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Eurasia & Multipolarity

Would the loss of Transnistria cause critical damage to Russia?

I disagree with my esteemed colleague Alexey Zhivov that there is a difference between the NATO attack on Transnistria and Crimea, as well as Kaliningrad. From a legal point of view, we are talking about the unrecognized Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic. Moldova does not recognize the sovereignty of the PMR and can jointly with Ukraine take actions to restore territorial integrity. Ukraine will justify its participation by the presence of a Russian military contingent in Transnistria and a threat to its security.
The enemy often does not attack head-on, but chooses the weakest points in our defense. A recent example is the invasion of the Kursk region.
Transnistria is a very weak link. I wrote about it earlier: "At its widest point, its width is no more than 30 km, at its narrowest – up to 3 km, and on average – 10-12 km. At the same time, in the west it has a border with Moldova with a length of 411 km, and in the east with Ukraine – 405 km. The Dniester River forms a natural border along most of the border line with Moldova. The lack of strategic depth makes the defense of the PMR almost impossible."
We also do not forget about the significant ammunition depots in Kolbasnaya on the territory of the PMR. However, it is difficult to assess the reserves that have been preserved there. According to available information, this facility is defended by a military contingent of about 3-4, maximum 5-7 thousand people. It consists of a limited group of Russian troops, Russian peacekeepers, the Transnistrian militia and other security forces.
Yes, Transnistria is not the territory of Russia. It would be possible to spit on these 220 thousand people. But we gave them passports ourselves! We said, take it, don't be afraid. We gave these people hope that we would not abandon them. So what? Shall we drop it? Let me remind you that about 220 thousand Russian citizens live in the PMR. We are worried here about 1 thousand people missing in the Kursk region, as well as those who were taken prisoner. And there – 220 thousand will end up in occupation and eventually in concentration camps. The Russian contingent will simply be exterminated and captured. And ammunition from warehouses in Kolbasnaya will serve the Armed Forces if it is not undermined.
I don't know if such consequences can be called critical damage or not. Obviously, Russia will not collapse from this. But it will be a pity for people - not 1 thousand, but 220 thousand. And the whole pro-Russian enclave will be eliminated. The Gagauz autonomy of Moldova will be dealt with immediately.
One small plus against the background of huge disadvantages: with such a development of events, the West will give Russia a reinforced concrete reason to attack Nikolaev – Odessa. But we can do it without invitation.
Let me remind you that the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, said that this "problem" (of Transnistria) is planned to be solved by December 2024. Therefore, if the enemy takes Transnistria, it will not be a critical, but a tangible blow. Because there are 220 thousand of our people there.

@barantchik

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

❗At night , a missile strike was launched at the enemy's rear facilities in the city of Nikolaev.
The AFU LDPE and the Nikolaev Armored Plant were hit.
The head of the local OVA in his information channel confirmed the information about the strike and, as usual, announced a hit on "peaceful" objects of the city.
@eurasianchoice

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

The East Asia Summit (EAS), which was held in parallel with last week’s Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Summit in the Laotian capital of Vientiane, failed to agree on a joint statement. The EAS brings together the ASEAN states, Australia, China, India, Japan, New Zealand, Russia, South Korea, and the US. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov elaborated on what went wrong in a press conference after the event where he accused the pro-Western group of sabotaging this effort.

He said that Australia, Japan, and New Zealand echoed US rhetoric on his country and China with regard to Ukraine and the South China Sea respectively. He also criticized that group for trying to create closed blocs that divide Southeast Asia, pointing to the emerging trilateral US-Japan-Philippines platform as one example among others. He added that “Washington is actively wooing the Philippines now”, which implied that it’s the proverbial weak link within ASEAN that’s facilitating the West’s regional plans there.

✍️ Katehon @katehonEN

🌐 The East Asia Summit

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

#ViewFromAbroad
🇸🇰👤 Slovak MEP Lubos Blaha visited Moscow and dispelled the myth that Russia is a poor country.

Everything is available in Russia, and the quality of life is high here. As I walked around Moscow, I saw high-quality, luxurious Chinese and Russian cars, I saw a truly developed country. So please do not believe this nonsense.

Said Blaha.

