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Mark Sleboda with a realist and critical, Russian-focused perspective on international affairs, security & geopolitics.
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇸🇾NEW VIDEO: US Proxy War with Russia in Ukraine Extends to Syria
On YouTube: https://youtu.be/0BNcA18FFHk?si=NUHY0j7hrksOciVD
▪️The collective West is increasingly struggling to maintain the illusion of primacy in Europe as Russian forces advance on the battlefield, Western missiles fired into Russia fail to change the strategic direction of the conflict, and tensions dangerously escalate between the West and Russia;
▪️Ukraine’s military continues to deteriorate as Russian combat power grows, accelerating Russia’s gains on the battlefield;
▪️Russia has demonstrated escalation dominance with the use of its Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile, allowing for non-nuclear retaliation against Western targets if necessary;
▪️France and the UK’s discussions over deploying troops to Ukraine is likely a bluff. The feasibility of deploying these troops and having any impact on the conflict is negligible and would only weaken the collective West both literally and in terms of perceived political, economic, and military power;
▪️Beyond Ukraine, the US is opening up fronts in Georgia through street violence and a large, renewed US-armed terrorist offensive in Syria’s north;
▪️The US will continue pushing everywhere hoping cracks form because of its inability to defeat Russia in any one single point of conflict;
▪️The restart of US-backed hostilities in Syria is a stark warning to Russia regarding accepting any peace deal from the collective West and their proxies which would only serve as a means of regrouping, rearming, and relaunching hostilities at a later date;
▪️The Syrian conflict, like in Ukraine, is the product of US proxy war stretching over several years and multiple US presidential administrations;
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Don’t surrender to Islamic terrorists
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West Reopens Another Front Against Russia & Iran in Syria Out of Desperation, more...
My latest longform geopolitical soapbox rant with @DDGeopolitics & Mikhail Zvinchuk @Rybar 29/11/24
https://www.youtube.com/live/3A-z4-ogiPE?si=smS3FK9BPwRp9wXu
MI6 chief admits UK involvement in covert operations in Ukraine
🗣 "After the war, the SOE [Special Operations Executive] was merged into SIS [Secret Intelligence Service], and we cherish our heritage of covert action which we keep alive today in helping Ukraine resist the Russian invasion," Richard Moore, chief of the Secret Intelligence Service said.
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🇺🇸🇸🇾US-backed Terrorist Offensive in Syria
▪️This would have required months of planning and preparations including logistics support running through NATO territory (Turkiye) facilitated by the US CIA and special forces as has been the case since 2011 and earlier;
▪️This is part of a larger global campaign to increase pressure along Russia's periphery along with chaos in Georgia, continued proxy war in Ukraine, talk of NATO intervention, the use of NATO missiles on Russian territory, etc.;
▪️The goal is to continue extending Russia and its allies to the breaking point with the US unable to decisively defeat Russia in any one of the areas of focus the US is destabilizing and destroying;
▪️ In the process the West is expending military resources it will find difficult to replace;
▪️There are questions regarding why intelligence did not notice preparations spanning months in occupied northern Syria;
▪️Multipolarism cannot afford to be complacent and certainly cannot afford to fail. The West is clearly determined to do anything to succeed - multipolarism must accept this reality and prepare to do what is necessary to defend itself. The "status quo" is quickly evaporating;
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Of course we have the Ukranian special forces operators in Mali. Foto published after attack on Wagner.
The 3 blurred white guys are likely Ukrainians.
Ukrainian special forces go where they can fight Russians. (Why they don’t fight at home first, don’t ask me.)
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Ukraine silently shifts parliament over fears of Russian ‘Oreshnik’ missile strikes
Following statements from President Putin indicating Russia could target key Ukrainian decision-making centers with Moscow’s new ‘Oreshnik’ missile, Ukraine relocated the Verkhovna Rada from its regular HQ to a highly secured government quarter, The Financial Times reports.
This move follows Putin’s remarks that the Russian General Staff and Ministry of Defense were selecting targets in Kiev, which could include government hubs like the office of President Zelensky, the Cabinet of Ministers, and the Ukrainian National Bank.
#Kiev
Devilish Christmas: Krampus and Perchten processions take over Austria
Austria’s infamous Krampus and Perchten processions are underway, bringing Alpine pagan traditions to life with a mix of festive fright and folklore.
Dressed as winter demons, participants race through streets wielding birch branches, reenacting the mythical punishment of naughty children, who are said to be beaten, stuffed into wicker boxes, and dragged to the underworld.
