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Russia can expect nothing in return from the EU if Putin concedes to allow their troops and aircraft to deploy in and patrol over Western Ukraine...- Zerohedge

Russia has long warned that any unconditional ceasefire in Ukraine of the 30-day sort that Zelensky has proposed could create an opening for NATO to expand its military influence in that country. Hitherto dismissed as a conspiracy theory by the West, Radio Liberty just let the cat out of the bag. The unnamed officials who they cited in their recent article confirmed that they envisage this “buy[ing] the Europeans time to assemble a ‘reassurance force’ in the Western part of Ukraine” and organize “air patrols” there.

Their reported game plan is “keeping the Americans onboard” the peace process, “sequencing” the conflict by clinching a ceasefire that’ll later lead to a lasting peace, and using the aforesaid interim period to carry out the above mentioned military moves for pressuring Russia into more concessions.

What’s omitted from Radio Liberty’s article is that Russia has threatened to target Western troops in Ukraine, who Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth earlier said wouldn’t enjoy Article 5 guarantees from the US.

Even if Putin agrees to this concession that’s assessed to be among one of the five significant differences between him and Trump that prompted Trump’s angry post against Putin, Radio Liberty reported that this still wouldn’t lead to de jure European recognition of Russia’s territorial gains.

The same goes for them lifting sanctions or returning any of its €200 billion of seized assets. More sanctions might even soon be imposed and the windfall profits from those assets will “bankroll Ukraine’s military needs”.

Given what Radio Liberty revealed, Russia can therefore expect nothing in return from the EU if Putin concedes to allow their troops and aircraft to deploy in and patrol over Western Ukraine. Any hopes of restoring Ukraine’s antebellum buffer state status would be crushed, and it can’t be ruled out that the EU’s zone of military activity could later expand to the Dnepr or beyond. One of the special operation’s goals was to prevent the West’s eastward military expansion so that would be another major concession.

Putin’s decades-long close friend and influential senior aide Nikolay Patrushev just told TASS earlier this week that “For the second year in a row, NATO is holding the largest exercises in decades near our borders, where it is practicing scenarios of offensive actions over a large area - from Vilnius to Odessa, the seizure of the Kaliningrad region, the blocking of shipping in the Baltic and Black Seas, and preventive strikes on the permanent bases of Russian nuclear deterrent forces.”

Secretary of the Security Council Sergey Shoigu told the same outlet several days prior that “Over the past year, the number of military contingents of NATO countries deployed near the western borders of the Russian Federation has increased almost 2.5 times…NATO is moving to a new combat readiness system, which provides for the possibility of deploying a 100,000-strong group of troops near the borders of Russia within 10 days, 300,000 by the end of 30 days, and 800,000 by the end of 180 days.”

When the EU’s prioritization of the Baltic Defence Line and Poland’s complementary East Shield are added to the equation, coupled with plans for expanding the “military Schengen” to speed up the eastward deployment of troops and equipment, the trappings of Operation Barbarossa 2.0 are apparent. Putin can’t influence what NATO does within the bloc’s borders, but he has the power to stop its de facto expansion into Western Ukraine during a ceasefire, which could partially hinder its speculative plans.

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The Ukrainian Armed Forces attacked Novorossiysk using aircraft-type UAVs, unmanned boats and guided missiles.

Russian troops spent the entire night repelling attempts by the Kiev regime to damage the city's infrastructure, added Mayor Andrei Kravchenko.

The threat of a UAV attack in Novorossiysk still remains, he warned.

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The person who calls himself the leader of OUN (Organisation of Ukrainian Nationalists), Bohdan Chervak, says the far right Polish presidential candidate Grzegorz Braun “will answer before Ukrainian people” for removing the Ukrainian flag from a building during a campaign event.

The original OUN was a terrorist fascist organisation that collaborated with the nazis and practiced assassinations of its political enemies, specifically Polish politicians.

The most remarkable thing though is that Chervak is the first deputy head of Ukraine’s State Committee on TV and Radio Broadcast. A person directly responsible for the country’ information policy.

