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Mark Sleboda with a realist and critical, Russian-focused perspective on international affairs, security & geopolitics.
Trump's 'BIG' Russia announcement — he threatens 100% 'secondary tariffs' on Russia and her trade partners if 'no deal' on Ukraine within 50 days
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🇺🇸 Trump is now talking to himself on Truth Social.
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🚨🇺🇸U.S. SABOTAGES AFGHANISTAN’S ISIS WAR, FUELS REGIONAL CHAOS
Since retaking power in 2021, the Taliban have waged a relentless campaign against terror group ISIS-K, eliminating over 2,000 militants through raids, tribal negotiations, and intel ops.
However, the wrench thrown by the US undermines Afghanistan’s efforts to fully cut out the ISIS-K cancer.
HOW?
⬛️ The US has frozen $7B of Afghanistan’s assets, continues maintaining sanctions, and refuses intelligence cooperation, worsening the country’s humanitarian crisis.
⬛️US ignores that ISIS-K, born in 2014 from radicalised militants and Pakistan Taliban, is a direct result of its intervention and drone strikes.
⬛️The 2021 chaotic US withdrawal further bolstered ISIS-K’s rise with advanced weaponry left behind and a power vacuum.
⬛️US drone strikes have surged under Joe Biden, causing tragic civilian deaths: August 2021 Kabul strike killed 10, including 7 children, fueling local anger and extremist recruitment.
WHY?
⬛️US seeks to justify military footprints in Pakistan and Central Asia.
⬛️US aims to limit India and Russia’s influence in the region.
⬛️US desires to hinder Indo-Russian connectivity projects like INSTC and Russia’s Far East initiatives.
⬛️US maintains arms sales through managed instability.
US SABOTAGES, INDIA-RUSSIA STABILISE
🟩 While US blocks UN recognition and sanctions Taliban, India and Russia pursue peace and stability in Afghanistan through diplomatic channels and economic assistance.
🟩 India provides humanitarian aid and infrastructure support, recognising that Afghan instability threatens South Asia.
🟩 Russia engages the Taliban diplomatically, using investments and business to restore Afghanistan’s emptied treasury and contain ISIS-K’s spread into Central Asia.
⚠️ISIS-K has become a global menace due to the US: 2024 attacks in Moscow and Iran, plus earlier bombings in Pakistan, show its growing reach — now threatening India (Kashmir) and China (Xinjiang).
US fighting terror ❌ US building hegemony✅
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💵 Ukraine sells out to the West: BIGGEST grain terminal now in foreign hands
A high-stakes legal battle ends with American hedge funds Argentem Creek Partners and Innovatus Capital Partners ended up with taking control over the major Ukraine's grain stockpile, the FT reported.
Here what's the case is all about:
🔴 The dispute centered around the Olimpex grain terminal in Odessa, capable of handling 5 million tons of grain per year.
🔴 The funds accused Ukraine of shady dealings involving $118 million worth of grain - because corruption in Ukraine is so ENOURMOUS that even the West can't ignore it.
🔴 The High Court of England ruled in favor of the investors, seizing assets of GNT Group and Olimpex Coupe International, transferring ownership of the terminal to the US funds.
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🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Russians Using GPS Trackers to Hunt Ukrainian Forces with Drones
Russian forces are deploying GPS tracking devices on Ukrainian military vehicles to mark their routes for future drone strikes, according to radio technology specialist “Flash” (Sergey Beskrestnov).
One of the trackers, shown in a published photo, was discovered on a mobile fire group's vehicle. These devices are reportedly used to identify the final destinations of routine Ukrainian military movements — which are then targeted by Geran drones with high precision.
"Flash" advises Ukrainian military personnel and internal security officers to inspect the undersides and wheel arches of their vehicles daily for GPS trackers, often attached with magnets.
