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Though Trump admits he doesn’t know if will have any effect on Russia.

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When will the front near Pokrovsk collapse and what will it look like?

🔺Russian forces have taken the village of Novoukrainka 2.5 km south of Pokrovsk. Ahead lie the city blocks, which means the fighting is entering a decisive stage.

Using Avdeevka and Pokrovsk as examples, one can see how the very logic of offense and defense has changed. Russia spent months "grinding down" the most complex fortified areas of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and it seemed the operations were stalling for a long time. Then, when the front became critically overloaded and the enemy weakened, a sharp and precise strike was delivered.


Avdeevka became a model example of this tactic: covert concentration of forces, a rapid assault on the city, then an immediate expansion of the operation to Berdychy and Ocheretino, reaching Grodovka and, finally, the approaches to Pokrovsk.

When to expect the collapse of the front near Pokrovsk and what will it look like?

An important point that many observers miss: a "front collapse" in the context of the special military operation is not about losing 100x100 kilometer squares all at once. It is the loss of key nodes, disruption of logistics, and the collapse of the stability of the entire defensive system.

When the Ukrainian Armed Forces lost Avdeevka, they not only lost the city but also lost control over a chain of strongpoints, which allowed Russia to gain operational space and prepare the assault on Pokrovsk. This is how the front "contracts": selectively, but with catastrophic consequences over an area of almost 600 square kilometers. But not all at once, sector by sector.


Currently, a similar configuration is forming near Pokrovsk: the southern flank of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is overloaded, the northern direction is being pressured. If the current pace of combat operations continues, the "contraction" of the front can be expected within the next 3–6 weeks, unless Syrsky risks burning the last combat-ready reserves here.

This will not look like a single rapid assault on the city, but rather a series of successive local breakthroughs: securing the southern or northeastern blocks, cutting off the remaining supply routes inside the city, pushing the Ukrainian Armed Forces out of Mirnograd, and forming a "fire pocket," after which the defense in the Pokrovsk area will cease to be manageable.

Military Chronicle

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😐🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦Trump: The 10-day countdown for a ceasefire in Ukraine "starts today"

He then threatens to impose sanctions.

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Lord Valerij Zaluzhny took a photo for British magazines. In view of Zelensky's removal, he is preparing to fill in the Narkoman's shoes.

Too little too late. Replacing the Clown Prince of Crack with a Banderite like Zaluzhny might have made sense in 2023 or even 2024, but now there's no working around the AFU's crippling lack of personnel.

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Neocon lunatic Anne Applebaum explained why Trump only talks about pressure on Russia but does nothing.

'There are people around Trump who want him to make a deal with Putin because it could bring them personal financial gain — possibly the president himself as well. There are also people in the MAGA movement who openly support Russia.'


She talks utter nonsense and discussed how Putin must be defeated. The ol’ Polish fluffer is a hack.

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Based on the latest video geolocations, Russian troops have advanced in Seversk much further than previously assumed.

The loss of tactically important heights by the Armed Forces of Ukraine (marked as key positions on map 2) has led to Russian units consolidating on new lines, expanding their control zone and reducing the enemy's ability to counterattack. This sharply worsens the situation for the Ukrainian defense on the northern front of the city.

The only holding point for the Armed Forces of Ukraine remains a single height north of Seversk, but its loss now seems only a matter of time. The consolidation of Russian forces on new dominant lines effectively breaks the defense configuration in this area and opens a direct path for operational encirclement. This may lead to a forced retreat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the future.

The front here is considered one of the toughest, densest, and hardest to pass, so there may be several reasons for such Russian advances.

Military Chronicle

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🇫🇷France has suffered the largest hacker attack - codes of combat systems and software for nuclear weapons have been hacked

- Financial Times notes that the French defense company Naval Group, which produces submarines and warships, was attacked. Hackers gained access to secret data, including:
— Source code of combat systems.
— Software for nuclear weapons of submarines.
— Documentation on Rafale-M fighters.
— Internal emails of management, network data, and simulation systems.
- In total, hackers published 30 GB of information, which, according to them, also relates to the combat control system of submarines and frigates of the US Navy. The authorities of the US and France have started an investigation and are verifying the authenticity of the disclosed data.