News from the country where “the far right have clout at all” because “Jewish president”.

Source: Leonid Ragozin on X

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US prepares new sanctions against Russia, it is unclear whether Trump will support them — Reuters

▪️The US has prepared a new package of economic sanctions against Russia.

▪️They will be directed against the banking and energy sectors.

▪️According to the publication’s sources, the targets include Gazprom and large enterprises involved in natural resources and the banking sector.

▪️It is not yet clear whether Trump, who will have the final decision, will support the sanctions.

US Senate tends to have a lot of old boomers and their politics reflects this. Average age is 64. They think they are still fighting the Soviets.

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They're raking everyone in: TCC staged a large-scale raid in Uzhgorod

▪️Military commissars are breaking into restaurants and bars, people are being taken away en masse to the Shopping Center.

▪️It is reported that even those who have a reservation or a deferment certificate are being taken away.

- RVvoenkor

Honestly I hate seeing people forced to fight as slaves like they are the army of Xeryes in the movie 300. Though if I had to choose if it was Ukrainians from western Ukraine or Eastern Ukraine, I'd prefer it is the former. Before anyone says it, yes I understand that this was once a Hungarian majority city.

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According to an explosive Dutch media report, a former Bellingcat researcher who led investigations into MH17 and child abuse was a sex abuser of children – including his own daughter - Greyzone

‘Daniel Romein’ reportedly killed himself after being sentenced to jail.

A prominent former Bellingcat reporter committed suicide after being convicted for sexually abusing his daughter in March 2022, according to a new report by independent Dutch journalist Eric Van De Beek. Operating behind the pseudonym “Daniel Romein,” the researcher featured prominently in a number of investigations by the Western government-funded ‘open source’ outfit, Bellingcat, including a years-long probe of online child sexual exploitation materials.

Romein’s suicide was apparently motivated by his March 2022 sentencing to 36 months in prison for sexual abuse. He was also barred from seeing his daughter, the subject of his abuse.

The ruling, released three years later due to pressure from independent Dutch outlet De Andere Kant, details Romein’s shocking sexual assault and rape of his daughter while she was between the ages of 6 and 10, and reveals he was convicted of possession of child pornography “over 15 years” prior.

In email correspondence with The Grayzone, Bellingcat founder Eliot Higgins denied that Romein’s abrupt firing in December 2019 was related to his pedophilic past. He stated, “Given the timeline described in the judgment, Bellingcat could not have been – and was not – aware of any allegations against him. After all, the allegations were first made against Mr Romein in March/April 2020, which was some time after Mr. Romein had left Bellingcat.”

While tacitly acknowledging that Romein was the target of the sexual abuse allegations, Higgins insisted, “It is not clear whether the [court] judgment is about Mr. Romein as it is anonymized.”

Asked whether Bellingcat had been aware that Romein was convicted of possessing child pornography 15 years before his sentencing for sexually abusing his daughter, Higgins did not respond directly. “The complaints to the European Press Prize which resulted in the revocation of Mr. Romein’s laureate status were about unacceptable online behavior of Mr. Romein,” stated Higgins, referring to the withdrawal of a prestigious award to Romein in 2021. “These complaints were not linked to the allegations of sexual abuse.”

As a lead contributor to Interpol’s Stop Child Abuse operation, Bellingcat’s researchers were invited in mid-2017 to probe “clues” from the “background of an image with sexually explicit material involving minors,” such as curtains, furniture and clothing, which could “help crack a case.” Multiple articles on the subject on Bellingcat’s website 2018 – 2020 name Romein as a contributor, and occasionally even the lead author. In April 2020, Romein – along with Bellingcat’s “Timmi Allen,” a former Stasi operative – was shortlisted for the European Press Prize for this work.

As the Dutch court ruling shows, Romein jumped into this project just a few years after his own long-running rape of his daughter purportedly ended. The judgment states that between October 2011 and 2016, he committed a variety of horrifying sexual acts on his child, who was born in 2005.