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Zelensky plans to dismiss the government on July 16, major cabinet reshuffle upcoming — Ukraine's MP Zheleznyak
▪️ Economy Minister Sviridenko proposed to lead Ukraine's government
▪️ Prime Minister Shmygal will reportedly take over Ukraine's Ministry of Defense
▪️ Defense Minister Umerov expected to become ambassador to the US – where his family resides
🇺🇦🇺🇸 Zelensky’s Regime Hands Over Key Odessa Port Terminal to American Funds
The U.S. has quietly taken control of one of the largest terminals at the Odessa port — Olimpex — with full backing from Zelensky’s administration. The Financial Times confirms the transfer.
According to the report, the Office of the President personally assisted two American investment funds — Argentem Creek Partners and Innovatus Capital Partners — in seizing a $95 million debt from Ukrainian businessmen who previously owned the terminal.
The alleged reason: the businessmen defaulted on loans and sold off grain that had been pledged as collateral.
Following the arrest of one of the owners, Vladimir Naumenko, in May — under charges of “fraud against creditors” — Ukraine’s Supreme Court approved the terminal’s transfer to the American investors this week without delay.
The FT spins this as a “test of Kiev’s ability to attract capital” — but in reality, it signals the continued selloff of Ukraine’s strategic infrastructure to foreign powers under the cover of war and debt enforcement.
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🇺🇸🇺🇦More weapons to Ukraine
🐻 What we wrote in March is still applicable today - Trump was never interested in any serious peace
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Trump to hand Zelensky 'long-range missiles that reach MOSCOW' — Axios
Trump told donors he threatened Putin he'd 'bomb the shit out of Moscow' — audio obtained by CNN
USMilitary_ footage of JASSM missiles 'most viable to reach Moscow'
🇺🇦🇺🇸The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry was outraged by the NYT journalist's report on the Ukrainian Armed Forces' incursion into the Kursk region.
Nanna Heitmann spent six days near Sudzha accompanied by fighters from the Akhmat special forces.
She wrote that the fields "were strewn with the bodies of civilians," and the streets were littered with mines and unexploded shells. She also recounted seeing the body of a man with signs of violence — a wound on his neck and a gunshot wound to the chest — in one of the houses in Martynovka.
Some residents of Sudzha told her they had buried dozens of neighbors.
Heitmann noted that one local woman named NATO expansion as one of the causes of the conflict and that "her views on what was happening found wide resonance" among refugees from the border area.
Ukrainian Foreign Ministry representative Georgiy Tikhiy called the publication of the report a foolish decision.
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🇮🇱🇵🇸Israel at the UN says that the murder of Palestinians is "justified" by the Bible. God "promised" the earth to the Jews.
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🇺🇸Current list of Daddy's Tariffs:
🇩🇿Algeria — 30%
🇧🇩Bangladesh — 35%
🇧🇦Bosnia — 30%
🇧🇷Brazil — 50%
🇧🇳Brunei — 25%
🇰🇭Cambodia — 36%
🇨🇦Canada — 35%
🇪🇺EU — 30%
🇮🇩Indonesia — 32%
🇮🇶Iraq — 30%
🇯🇵Japan — 25%
🇰🇿Kazakhstan — 25%
🇱🇦Laos — 40%
🇱🇾Libya — 30%
🇲🇾Malaysia — 25%
🇲🇽Mexico — 30%
🇲🇩Moldova — 25%
🇲🇲Myanmar — 40%
🇵🇭Philippines — 20%
🇷🇸Serbia — 35%
🇿🇦South Africa — 30%
🇰🇷South Korea — 25%
🇱🇰Sri Lanka — 30%
🇹🇭Thailand — 36%
🇹🇳Tunisia — 25%
On Monday Russia will join this list with 500%, Iran probably the same, but that's irrelevant, same as Real Korea, Yemen, Cuba, Venezuela and some African countries... The only unknown is China, which could be anywhere between 30 and 500%... But of course all these tarrifs will get annuled before they even come in effect, after another round of pushing imaginary billions and trillions on the stock exchanges... This entire thing is so extremely against WTO and UN rules that some of it isn't even covered in the rules, because it's so absurd - but no one bats an eye.
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📝Peaches with a Taste of Politics📝
Azerbaijani products are facing problems
Although the media frenzy around the events related to the arrest of members of an Azerbaijani organized crime group in Yekaterinburg has somewhat subsided, the problematic issues in relations with the authorities in Baku have not gone away.