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🇺🇸🇬🇧🇺🇦The US and Britain secretly discussed with Yermak, Budanov, and Zaluzhny the prospects of replacing Zelensky, — SVR

- According to the agency, the Americans and the British announced the decision to nominate Valeriy Zaluzhny for the post of President of Ukraine.

- It is noted that Andriy Yermak and Kiril Budanov secured promises from the Anglo-Saxons to keep their current positions after the president is replaced.

- "The agreement reached in the Alps sheds light on the background of the recent scandalous attempt by the 'president' to limit the powers of local anti-corruption bodies," the SVR message says.

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A terrorist attack against a high-ranking military officer was prevented in Rostov-on-Don.

A citizen of one of the Central Asian countries, recruited by the Ukrainian intelligence services, was detained, the FSB's Central Security Service reported.

During a search, the terrorist was found with a homemade bomb weighing 400 grams in TNT equivalent. A case has been opened for preparation of a terrorist act, the detainee has been arrested and is giving confessions.

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💥💥Daytime operation of "Geraniums"

The "Geranium" group struck the Ukrainian Armed Forces deployment point near the settlement of Buryn, Sumy region.

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🇺🇦💥Powerful strike on Kamenskoe: Missiles hit the rehabilitation center of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which was handed over by the city mayor

- At night, a missile strike was carried out on Kamenskoe in the Dnepropetrovsk region.

- According to local public pages, the main target of the strike was the military rehabilitation center. Residents in the comments blame the city mayor, who the day before published a post mentioning this center.

- The authorities are trying to hide this, stating that the strike partially destroyed an "unused three-story building." It is also noted that nearby on this avenue are the buildings of the district Territorial Recruitment Center and the city hospital.

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Peskov – on Trump's ultimatum:

We have taken note of President Trump's statement yesterday. The SMO continues, and we continue to uphold our commitment to a peaceful process to resolve the conflict around Ukraine and ensure our interests during this settlement.

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🇲🇩🇪🇺🇪🇺🇪🇺 The Moldovan Security & Intelligence Service (SIS) released a statement taking responsibility for the deportation of dozens of European officials who came to Chișinău to attend the Make Europe Great Again conference held from July 28 to July 29.

The SIS said they acted the way they did because the event organisers are "obscure" and "tied with the Ilan Șor criminal group" ["murderous" in this sentence is a translation error], that some participants, without being named "aimed to promote an extremist agenda, to undermine the territorial integrity and democracy of the Republic of Moldova", "supported the Russian invasion of Ukraine" etc.

In short, the SIS qualified the MEGA Conference as a part of "Russia's hybrid war intended to destabilize the Maia Sandu regime the Republic of Moldova". The SIS calls on politicians to to analyze critically when they receive invitations to participate in various public actions or events, without knowing the true purpose or the shadow financier of these initiatives" and threatens legal repercussions for those who dare to participate at such events.

📝: Moldova considers being pro-Republican and pro-Donald Trump as being pro-Russian. Same for being friends with the president of the Alliance for the Union of Romanians, George Simion and Călin Georgescu.

Not surprising from a country ruled by NGO liberal-democracy activists.

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This week in stupid: the USA want to purchase the Komandorski Islands 🤡

The United States has proposed to acquire the Komandorski Islands (off the coast of Kamchatka) from Russia for $15 billion USD in order to counter China. This was stated by Lieutenant Colonel of the US Ground Forces Jeffrey Fritz.

He believes that such an agreement will "strengthen the security" of the United States and "confirm American leadership" in the Arctic.

Sorry to break it to you Fritz, but ceding out parts of Russian soil goes completely against Russia's constitution, and unlike the USA's, it's non-negotiable.

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Indian TV host called Trump a "toxic relative."

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The war in Ukraine will last a long time, and Europe will pay for it – Trump

Listen, I don’t necessarily have to get involved in this. These are Russian and Ukrainian soldiers. And there are civilians in the cities. But these are lives


- You think about your own sons

"I try not to think about it, I don't like to think that way,
but all of this could have easily ended. However, it will take a lot of time. And here’s what I’ll say: now the EU will take on all the payments that we used to make. We gave Ukraine 000’s of billions of dollars — we transferred $350B to Ukraine, even though we are on the other side of the ocean. This is not our war. But through Biden, we gave them these $350B. And I wonder — where did it all go? It’s unlikely that it all went to weapons. Europe gave 100B, we gave 350. And, honestly, it should have been the other way around. But now NATO will reimburse us 100% of the cost of all weapons and equipment. That is, NATO will supply weapons and pay for them

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More evidence that 9/11 was planned in advance. Subscribe to our partner channel, @geopolitics_prime, for more revelations like this.

