⚡Al-Akhbar correspondent: An Israeli helicopter dropped a sound bomb in the center of Aita al-Shaab.
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Conor McGregor has withdrawn from the Irish presidential race after polling at 2%. https://t.co/sjgfiu3M6Z
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⚡SyriaTV: Explosions heard around Damascus were caused by military training
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⚡#BREAKING A senior White House official to Al Jazeera: President Trump will receive the Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs of Qatar today in New York.
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⚡Axios - Barak Ravid: Trump demanded Netanyahu commit not to strike Qatar again
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In the state of Saxony-Anhalt, the candidate for the post of prime minister from the Alternative for Germany is leading in the polls
Ulrich Siegmund, 34, co-chairman of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) faction in the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt, topped the election ratings and may become the first prime minister of the federal state from this party. According to the Infratest poll, the AfD receives 39% of the vote, almost 12 percentage points more than the CDU.
Siegmund uses the departure of the current Prime Minister Reiner Haseloff, who will not run again. His successor, CDU candidate Sven Schulze, has not yet been able to change the situation. On social media, Siegmund actively attacks rivals and positions himself as a proponent of "common sense politics."
Ulrich Siegmund, who previously resigned from the CDU due to disagreement with the course of Angela Merkel, joined the Landtag in 2016, and has been leading the AfD faction since 2022. He advocates "remigration," cuts in social benefits for migrants, and mass deportations, which led to his resignation as head of the regional parliament's social committee after participating in a meeting with Austrian far-right activist Martin Sellner.
In addition, Siegmund is known for the fact that at the AFG event in the small town of Wolmirstedt, he took the stage unconventionally: the presenter shouted "Sieg", and the audience loudly replied —Mund".
In the state of Saxony-Anhalt, Alternative for Germany is officially classified as a "right-wing extremist organization." Despite this, Siegmund is actively gaining popularity: more than half a million users subscribe to him on TikTok.
#Germany #Poll #AfD #Nazis
🇪🇺 Keep up with the latest Star Union News 🖥
⚡️ Rupert Murdoch's family reaches deal on media empire control after his death that won't change direction of Fox News
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⚡️Trump says US will host next year's Group of 20 summit at his golf club in Miami — AP
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When can the US expect the tariff-caused inflation storm to hit?
To answer this question it is essential to understand the mechanisms of customs clearance, production, and logistics.
U.S. counterparties fully pay the duties. In the best-case scenario, foreign counterparties may absorb no more than 10% of the tariff costs; the rest is distributed among end consumers and/or taken from the profits of importers, retail chains, industries, and the commercial sector.
The expanded tariff rates have been in effect since August 7. Based on rough estimates, considering preferential imports, the weighted average cost increase is approximately 30–35% compared to the July 2025 tariff configuration.
In June and July, collections averaged $27 billion per month. With the new tariff structure, the potential collection could reach $36 billion, but it will likely be closer to $37–$37.5 billion by October–November, equivalent to $450 billion annually.
Goods loaded before August 7 and cleared by October 5 are subject to the previous rates, but their share will gradually diminish by the start of Q4 2025.
Goods loaded after August 7 and arriving by sea (20–40 days) will enter the U.S. trade system en masse from early September through October.
Duties are assessed on the date of entry/release, with payment due within +10 business days from release or by the 15th business day of the following month under the PMS system, which consolidates all monthly imports and processes payments around the 20th of the following month.
Thus, while the expanded tariffs took effect on August 7, 90% of the tariff burden will materialize in October, with full absorption in November–December.
This pattern was observed with the April tariffs, where payment normalization occurred only in June–July (+2–3 months).
Accordingly, October marks the point of initial consolidation of expanded tariffs in importers' costs.
In the second stage, costs are distributed across the economic system (retailers, businesses, industries).
From this point, production cycles and logistical lags become significant.
The timing depends on the type of goods:
- For short-term use goods, it takes 1–3 months from the consolidation of imports under expanded tariffs at industrial warehouses to their release into retail networks or commercial business supplies.
- For long-term use goods, it takes 4–12 months, averaging closer to 5–6 months.
The transfer of costs into the economy will begin in November 2025 and continue until mid-2026, with the peak distribution occurring approximately from December 2025 to March 2026.
The scale of the transfer is undeniable—all costs will eventually be passed on to end consumers, albeit not immediately.
Retail chains' tactics are clear: maintain prices as long as possible by absorbing operational margins, then gradually distribute costs to consumers in small steps to stabilize market share and normalize profits over time.
At least two-thirds of the tariff burden will be passed on to consumers through price increases—amounting to $300 billion, which translates to roughly a 4.5% price increase for goods in retail turnover, spread over the next 12–18 months.
Higher costs in the economy (1.5% of U.S. GDP) from mid-2026 to 2028 will also spill over into the services sector, as always happens—similar to the 2023–2024 period, when high goods prices in 2021–2022 were transferred to services.
Given the gradual incorporation of tariffs into prices, an additional 1.2–1.5 percentage points of tariff-related costs will be added to the baseline inflation of 2.7–3%, becoming fully apparent only in 2026.
Inflation above 4% in the U.S. may become the "new normal" in 2026–2027, and any monetary policy designed to lower it can be forgotten.