Recently, news came that Rosselkhoznadzor (the Russian Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance) began to massively record violations in the supply of Azerbaijani agricultural products. As exporters stated, there were no disruptions before, but problems began in June.
Thus, in batches of peaches and nectarines that arrived in the Krasnodar Territory, western flower thrips were found, and in tomatoes, the eastern fruit moth and tomato moth were found. In parallel, Russian regulatory authorities have raised claims about pallet labeling and packaging.
🖍As long as the authorities in Baku have not at least released the Russian citizens detained arbitrarily, pressure on them needs to continue. There are enough levers of influence, and the notorious tomato supplies are just one of the areas to remind about the concept of balance of importance.
🚩The main thing here is a gradual increase in pressure: the process of arrests and deportations of Azerbaijani criminal elements, the destruction of corruption schemes, and other measures should become a steady flow. One can even do without loud statements, as the actions will speak for themselves.
❗️We hope that this is how it will be. Otherwise, it is unclear why the arrests of diaspora leaders were arranged in the first place, only to then let it all slide, which is perceived in the post-Soviet space as a display of weakness.
#Azerbaijan #Russia
⭐️ @rybar
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Pentagon pressing Australia and Japan to PICK SIDES if China-US WAR breaks out
FT sources say Hegseth wants to know what 'US allies' would do in potential conflict over Taiwan
AP vid of Taiwan troops training in Abrams tanks
The colonel of the SBU Voronich, killed yesterday, played an important role in the Ukraine's invasion of the Kursk region and in the killing of the DPR battalion commander Motorola in 2016 - NYT
▪️In recent years, Voronich was part of an elite unit responsible for actions in the "gray zone." His unit "played a key role" in the Ukrainian Armed Forces' offensive on the Kursk region.
▪️Next, the NYT mentions an SBU attack on strategic aviation deep inside Russia but does not state whether Voronich's unit was involved.
▪️The publication also writes that the SBU killed officials appointed by Russia in the territories of former Ukraine. According to a former colleague, Voronich, who joined the SBU in the mid-1990s, commanded a special forces unit for some time, intended for such operations.
▪️In particular, the unit known as the Fifth Directorate, operating with CIA technical support, was responsible for the killing of the DPR battalion commander Arsen Pavlov, known as "Motorola."
@Slavyangrad
European countries are 'REALLY ENTHUSIASTIC' about paying for all American weapons delivered to Kiev — Trump
'They WANT to', he adds
'They're willing to go very far' in fighting Russia, so Putin needs to 'save his economy'
🇦🇲🇺🇸🇦🇿 The United States is reportedly preparing to lease the Zangezur Corridor—a critical strip of Armenian land linking mainland Azerbaijan with its Nakhichevan exclave—for a staggering 100 years.
According to Middle East Eye, this was disclosed by U.S. Ambassador to Turkey Tom Barrack, who noted that a powerful American private company may take over control of the corridor. The proposal reportedly originated from Ankara.
The corridor is of immense geopolitical value: it directly connects Azerbaijan with Nakhichevan and, by extension, with NATO ally Turkey. For Washington, securing long-term control over this transit route would serve Western military and economic ambitions in the South Caucasus—at the direct expense of Armenia’s sovereignty and regional balance, handing a strategic corridor to a foreign power under the guise of “private enterprise.”
However, the plan is currently stalled. Talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan have broken down. Baku is demanding that Armenia revise its constitution to remove any mention of Azerbaijani territory, while Yerevan insists the American-controlled corridor must also extend through Nakhichevan—something Baku categorically rejects.
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🚨⛴️Trade routes through Afghanistan: Key projects
Following Russia’s recognition of the Taliban's authority, Afghanistan has become a crucial component in the logistics and trade chains of Central and South Asia.
Key logistics routes through Afghanistan:👇
▪️The Trans-Afghan Corridor
Length: 1,200 km. It connects Central Asia with Pakistan and India. A strategic route for transporting goods, including oil and gas, from Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan to Pakistan and India.