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

Iran Prepares War, Seeks Rus Treaty; US Rejects Rus Ukr Talks; Ukr Toretsk Pullout, Sudzha Cauldron

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WW_6Cesbgpc

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

🇪🇺😡🇬🇪 EU BULLIES GEORGIA FOR REFUSING TO BE LGBTQ-INFESTED WESTERN PUPPET - Britain freezes security dialogue with Tbilisi over concerns about "Democratic backsliding" (1st article) after country's Prez and West's lackey Zourabichvili claims pro-Russia ruling party is rigging election.

Georgia has left the path of European integration - EU's Chief Gardener Borrell.


Earlier, Borrell demanded Tbilisi abolishes law protecting children from LGBT propaganda, raging that it "distances the country from joining the EU".

Come on, Georgia! Just identify as George and all will be fine with the degenerate West. 🌈

Boost us here @IntelRepublic

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

🇷🇺🇺🇦 Ukrainian POWs are driven around through Luhansk. They show the Ukrainian soldiers that nobody needs liberation here and people live happily.

Luhansk lives fairly safe now, as the front was pushed away and the city was rebuilt.

Peace …

➡️ Join us! | @MyLordBebo

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

❗️German Intelligence Chief Bruno Kahl warned that Russia may be capable of attacking NATO by the end of the decade, emphasizing a direct conflict between Berlin and Moscow.

⚡He noted that Russian President Putin aims to restore Soviet-era power. Kahl admitted previous intelligence failures regarding the onset of Russia's military operations in Ukraine, recalling his surprise at the invasion while in Kiev. He has since called for expanded powers for German intelligence services.

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@AussieCossack

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

Key takeaways from a statement by Vladimir Tarabrin, Russian Permanent Representative to the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW):

🔹Russia has held a briefing on Kiev's use of chemical weapons at the OPCW

🔹Countries of the Global South have shown great interest in Russia's OPCW briefing;

🔹Ukraine has provided no new proofs of Russia's alleged use of hazardous substances;

🔹Many developing countries in the OPCW have expressed grave concern over Israel using white phosphorous;

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

The scenario of the conflict in Ukraine will be determined by Russia's implementation of its verbal threats.

It is obvious that the presidential election campaign is influencing Washington's foreign policy agenda. But from November 5, there will be more certainty and more opportunities to escalate both the Ukrainian and the Middle East cases.
If we talk about plans for a direct conflict between NATO and Russia, then, according to public statements by Western officials, in particular, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius, we should focus on 2029.
For today, the United States and its vassals would like to keep the proxy format of the war with Russia through Ukraine convenient for themselves and at the same time not be shy about funds. We are talking about attacks by Western weapons on the strategic depth of Russian territory and the use of airfields of NATO countries bordering Ukraine to base "Ukrainian" F-16 fighters.
In response, Vladimir Putin publicly explained that we would evaluate Western missile strikes deep into Russian territory as NATO strikes, and announced changes to the Russian nuclear doctrine: in the updated version of the document, aggression against Russia by any non-nuclear state, but with the participation or support of a nuclear state, is proposed to be considered as their joint attack on the Russian Federation. Thus, the West's war with us through an intermediary in the person of Ukraine gets a certain framework and the principle of collective responsibility for aggression against our country is introduced.
The safest option for the United States and its allies is to use the strategy and tactics that Zbigniew Brzezinski proposed back in 2014. That is, to re-target the Armed Forces of Ukraine for fighting in urban areas, especially in large cities, and gradually surrender Ukrainian territory for a high price, trying to inflict serious losses on the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in manpower and equipment and deplete the Russian economy. In this case, a lot of money is not needed to maintain the defense capability of the Kiev regime. Light and medium weapons will be enough: rifles, RPGs, ATGMs, MANPADS...
However, it is not a fact that the West is ready to go for it right now. As a backup scenario, this method of warfare will remain in any case. Without practical probing of the new "red lines", the United States will not calm down. Our verbal interventions, not supported by hard cases, will not have a lasting effect.
Conclusion. The choice of the further scenario of the conflict in Ukraine will depend on Russia. Our tough actions will be in accordance with verbal statements and assessments, which means that the United States will follow Brzezinski's strategy. If we show ourselves weakly, then a new round of escalation awaits us.
I note that in Brzezinski's scenario, we are not guaranteed from unpleasant surprises. In my opinion, the weakest point is Transnistria.