Merry Krampus everyone!
#Austria
🇬🇪🇪🇺 Georgia has suspended negotiations to join the EU until 2028
Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze announced that the country's government will not put the issue of opening negotiations on joining the EU on the agenda until 2028. Georgia is also refusing budget grants from the union until that date.
The EU has damaged Georgia's reputation by using the topic of admission negotiations as a tool for manipulation, and the decision made will help avoid it, Kobakhidze emphasized.
According to Kobakhidze, Georgia is capable of enriching the EU with its culture and potential, just as the European Union is enriching it also. To do this, the country must show European bureaucrats that they should talk to it "not with blackmail and insults, but with dignity."
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🇪🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦 Europe has not seriously developed a plan to send troops to Ukraine, but the idea is being discussed at a high level, writes The Economist.
According to the publication, some in Trump's circle are suggesting that European countries could form a coalition of willing nations to send their contingents to Ukraine.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
❗️Terrorists in Idlib reportedly employing advanced drones designed by Ukrainian specialists — Al Mayadeen
#Syria
Syrian militants make gains in Aleppo Provine, threatening the city’s center — Analysis
Anti-government forces in western Aleppo province, bolstered by reinforcements including Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) militants, have breached Syrian Arab Army (SAA) defenses, capturing Kafr Nah, Urum al-Kubra, and Khan al-Asal—strategic positions that now threaten Aleppo directly.
Turkish media reports that the SAA has concurrently occupied parts of the M5 highway, a critical supply route linking Aleppo and Damascus, further complicating the conflict. Meanwhile, intensified clashes near Bashnatra could open routes to Kafr Dail and Mansura, amplifying pressure on the city while fighting in Saraqib, eastern Idlib province, underscores the M5 highway's pivotal role in SAA operations.
The offensive has gained momentum with a steady influx of pro-Turkish Syrian National Army (SNA) units from the north, many aligning with Idlib-based militants. This escalation has sparked speculation about potential Turkish military action against the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in Tell Rifaat and Manbij. Increased SDF attacks on pro-Turkish factions, including a recent strike near Al-Bab that reportedly killed 17 Ahrar al-Sharqiya militants, are being cited as justification for such a move.
Despite efforts to slow the militant advance, including the reported transfer of reinforcements to western Aleppo, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) faces mounting pressure as the offensive threatens to breach the city’s western defenses. The critical question now is where the SAA will launch its decisive counteroffensive.
*Map courtesy Rybar.ru
#Syria
🇺🇸 U.S. intelligence claims that strikes deep into Russia do not increase the risk of nuclear escalation, Reuters reports, citing sources.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
Team Trump Talks Escalation in Ukraine, Western Exceptionalism Drives West to Geopolitical Suicide, more...
Discussion with Jamarl Thomas 25/11/24
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mD6nRirQig
As the conflict in Ukraine enters a new phase of escalation, discussions on sending Western troops and private defense companies to Ukrainian soil have been reactivated, Le Monde has learned from concordant sources. Sensitive debates, mostly classified, but indeed relaunched, in the perspective of a possible American disengagement from support for Kiev after Donald Trump takes office in the United States on January 20, 2025.
The debate on sending "troops" to Ukraine, initiated with great fanfare by French President Emmanuel Macron during a meeting between Kiev's allies in Paris in February, had aroused strong opposition from certain European countries , led by Germany. This scenario has not been buried, however. It has even regained strength in recent weeks, according to our information, thanks to the visit to France of British Prime Minister Keir Starmer during the November 11 ceremonies.
"Discussions are underway between the UK and France regarding defence cooperation, particularly with the aim of creating a core of allies in Europe, focused on Ukraine and broader European security," a British military source told Le Monde .
These remarks are consistent with those made by the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Jean-Noël Barrot, during his visit to London on 22 November. In an interview with the BBC on 23 November, he called on Western allies to "not set and express red lines" regarding their support for Ukraine. Also asked about the possibility of sending French troops on the ground, he declared: "We are not ruling out any option."
Source: Le Monde
@Slavyangrad
- You were jumping on the Maidan, weren't you? So enjoy it...