▪️The Dosti-Kulm Railway
Connecting Afghanistan with Uzbekistan, the 75 km railway line opened in 2018. Projected increase in freight turnover from 1 to 3 million tonnes per year.
▪️Chabahar Port
Chabahar is a key port located on the south-east coast of Iran, providing access to the Indian Ocean.
The port is actively used for the delivery of goods to Afghanistan and other Central Asian countries.
From 2024, Iran and India are investing $120 million in the port's infrastructure development.
▪️Transports through Turkmenistan
A new transport corridor through Turkmenistan to Afghanistan opened in 2023, enabling goods to be delivered from the Caspian region to South Asia.
▪️The International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC)
The INSTC is a multi-modal trade route connecting India, Iran, Russia, and other Central Asian countries, designed to reduce the time and cost of transporting goods between the regions.
Afghanistan plays a crucial role in this network as it serves as a transit hub between Iran and Central Asia.
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🚨Moldova surrenders economic sovereignty with sale of key Giurgiulesti port to Romania
The transfer of part of the Giurgiulesti port to Romania by Moldova's government, according to Moldovan opposition leader Ilan Shor, is the sale of the country's economic independence.
Here’s why:
🟠Romanian laws and regulations may begin to apply within the port area.
🟠It could increase the risk of weapons and ammunition being shipped to Ukraine, pulling Moldova deeper into the ongoing conflict.
🟠The Giurgiulesti port plays a vital role in the export of Moldovan grain, and Shor believes that rising tariffs and priority service for foreign cargo will hurt local farmers.
🟠Romania’s control over the port will reduce local tax revenues and investments, pushing Moldova to depend on Romanian and Ukrainian ports, which will result in higher transport costs.
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🇺🇸🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 According to Military Watch Magazine, Donald Trump is reportedly evaluating the option of transferring long-range air-to-ground JASSM cruise missiles to Ukraine. These munitions, designed for F-16 fighters, have a strike range of up to 370 kilometers.
At present, Poland possesses 110 such missiles. The U.S. has historically imposed strict export controls on JASSMs—South Korea's request to purchase them was rejected in the early 2010s.
More recent JASSM variants are capable of reaching targets up to 1,000 kilometers away.
Earlier reports suggested that Trump may announce a new weapons package for Kiev as early as today, potentially including long-range missile systems.
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🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸 Iran’s June 23 missile strike on the U.S. Al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar destroyed a radar installation. The radar dome was visibly burned, and an adjacent structure sustained damage—contradicting Pentagon claims that all missiles were intercepted and no damage occurred.
New images also reveal the destruction of the U.S. military’s “Modernized Enterprise Terminal” — a hardened wideband satellite communications system — as a result of the IRGC Aerospace Force strike.
Despite official denials, the visual evidence points to a successful and damaging hit on key infrastructure.
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🇺🇸 Trump: "I am very disappointed with President Putin, I thought he was someone who meant what he said."
He also said he doesn't like when people bomb at night?
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‘He talks nice, and then he BOMBS everybody in the evening’
Trump goes OFF on Putin, promises Patriot missiles for Ukraine
Best ignore all those drones Zelensky shoots at Belgorod and Moscow
🇦🇿💥🇺🇦The SBU colonel responsible for terror against Russia was liquidated by Azerbaijani citizens — details
▪️43-year-old Khagani Gulizada and 34-year-old Narmin Gulieva were allegedly “linked to criminal circles in the Russian Federation,” according to Kiev propagandists.
▪️A few days ago, Khagani Gulizada shot dead 50-year-old Ivan Voronich, a colonel of the SBU Special Operations Directorate, in a parking lot. Narmin Gulieva was responsible for facilitating the assassination attempt.
▪️Gulieva entered Ukraine on May 15 from Moldova through the “Mayaki-Udobnoe” checkpoint. Khagani attempted to cross the Ukrainian border officially through the same checkpoint on February 27, but was banned from entering until 2030. The killer entered the country illegally.
▪️Ivan Voronich, whom he shot, was one of the leaders of the 5th SBU directorate, created in 2015 for sabotage operations in territories that came under Russian control.
