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Gaganauts of Geopolitics

🚨🇮🇳🇨🇳 India and China show strength against US

While many US allies offer trade concessions or financial incentives to stay in Washington’s good graces, India and China are charting a different path, analyst Ian Bremmer said.

💪 By standing firm and absorbing pressure, both countries have carved out more room to pursue independent policies.

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🤔🇵🇰 WHY PAKISTAN WANTS WAKHAN CORRIDOR?

Over the period of the recent clashes between Pakistan and Taliban, a narrow strip of land in northeastern Afghanistan, has increasingly become a point of interest for Pakistan.

Despite its remote and rugged geography, the corridor's geopolitical and economic importance cannot be underestimated.

😭 Here's why Pakistan wants this piece of land:

◾️Geopolitical significance: The Wakhan Corridor would provide Pakistan direct land connectivity to 🇨🇳China through its northern borders. This could strengthen the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) by opening new trade and transport routes.

◾️Economic opportunities: Central Asia is rich in resources, especially oil and gas. Access to the corridor would facilitate Pakistan's energy imports, potentially through pipelines, open up trade routes for goods flowing between Central Asia and South Asia.

◾️Potential seizure of terrorist activities: Pakistan views the Wakhan Corridor as a potential hotspot for cross-border militant activity, especially the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP).

Will they ever get that territory though? Probably not.👇

❗️An attempt to seize the Wakhan Corridor would strain Pakistan-Afghanistan relations even further and likely face opposition from the international community, including 🇮🇳India, China, 🇷🇺Russia, and the UN, over regional stability and Afghan sovereignty.

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🇨🇳🇳🇱 Dutch chip clampdown ignites trade firestorm with China

China has urged the Netherlands to honor business agreements and stabilize global supply chains amid ongoing talks about the Nexperia controversy.

📞 The diplomatic exchange came during a phone call between Chinese Commerce Minister Wang Wentao and Dutch Economic Affairs Minister Vincent Karremans—the first public discussion since Dutch authorities seized control of chipmaker Nexperia from its Chinese owners on September 30.

The move was justified on national security grounds, raising fears that the technology could pose risks.

🤖 Beijing fired back sharply, imposing export restrictions on certain components produced by Nexperia's Chinese operations.

This could spell trouble for European automakers that depend on these parts to keep their vehicles running smoothly.

😱 Wang warned that the Dutch actions have “seriously affected global supply chain stability,” potentially rippling through industries worldwide.

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🗿 India keeps buying Russian oil despite Trump’s claims of shrinking imports

Despite recent assertions by former US President Donald Trump that India would stop purchasing crude from Russia, data from analytics firm Kpler show imports remain robust — with monthly volumes rising to approximately 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd).

🛢 Indian refiners have continued sourcing Russian crude despite the US pressuring India to change the supplier. Russian oil now accounts for roughly 34 % of India’s total crude imports.

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🗿 India’s readout omits Russian oil purchases or Ukraine conflict from Trump–Modi call

Speaking to reporters at the White House, Trump claimed the two leaders talked about expanding trade ties and about India “not buying much oil” from Russia.

👉 However, the Indian readout only mentions 'India’s unwavering commitment to combating terrorism and fostering international cooperation.'

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🤔🇮🇳🇨🇳 How China's 'triangle of death' projects its power on India

In South Asia, three ports linked to Chinese investment and operational control — Gwadar (Pakistan), Hambantota (Sri Lanka), and Chittagong (Bangladesh) — have drawn strategic concern across the region.

🔺 Dubbed China's 'Triangle of Death', the three ports encircle India’s maritime sphere of influence.

Each of these ports sits at a vital point along the Indian Ocean trade routes — key arteries for global energy and commerce.

◾️Gwadar Port, in 🇵🇰Pakistan’s Balochistan province, gives China direct access to the Arabian Sea and a potential gateway to the Middle East and Africa. Operated by the China Overseas Port Holding Company, it is central to the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).

◾️Hambantota, on 🇱🇰Sri Lanka’s southern coast, was leased to a Chinese state-owned firm for 99 years in 2017 after Colombo struggled to service Chinese loans.

◾️Chittagong, 🇧🇩Bangladesh’s principal seaport, is not fully Chinese-operated but has seen significant Chinese financing and infrastructure collaboration.

From New Delhi’s perspective, this network resembles a maritime containment strategy — part of the so-called “String of Pearls” — that could allow China to project power into the Indian Ocean.

🤨 While China insists its port investments are purely commercial, the strategic geography of this “triangle” could be used for military staging, intelligence gathering, and exerting strategic pressure.