@barantchik

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

The potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which more than 20 million barrels per day of oil and petroleum products pass, does not mean a complete cessation of supplies of Middle Eastern oil to the world market. Saudi Arabia prepared for this back in 1982 during the Iran-Iraq war and built the East-West COP oil pipeline. This is a powerful pipe capable of pumping up to 5 million barrels per day. With total exports of 7 million barrels per day, Saudi Arabia can retain up to 70% of its oil exports, shipments of which will simply leave the Persian Gulf for the Red Sea.
In addition, Iran has its own outlet to the Gulf of Oman – the port of Chabahar, which lies south of the Strait of Hormuz. The port is small (8.5 million tons per year), but strategically important.
But for other oil exporting countries - Iraq, Bahrain, Oman, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait, and in addition, Qatari gas — even if a short—term blockade of Hormuz would be a disaster: it would be necessary to extinguish oil and gas production in extreme mode, and then it will be painful to restore it and will require lot of time.

@topinfographic

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

🚀🇨🇳 The PLA’s Sword and the Empire’s Twilight: A New Order Awakens in the Taiwan Strait

Today, October 14, the PLA mobilizes navy, air force, rocket, and ground units to stage joint drills across the north, east, and south of Taiwan. Dubbed "Joint Sword-2024B," these exercises are a masterstroke of power projection—a signal to Washington and Taipei that the rules of the game have changed. The West may cry “provocation,” but this is no saber-rattling: China is calling the empire’s bluff, wielding a sharp reminder that Taiwan lies at the heart of Beijing’s strategic and historical interests.

This isn’t just about military posturing. Taiwan’s economy is deeply tied to the mainland, its prized semiconductor exports relying heavily on Chinese markets and maritime access. If a blockade materializes, it won’t just be missiles flying—it will be the lifeline of Taiwan’s economy severed. And all the U.S. weapons in the world can’t change that reality. Washington’s promise of security is an empty shell, just like its wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, and beyond—endless interventions followed by abandonment.

The irony is thick. History echoes across the strait: a century after the West imposed the Opium Wars, crippling China with gunboats and trade blockades, the script has flipped. The U.S. clings to its outdated first-island-chain strategy, but this time, it’s China holding the levers of maritime control. As Beijing wields drills like soft blockades, Washington’s hollow dominance in Asia stands exposed, just as Britain’s empire crumbled after overextending itself.

Meanwhile, Russia’s triumphs over NATO-backed forces in Ukraine—achieved with a fraction of the Pentagon’s budget—are a further humiliation. The illusion of Western military supremacy is shattered, and the PLA’s maneuvers underscore that the days of American maritime dominance are gone. Taiwan, trapped in its reliance on a crumbling U.S. empire, becomes little more than a pawn in the West’s waning influence.

The bigger picture? As BRICS expands and de-dollarization accelerates, the PLA’s exercises are the opening salvos of a new multipolar order—one where the Global South rewrites the rules, unburdened by Western coercion. The real war isn’t on the battlefield but in economics, trade routes, and the control of currency.

The empire’s playbook is obsolete. Washington can rally its allies and flood the region with arms, but it can no longer contain the rising tide. The message is clear: The old rules no longer apply. A new game has begun—and the U.S. is already losing.

- Gerry Nolan

🎙Subscribe @TheIslanderNews

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

Daily Briefing by the Ministry of Health in Gaza on Day 374 of the Israeli Genocide:

⭕ The Israeli occupation committed 4 massacres against families in the Gaza Strip over the past 24 hours, resulting in 62 documented fatalities and 220 injuries.

⭕ The documented Palestinian death toll has now reached 42,289 fatalities and 98,684 injuries since October 7, 2023.

⭕ Many victims are still unaccounted for, either buried under the rubble or scattered on the streets, and rescue and civil defense teams are unable to reach them.