It’s unclear how much access to child sexual abuse material (CSAM) Bellingcat provided to Romein; images sent by Interpol appear to have been edited to remove such content. But the exercise appeared to have consumed a great deal of his energy.

In 2020, a yearly Bellingcat report on its CSAM investigations revealed that four of its researchers — including Romein, who was praised for his “Fantastic research and eye for detail and precision” — collectively spent a whopping 2500 hours on the project, viewing a combined four million images in the process.

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The enemy is attacking the Krasnodar region: a battle is underway with BEKs near Novorossiysk

▪️An attack by UAVs and unmanned boats of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is being repelled in the waters near Novorossiysk, the Kuban operational headquarters reported.

▪️Also, debris from downed UAVs caused fires in the Temryuk district of Krasnodar Krai,

US unmanned boats have been adding capabilities after their early successes were ended after various improvements were implemented on the Russian side. Suspect quite a bit of planning went into this attack as Ukraine is desperate for a positive PR story right now.

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The 255th Regiment smashes the enemy's defenses and destroys the Ukrainian Armed Forces' infantry, breaking through in the Mirnograd direction

▪️Fighters of the Volgograd 255th Regiment continue a powerful offensive between Pokrovsk and Dzerzhinsk.

▪️The guys literally demolish the defensive lines of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and move forward.

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The enemy attacks Crimea: the bridge is blocked, explosions near Kerch

▪️There is a missile threat in Crimea and Sevastopol.

▪️Traffic on the Crimean Bridge is temporarily closed.

▪️Explosions thunder in the Kerch region, the Russian army destroys enemy targets.

▪️Earlier it was reported that the enemy had accumulated unmanned boats and, together with a drone raid and missile launch, was planning a combined attack from the sea and air.

- RVvoenkor


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US Vice President Vance on Germany’s AfD:

The West tore down the Berlin Wall together.

And it has been rebuilt—not by the Soviets or the Russians, but by the German establishment.


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🇺🇦🤡🇺🇸Verkhovna Rada deputy Zheleznyak on the subsoil agreement signed with the US:

I asked the Prime Minister directly whether these two documents - the main agreement and the statute - need ratification? The answer is no. Will we, the people's deputies, receive the texts of these agreements? The answer is no. The deputies will vote for something they have not seen.

Third, we asked whether it was true that the fund would be registered not in Ukraine, but in the US state of Delaware. This is true.

This is a lifelong agreement, there are no deadlines. In theory, only after 10 years will the parties have the opportunity to change it. And we asked if we understood correctly that there are no security guarantees in the agreement? The Prime Minister [Denys Shmyhal] honestly answered that there are none.

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UNIQUE FOOTAGE! The work of advanced air controllers FROM THE FIRST PERSON!


The Smuglyanka soldiers aimed a Kh-38ML missile from a Su-34 at the Ukrainian Armed Forces position in the Toretsk direction.

These missiles regularly take out the logistics of the Ukrainians, destroy bridges , and also anti-tank missiles

💥A direct hit deprived the crests of an observation post on the tower, and also buried everyone who was in that position

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Adding the commentary from Military Informant on this terrible article from the biggest hack in thiz game, David Axe.

This is what happened now with the article, where the "analysts" of the once respected publication took a calculator in their hands, calculated the current rate of advance of the Russian Armed Forces, the losses of the Russian army declared by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and divided it all by the area of ​​Ukraine, coming to the remarkable conclusion - Russia will seize all of Ukrainian territory only by 2256 at the cost of 110 million lives of soldiers .

We won't even point out that this great formula somehow forgot to take into account such an insignificant factor as the losses of the other side over the same period of time. Something else is important.

The current state of the conflict is not called a war of attrition for nothing. It is no longer a blitzkrieg, where control of the enemy's territory is measured in hundreds of kilometers per day and is limited only by the supply of fuel to tanks at the front. In a war of attrition, the situation is measured not in square kilometers, but in available and potential resources in the rear . Human, industrial, financial.