Only by suppressing demand can inflation be held at 3%, by reducing baseline inflation to 1.5–2%.
#USTariffs #Inflation #USEconomy #TradePolicy #Customs #Logistics #Retail #GDP #PriceHike #Consumers #EconomicForecast #MonetaryPolicy
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Ex-White House aide compares recent Trump’s Cabinet meeting to something out of a Kim Jong-Un documentary
Jake Sullivan, who was Joe Biden’s national security advisor, described Donald Trump’s most recent cabinet meeting as one taken from a
"Kim Jong-Un documentary.”
"Honestly, I've never seen anything like it,"
"And there is a kind of ludicrous, humorous quality to it, but it's also a little bit scary because it reflects something deeper and dangerous about the president's autocratic tendencies and the fact that these people around him are just so slavish that I don't think they would stand up to him on anything at any point."
"And without those kinds of guard rails, I think it's bleak what we may be facing here in the coming days and months,"
"This looks a lot like Erdogan in Turkey. It looks a lot like Orban in Hungary,"
"But with one big twist, which is in both of those cases, it took a long time for them to play out their strategy. We've been at this now for seven months. And you just look at the breakneck speed with which Trump is moving to try to break down the various guardrails of our democracy."
"It's extremely concerning,"
⚡Al-Mayadeen correspondent: 15 martyrs and wounded, including members of the Civil Defense and four journalists, as a result of the occupation forces' bombing of the Nasser Medical Complex in Khan Yunis, south of the Gaza Strip.
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⚡️The probability pf Gavin Newsom being the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2028 is up to 28%.
Do you see it happening?
If you support the current regime in Syria you complicit in the murder of Palestinian children.
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I asked ChatGPT 5 to create the most accurate illustration of hell, this is what it came up with:
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⚡️Captured US M113 armored personnel carrier in service with the Russian military hoisting the Russian and American flag seen in the Zaporizhia region
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Qatar has accused the United States of betrayal and is seeking new security partners
"Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Al-Thani informed U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East Steve Witkoff that his country will reconsider its security partnership with Washington following [Israel’s] attack, which he called a 'betrayal,' and stated that 'Doha may find other partners to support its security if necessary,'"
Guys, its over. There’s no point in posting your funny videos or attending some silly protest or threatening a civil war. You’ve both lost, there is nothing either of you can do.
Funniest part is you don’t even know what the winner looks like.
⚡️The moment the Israeli airstrikes on Doha, Qatar, took place
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⚡️Greta Thunberg’s Freedom Flotilla carrying aid and headed for Gaza was struck by an Israeli drone
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Our partners at @geo_gaganauts recently dropped an interesting and analytical post about how Azerbaijan & Turkey Are cozying up in the Caspian with Pakistan in the picture
If you're into geopolitics and strategic power shifts, give them a follow!
Follow them here: Gaganauts of Geopolitics
— 🇮🇷/🇷🇺 NEW: The Iranian and Russian Foreign Ministers were seen talking in private at the sidelines of the SCO summit in Tianjin, China
The conversation reportedly lasted for over 30 minutes.
@Middle_East_Spectator
—❗️🇾🇪/🇺🇳 BREAKING: Ansarallah (the Houthis) have entered the UN building in the Yemeni capital Sanaa, detaining several employees
@Middle_East_Spectator
US Vice President J.D. Vance was booed during a visit to Washington 😤🇺🇸
US Vice President Jay Dee Vance faced a protest in Washington. When he and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth visited the National Guard troops, they were greeted with shouts and whistles near Union Station. 🚨 The demonstrators chanted "Free Washington." 🗣🪧
By order of President Donald Trump, about 8,000 guardsmen and 1,200 more military personnel from other states are currently in the US capital. 🪖 They patrol the city center, including the White House, Congress, the Lincoln Memorial, train stations, and subway stations. 🏛🚇 Trump explained the move as a "security emergency" and took control of the metropolitan police into the hands of the federal government. 🚔
J.D. Vance supported the president's decision and said that Washington has a "terrible crime problem" and "one of the highest murder rates in the world." 😟 However, Mayor Muriel Bowser objects: according to her, crime is at a 30-year low. 📉 Police data confirms that the rate of violent crime has decreased markedly compared to its peak during the pandemic. 🦠
This is the first time in the last 60 years that a U.S. president has deployed the National Guard against the will of local authorities. 🕒 Earlier, in June, Trump had already used guardsmen and Marines to quell protests against his immigration policy in Los Angeles. 🌎
#Vance #Washington #protests
👂 More on Trump's Ear ⚠️
— ❗️🇮🇱 WATCH: Israeli Prime Minister and international fugitive Benjamin Netanyahu calls for mass censorship of 'the algorithms and the social networks' to stop criticism of Israel
He states, 'Israel is accused of starving children in the way Jews in the Middle Ages were accused of killing Christian children for their blood.'
@Middle_East_Spectator
The capital of the “Sunni Ummah”, Syria, is holding secret meetings with the demons committing genocide against sunni Palestinians. Al Julani is and will always be a terrorist who works with terrorists.
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⚡️ Arab sources say Hamas has handed over its response to the latest offer to Egyptian and Qatari mediators
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Humanitarian aid for the people of Gaza:
x.com/me_observer_/s…