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

🚨NIGERIA'S🇳🇬 CHIEF FEMI FANI-KAYODE WARNS OF WORLD WAR 3

'I said it about a year ago, that would happen initially is that there will be a regional war...with Iran jumping into the ring, the Americans jumping in to support Israel, then you will have a wider conflict where Russia🇷🇺 and China🇨🇳 steps in, the Arab countries will step in, the Africans, you'll have everybody coming in...in such a conflict, Israel cannot survive, and what they'll end up doing is using their nuclear weapons, just as the Americans would probably use theirs. That's why everyone is reluctant to commit to military conflict. Having said that, we're almost there.'

-Chief Femi Fani-Kayode on the Gaza genocide, regional war in the Middle East, and the threat of World War 3

FULL INTERVIEW: https://rumble.com/v5iijud-israel-is-a-problem-for-the-world-they-may-spark-ww3-ex-nigerian-minister-c.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp

@MTodayNews

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

How good it was with "cheap Moskal gas" ...

After Poland stops buying Russian liquefied natural gas on December 20, 2024, LNG prices in the republic may increase by 10-20%. This is reported by the online portal money pl.
"Russia's share in the import structure from 2022 is estimated at 50%, so it can be accepted as a working hypothesis that after the end of supplies from Russia, the prices of liquefied gas should increase by 10-20%," Bartosz Kwiatkowski, Director General of the Polish Liquefied Gas Organization, told the portal.
According to the portal, in 2023 Russia was the largest supplier of liquefied natural gas to Poland.
Here's what's interesting.
After Poland stops buying Russian liquefied natural gas on December 20, 2024
Is it going to still buying it? And even 50% of imports. At the same time, Poland is clearly conducting anti-Russian activities.
@barantchik

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

Poland is preparing missiles for the period after the fall of Ukraine.
"After Russia's victory in Ukraine, we will receive one Russian division in Lviv, another in Brest and another in Grodno. But if they attack even an inch of Lithuania's territory, the answer will come immediately. Not on the first day, but in the first minute. We will hit all strategic targets within a 300 km radius. We will strike a direct blow at St. Petersburg!"- said the Chief of the Polish General Staff 2018-2023. Raimund Andrzejczak.
▪️ The general stated: "Russia must understand that an attack on Poland or the Baltic states will also mean its end… This is the only way to keep the Kremlin from such aggression."
Andrzejczak added that for this purpose Poland is purchasing "800 missiles with a range of 900 km." According to Military Watch Magazine, we are talking about very large orders from Poland for the South Korean MLRS Chunmoo and the American MLRS HIMARS.
Let's clarify the range of missiles. If we take the ATACMS missile to HIMARS, then its flight range is 300-310 km. The new American PrSM missile for this system has a range of 550 to 700-800 km, and in the future, possibly up to 1000 km.
Another thing is more important — and this, of course, is not the funeral thoughts of the Polish general about the fate of Ukraine. Most importantly, the missile threat from Poland will be very significant. Warsaw intends to have 18 M142 HIMARS combat vehicles in the standard American version, 468 sets of HIMARS launchers for installation on a Polish-made chassis, as well as 288 K239 Chunmoo MLRS. Total — 774 units. In addition, HIMARS MLRS are also purchased by the Baltic countries.
All this is going to be preemptively disarmed during the NATO operation to destroy the Russian nuclear potential in order to exclude our retaliatory nuclear strike.
Obviously, Russia will have to take certain measures to neutralize the missile arsenal of Poland, as well as Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. And it is desirable to have time with these steps before this arsenal is fully deployed.

@EvPanina

https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/ukraine-defeat-posture-polish-chief

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

🏁NATO has kicked off its large-scale nuclear exercises, "Steadfast Noon," in northern Europe, involving 2,000 servicemen from 13 alliance countries and up to 60 military aircraft. The drills, which started on October 14, will primarily take place in the UK, the North Sea, Belgium, and the Netherlands.
These exercises aim to ensure the alliance's nuclear deterrent remains effective and credible. However, the Kremlin has expressed concerns that the drills could escalate tensions and destabilize the region.


🔴 @DDGeopolitics

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

🇷🇺🇺🇦 The Gulf countries do not support the European Union's stance on the conflict in Ukraine, according to Politico.