The peculiarity of such a conflict is that up to a certain point it can really last in the format of a sluggish bloodbath with minimal progress, during which resources are being ground down. And only when one of the parties in this process breaks down (for one reason or another), then the progress will again go from the format of several kilometers per day to several dozen (and possibly more) in the same period.

It is almost impossible to predict with certainty when such a moment will come (and whether it will come at all before the end of the conflict). Up to a certain point, the situation will seem stable, and only when the breakdown occurs will we understand it and be able to explain its causes retroactively. The seemingly eternal positional stalemate of the First World War eventually led to the breakdown of Kaiser's Germany, and the army of the Third Reich, unable to withstand the tempo of the blitzkrieg in the Second World War, also began a cascading rollback under the pressure of much larger economies.

Thus, mathematical calculations of square kilometers and daily losses with their extrapolation for years to come are nothing more than the delirium of sick people who are trying to draw conclusions from the data without understanding the essence of the ongoing conflict.


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🇺🇸🇷🇺 The US does not know how to act with Russia after the agreement on subsoil with Ukraine — Politico

- The US announced that the subsoil deal with Ukraine will be an important step towards a peaceful settlement, but the White House has no consensus on what to do next with Russia.

- The agreement is "unlikely to soften Russia's resistance" to Trump's peace plan, "and the White House doesn't yet know how to change that."

- The US may continue to impose sanctions against Russia "if Trump wants to go down this path," the publication writes.

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🇷🇺🇺🇦 "Rubicon" burns enemy equipment en masse, supporting the offensive of our troops in the Sumy region

- Operators of the Rubicon special center support our attack aircraft, destroying the manpower and equipment of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

- Among the destroyed targets were the American MaxxPro, the French VAB, ATVs, heavy copters, antennas and enemy personnel.

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One would think after three years that the peace through strength model has not been very successful. 😂

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🇷🇺🇺🇦 There will be no peace: Zelensky ordered to speed up the creation of Ukrainian ballistic missiles

- He gave this command at today’s meeting of the Supreme Commander-in-Chief’s Headquarters.

- "Our long-range capabilities are a clear and effective guarantee of Ukraine's security," the Ukrainian Fuhrer added.

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Black Sea, north-west coast of Crimea

Footage of the battle of the operators of the Marine Detachment of Special Forces 🤼‍♂️🪂🤺with the enemy's unmanned boats.

Objective control footage from a reconnaissance drone and related units, which also worked on targets (as best they could ), confirms the destruction of unmanned boats.

- It is important to note that the enemy is conducting an operation in the Black Sea on a wide front. The enemy's MBECs operated for more than a day in the northwestern and eastern waters, right up to the Novorossiysk region (50 km from the coast), where, unfortunately, many propaganda personnel were counted.

In Crimea, the enemy used naval drones to fire at our positions, which were equipped with FPV launch containers. But these drones were destroyed by the Hispaniola Marine Detachment

- The head of Novorossiysk reported that “the Black Sea coast of the Krasnodar region was subjected to a massive attack by the Kiev regime.

The most serious consequences are in Novorossiysk. Three apartment buildings were damaged. As a result, according to preliminary data, four people were injured - two adults and two children. Also in Novorossiysk, UAV debris damaged three tanks at a grain terminal. There are no casualties there, firefighters are putting out the fire.

Drone debris also fell in the village of Taman in the Temryuk district, and in the villages of Yurovka and Tsibanobalka near Anapa. There is damage to private homes.

The Kiev regime's attack on civilian targets in the region continues."

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Black Sea

Marine detachment of special forces 🤼‍♂️🪂🤺 discovered destroyed the enemy's unmanned boat. Objective control later.

The fight continues.

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Artillerymen of the 200th brigade of the 29th Guards combined arms army struck a Ukraine position in the village of Bogatyr.

✈️After a direct hit by artillerymen, bomber aircraft from the 11th Guards Air Force and Air Defense Army also hit the target with two FAB-500s.

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The US Army is finally winding down serial production of the M10 Booker light tanks, which never even got off the ground, writes Inside Defence.