⚡️Two Majors & Стерeо точка
⚡️🇹🇷🇷🇺🇸🇾 Turkey's Proxy Offensive vs. #Russia and #Syria - Situation at the Beginning of the Day on 30 November 2024⚡️
🗓 Over the past Day, the situation in Aleppo has become catastrophic. Erdogan's allied Hayat Tahier al Sham (HTS) Group reached the Citadel of Aleppo in the city centre. Periodically, terrorist footage emerges of declaring their presence in various areas of the city. Apparently the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) is withdrawing from the city to avoid being encircled. At the same time, the so-called Syrian National Army began an offensive against government forces in northern #Syria. A ground operation by the Turkish Armed Forces against the Kurdish 'Syrian Democratic Forces' (SDF) can also be expected.
🔸 Northwest of Aleppo, there are currently no major changes in the contact line. The situation in Anadan is unknown. In connection with the situation in Aleppo, a withdrawal of the SAA can also be expected there. Aleppo itself is a priority for Erdogan's terrorists. The easy takeover of the entire area is predictable.
🔸 West of Aleppo, the SAA lost Kaft Dael, Bashakateen and Mansoura. The entire region is on the verge of coming under terrorist control.
🔸 Southwest of Aleppo, Erdogan's terrorist took Al Halaqim. Further south, the SAA lost Al Zeitan and the HTS Group is advancing on Khalasah and Al Hader. To the west, the terrorists entered Tell Hadiyah. Furthermore, they advanced on a broad front slightly towards the M5 Motorway. Jop Kass and Tell Karatin came under terrorist control.
🔸 On the southern Front, the situation in Saraqib itself and its surroundings is better for the SAA. Fighting continues in Shabur and Dadikh. The HTS terrorists are still trying to advance on Tell Mardikh. The battle for Khan Assubul continues.
📌 Generally, the situation for the SAA has worsened. Aleppo and its western and northern surroundings are almost certainly lost. The residents will be subjected to Sharia according to Western values. The further consequences of the events cannot yet be foreseen. Whether Assad, who is currently in Moscow, will receive sufficient support this time is, to put it mildly, doubtful.
🎞 Video & Pic: HTS Group Sources
🗺 Map 1🇬🇧; Map 2🇷🇺 Citadel; by @Rybar
🗺 High Resolution: 🇬🇧 MAP; 🇷🇺 MAP by @Rybar
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War, Terror, and Coups: How the U.S. Empire Went into Overdrive w/ Mark Sleboda & @Rybar
In recent weeks, the U.S. Empire has pushed the world to the brink of nuclear conflict, all while fueling chaos in Syria, orchestrating coups, and escalating violence across the globe. From dangerous nuclear posturing to meddling in Middle Eastern conflicts, the stakes have never been higher.
Join us as we welcome back geopolitical analyst and professional cynic Mark Sleboda as we delve into how the U.S. Empire’s reckless actions are bringing us closer to global catastrophe. We’ll also be joined later in the show by Mikhail from the Russian think tank Rybar, who will break down the current situation in Aleppo and offer critical insights into the situation on the ground.
ℹ️6PM CET - 8PM MSK - 12PM EST - 9AM PST
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❗️🇸🇾🏴 Offensive in northwestern Syria: fighting in western neighborhoods of Aleppo city
4pm, November 29, 2024
The Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) terrorist alliance and some factions of the pro-Turkish conglomerate Syrian National Army (SNA) continue their offensive in the Aleppo neighborhood. According to some reports, an assault on the city has begun.
Confident in their victory, the jihadist command of the so-called “Department of Military Operations” - a coalition of forces involved in the offensive - has announced the evacuation of some Aleppo neighborhoods. At the same time, civilians are fleeing the city under the control of government forces.
🔻 Aleppo province:
▪️ Anti-government forces advanced in the western part of Aleppo city, particularly in the Rashidin-4 neighborhood, after the capture of Khan al-Assal. The Hafez al-Assad Military Technical Academy has fallen under the control of the militants. Hafez al-Assad Military Technical Academy. Ground troops were being trained there.
▪️ Militant successes were also recorded southwest of the administrative center of the province: there members of illegal armed groups occupied several settlements, including Tell Karatin, Jop Kass, al-Bawaiba and Qusaybiya.
▪️East of the Iqard base, the Islamists also had success, capturing the localities of al-Eis, Tell Barna and al-Zeitan. The target of the anti-government groups was al-Khader, where all local roads intersect. According to preliminary reports, the strategic town has already fallen.
❗ Meanwhile, in the north of Aleppo province, groups of the Turkish-backed “Syrian National Army” are still preparing for an offensive on the towns of Tell Rif'at and Menbij. The Kurdish “Syrian Democratic Forces” are stationed there, but there is also a limited presence of the SAR Armed Forces.