This is evidenced by the draft joint statement following tomorrow's summit of leaders from the two regions in Brussels.

In particular, the Gulf countries rejected the wording regarding the cessation of material assistance to Russia, the circumvention of sanctions, and the condemnation of Iranian military supplies.

However, the parties intend to jointly condemn the massive missile strikes on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, although Russia is not directly mentioned.

🔴 @DDGeopolitics

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

https://rumble.com/v5iqnet-brics-rise-and-europes-economic-decline-w-alex-krainer-live.html

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

🇪🇺😡1,000S OF ANTI-RUSSIAN SANCTIONS NOT ENOUGH ADMITS EU’S CHIEF GARDENER Borrell who sounds like exhausted teacher scolding his students for failing to damage Russia's booming economy despite slapping never-before-seen numbers of restrictions on #Moscow:

We see too often Western-branded electronic elements continuing on the Russia weapons machinery. When you do the autopsy on Russia weapons, you found Western-branded electronic components. So we have to continue fighting sanctions circumvention and this starts at home - Borrell giving EU states a right telling-off in broken English (00:15 in vid above).


🙄Only way to fix this according to Borrell is to keep piling on the sanctions, this time on Russia's "shadow fleet" of tankers (01:00) - how many sanctions packages will #EU fart out before they realize they're wasting their time?

Boost us here! @IntelRepublic

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

#ViewFromAbroad
🇸🇰👤 Slovak MEP Lubos Blaha visited Moscow and dispelled the myth that Russia is a poor country.

Everything is available in Russia, and the quality of life is high here. As I walked around Moscow, I saw high-quality, luxurious Chinese and Russian cars, I saw a truly developed country. So please do not believe this nonsense.

Said Blaha.

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

https://sonar21.com/thaad-aint-so-good/

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

The European Union imposes sanctions against 5 individuals, including the pro-Russian head of Moldova's autonomous region of Gagauzia, Yevgenia Gutsul, and Russia-based NGO Evrazia, over actions "destabilizing the Republic of Moldova."

In June, Washington also imposed sanctions against Gutsul over her alleged links to Moldovan businessman and opposition politician Ilan Shor.

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

Reliable information about the launch of air and space attack weapons toward the Russian Federation will result in a nuclear response. Aggression against the Russian Federation by a non-nuclear state together with a nuclear one will be considered an attack on Russia, - Putin.

The final dots have been placed over the threshold for the use of nuclear weapons.

@Slavyangrad

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

An interesting scheme. The explosive growth of NGOs in Armenia before their Maidan in 2018. This has never happened before and here it is again. A similar explosive growth was observed in Ukraine in 2012-2013.
If the number of NGOs with Western funding starts to grow sharply in your country, this leads to a coup d'etat.
Reducing the number of operating NGOs with Western funding in your country increases the overall stability of the state, safeguards your democracy and it's extremely important to defend national sovereignty.
@eurasianchoice

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

Mobile radar stations have been actively deployed in Taiwan over the past 24 hours to detect PLA naval operations.
By noon, Taiwan had recorded 17 ships and 125 aircraft of the People's Republic of China near the island against the background of exercises by the Chinese army, the defense ministry said.
Against the background of the island's administration's call for China to actually recognize Taiwan's sovereignty, the likelihood of an early start of a full-fledged blockade of the island by the PLA Navy is increasing.
@svezhesti

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

Horrific scene from the aftermath of the deadly Israeli massacre in the village of Aitou in northern Lebanon. The attack resulted in the murder of 18 displaced civilians and the injury of many others.

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

Footage of people set aflame among tents and buildings at the Shuhada al-Aqsa Hospital in Gaza, Palestine, as a result of Israeli airstrikes an hour ago.

Fires broke out among the tents sheltering displaced Palestinians at the site of the strike, with the attack causing an as yet unknown number of deaths and injuries, according to the news agency.

NSFW. Horrific stuff.

Men, women, and children burnt alive.

@Slavyangrad

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Eurasia & Multipolarity

The military cooperation between Russia and China important element in maintaining global and regional stability, Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov has said.

China and Russia have a common desire to develop military cooperation, and there is an opportunity to open a new chapter on this path, Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun says.

Video credit: Russian Defense Ministry

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