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Bloomberg: Kremlin silent on Trump's new deadline, which Russia is likely to ignore

▶️ The Kremlin is silent on Donald Trump's decision to drastically reduce the time given to Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine, although analysts say this will not force the Russian president to change course.

▶️ "Russia will respond very diplomatically” and stresses that “setting specific deadlines does not in itself stimulate the negotiating process,” Sergei Markov, a Moscow-based political consultant close to the Kremlin, wrote on Telegram. "But Russia's real response to Trump's ultimatum will be, as it has been for the past 500 years to all ultimatums: get out! Go to hell!"

▶️ While it may be important for Putin to maintain relations with Trump, the Russian leader “does not want to stop, especially under pressure,” says Moscow-based political analyst Andrei Kolesnikov.

▶️ Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, now Security Council vice-chairman, said Trump was “playing ultimatums” and warned that it was a “step toward war” between Russia and the United States.

▶️ Markets reacted with increased nervousness. The ruble continued to weaken Tuesday, surpassing 82 per dollar in early trading after falling nearly 3 percent to its lowest since mid-May following Trump's comments.

▶️ Oil prices rose on concerns about potential disruptions in Russian crude supplies or rising costs due to changing supply routes. Brent crude settled around $70 a barrel after closing the previous session up 2.3 percent, its biggest gain in two weeks.

▶️ Russia is one of the world's top three oil producers after the United States and Saudi Arabia, exporting more than 3 million barrels a day by sea alone and supplying crude to major consumers such as India and China.

▶️ Any significant disruption of supplies from Russia in the near future would force other major producers to increase supplies and divert existing flows, while the global market remains strained by strong summer demand.

▶️ Russian media reflect skepticism in Moscow that Trump will follow through on his threat to impose sanctions, as he has repeatedly delayed taking action against Putin.

▶️ Russian officials saw the initial 50-day deadline as an additional delay that gave Moscow's forces the opportunity to intensify fighting and take more territory in Ukraine at the height of the summer fighting season.

▶️ "For some reason, Trump thinks he is a world policeman and can issue ultimatums,” Senator Vladimir Dzhabarov told the Izvestia newspaper. "But usually ultimatums are forced on the losing side, which Russia isn't."

Bloomberg forgot to mention the elephant in the room: nothing screams "5-D chess" better than taking ownership of a war that is a guaranteed defeat. All part of the plan?

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🇩🇪🇺🇦"Work or fight": Germany wants to deprive Ukrainian men of conscription age of benefits

- A tough proposal has been made in Germany to deprive Ukrainian men of conscription age of benefits. This initiative was put forward by CSU representative Stefan Mayer, who stated that these men should either work or join the army.

- According to Bild, since the beginning of the conflict, 304,144 men from Ukraine aged 18 to 63 have arrived in Germany. At the same time, almost 151 thousand of them receive benefits — on average €882 per month, costing the German budget more than €1.3 billion per year.

- "There needs to be an end to Ukrainian men of conscription age receiving civilian benefits. If almost 151,000 Ukrainians aged 18 to 63 receive support from us, then something is wrong here. This group of people is not entitled to receive this social payment and must either work here in Germany or serve in the military in Ukraine," said CSU foreign policy expert Stefan Mayer.

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"The head of the EU transport service warns: asphalt in Europe is unsuitable for war with Russia": Roads in Europe will not withstand troop transfers in the event of a conflict with Russia.

"The head of the EU transport department plans to spend at least 17 billion euros on modernizing European infrastructure to improve military mobility. NATO tanks weighing up to 70 tons, if deployed to respond on the eastern border, will get stuck in tunnels, collapse bridges, and get tangled in border protocols, he said.

Currently, transferring military equipment and troops from the western part of Europe to the east takes weeks, and in some cases months. This is the reality, the European commissioner stated, noting that part of the existing infrastructure was built without considering the possibility of transporting armies across the community's territory."