▪️Voronich was involved in developing plans for sabotage operations to assassinate “a number of prominent commanders of Russian troops and special services”.
▪️Khagani Gulizada and Narmin Gulieva were killed today by Ukrainian special services in the Kiev region, allegedly resisting arrest.
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🇺🇸The United States cannot cope with three conflicts at the same time - Ukraine may be "superfluous" - WSJ
➡️The Pentagon began to sound the alarm: Ukraine is asking for more and more weapons, and the United States is running out of stocks. According to The Wall Street Journal, Deputy Secretary of Defense Elbridge Colby sent a secret note to the head of the Pentagon, in which he warns that America will not physically pull out military participation on three fronts at once: in Europe, the Middle East and Asia.
➡️The document lists the real needs of Ukraine and, at the same time, compares it with what the United States itself has to protect its interests. According to sources, after that, supplies to Kyiv began to freeze.
➡️Colby, as well as his associate Mitchell, believe that the United States should focus on the main threat - China. "Even if you have to sacrifice other regions, you have to make a choice," Mitchell said.
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🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 It is often claimed that industrial enterprises built in the USSR are difficult to destroy. The example of the Lvov "Electron" plant, hit last night, confirms this.
➡️Large factories created a powerful civil defense system: capital bomb shelters and hideouts were built, capable of withstanding air strikes and the consequences of the use of weapons of mass destruction.
➡️Construction was carried out using reinforced concrete with thick load-bearing walls and powerful columns, which excluded savings on reinforcement and concrete quality. Factories were industrial districts, and the destruction of one or several workshops does not always stop production, as key areas could be dispersed.
➡️The viability of giants like "Electron" requires a comprehensive approach to their destruction. This is not a single precise hit, but an operation with dozens of drones to hit auxiliary facilities and air defense systems, as well as several missiles to destroy reinforced workshops.
➡️Presumably, strikes on the Western part of Ukraine were not carried out for a long time, so that Kiev invested billions, developed its military-industrial complex there, and then Russia could destroy the object with its working potential
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US Officials Arrogance, ignorance, and Narrative Fantasies, "Bonecrushing Sanctions" are Really Economic War on the World, Grim Fate of Palestine, more...
My latest discussion with Nima R Alhorshid on Dialogue Works 12/07/25
https://www.youtube.com/live/M3TbO2gMKVs?si=uMs_nqWTtaQdU3lM
Trump now has 'Secretary of WAR'
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The Real Politick Week-in-Review 11/07/25
Exclusive Content for The Real Politick subscribers on Boosty and our Discord Community.
Covering: Putin Attends All-Russia People's Front for SMO, BRICS Summit in Rio attacked by Trump, Lula's Defiance, Political Knife Fighting in Kiev, Frustrated Trump Waffles on Weapons for Kiev, Air Defense is US Achilles Heel, Return of Sanctions War on Russia, Russia's Ever-Increasing Drone Strikes in Ukraine, the Assassination of an SBU Colonel in Kiev Heralds Bloody Dirty War, more....
https://boosty.to/therealpolitick/posts/e6880e56-2670-418d-85d9-ddd2bb9427f8?share=post_link
Putin is confident in increasing advantages and does not intend to make concessions under US pressure — NYT
▪️Putin is convinced of the growing superiority of Russian troops and expects a possible collapse of the Ukrainian defense in the coming months. This was reported by NYT, citing sources close to the Kremlin.
▪️According to their information, Moscow is not considering ending hostilities without significant concessions from Kiev. Putin is also aware of the likelihood of new sanctions from the US, but believes that he will be able to discuss their mitigation in the future, when Russia dictates the terms of ending the conflict.
▪️Carnegie Center expert Tatyana Stanovaya notes that the Kremlin is not going to sacrifice strategic goals for the sake of normalizing relations with D.C. In turn, Stefan Meister, an analyst at the German (US) Council on Foreign Relations, emphasizes: "If the costs do not increase, Putin has no reason to change course."
What concessions are Ukraine making?
@Slavyangrad