways.

- With a strong order book, international presence, and aggressive growth strategy, Transrail is positioned for sustained expansion.

📌Founded: 1984 | Expertise: 40+ years
💰Market Cap: ₹7,152 Cr
📊52W High/Low: ₹719 / ₹465
💸Current Price: ₹533

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 03:47

One company analysis coming up stay tuned 😊

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

08 Mar 2025 04:41

Tax Loss Harvesting -

Definition - Tax Loss Harvesting ( TLH ) is the act of booking unrealized losses on stocks or mutual funds to reduce taxable gains and minimize tax payable.

Set-Off Rules -

Long-Term Capital Loss ( LTCL ) -

Can be set off only against long-term capital gains ( LTCG ).

Cannot be set off against short-term capital gains ( STCG ).

Short-Term Capital Loss ( STCL ) -

Can be set off against either STCG or LTCG.

Carry Forward Losses - If losses cannot be fully set off in the same financial year:

Both STCL and LTCL can be carried forward for 8 assessment years.

Tax Rates -

#STCG - 15% of the gain ( till July 22, 2024 ).

20% of the gain ( post July 22, 2024 ).

#LTCG -

Tax-free up to ₹1.25 lakh annually.

Above ₹1.25 lakh -

Taxed at 10% ( till July 22, 2024 ).

Taxed at 12.5% ( post July 22, 2024 ).

Execution Guidelines -

Sell today, buy tomorrow -

Sell between 3:15-3:30 PM.

Buy back between 9:15-9:30 AM ( next day ).

Avoid high volatility periods - Refrain from TLH during high volatility weeks to avoid losses from gap ups/downs.

Purpose over greed - TLH is meant to reduce taxes, not for trading profits.

FIFO ( First In, First Out ) Rule - When selling partially, FIFO is applied to calculate realized loss.

Realized loss might differ from the overall loss displayed in holdings.

Check detailed breakdown reports for accuracy (provided by most brokers).

Disclaimer - This is not professional tax advice. Consult a Chartered Accountant ( CA ) or taxation expert for precise calculations.

This post is educational and not a recommendation to buy / sell stocks or mutual funds

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

12 Mar 2025 11:07

Half of IT Stocks are Below Sector PE

Nifty IT Sector PE: 29x

क्या सस्ता क्या महंगा
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Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

11 Mar 2025 13:21

🚨 NSE launches a new sectoral index - Nifty Chemicals Index

Weight of each stock is capped at 33% and weight of top 3 stocks is capped at 62%


Finally launched it 😍😍

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

11 Mar 2025 08:11

GODREJ CONSUMER Says Consumption growth will be more broad-based as compared to earlier - ETNOW

India has been having a little bit of turbulence but international outlook is good

Saving of non-FMCG biz has reduced even in Africa

Q-comm channel is growing very fast

There are transitory issues and structural things are better

Margins are at the lower end and should improve

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

11 Mar 2025 06:32

CHOLA INVESTMENT Says Expect Profit Growth Of 20-25% Over The Next Few Years

Don't See Too Much Stress On Customers, Due To Stock Market Correction

Unorganised Segment Payments Are Not As Punctual Unlike The Secured Segment

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

11 Mar 2025 06:02

DIXON TECH Says More Focus On Backward Integration, Will Lead To Margin Expansion

Can Achieve 35-40% Growth For The Next 3-4 Years

Mobile And IT Hardware Will Be The Growth Drivers Going Forward - CNBCTV18

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:14

DISCLAIMER:
NO BUY SELL SUGGESTION ON ABOVE STOCK , SHARED INFO FOR UNDERSTANDING BUSINESS ONLY 🙏🏻🙏🏻

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:13

Industry Outlook & Market Opportunity

Power Transmission & Infrastructure Growth:
✅ India’s T&D Investment: ₹1 Lakh Cr+ opportunity in substations & transmission lines
✅ Government Infrastructure Push: ₹11.21 Lakh Cr budget allocation (+10% YoY)
✅ Strong T&D Project Pipeline: ₹15,643 Cr order book, backed by multilateral funding agencies

Government Policies Supporting Growth:
✅ National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP) – Boosting T&D & Civil Infra investments
✅ Renewable Energy Focus – 800 MW Solar EPC project secured
✅ Electrification Push – 400 kV Transmission Lines in Nepal & Bullet Train Project

📌 Transrail is capitalizing on India’s power & infrastructure boom, with strong government & international support.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:11

Debt & Financial Strength

🟢Financial Stability
🔹Debt to Equity (D/E): 0.55
🔹Promoter Holding: 71.1% ✅ (Strong ownership)
🔹Pledged Shares: 0.00% ✅ (No risk of dilution)

📊 Return Metrics:
🔹Return on Capital Employed (ROCE): 35.0% ✅ (High efficiency)
🔹Return on Equity (ROE): 24.1% ✅(Strong profitability)
🔹Operating Profit Margin (OPM): 13.7%

📌 With strong promoter backing, zero pledged shares, and impressive profitability, Transrail is financially resilient and positioned for future expansion