In case the pro-Turkish formations take Tell Rif'at, it will actually open the way for them to Nubl and Az-Zahra - Shiite enclaves located north of Aleppo. From there, they will be able to start moving towards the northern part of Aleppo city, making it easier for their allies in the “Syrian Revolution”.
🔻 Idlib Province:
The situation in eastern Idlib is less dire. There, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham terrorists and other factions (including those formed from foreign jihadists) have targeted Saraqib, where the defense is held by the fighters of the 25th Special Forces Division (ex-Tiger Force) of Suheil al-Hassan.
However, even due to the presence of the Syrian army units, which have been used in many battles, it is not necessary to speak about the complete defense of the settlement. Anti-government groups are amassing forces to the west of the city, and fighting is already taking place in the surrounding settlements, particularly in Jubas and Shabura.
@rybar
🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 AP: Mass Desertion Paralyzes Ukraine's War Effort
Mass desertion in the Ukrainian Armed Forces is "undermining Ukraine's combat plans at a critical moment in the war and weakening its position ahead of potential peace talks," reports AP.
Entire units have abandoned positions, leaving defensive lines exposed and accelerating territorial losses. Over 100,000 soldiers have been accused of desertion since the start of the conflict, with nearly half occurring in the last year due to failed mobilization efforts. Some estimates suggest up to 200,000 deserters.
Zelensky recently signed a law allowing deserters to return to service without punishment.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
🇷🇺🇸🇾‼️🚨 Syrian “moderate” rebels killed a Russian soldier, who seems to have been a drone operator.
The soldier seems to have been surprised and overrun.
#LordBeboExclusive
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🇷🇺💬🏁🇺🇦According to information received by the Russian Foreign Intelligence, in the absence of prospects for inflicting a strategic defeat on Russia on the battlefield , NATO is increasingly leaning towards the need to freeze the Ukrainian conflict in order to restore the combat capability of the Ukrainian Armed Forces for an attempt at revenge.
NATO is already setting up training centers in Ukraine, where it is expected to train at least a million mobilized Ukrainians , and is also actively working with Western military-industrial companies, demanding investment and sending specialists and equipment to Ukraine, the SVR notes.
The West will solve these problems under the guise of deploying a "peacekeeping contingent" in the country. In essence, Ukraine will be occupied: its northern regions, including the capital region, will become the UK zone, the center and east of the country - Germany, the western regions - Poland, the Black Sea coast - Romania. In total, it is planned to introduce 100 thousand "peacekeepers" to Ukraine.
Does Russia need such a peaceful settlement option? The answer is obvious, the SVR states.
🔴@DDGeopolitics
🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 If you need a reminder of how despicable CNN (and the rest of Western media) can be, watch this 2014 CNN report from Donetsk and compare it to their coverage today of what they call "unprovoked full-scale invasion by Russia."
Vid: Richard on X
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
Pursuit of medium-range ballistic missile technology by world players
After Russia's Oreshnik missile launch, France is considering developing a middle-range ballistic missile with a range over 1,000 km and terminal phase maneuverability to evade interception.
This development follows the US withdrawal from the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty in 2019. The treaty had limited the development of ground-launched ballistic and cruise missiles with ranges between 500 and 5,500 km.
What are ballistic missiles?
Those are rocket-powered missiles that follow an arching flight path to their target.
They are categorized based on range:
▪️Short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs): 300-1,000 km
▪️Medium-range ballistic missiles (MRBMs): 1,000-3,000 km
▪️Intermediate-range ballistic missiles (IRBMs): 3,000-5,500 km
▪️Intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs): beyond 5,500 km
What are major players’ current MRBM and IRBM capabilities?
