4078
A primary channel for expressing my thought and everything related to the matters of my channel.
🇺🇳🇮🇷⚡- BREAKING: "Uranium enrichment in Iran will now increase significantly," - Iran's Atomic Energy Organization.
Читать полностью…
My predictions about the Iran war:
1. Israeli airstrikes will succeed in significantly damaging Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, setting the program back by at least five years.
2. Iranian retaliation will be limited in effectiveness, though much stronger than their previous responses. Still, it won’t exceed 1/10th of the damage to Iran caused by Israel.
3. If Iran chooses to target the U.S. as part of its retaliation, the response will be more forceful and will result in the permanent disabling or destruction of multiple American bases in the region, including the sinking of several ships if they are stationed in the Persian Gulf.
4. Should the conflict escalate further, Israeli strikes are expected to severely impact Iran’s economy by targeting oil refineries, ports, and other key civilian and infrastructural sites. Iran would struggle to respond effectively to such damage, however if Iran decides to attack the US if it’s in proximity then it will succeed.
5. A regime collapse in Iran is unlikely—unless Israel were to eliminate the Khamenei family while avoiding civilian casualties, which would be an extremely difficult objective. Instead, Iran will likely become even more hostile toward Israel and the West.
6. Once Israel achieves its immediate strategic objectives, Iran will likely resume its pursuit of nuclear weapons and formally abandon any remaining commitments to the JCPOA. From that point on, it’s sole strategic goal would be to seek revenge against Israel.
I’m completely certain about every single point except for 5 and so if a revolution does indeed take place in Iran (unlikely) then point 6 is annulled.
What we’ll also see is the effectiveness of new Iranian drones and Ballistic missiles. Perhaps one or more Israeli planes will be shot as well. Overall, however, the operation would constitute a clear strategic victory for Israel.
That said, it would further isolate Israel diplomatically and contribute to the normalization of using military force to achieve goals that diplomacy has failed to deliver. In that sense, it may resemble the broader geopolitical consequences of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Unlike Russia, though, Israel is unlikely to face economic sanctions from key Western powers—largely due to the influence of pro-Israel lobbying and the widespread hostility toward regimes like Iran. Also:
7. there won't be a land invasion of Iran.
8. Israel won't be able to destroy most or every single one of Iranian objects related to the nuclear program.
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇮🇶 BREAKING: The U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, is preparing to receive an evacuation order, following Iran's threat to strike American targets in the Middle East in case of a war – Reuters
@Middle_East_Spectator
The more ethnically diverse a country is, the greater is the risk of a civil war 🧲💯
Читать полностью…
The political compass does not exist, instead there is a sphere. The dead center is pure distilled leftism. Everything else gets further.
"right" as you get to the outer rings, and every form of rightism is completely different from each other. This often prevents right unity, groups can't agree, fight each other instead of leftism.
So what is leftism? Leftism is equality, rightism is hierarchy. Different right wings = different value hierarchies. But leftists differ much less, smoothing minimizes differences.
https://bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjso.12665
A reminder that this is what Twitter looked like before Elon Musk bought it
Читать полностью…
World history military performance by Win-Loss ratio. Nations with fewer than 15 conflicts were excluded from ranking.
Читать полностью…
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Birds make nests from fiber optic threads for drones.
Читать полностью…
In 2025, $9.2 trillion of U.S debt will either mature or need to be refinanced. Of that $9.2 trillion, around 60% (or $6 trillion) is scheduled before July.
For the chuds who don’t get it, when debt "matures," the government has to pay it back. But they don’t actually cough up cash. Instead, they just issue new debt to replace the old. The catch is, if interest rates are higher now than when that debt was first sold, the new debt costs more to service. So we’re talking way bigger interest payments going forward.
That puts more strain on the federal budget, since more money has to cover interest instead of things like infrastructure, defense, or benefits. It also means the government’s dumping a ton of new bonds on the market, and if there isn’t enough demand, they may need to raise rates even more to get buyers. That can lead to unstable markets, make borrowing more expensive, and hurt investor confidence (which is already in the shitter thanks to Blumpf’s sloppy tariffs).
Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X
Canada opened a war crimes investigation against dual Canadian-Israeli citizens who have participated in the IDF operations in Gaza
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/sy0fkqemxe
24-hour special peace making operation ends with this.
Читать полностью…
Literacy in the Russian Empire
Aside from German-governed Livonia, the core lands of the Grand Duchy of Muscovy generally had higher literacy rates than territories acquired later by Russia, regardless of ethnic composition (though some small differences exist).
Everyone who criticized Nick Fuentes for betraying Trump are not having a good day today
Читать полностью…
Netanyahu's Iran nuclear bomb claim timeline: 1992-present
Читать полностью…
What is a woman?
Liberals: someone who identifies as a woman.
What is a Welsh person?
Conservatives: someone who lived in Wales for at least 5 to 10 years.
What makes a brown person?
Chuds: having at least 1% brown DNA.
Ukraine losses per capita. Besides Kyiv and areas occupied by Russians, relatively low losses in Ukraine are concentrated in West Ukraine (particularly areas populated by Rusyns and Hungarians).
Читать полностью…
No matter how much you think you hate them, you don’t hate them enough.
Читать полностью…
Top ten most warlike nations by “war rate”, this figure is how many years pass before new conflict starts. So USA has 1 war every 6.1 years. C = Conflicts, Y = years on record.
Читать полностью…
If you read Wikipedia’s entry on the Gaza War it now lists ISIS as a belligerent on the side of Israel
Читать полностью…
I just discovered that Islam believes that Jesus will be coming back in the end times to judge the unbelievers
Читать полностью…
The British state has now declared civic nationalism an extremist ideology.
Quote from Keir Starmer earlier this year: "this happened by design, not accident ... A one-nation experiment in open borders ... Without strong migration rules, we risk becoming an island of stranger"
If someone in the UK shares their prime ministers' stated view on immigration they are now categorised as subscribing to an extreme-right wing terrorist ideology.
Unsure about who to side with in the Trump-Musk Civil War? Here is a guide to which celebrities have already declared their support to help you make your decision
Читать полностью…
🇺🇸 🛃 — US ICE officials reaches a record 2,200 daily deportations yesterday (6/4/2025) for so far in for Trump's second term
@CIG_Telegram
I’m more on the side of Musk than Trump. First there’s policy but second, Elon is loved by people like Thomas Massie and he reciprocates that love, whereas Trump is going hard after him and Rand Paul for not supporting Israel. Also there’s Palantir and everything surrounding it.
Most importantly is that Trump is not ideological, he’s personal while Elon Musk is autistically ideological and is actually committed to achieving his aims.
Also Elon Musk reminds me of Prigozhin which is another bonus point