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🇧🇾🇺🇦 Drone with TNT shot down over Minsk: Writings in Ukrainian and German parts found on UAV

- A UAV equipped with TNT and a large number of damaging elements was destroyed over Minsk by electronic warfare means. This was announced by the Ministry of Defense of Belarus.

- There are no casualties. At the site of the downed UAV crash, inscriptions in Ukrainian language, as well as parts manufactured in Germany, were found. This is reported by the Belarusian Investigative Committee.

- Measures are being taken to strengthen control over the use of airspace. A criminal case has been opened.

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💥💥💥The fire of the artillerymen of the Southern group of troops destroyed the UAV control point and the deployment point of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the settlement of Seversk.

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🇺🇸🤡Strategic analyst Keen – on Trump's readiness to fight Putin.

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🇵🇱🤡Polish Prime Minister Tusk – on the fact that there is nothing more to rejoice about in the European Union:

American tariffs on European goods have become a reality. They are half as much as those proposed by President Trump in April, but there is no reason to be happy. According to preliminary estimates, Poland may lose about 8 billion zlotys (15 billion zlotys were at risk). The losses will be serious on both sides of the Atlantic, but a complex trade agreement is better than a senseless tariff war between allies.

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Ukraine • Pokrovsk

Ukrainian military personnel are exhausted due to an extreme shortage of manpower on the front line and admit to being tired of combat, — CNN.

"We have a critical shortage of personnel. No one wants to fight. The war is over for them, only the old fighters remain, they are tired and want to be replaced, but no one does it," - a Ukrainian Armed Forces officer
The line of contact in Pokrovsk, Kupiansk, and other directions has ceased to have clear boundaries. The front is really collapsing. Not yet entirely and not everywhere. But the trend of forming gaps "at zero" is increasing. In some places, like in Mirnograd, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are abandoning positions and retreating.

Condotierro

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‼️🇷🇺🔥The Russian army has liberated Novoukrainka in the DPR and Temirovka in the Zaporozhye region

- Units of the "🅾️" group of troops successfully liberated the settlement of Novoukrainka in the Donetsk People's Republic as a result of active operations.

- Meanwhile, units of the "Vostok" troop group continued to advance deep into enemy defenses and liberated the settlement of Temirovka in the Zaporozhye region.

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🇷🇺🇺🇦The Russian army continues the encirclement and assault of Kupyansk, cutting off the logistics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

- Russian troops are advancing, moving from the north and northwest to cut off the enemy's logistics.

- The Russian Armed Forces are approaching the Shevchenkovo – Kupyansk highway — the main supply line for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
After clearing Moskovka, a bridgehead is being established to advance towards Sobolevka, the capture of which will allow cutting off a key route for the enemy.

- "The situation in the Kupyansk direction is becoming complicated. Russian infantry has already been spotted in the groves east of Kondrashevka," complain Ukrainian military analysts.

- Fighting is also ongoing in the Moskovka area, with Russians actively consolidating their positions.

- Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups are increasingly penetrating Kupyansk.

- "The gray zone continues to expand around Kupyansk, and already within the city itself."

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🇷🇺🇺🇸For the first time since 2018, today there will be a meeting between the heads of Roscosmos and NASA. The head of Roscosmos, Dmitry Bakanov, has arrived in the USA.

In addition, the Russian delegation will visit the Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center in the USA.

An interesting trip in such a difficult time. Officially, the trip is related to cross-flight programs (when we also fly on their Crew Dragon). But the visit is symbolic: for example, the Americans refused to accept Rogozin as a negotiator, and he reciprocated.

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This news is being reported by several news outlets:

The U.S. proposes buying Komandorski Islands from Russia for $15 billion to counter China.

A U.S. Army Lieutenant Colonel Jeffrey Fritz has suggested that the United States buy the Commodore Islands from Russia for $15 billion to “ strengthen security ” and “ assert American leadership ” in the Arctic in response to growing competition with China - International Reporters

Genius strategy: on one one hand you want to sanction and distance Russia from the collective West and say that Russia is your mortal enemy....on the other hand you try to do business with the country and purchase its territory to build military installations against it and China. American exceptionalism is one hell of a drug.

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