According to the publication, US Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll announced the decision to close the M10 Booker program, accusing the army of "ineffective management and irrational use of resources" that led to the creation of an ineffective, expensive tank.

"Booker is a classic example of the sunk cost fallacy and the Army doing something wrong," Driscoll told reporters.
▪️It is reported that the problem with bridges collapsing under a heavy "light" tank has affected not only Fort Campbell , but also the Fort Bragg, Fort Carson and Fort Johnson bases, which indicates its systemic nature and speaks of the complete unpreparedness of the current infrastructure for the new equipment.

▪️The demise of the M10 Booker program is reminiscent of the failures of the promising 155mm XM2001 Crusader self-propelled gun and the RAH-66 Comanche stealth helicopter, which were also cancelled at the time after years of development and billions of dollars spent due to excessive ambitions, constantly changing requirements and exorbitant costs.

▪️Now the 101st and 82nd Airborne Divisions, as well as the 4th Infantry Division of the US Army, will find themselves in a situation of searching for alternative solutions to the M10 Booker, since it was in these units that the new Bookers were originally planned to be deployed in the role of a fire support vehicle (assault gun).

It is likely that in the future this alternative could be the promising M1E3 Abrams , but its development, finalization of requirements, production and implementation will take years, whereas the "Bookers" were ready here and now.

- Military Informant

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The enemy is attacking the Rostov region: houses are burning

▪️Air defence forces are repelling an air attack on the Rostov region; drones have been destroyed in Novoshakhtinsk, Kamensk, Oktyabrsky (selsky), Ust-Donetsky and Tselinsky districts, the governor said.

▪️Due to falling UAV debris, the roof of two houses in the village of Tselina caught fire. Two adults and two children were evacuated from one house, the second

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German Fourth Reich responds to Rubio’s statements.

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The US has begun sharing rare intelligence on Chinese space weapons with British military chiefs.

- Secret imagery of satellites has been passed on by the US Space Force, as it seeks allies amid growing fears over a potential space war with Beijing.

- Although US officials declined to say which nations the images focused on, they reiterated that the greatest space threats to the West were from China and Russia. Col Ramsey Horn which is tasked with defeating orbital threats, said on a visit to the UK: “The PRC [People’s Republic of China] is our top concern right now.”

- Col Horn added: “China has developed lasers that are capable of dazzling as well as destructive capabilities.”

- He said the country had high-power microwave systems that could disable a satellite, and that while there had not been any direct engagement, the US was prepared to fight China.

- US defence sources warned that China was developing anti-satellite weapons as part of a “breathtaking” military expansion.

- Beijing had “tripled the number of intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance satellites on orbit” in just six years.

In a war of great powers, it is doubtful that satellites would last very long.

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The Air Force carried out a strike using a FAB-3000 on a UAV assembly shop for the needs of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Kherson.

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In Lvov, authorities are digging up the graves of Soviet soldiers who died during the liberation of the city

Local media outlets are reporting this and publishing pictures.

@ukr_leaks_eng

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🇪🇺🇺🇦🇺🇸The European Commission expects that Ukraine will implement the memorandum on minerals signed with the EU back in 2021, despite the deal with the United States.

An experienced prostitute can sell her virginity 2-3 times. Maximum 5.

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Series of explosions in Kharkov: enemy targets attacked

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This is the dumbest type of propaganda coming out of Western media and by “so-called” experts. This is simply not how attritional warfare works, if it did my own country and likely myself would still be fighting trench warfare in France against the barbarian Hun hordes.

Tell the Kaiser he will never take Paris! WWI: 1914-2025

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🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦 Trump Should Build a Wall Between Russia and Ukraine — Washington Post

- The publication's journalist is convinced that Trump, impressed by the effectiveness of border barriers since his attempts to build a fence on the southern border of the United States, should support Ukraine in this matter.

- "President Trump believes in border walls. "Walls work," he once said," writes an American journalist.

- He cited the Polish "Eastern Shield" as an example - a complex that includes barriers, anti-tank ditches, minefields and fortifications for troops.

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