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:11

Financial Performance

📈Quarterly Performance (Q3 FY25)
🔹Revenue: ₹1,357.56 Cr (+62.1% YoY)
🔹EBITDA: ₹179.80 Cr (+79.97% YoY)
🔹EBITDA Margin: 13.24% (+131 bps)
🔹Profit After Tax (PAT): ₹93.24 Cr (+91.87% YoY)
🔹Earnings Per Share (EPS): ₹7.48 (+75.7% YoY)

📊 Nine-Month Performance (9M FY25)
🔹Revenue: ₹3,361.74 Cr (+25.2% YoY)
🔹EBITDA: ₹438.48 Cr (+41.96% YoY)
🔹EBITDA Margin: 13.04% (+153 bps)
🔹Profit After Tax (PAT): ₹200.08 Cr (+49.9% YoY)
🔹Earnings Per Share (EPS): ₹16.05 (+41.1% YoY)

📌With strong revenue growth, improving margins, and a solid financial position, Transrail is set for sustained profitability

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:10

Transrail Key Clients

Transrail has executed over 200 large-scale EPC projects globally, with a strong client retention rate.

🏆Key Clients Contribution:
🔹Power Grid Corporation of India (PGCIL) – Largest client, major revenue contributor 🔹International Projects – 51% of L1 orders are international, primarily from Africa, SAARC, and Southeast Asia
🔹Domestic-International Mix – 49% domestic, 51% international in the current order book.

👥 Key Clients:
🔹Power Grid Corporation of India (PGCIL)
🔹Bangladesh Power Grid (BPDB)

🔹Emerging Clients:
✅ Railway Electrification Contracts – Orders for railway masts and infrastructure
✅ Smart Cities & Urban Infrastructure – Orders for high-mast lighting and monopoles

🔹Government Collaborations:
✅ India’s First Bullet Train Project – Supplied high-mast poles & metal fencing
✅ 800kV HVDC Khavda -Nagpur Transmission Line – Major government-backed project

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:09

Revenue Model & Contribution

Revenue Model:

🔹Turnkey EPC Contracts - Revenue from end-to-end project execution across Power T&D, Railways, Civil, and Poles & Lighting

🔹Government & Private Infrastructure Projects -Contracts from Power Grid, Indian Railways, Metro Projects, and Smart Cities

🔹International Business – Projects secured across Africa, SAARC, and Southeast Asia, backed by multilateral funding agencies

📈 Revenue Contribution (By Sector):

🔹Power Transmission & Distribution – 90.52%
🔹Civil Infrastructure – 5.51%
🔹Railways – 2.44%
🔹Poles & Lighting – 1.53%

⚙️ Core Raw Materials Used:

🔹Steel (Angles, Plates, Coils, Wires), Zinc & Aluminum Ingots - Primary materials for tower, pole, and conductor manufacturing
🔹Aluminum & Copper - Used in conductors for high-voltage power transmission
🔹Cement & Reinforcement Materials - For civil infrastructure projects

🏭 Manufacturing & Procurement Strategy:

🔹Key Products: Lattice transmission towers, conductors, steel monopoles, streetlight poles, high-masts, railway electrification masts, stadium masts, traffic light poles, derrick structures & solar streetlights
🔹Towers & Conductors Contribution: ~60% of total transmission line project value
🔹Bought-Out Materials: ~10% of project costs procured from third-party suppliers
🔹Raw Material Sourcing: Domestic & international suppliers, including China
🔹Project-Specific Procurement: Materials (especially steel & aluminum) typically consumed within 30-45 days
🔹Supplier Agreements: Long-term deals for aluminum & steel, ensuring timely material availability

📌With a strong EPC execution model, efficient raw material sourcing, and a well-diversified revenue mix, Transrail is positioned for long-term growth

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:07

Transrail Lighting Limited - Who Are They?

🔹Founded: 1984

🔹Headquarters: Mumbai, India

🔹Business Model: EPC solutions in Power Transmission & Distribution, Civil Infrastructure, Poles & Lighting, and Railways

🔹Presence: Pan-India + Global footprint across 58 countries

🔹Market Position: Leading Indian EPC player in Power T&D with robust execution capabilities

🔹Order Book: ₹15,643 Cr including T1 from concall + ₹2,752 Cr new orders recently received.

🔹Manufacturing Capacity:
4 Integrated Plants
Deoli (MH) - 50,000 MTPA towers
Vadodara (GJ) - 30,000 MTPA towers
Silvassa - Conductors (DNH) – 50,000 MTPA
Silvassa - Poles (DNH) - 12,000 MTPA

With increasing infrastructure investments, global expansion, and a strong manufacturing base, Transrail is on a high-growth trajectory.

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

10 Mar 2025 04:04

Transrail Lighting Limited - A Detailed Analysis

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

08 Mar 2025 06:18

https://youtu.be/EOPzP5R-ddc

Fundamental Analysis (Long term)

07 Mar 2025 07:46

Rites says

🎯 Company's aim is to reach total order book of Rs.10,000 cr in the next two quarters

Revenue Growth Guidance
FY25 👉 -10%
FY26 👉 +20% with 10% PAT growth