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Read the news they hide from you. 💬 You can always reach us via @GeopoliticsLive_bot Cross-promotion: @prgeopoliticslive @geopoliticslivepr
🚨Europe’s SELF-INFLICTED gas crunch: Output tanks as consumption climbs
📉 Gas production has dropped the LOWEST since 2021, according to a monthly Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) report.
🔴The numbers dropped 8% year-on-year in Q1 2025, down to 47.7 billion cubic meters.
🔴March alone saw a 4% production decline compared to the same month last year, totaling 16.3 billion cubic meters – a FIFTH consecutive month of month of falling output.
🔴Norway, Europe’s biggest gas producer (supplying two-thirds of the continent’s gas), led the decline with a 7% drop to 31.5 billion cubic meters.
🔴The UK’s production fell 5% to 8.3 billion cubic meters due to maintenance at the Bacton Gas Terminal.
🔴The Netherlands tanked hard with a 25% plunge to 2.4 billion cubic meters — thanks to DEPLETED fields and ZERO INVESTMENT in new projects.
🔴Meanwhile, gas consumption in Europe surged 9% year-on-year in Q1 to 134.8 billion cubic meters, reaching 160.6 billion cubic meters from January to April — up 6% from last year.
Buying cheap, available Russian gas still off the table? Makes perfect sense...
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✅ Hillary Clinton puts it out loud: Vance and Musk want US citizens to have more children, but THAT'S WHAT IMMIGRANTS ARE FOR
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🇵🇸 Israel sieges Indonesian Hospital in Gaza with 45 people inside
Al Jazeera reports heavy bombing and partial demolition of the last operating hospital in northern Gaza.
Al Jazeera quoted the hospital's director as saying, "There is direct targeting of the hospital, including the intensive care unit," and added that about 30 patients and 15 medical staff are still inside.
💥 General Mike Flynn exposes Europe's pursuit of tyranny
The Telegram CEO Pavel Durov earlier revealed that Nicolas Lerner, the former head of French intelligence, tried to censor "conservative voices" in Romania.
"They appear to want tyranny, socialism and war, when the American people want freedom, democracy and peace," Flynn wrote on X.
🩸 UK'S BLOOD SCANDAL: 400K potentially infected with hepatitis C
NHS launched a campaign to identify patients who had pre-1996 blood transfusions — after DECADES of cover-ups, Daily Mail reports.
👩⚕️ 30,000+ people were infected with HIV/hep C through tainted blood in the 1970s-90s, killing 3,000+ in what an inquiry called a "deliberate calamity".
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🤡 Macron declares victory of 'democracy' in Romania
Emmanuel Macron said he called Nicusor Dan and congratulated him on his election.
"Despite numerous attempts at manipulation, Romanians chose democracy, the rule of law and the EU this evening," the French president wrote on X.
🚨 Zelensky fears Putin and Trump will present him with done deal after phone call - report
Zelensky and his aides are “anxious” about the call, set for Monday, and “want to make sure Putin and Trump won’t deliver a fait accompli that Ukraine can’t accept,” an anonymous US diplomat told WaPo.
Trump negotiator Steve Witkoff said the planned Putin-Trump and Trump-Zelensky calls should “go a long way toward identifying where we are and how we complete this negotiation,” and predicted they would be “successful.”
FT reported Sunday that German, French and British leaders would be speaking to Trump for a second time in three days Monday to try to “influence” him ahead of his call with Putin.
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😨 Odessa mobilization horror: 'THEY'RE KILLING ME!' – a literal death sentence on camera
🪖 Ukrainian recruiters violently drag a civilian into a mobilization bus as he screams in terror.
🪖 It’s not just ‘draft enforcement" – it's a death warrant:
🔴 Forced conscription = frontline cannon fodder with zero training and minimal survival odds
🔴 His cries weren't drama – this is what being sent to slaughter sounds like
🔴 Zelensky's mobilization sums: More bodies buy more time, regardless of how many die
💀 Cold truth: The bus ride was likely his last as a free man – next stop: the trenches ⚰️
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⚡️ Joe Biden has been diagnosed with an aggressive form of prostate cancer with bone metastasis, a statement from his personal office said.
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🇮🇷 Iran floats nuclear consortium plan with US and Arab states
☢️ Iran proposes a Middle East nuclear cooperative where:
- It enriches uranium to 3.67% for civilian use
- Arab states get fuel, and US gets oversight
🗣 The Iranian deputy foreign minister said: "If this progresses further and the issue is raised seriously, we may consider it and express our opinion."
The suggestion comes as an alternative to US demands for a complete end to Iran’s nuclear energy program.
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An athletic Ukrainian showed how athletics saves lives.