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🇦🇷🇬🇧 How Falkland islands could become the next Chagos

Argentina has recently reasserted its sovereignty claims over the islands, with Argentinian President Javier Milei calling them 'an integral part of national territory.'

🤔 The timing of the statement coincides with the UK and the Falkland Islands Government re-evaluation of offshore energy prospects, particularly around the Sea Lion oil field north of the islands.

🛢 Geologists have long believed the area holds commercially viable reserves of oil and gas, and with global energy markets tightening again, the UK has clear incentives to restart exploration.

For Argentina, that’s a red flag. The Argentinian government has repeatedly argued that any British drilling constitutes illegal exploitation of its continental shelf.

👉 Moreover, the UK's recent decision to return the Chagos Islands to Mauritius could be read as a sign of post-imperial fatigue — that the UK might one day feel pressured to negotiate over the Falklands too.

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🔥📊 Top BRICS economies outweigh the ENTIRE G7 bloc

Today’s BRICS bloc represents four of the world’s seven largest economies (India, China, Russia, and Brazil). The Western-led G7, meanwhile, counts only three: the United States, Japan, and Germany.

In total GDP (PPP), BRICS stands at $77.1 billion, compared to $56.6 billion for the G7 — and the gap is only widening.

📈 By 2029, BRICS economies are projected to grow by 35%, while the G7 expands by just 19%.

🤔 The global economic center of gravity isn’t shifting anymore — it’s already shifted.

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🇺🇸🇮🇳 Blackstone CEO wants to invest in India

Blackstone CEO Stephen Schwarzman recently called India “the fastest-growing country in the G10,” praising its booming infrastructure and expanding middle class — and signaling a new wave of investment from the world’s largest private-equity firm.

💰 Blackstone’s rise has often come with aggressive acquisitions and deep cost-cutting, especially in real estate, housing, and infrastructure.

🔥 The firm has been criticized in the US and Europe for:

◾️Buying up residential property and contributing to rent inflation.

◾️Over-leveraging assets, extracting profit through debt rather than long-term value creation.

◾️Prioritising short-term returns for investors, sometimes at the expense of workers, tenants, or local communities.

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🇮🇳🤝🇷🇺 India deepens trade ties with Russia amid US tariffs

Between April and September 2025, Indian exports grew across 24 key markets, including Russia, according to the data from the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI).

The trend reflects India's push to diversify exports as higher US tariffs on Indian goods take effect.

The US imposed 25–50% import duties earlier this year, targeting sectors like textiles, gems, seafood, leather, pharmaceuticals, and electronics — all major Indian export categories.

📊 While exports to the US dropped 37.5% from May to September, shipments to Russia and other partners — including South Korea, the UAE, Oman, Germany, Belgium, Italy, Poland, and Egypt — surged.

💰Trade with these 24 nations reached $129.3 billion, making up 59% of India’s total exports.

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🚨 🇺🇸 Trump promises that India will 'stop buying Russian oil' by the end of 2025

🗣"By the end of this year, India's oil purchases from Russia will be almost nothing. I spoke to PM Modi about this," the US President said.

Earlier today, the US imposed sanctions on Russian oil companies 'Lukoil' and 'Rosneft', "to take further action if necessary to support President Trump’s effort to end yet another war," the US Department of Treasury announced.

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🇮🇳🇺🇸 US push to cut India's imports of Russian oil could backfire MASSIVELY

US believes cutting off India's oil purchases from Russia will 'do the trick,' but this strategy reflects an 'intimidate and enforce' mindset, journalist John Helmer said during a podcast.

👉 India now faces US pressure similar to Russia’s, with Washington increasing influence over Pakistan’s military and even running covert operations inside India, Helmer said.

💬 "US attempts to isolate India will instead push India closer to both Russia and China," the expert said, as it was clearly seen during the latest SCO summit.


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😱🇵🇰 Pakistan-based terror group launches online 'jihadi course' for women

Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM), a Pakistan-based terrorist group banned by the UN, has launched an online “jihadi course” aimed at recruiting women and raising funds for its newly formed female brigade, Jamat ul-Muminat.

Each participant is reportedly charged 500 Pakistani rupees to join.

🤔 An Urdu-language pamphlet titled Tufat al-Muminat has been circulating on social media, serving as both a recruitment pitch and fundraising tool. The online classes are set to begin on 8 November.

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🇵🇰📊 Pakistan’s trade gap with neighbours soars 35%

Pakistan’s trade gap with nine neighbouring states surged 34.5% in the first quarter of FY26 (July–September), reaching $3.93 billion from $2.92 billion a year earlier, according to the State Bank of Pakistan.