🇷🇺 Russia
▪️Oreshnik: Hypersonic MRBM with a range of approximately 1,000–5,000 km
🇨🇳 China
▪️Dongfeng-17 (DF-17): MRBM equipped with a hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV),
1,800–2,500 km
▪️Dongfeng-21 (DF-21): MRBM, 2,150 km
▪️Dongfeng-26 (DF-26): IRBM, 4,000 km
🇮🇷 Iran
▪️Fatah-1: Hypersonic MRBM, 1,448 km
▪️Qadr-110: MRBM, 2,000 km
▪️Khorramshahr: MRBM, 2,000–3,000 km
▪️Shahab-3: MRBM, 2,000 km
▪️Sejjil (Ashoura): MRBM, 2,000–2,500 km
▪️Shahab-5: IRBM, allegedly 3,500–4,300 km
🇮🇱 Israel
▪️Jericho 2: MRBM, 1,500–3,500 km
▪️Jericho 3: IRBM, 4,800–6,500 km
🇮🇳 India
▪️Agni-Prime: MRBM with a range of 1,000–2,000 km
▪️Agni-II: MRBM with a range over 2,000 km
▪️Agni-III: IRBM with a range of 3,000–3,500 km
▪️Agni-IV: IRBM with a range of 4,000 km
🇰🇵 North Korea
▪️Hwasong-7 (NoDong-A): MRBM, 900–1,300 km
▪️Hwasong-9: MRBM, 1,000 km
▪️Pukguksong-1: Submarine-launched MRBM, 1,200 km
▪️Pukguksong-3: Submarine-launched MRBM, 1,900 km
▪️Pukguksong-2: MRBM/IRBM, approximately 2,000 km
▪️Hwasong-8: IRBM with a hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV), 3,200–6,000 km
▪️Musudan (Hwasong-10): IRBM, 2,500-4,000 km
▪️Hwasong-12: IRBM, approximately 4,000 km
NATO countries and medium-range ballistic missiles
Presently, major NATO countries do not maintain MRBM or IRBM capabilities, focusing instead on intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) as part of their nuclear deterrence strategy.
🇫🇷 France
▪️Under Consideration: Development of MRBMs is being considered by the French Armed Forces and the Directorate General of Armament.
▪️Existing Capability: M51 submarine-launched intercontinental ballistic missile (SLBM) with a range of 11,000 km.
🇬🇧 The United Kingdom
▪️Existing Capability: Lockheed Martin Trident II D5 SLBM with a range of 7,408 km, deployed by the Royal Navy.
🇺🇸 The United States
▪️Existing Capabilities:
▪️Boeing LGM-30G Minuteman III: ICBM with a range of 13,000 km.
▪️Lockheed Martin Trident II D5: SLBM with a range of 7,408 km.
▪️In Development: LGM-35A Sentinel ICBM, intended to replace the Minuteman III.
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🇺🇦🐀😐KIEV RECRUITMENT GOONS COMPARE UKRAINIANS TO RATS AS THEY HUNT THEM DOWN all across country, with Western presstitutes making shock decision to actually shine spotlight on horrific daily events happening in "dEmOcRaTiC" #Ukraine.
Journos in article above follow Artyom, cannon fodder collector who’s so ashamed about his work that he hasn’t told his friends and family what he does, as he tries to justify dragging men away to their deaths at the whim of #Washington:
“Sometimes it’s like dealing with a cornered rat,” Artyom told The Telegraph, as he explained how he gets his targets into vans and off to desperate military recruitment centres.
“They continue fighting even while in the vehicle. Those who resist always threaten to take revenge on our guys or their families.”
“Previously, we allowed people to go home and pack, but lately, they don’t return voluntarily. They hide and don’t show up. Sometimes, we have to confiscate their phones depending on the situation,” he said.
❗️Russia's missile production 10 times NATO combined - Putin
President Putin added that Moscow will increase missile production by a quarter, while highlighting that Russia's hypersonic missile systems have no global equivalents.
#Russia
🇷🇺🇸🇾 The Russian Aerospace Forces continue striking advancing HTS forces in western Aleppo.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
Today, AP and Reuters broke the news that the Biden administration is pressuring Ukraine to lower its draft age from 25 to 18.
Interestingly, President Putin had disclosed this to the press as far back as June.
🔗 Full transcript
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▪️Le Monde: Ukrainian Armed Forces cannot use Western long-range missiles to strike Russian territory without "Western support on the ground"
It is reported that before loading Storm Shadow and SCALP missiles into Ukrainian fighters, the shells "must be pre-programmed by specialists from these countries."
@ukr_leaks_eng
NATO is discussing high-precision preventive strikes against Russia in the event of a military conflict between Russia and NATO, Chair of the NATO Military Committee, Admiral Rob Bauer said, RIA Novosti reports.
According to Bauer, the alliance has changed its approach to defense strategy.
"It is wiser not to wait, but to hit launchers in Russia if Russia attacks us," he stated, noting that NATO members should invest more in air defense and high-precision strike systems.
Bauer pointed out that the alliance needs a combination of high-precision strikes that disable attack systems.
"And we must strike first," he concluded.
@Slavyangrad