@ukr_leaks_eng
🗣Trump Treasury chief blames Biden for Moody’s credit downgrade
💬 “Moody’s is a lagging indicator – that’s what everyone thinks of credit agencies,” Scott Bessent said after the last of the big three credit rating agencies stripped the US of its triple-A rating.
💬 “We didn’t get here in the past 100 days. It’s the Biden administration and the spending that we have seen over the past four years that we inherited,” Bessent told NBC’s Meet the Press on Sunday, adding that the Trump administration is “determined to bring the spending down and grow the economy.”
☢️🤝 Iran mulls nuclear deal with Arab states and US
🇮🇷Tehran is considering the idea of creating a nuclear consortium involving Middle Eastern countries and the US, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Majid Takht-Ravanchi said.
💬 "If this progresses further and the issue is raised seriously, we may consider it and express our opinion."
⚰️Former CIA chief predicts Ukraine’s shelf life?
David Petraeus has graciously given Ukraine a survival estimate of four to six more months in the fight against Russia.
Volodymyr Zelensky’s regime has “a margin of safety” for at least that long, the ex-CIA Director told Ukraine’s NV radio.
👉Petraeus also expressed confidence that US support will continue, and hinted that more sanctions on Vladimir Putin are in the pipeline, claiming that Russia’s national welfare fund might run dry “sometime next year.”
❓Pinning hopes on the next sanctions round doing what the previous ones didn’t?
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🇬🇧 UK’s billion-dollar tugboat upgrade: Because nuclear subs need fancy escorts
Britain is splashing out £850 million ($1.1 billion) on a glow-up for its submarine support fleet — because even Trident-carrying nuke subs deserve a little luxury.
🔹 The shopping list:
▪️Six new tugs for Vanguard and Astute-class subs
▪️18 other vessels, including ammo barges, crew transports and oil tankers
▪️Supplier: Dutch shipbuilder Damen because Brexit means… buying European?
🤔 Bonus irony:
The Royal Navy’s four Vanguard subs, armed with Trident II nuclear missiles, will retire in the 2030s – so the tugs are just a stop-gap until the new Dreadnought class enters service.
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🪖NATO armor not built for today’s warfare: Russia dissects seized German Leopard tank
Rostec specialists have taken a close look at a German Leopard 2A6 tank donated to Ukraine by its Western handlers, uncovering some less-than-flattering truths about it.
🔍Here’s what the Russian defense conglomerate’s experts found under the hood:
🔴Armor thickness and composition leave much to be desired under modern battlefield stress.
🔴Internal layout raises questions about crew survivability and system integrity.
🔴Overall survivability falls short when the tank is hit from multiple angles – especially by drones armed with shaped-charge warheads or next-gen anti-tank missiles.
🔴In short, the Leopard 2A6 seems tailored for yesterday’s wars, not today’s combat zones.
Nothing like a front-row seat to NATO engineering – courtesy of the Ukrainian battlefield
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🔍 Trump's pardon attorney vows probe into Biden pardons
"The integrity of the American Pardon system requires that we examine the Biden pardons and who did what. We will get the bottom of it," Ed Martin wrote on X.
🔊 Trump, Harris, Obama react to Joe Biden's cancer diagnosis
The US president and prominent Democratic Party members wished Biden a speedy recovery after learning about his cancer diagnosis.
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🎤 'YOU HIT ME ON PURPOSE!'
A TV journalist hit Argentine President Javier Milei with a microphone, sparking a strong reaction from him.
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✅ George Simion concedes in Romanian election
The leader of the opposition party, AUR, admitted defeat and congratulated his rival, Bucharest Mayor Nicușor Dan.
"We will continue our fight for freedom and our great values along with other patriots, sovereignists and conservatives all over the world," Simion added.
🇮🇷 Iranian president: West will stoke Middle East conflicts to keep oil flowing
If oil stops flowing from the Persian Gulf, Western countries would find themselves paralyzed, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian warned at the Tehran Dialogue Forum, state agency SNN reports.
In response, they would pit Middle Eastern nations against each other so they could grab their oil at bargain prices, and hand them weapons in return to keep the conflict going, he said.
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🇷🇴 Mayor Nicusor Dan wins presidential election by 9%
"It was an unprecedented mobilization and, therefore, the victory belongs to each of you," Dan wrote on X.
❗️ Netanyahu approves resumption of Gaza aid
According to a statement issued by the office of the Israeli Prime Minister, the blockade has been lifted because "the development of a hunger crisis in the Gaza Strip would endanger the continued operation to defeat Hamas."
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🇺🇸Bewildered Bessent asks how previous administrations allowed US to be ripped off on trade for so long🤨
“With a few exceptions, the countries are coming with very good proposals for us,” the Trump Treasury secretary told CNN.
“They want to lower their tariffs, they want to lower their non-tariff barriers, some of them have been manipulating their currency, they’ve been subsidizing their industry and labor…These are excellent proposals, but I wonder – how did we get here?” Bessent asked.