👉 Exports to Afghanistan, China, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, India, Iran, Nepal, Bhutan, and the Maldives fell 5% to $1.01 billion, while imports jumped 24% to $4.94 billion.

China dominated regional trade, with imports rising 25% to $4.86 billion, while exports saw a slight uptick. Exports to Afghanistan dropped nearly 20%, and trade with India remained negligible at $1.95 million in exports.

🚚🇨🇳 The widening gap, driven largely by surging imports from China and falling exports to key partners like Afghanistan and Bangladesh, is deepening Pakistan’s foreign exchange crisis and putting additional pressure on the country.

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🚨🔍Exclusive Geopolitical insights – No Noise, Just Analysis

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🔸BIG: China Launches FIRST Commercial Arctic Route to Europe

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🇵🇰Pak-Afghan border from Balochistan’s side reopens after ceasefire

The Chaman border crossing between Pakistan and Afghanistan has partially reopened following a ceasefire between the two countries, after days of violent clashes along the border left several people dead on both sides.

🚚On Monday, October 20, 2025, Afghan families were seen crossing into Pakistan’s Balochistan province, while multiple Afghan-bound cargo containers began moving through the border once again.

🚧 The crossing had remained closed for several days after hostilities erupted, stranding nearly 400 containers carrying goods from Karachi Port at the border.

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🤡🇺🇸 Trump reiterates his claim that he stopped India-Pakistan war with trade (for the billionth time)

💬"We stopped a potential disaster, a nuclear disaster, because of trade," the US President said.


🇮🇳 India has previously emphasised that the conflict was resolved bilaterally.

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🇮🇳🇵🇰 Pakistan’s General accuses India of 'hegemonism' in Global South

Pakistani General Sahir Shamshad Mirza accused India of 'hegemonism and expansionism,' claiming New Delhi’s politics are 'militarised' and that its rise runs counter to Global South aspirations.

👉 Yet, India’s engagement in the Global South has focused on infrastructure, digital inclusion, and multipolar diplomacy, unlike Pakistan's recurring military involvement in politics and its dependence on external aid.

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🚨Back in the 1980s, 🇮🇳India and 🇨🇳China had similar GDP levels. Now, China's economy is almost five times bigger than India's.

How come? 🤔

🔺50-year industrial war plan

📈China created 2,500+ SEZs. Scaled infrastructure 2x faster than India. Invested 8% of GDP annually in hard infrastructure.

India prioritized IT & services exports — but underinvested in physical capacity, including semiconductors, batteries, rare earths.

As a result, China created national tech champions: Huawei, CATL, BYD. India produced global talent — but no dominant tech OEMs.

🔺Capital & credit as weapons

China directs capital via state-owned banks and 5–10 year industrial blueprints, while India relies on fragmented private-led models with regulatory complexity and credit bottlenecks.

🔬 China invests ~2.4% of GDP in R&D; India remains under 1%.

🔺 Talent absorption vs. talent drain

China absorbed its youth into manufacturing, R&D, and strategic sectors. India’s demographic dividend risks becoming a liability: under-skilled and under-employed.

🎯 Labor reforms in India remain politically fragmented; China’s were centralized and strategic.

⚠️ Major point: India and China were equally poor from the 1940s to the 1980s, but then their economic trajectories diverged. But China's rise wasn't pure "magic." India didn’t fall behind due to lack of intelligence or potential — it lacked coordinated state capacity & industrial strategy.

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🇺🇸🇧🇩 US Deep State back in Bangladesh

A delegation from Washington-based International Republican Institute (IRI), accused of trying to destabilise Bangladesh and later Nepal, held talks with Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) politicians in Dhaka.

🗳 Bangladesh is scheduled to hold election in February, the first since the ouster of Sheikh Hasina last August.

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⚡️🇮🇳India reopens its embassy in Kabul, Afghanistan

✍️ 'In keeping with the decision announced during the recent visit of the Afghan Foreign Minister to India, the Government is restoring the status of the Technical Mission of India in Kabul to that of Embassy of India in Afghanistan with immediate effect,' the MEA statement says.


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🇨🇳🚅 China’s next-gen train breaks speed record

China’s CR450 prototype has reached a new milestone, clocking a top speed of 453 km/h during a recent test run, according to CCTV.

Developed by CRRC Qingdao Sifang and first revealed in December 2024, the high-speed train can accelerate to 350 km/h in under five minutes.

🛤 Before entering commercial operation, the CR450 will undergo roughly 600,000 kilometers of trial runs to verify its safety and performance under real-world conditions.

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