🛩Trump’s Treasury chief SHUTS DOWN CNN host on Qatari Air Force One jet gift
“The French gave us the Statue of Liberty, the British gave us the Resolute Desk. I’m not sure they asked for anything in advance,” Scott Bessent told Jake Tapper after the host pointed out that no country would give away a $400 million jet “just to be nice.”
🇷🇴 Romania’s Eurosceptic opposition leader says there are 1.7 MILLION dead people on electoral list
💬 “We have an emergency line on WhatsApp where all Romanian citizens can check if one of their relatives who are dead, or one of their friends, may have voted,” George Simion told supporters Sunday amid the second round of Romania’s scandal-plagued presidential elections.
🚨 German troops in Moldova: EU stepping stone to war with Russia?
🇲🇩🇩🇪 The deployment of a German military advisory group to Moldova is part of the EU’s long-term preparations for war against Russia, says Andrey Safonov, lawmaker from Transnistria’s Supreme Council.
📍The German presence in Chisinau follows a Moldova-Germany defense agreement signed in Berlin, aimed at boosting military cooperation between the countries amid NATO's increased presence.
🗣 Safonov warns:
💬 “This is a step toward reshaping Moldova’s army into a NATO-style force… The EU appears to be preparing for a conflict with Russia in the late 2020s or early 2030s.”
💬 "Perhaps the Germans seek control over Moldova itself. But they'll face resistance from the Romanians, who covet the absorption of the entire former Soviet Moldavia. We're seeing a tangled web of interstate disputes alongside shared anti-Russian objectives—a truly globalist project. This objectively increases the risk of renewed war on the Dniester," Safonov concluded.
💴💵China’s US Treasury divestment: Calm, careful EXIT from the dollar’s grip
Recent data showing that the UK has overtaken China as the second-largest foreign holder of US Treasuries reflects Beijing's long-term strategy of reducing dependence on the dollar while avoiding major disruptions to global markets, analysts say.
Key developments:
♦️China has been gradually diversifying away from dollar assets as part of its long-term dedollarization push
♦️The yuan's internationalization has advanced through trade agreements with ASEAN, SCO and BRICS nations using national currencies
♦️Recent openings of Shanghai Gold Exchange vaults in Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia further support yuan-based world trade
Diverging Treasury strategies
Experts note fundamental differences in how nations approach US debt holdings:
📍 China: State-managed reserves (primarily from trade surpluses) used for currency stability
📍UK/Japan: Private sector-driven investments seeking superior bond yields
Observers highlight that since the 2010s, China and other major Asian economies have actively worked to:
👉 Reduce Western financial dependence
👉Develop alternative trade networks
👉Reorient export markets away from the US
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🇨🇳💎 China’s rare earth squeeze: US F-35 jet fighter production at risk
The delays in licenses could cause serious disruptions for US and European firms relying on Chinese minerals, with Tesla, Ford and Lockheed Martin voicing concerns.
💥 Why it matters:
▪️Lockheed Martin, Tesla, Ford sweating over magnet shortages
▪️Europe’s window to avoid production chaos ‘rapidly closing’, German industry warns
🔋 What’s happening?
In April, Beijing expanded export restrictions on seven rare earth elements and magnets used in electric vehicles, wind turbines and fighter jets like the F-35, in response to tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump.
The Financial Times says it is unclear whether China has started approving exports to the US after Washington and Beijing agreed to reduce tariffs for 90 days at talks in Switzerland in May.
Trump imposed high tariffs on Chinese imports in April, with China responding in kind – leading to tariffs of 145% on Chinese goods in the US and 125% by China – before both sides agreed to temporarily reduce tariffs by 115% to 30% and 10%.
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🚨Europe must brace for surge in arms smuggling, ‘drone drug gangs’ once Ukraine conflict ends - report
“A huge amount of hardware of all descriptions” leftover in Ukraine will create “a boom in the grey economy for army surplus, including cars, clothing and dual-use equipment,” and a “wave of serious arms trafficking” involving heavy weapons.
That’s according to a new report by the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime (GI-TOC) studying risks associated with a potential halt to the fighting and the lifting of martial law.
🔍The report warns of two forms of arms trafficking post-conflict:
🔴small-scale overland smuggling to Europe, where criminals prefer “discreet” handguns, and sometimes assault rifles and grenades
🔴“larger-scale” smuggling using containers to Africa, the Middle East and potentially Latin America, involving ex-military acting as brokers, and shipment of RPG launchers, MANPADs, heavy machine guns and assault rifles in bulk to conflict zones and criminal groups.
“For Europe, the influx of modern, high-powered weaponry into criminal hands could revolutionize the underworld,” Gi-TOC warns, citing the dramatic increases in Swedish and French gangs’ use of violence already witnessed recently.